TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s1

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 267

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 89 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1246

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0117

actual -0.0216

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004573	0.004518	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	2.70
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004354	-1.62%	0.004573	+3.33%	0.0564	✗	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003409	-0.32%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2289	✗	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.00349	-0.29%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0156	✓	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003837	-0.33%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1088	✓	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003759	-0.07%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0271	✗	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004331	-0.37%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1239	✓	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004907	-0.65%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1364	✓	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005001	-0.82%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0297	✗	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004452	-0.08%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0878	✗	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005385	-0.74%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1397	✓	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005429	-0.71%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0203	✓	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.0047	+0.03%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1421	✓	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005045	+0.01%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.0933	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005199	+0.01%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0111	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006616	-0.79%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.1878	✓	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.00737	-1.26%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.0951	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006677	-0.82%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1293	✗	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006685	-0.56%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0350	✓	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006854	-0.45%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0251	✓	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008403	-0.98%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.1911	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008397	-0.77%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0202	✓	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008882	-0.78%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0463	✓	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009678	-0.94%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0824	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010197	-1.03%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0191	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011082	-1.25%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0739	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010749	-1.17%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0355	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.01016	-0.86%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0750	✗	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010589	-0.85%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0329	✓	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011542	-1.08%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0357	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013211	-1.53%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1154	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012682	-1.03%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0786	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.013539	-1.15%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0532	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014658	-1.69%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0770	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011633	-0.72%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1458	✗	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.011933	-0.72%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0229	✓	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012646	-0.74%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0640	✓	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.013991	-1.10%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0352	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.012955	-0.73%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0579	✗	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.013931	-0.83%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0552	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016544	-1.06%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1647	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.01816	-1.50%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.0972	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015577	-1.10%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2119	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016549	-1.21%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0455	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016135	-1.17%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0533	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017605	-1.18%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0459	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020767	-1.22%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1653	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019332	-1.22%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0802	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.028923	-1.61%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3615	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.031824	-4.09%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1776	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.01763	-1.43%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6349	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015382	-1.15%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1858	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018218	-1.42%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1854	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.01766	-1.64%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0632	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014291	-1.10%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2159	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016344	-1.28%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0510	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017498	-1.61%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.0930	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015375	-1.12%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1304	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020545	-2.04%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2659	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.017979	-2.28%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1198	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013559	-1.39%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2871	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013093	-1.41%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0849	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014282	-1.71%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3181	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013487	-2.12%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1397	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.009514	-0.53%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.1887	✗	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.010031	-0.59%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0560	✓	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.010984	-0.60%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1785	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012592	-0.77%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1204	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014621	-0.94%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1424	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017484	-1.28%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1623	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.018612	-1.37%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0499	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021026	-1.70%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1063	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.022264	-2.27%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.01911	-1.65%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1902	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020101	-2.14%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016666	-1.38%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2087	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017834	-1.42%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0634	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.024732	-3.32%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3075	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019606	-2.56%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2574	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.017505	-2.37%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1301	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.014256	-1.48%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2298	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012605	-0.98%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1264	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012827	-0.87%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017754	-2.66%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.2866	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.01287	-1.38%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3359	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009781	-0.60%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2876	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.011215	-0.66%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1332	✓	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013215	-0.86%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1319	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.013287	-0.77%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0129	✓	1.00