STONK

STONK · Solana · gru_s1

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 22 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0778

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0059

actual -0.0331

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12218	0.121196	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.12545	0.12388	-1.25%	0.12218	-2.61%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.114195	0.113498	-0.61%	0.12545	+9.86%	0.0868	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.1019	0.101372	-0.52%	0.114195	+12.07%	0.1212	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.10575	0.105402	-0.33%	0.1019	-3.64%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.11242	0.112028	-0.35%	0.10575	-5.93%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.12122	0.120729	-0.41%	0.11242	-7.26%	0.0637	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.110945	0.110601	-0.31%	0.12122	+9.26%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.12159	0.12108	-0.42%	0.110945	-8.75%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.131815	0.131339	-0.36%	0.12159	-7.76%	0.0936	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.14763	0.146722	-0.61%	0.131815	-10.71%	0.0837	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.139145	0.138613	-0.38%	0.14763	+6.10%	0.0538	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.140195	0.139583	-0.44%	0.139145	-0.75%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.154645	0.153815	-0.54%	0.140195	-9.34%	0.1031	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.171875	0.170968	-0.53%	0.154645	-10.02%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.216735	0.215263	-0.68%	0.171875	-20.70%	0.1983	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.194225	0.193075	-0.59%	0.216735	+11.59%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.229225	0.227635	-0.69%	0.194225	-15.27%	0.1499	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.217215	0.215433	-0.82%	0.229225	+5.53%	0.0414	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.24939	0.246452	-1.18%	0.217215	-12.90%	0.1291	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.255775	0.254054	-0.67%	0.24939	-2.50%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.24725	0.245719	-0.62%	0.255775	+3.45%	0.0248	✗	1.00