SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 294
Track record at +1d
assessed
97
of 98 predictions shown
direction hit
51.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0072
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0050
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 771.235 | 768.6005 | -0.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 768.5007 | -0.39% | 771.235 | -0.03% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 764.3063 | -0.51% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 764.8528 | -0.37% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 757.7491 | -0.40% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 758.4506 | -0.51% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 767.5263 | -0.50% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 763.4783 | -0.59% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0096 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 774.7602 | -0.49% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 773.623 | -0.58% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 777.2597 | -0.48% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 775.0794 | -0.51% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 774.7068 | -0.56% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 770.3362 | -0.59% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 772.6553 | -0.66% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 775.8766 | -0.52% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 770.2489 | -0.62% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 767.8477 | -0.40% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 767.2096 | -0.48% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 765.5924 | -0.55% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 761.4296 | -0.48% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 761.9543 | -0.51% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 762.0307 | -0.53% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 761.9015 | -0.56% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 766.0451 | -0.50% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 766.4502 | -0.50% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 767.822 | -0.53% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 762.2448 | -0.52% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 764.1587 | -0.46% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 770.2472 | -0.42% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 770.0538 | -0.47% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 758.7899 | -0.59% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 752.2983 | -1.37% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 751.1263 | -1.56% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 759.2076 | -0.43% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 754.7592 | -0.42% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 755.9983 | -0.34% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.0113 | -0.27% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0030 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.6301 | -0.18% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 764.1534 | -0.12% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.3491 | -0.08% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.5122 | -0.05% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 763.0077 | -0.02% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 765.7913 | +0.00% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 769.9095 | +0.11% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 771.5751 | +0.21% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 773.1883 | +0.24% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0048 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 772.0253 | +0.28% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 774.6973 | +0.33% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0044 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 767.0657 | +0.20% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 763.4155 | +0.18% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 769.2008 | +0.20% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0081 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 767.5986 | +0.14% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 771.9317 | +0.14% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 769.6627 | +0.06% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 770.7486 | +0.13% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 770.5584 | +0.01% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 764.5541 | -0.08% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 762.5779 | -0.16% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0038 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 763.4999 | -0.33% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 761.9177 | -0.45% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 763.2501 | -0.46% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 758.1546 | -0.64% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 765.1649 | -0.67% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 762.4509 | -0.64% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 768.4148 | -0.64% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 772.8698 | -0.61% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 772.1124 | -0.64% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 771.2076 | -0.69% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 771.232 | -0.94% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 766.2365 | -0.87% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 764.4873 | -0.91% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 764.9865 | -1.05% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 762.948 | -0.96% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0171 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 765.4651 | -1.08% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 764.914 | -1.12% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 761.1676 | -1.13% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 764.6579 | -0.94% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0120 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 764.5791 | -1.17% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 749.4722 | -1.26% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 745.8646 | -0.61% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 738.8561 | -0.85% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 739.0962 | -0.86% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 738.5674 | -0.82% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 727.1953 | -0.90% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 737.3146 | -0.84% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 735.3998 | -0.61% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 741.9338 | -0.54% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 738.1333 | -0.57% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 736.2205 | -0.54% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 735.7567 | -0.57% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 742.9991 | -0.61% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 744.6949 | -0.61% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 735.9418 | -0.99% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 742.2213 | -0.59% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 740.8524 | -0.54% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 740.2596 | -0.56% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 745.995 | -0.63% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 1.00 |