SODA
SODAX · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #607
- symbol
- SODA
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x4a1c82744cddee675a255fb289cb0917a482e7c7
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-14
- predictions
- 180
Track record at +1d
assessed
59
of 60 predictions shown
direction hit
62.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0741
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0090
actual -0.0103
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00903 | 0.008986 | -0.49% | – | pending | – | – | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00922 | 0.009168 | -0.56% | 0.00903 | -2.06% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.009435 | 0.009345 | -0.96% | 0.00922 | -2.28% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00924 | 0.009186 | -0.59% | 0.009435 | +2.11% | 0.0277 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.009955 | 0.00984 | -1.15% | 0.00924 | -7.18% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.00921 | 0.009152 | -0.63% | 0.009955 | +8.09% | 0.0848 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00979 | 0.009716 | -0.75% | 0.00921 | -5.92% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009761 | -0.75% | 0.00979 | -0.46% | 0.0003 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.009835 | 0.009752 | -0.84% | 0.009835 | +0.00% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01042 | 0.010298 | -1.17% | 0.009835 | -5.61% | 0.0544 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009377 | -0.93% | 0.01042 | +10.09% | 0.1200 | ✗ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.009 | 0.008929 | -0.78% | 0.009465 | +5.17% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.009095 | 0.009019 | -0.84% | 0.009 | -1.04% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.009145 | 0.009064 | -0.89% | 0.009095 | -0.55% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.009585 | 0.00947 | -1.20% | 0.009145 | -4.59% | 0.0235 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00934 | 0.009246 | -1.01% | 0.009585 | +2.62% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.00901 | 0.008918 | -1.02% | 0.00934 | +3.66% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.009785 | 0.009659 | -1.29% | 0.00901 | -7.92% | 0.0639 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.00857 | 0.008486 | -0.98% | 0.009785 | +14.18% | 0.1306 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00839 | 0.008315 | -0.89% | 0.00857 | +2.15% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0089 | 0.00882 | -0.90% | 0.00839 | -5.73% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0103 | 0.010182 | -1.14% | 0.0089 | -13.59% | 0.1440 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01182 | 0.01169 | -1.10% | 0.0103 | -12.86% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.013025 | 0.012873 | -1.17% | 0.01182 | -9.25% | 0.0866 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.013982 | -1.40% | 0.013025 | -8.15% | 0.0647 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013 | 0.012873 | -0.98% | 0.01418 | +9.08% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01406 | 0.013912 | -1.05% | 0.013 | -7.54% | 0.0699 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01284 | 0.012708 | -1.03% | 0.01406 | +9.50% | 0.1031 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0138 | 0.01364 | -1.16% | 0.01284 | -6.96% | 0.0605 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.014495 | 0.014211 | -1.96% | 0.0138 | -4.79% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012945 | 0.012652 | -2.26% | 0.014495 | +11.97% | 0.1387 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.010354 | -1.25% | 0.012945 | +23.46% | 0.2163 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.010525 | 0.010381 | -1.37% | 0.010485 | -0.38% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.009745 | 0.009644 | -1.03% | 0.010525 | +8.00% | 0.0868 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.009605 | 0.009536 | -0.72% | 0.009745 | +1.46% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009575 | -0.68% | 0.009605 | -0.36% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011075 | 0.010981 | -0.85% | 0.00964 | -12.96% | 0.1308 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.011995 | 0.011824 | -1.42% | 0.011075 | -7.67% | 0.0678 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.01129 | 0.011204 | -0.76% | 0.011995 | +6.24% | 0.0703 | ✗ | -0.12 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.012015 | 0.011914 | -0.84% | 0.01129 | -6.03% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.012345 | 0.01225 | -0.77% | 0.012015 | -2.67% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.011905 | 0.01183 | -0.63% | 0.012345 | +3.70% | 0.0339 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.012875 | 0.012777 | -0.76% | 0.011905 | -7.53% | 0.0481 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.015315 | 0.015067 | -1.62% | 0.012875 | -15.93% | 0.1551 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012585 | 0.012472 | -0.90% | 0.015315 | +21.69% | 0.2135 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.012795 | 0.012673 | -0.96% | 0.012585 | -1.64% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.01463 | 0.014299 | -2.26% | 0.012795 | -12.54% | 0.1175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.01162 | 0.011523 | -0.83% | 0.01463 | +25.90% | 0.2368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00913 | 0.00912 | -0.11% | 0.01162 | +27.27% | 0.2620 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00859 | 0.008593 | +0.03% | 0.00913 | +6.29% | 0.0107 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.01134 | 0.011303 | -0.32% | 0.00859 | -24.25% | 0.2733 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.01109 | 0.011062 | -0.25% | 0.01134 | +2.25% | 0.0397 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01266 | 0.012615 | -0.36% | 0.01109 | -12.40% | 0.1403 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013952 | -0.41% | 0.01266 | -9.64% | 0.0899 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0142 | 0.014139 | -0.43% | 0.01401 | -1.34% | 0.0142 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.01418 | 0.014133 | -0.33% | 0.0142 | +0.14% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.014915 | 0.014857 | -0.39% | 0.01418 | -4.93% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.01639 | 0.016311 | -0.48% | 0.014915 | -9.00% | 0.0958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.01672 | 0.016639 | -0.48% | 0.01639 | -1.97% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.017095 | 0.017002 | -0.54% | 0.01672 | -2.19% | 0.0327 | ✓ | 1.00 |