SN75

Hippius · Bittensor · gru_s1

token id: #527
symbol: SN75
variant: –
chain: Bittensor
address: 75
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-14
predictions: 273

Track record at +1d

assessed

90

of 91 predictions shown

direction hit

56.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0415

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0061

actual +0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	4.77	4.7548	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-20	oos	4.648	4.6212	-0.58%	4.77	+2.62%	0.0357	✗	1.38
2026-10-19	oos	4.9295	4.8922	-0.76%	4.648	-5.71%	0.0700	✓	1.40
2026-10-18	oos	4.7975	4.7662	-0.65%	4.9295	+2.75%	0.0366	✗	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	4.97	4.941	-0.58%	4.7975	-3.47%	0.0403	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	4.997	4.9704	-0.53%	4.97	-0.54%	0.0020	✓	1.41
2026-10-15	oos	4.859	4.8324	-0.55%	4.997	+2.84%	0.0443	✗	1.42
2026-10-14	oos	4.6345	4.6171	-0.38%	4.859	+4.84%	0.0414	✗	1.42
2026-10-13	oos	4.854	4.8267	-0.56%	4.6345	-4.52%	0.0140	✓	1.43
2026-10-12	oos	4.7725	4.7517	-0.44%	4.854	+1.71%	0.0024	✓	1.43
2026-10-11	oos	5.0615	5.0194	-0.83%	4.7725	-5.71%	0.0173	✓	1.41
2026-10-10	oos	5.099	5.0477	-1.01%	5.0615	-0.74%	0.0103	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	4.6765	4.6374	-0.84%	5.099	+9.03%	0.0886	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	4.321	4.2893	-0.73%	4.6765	+8.23%	0.0719	✗	1.40
2026-10-07	oos	4.5875	4.5535	-0.74%	4.321	-5.81%	0.0260	✓	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	4.85	4.8323	-0.36%	4.5875	-5.41%	0.0155	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	4.9265	4.9074	-0.39%	4.85	-1.55%	0.0084	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	4.855	4.8374	-0.36%	4.9265	+1.47%	0.0303	✗	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	4.9695	4.9453	-0.49%	4.855	-2.30%	0.0472	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	4.7685	4.7463	-0.47%	4.9695	+4.22%	0.0420	✗	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	4.9345	4.9143	-0.41%	4.7685	-3.36%	0.0245	✓	1.39
2026-09-30	oos	4.929	4.9011	-0.57%	4.9345	+0.11%	0.0147	✓	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	4.98	4.9533	-0.54%	4.929	-1.02%	0.0035	✓	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	5.054	5.0205	-0.66%	4.98	-1.46%	0.0111	✓	1.40
2026-09-27	oos	5.445	5.4112	-0.62%	5.054	-7.18%	0.0519	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	5.385	5.3503	-0.64%	5.445	+1.11%	0.0168	✗	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	5.551	5.5021	-0.88%	5.385	-2.99%	0.0268	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	5.102	5.0654	-0.72%	5.551	+8.80%	0.0964	✗	1.39
2026-09-23	oos	5.016	4.9835	-0.65%	5.102	+1.71%	0.0234	✗	1.39
2026-09-22	oos	5.242	5.1767	-1.25%	5.016	-4.31%	0.0021	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	4.927	4.8659	-1.24%	5.242	+6.39%	0.0809	✗	1.40
2026-09-20	oos	4.1845	4.1604	-0.58%	4.927	+17.74%	0.0891	✗	1.23
2026-09-19	oos	4.215	4.198	-0.40%	4.1845	-0.72%	0.0021	✓	1.23
2026-09-18	oos	3.983	3.9699	-0.33%	4.215	+5.82%	0.0545	✗	1.23
2026-09-17	oos	3.741	3.735	-0.16%	3.983	+6.47%	0.0075	✓	1.25
2026-09-16	oos	3.7385	3.7328	-0.15%	3.741	+0.07%	0.0011	✓	1.25
2026-09-15	oos	3.715	3.7094	-0.15%	3.7385	+0.63%	0.0014	✓	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	3.9635	3.953	-0.26%	3.715	-6.27%	0.0212	✓	1.21
2026-09-13	oos	4.058	4.0431	-0.37%	3.9635	-2.33%	0.0419	✓	1.24
2026-09-12	oos	3.965	3.9551	-0.25%	4.058	+2.35%	0.0332	✗	1.25
2026-09-11	oos	4.166	4.149	-0.41%	3.965	-4.82%	0.0463	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	4.656	4.6229	-0.71%	4.166	-10.52%	0.1153	✓	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	4.7085	4.6883	-0.43%	4.656	-1.12%	0.0224	✗	1.30
2026-09-08	oos	4.724	4.6969	-0.57%	4.7085	-0.33%	0.0052	✓	1.30
2026-09-07	oos	4.673	4.6542	-0.40%	4.724	+1.09%	0.0256	✗	1.31
2026-09-06	oos	6.566	6.457	-1.66%	4.673	-28.83%	0.3074	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	4.195	4.1824	-0.30%	6.566	+56.52%	0.4449	✗	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	3.933	3.9254	-0.19%	4.195	+6.66%	0.0645	✗	0.97
2026-09-03	oos	4.1435	4.1333	-0.25%	3.933	-5.08%	0.0312	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	3.854	3.8478	-0.16%	4.1435	+7.51%	0.0304	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	3.964	3.957	-0.18%	3.854	-2.77%	0.0254	✓	0.87
2026-08-31	oos	4.112	4.1036	-0.20%	3.964	-3.60%	0.0220	✓	0.84
2026-08-30	oos	3.975	3.9671	-0.20%	4.112	+3.45%	0.0263	✗	0.83
2026-08-29	oos	4.132	4.1227	-0.23%	3.975	-3.80%	0.0305	✓	0.81
2026-08-28	oos	4.25	4.2365	-0.32%	4.132	-2.78%	0.0291	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	4.612	4.5897	-0.48%	4.25	-7.85%	0.0556	✓	0.69
2026-08-26	oos	4.219	4.2048	-0.34%	4.612	+9.32%	0.0823	✗	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	4.169	4.1547	-0.34%	4.219	+1.20%	0.0113	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	4.288	4.2703	-0.41%	4.169	-2.78%	0.0204	✓	0.63
2026-08-23	oos	4.383	4.357	-0.59%	4.288	-2.17%	0.0264	✓	0.65
2026-08-22	oos	3.896	3.882	-0.36%	4.383	+12.50%	0.1160	✗	0.62
2026-08-21	oos	4.087	4.0686	-0.45%	3.896	-4.67%	0.0340	✓	0.57
2026-08-20	oos	4.091	4.0659	-0.61%	4.087	-0.10%	0.0524	✓	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	4.059	4.0249	-0.84%	4.091	+0.79%	0.0371	✓	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	3.895	3.8653	-0.76%	4.059	+4.21%	0.0547	✓	1.50
2026-08-17	oos	3.7965	3.7673	-0.77%	3.895	+2.59%	0.0286	✗	1.49
2026-08-16	oos	3.681	3.6603	-0.56%	3.7965	+3.14%	0.0039	✓	1.57
2026-08-15	oos	3.774	3.7488	-0.67%	3.681	-2.46%	0.0138	✓	1.56
2026-08-14	oos	3.758	3.7267	-0.83%	3.774	+0.43%	0.0115	✗	1.56
2026-08-13	oos	4.044	4.0074	-0.91%	3.758	-7.07%	0.0539	✓	1.45
2026-08-12	oos	3.859	3.8307	-0.73%	4.044	+4.79%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	3.7895	3.7581	-0.83%	3.859	+1.83%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	3.721	3.682	-1.05%	3.7895	+1.84%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	3.88	3.8411	-1.00%	3.721	-4.10%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	3.704	3.6543	-1.34%	3.88	+4.75%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	3.711	3.6753	-0.96%	3.704	-0.19%	0.0075	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	3.736	3.7026	-0.89%	3.711	-0.67%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	3.475	3.4433	-0.91%	3.736	+7.51%	0.0868	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	3.3725	3.3337	-1.15%	3.475	+3.04%	0.0329	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	3.176	3.1537	-0.70%	3.3725	+6.19%	0.0579	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	3.2915	3.2623	-0.89%	3.176	-3.51%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	3.2605	3.2097	-1.56%	3.2915	+0.95%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	2.998	2.981	-0.57%	3.2605	+8.76%	0.0906	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	3.0345	3.0162	-0.60%	2.998	-1.20%	0.0237	✗	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	3.015	2.9908	-0.80%	3.0345	+0.65%	0.0017	✓	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	2.9165	2.9011	-0.53%	3.015	+3.38%	0.0378	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	2.908	2.8907	-0.60%	2.9165	+0.29%	0.0065	✗	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	2.982	2.9611	-0.70%	2.908	-2.48%	0.0074	✗	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	2.859	2.8442	-0.52%	2.982	+4.30%	0.0312	✗	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	2.912	2.8947	-0.59%	2.859	-1.82%	0.0157	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	3.0125	2.9964	-0.53%	2.912	-3.34%	0.0136	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.