SAGA

Saga · Saga · gru_s1

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,460

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2324

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0337

actual -0.0998

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0202	0.017487	-13.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.02004	0.017336	-13.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.017047	-12.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.016551	-11.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.016387	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.016942	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.017874	-11.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.01782	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.017992	-10.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.018513	-10.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.018328	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.020039	-11.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.019738	-10.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.019487	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.02007	-10.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.02078	-10.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.021917	-11.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.021687	-11.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.020374	-10.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.020783	-11.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.02012	-10.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.022302	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.022301	-11.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.022934	-11.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.024606	-10.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.023874	-10.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.028277	-11.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.031504	-11.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.065884	-10.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.042119	-11.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.035891	-11.32%	0.0202	-50.09%	0.5628	✓	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.034891	-11.43%	0.02004	-49.13%	0.5374	✓	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.032477	-13.96%	0.019545	-48.22%	0.5203	✓	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.022161	-11.66%	0.018775	-25.15%	0.1703	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.021933	-11.92%	0.01851	-25.66%	0.1772	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.019519	-11.72%	0.01908	-13.70%	0.0489	✓	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.017652	-10.49%	0.02015	+2.18%	0.1052	✓	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.020879	-13.62%	0.01999	-17.29%	0.0809	✓	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.016946	-9.96%	0.02013	+6.96%	0.1404	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.015605	-9.01%	0.020745	+20.96%	0.2311	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.015664	-9.09%	0.020445	+18.66%	0.2282	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.015025	-8.33%	0.022525	+37.43%	0.3521	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.015633	-9.87%	0.02213	+27.59%	0.2934	✗	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.013235	-5.47%	0.0218	+55.71%	0.4537	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.013752	-6.45%	0.022475	+52.89%	0.4545	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.014414	-6.92%	0.02334	+50.73%	0.4356	✗	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.014591	-5.86%	0.02469	+59.29%	0.4676	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.014647	-5.26%	0.02444	+58.09%	0.4452	✗	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014184	-4.26%	0.022865	+54.34%	0.4039	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.014554	-3.11%	0.023355	+55.49%	0.4351	✗	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014152	-3.04%	0.02255	+54.50%	0.3748	✗	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014326	-2.55%	0.0251	+70.75%	0.4651	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.014799	-1.54%	0.025095	+66.97%	0.4713	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014413	-1.65%	0.025775	+75.88%	0.5112	✗	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.014951	-1.96%	0.027605	+81.02%	0.5540	✗	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.014789	-1.99%	0.02681	+77.67%	0.5202	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.015146	-0.97%	0.03197	+109.02%	0.7004	✗	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015101	-1.30%	0.035605	+132.71%	0.7997	✗	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.014473	-0.33%	0.07402	+409.78%	1.5653	✗	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.014916	-0.30%	0.04774	+219.12%	1.1006	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015081	-0.78%	0.040475	+166.28%	0.8817	✗	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.014025	-0.39%	0.039395	+179.79%	0.9136	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.015516	-1.45%	0.037745	+139.73%	0.8541	✗	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.013794	-2.72%	0.025085	+76.90%	0.5011	✗	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013018	-4.49%	0.0249	+82.69%	0.5037	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.012347	-6.85%	0.02211	+66.80%	0.4132	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.012525	-6.98%	0.01972	+46.45%	0.2836	✗	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.012037	-7.23%	0.02417	+86.28%	0.5105	✗	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012094	-7.08%	0.01882	+44.60%	0.2259	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.012275	-7.08%	0.01715	+29.83%	0.1317	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.011924	-6.19%	0.01723	+35.56%	0.1612	✗	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.013204	-7.47%	0.01639	+14.86%	0.0006	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.012719	-6.92%	0.017345	+26.93%	0.1234	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.013721	-7.97%	0.014	-6.10%	0.2171	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.013721	-7.72%	0.0147	-1.14%	0.1085	✓	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.014913	-9.78%	0.015485	-6.32%	0.1419	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.012773	-6.93%	0.0155	+12.93%	0.0037	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.012888	-7.71%	0.01546	+10.71%	0.0146	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.01245	-7.06%	0.014815	+10.60%	0.0187	✓	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.012164	-7.01%	0.01502	+14.83%	0.0061	✓	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.012374	-7.62%	0.014595	+8.96%	0.0178	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.011932	-7.18%	0.0147	+14.35%	0.0231	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.011428	-6.94%	0.01503	+22.39%	0.0713	✓	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.011415	-7.08%	0.014655	+19.29%	0.0583	✓	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.011235	-6.38%	0.01525	+27.08%	0.1235	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.011366	-6.65%	0.01509	+23.94%	0.0939	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.011678	-6.94%	0.015295	+21.87%	0.0512	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.01147	-6.82%	0.0153	+24.29%	0.0829	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.012255	-7.44%	0.01452	+9.67%	0.0026	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.012348	-7.92%	0.01496	+11.56%	0.0019	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.012989	-8.88%	0.0152	+6.63%	0.0240	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.011858	-7.10%	0.01408	+10.30%	0.0041	✓	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.012258	-7.35%	0.015745	+19.01%	0.0847	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.012496	-7.71%	0.01418	+4.73%	0.0356	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.011818	-7.53%	0.01363	+6.65%	0.0889	✗	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011174	-7.23%	0.013255	+10.05%	0.1708	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.011429	-7.65%	0.013465	+8.81%	0.1682	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.011332	-7.84%	0.012975	+5.53%	0.1511	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.011405	-7.80%	0.013015	+5.21%	0.1445	✗	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.011767	-7.82%	0.01321	+3.49%	0.1443	✗	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.011626	-7.66%	0.01271	+0.95%	0.1147	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.011375	-7.41%	0.01427	+16.16%	0.2072	✗	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.011749	-7.45%	0.013665	+7.64%	0.1546	✗	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.011779	-7.51%	0.01491	+17.08%	0.2335	✗	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.012097	-7.73%	0.01487	+13.42%	0.1951	✗	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.011876	-7.69%	0.01653	+28.49%	0.3034	✗	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.011861	-7.81%	0.013725	+6.68%	0.1040	✗	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.011836	-8.03%	0.013965	+8.51%	0.1501	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.012565	-8.62%	0.013395	-2.58%	0.0542	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.012695	-9.00%	0.01308	-6.24%	0.0223	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.012824	-9.34%	0.013395	-5.30%	0.0374	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.012444	-9.17%	0.012855	-6.17%	0.0170	✓	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.012694	-9.59%	0.01228	-12.54%	0.0542	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.011803	-8.96%	0.012285	-5.24%	0.0056	✓	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.011469	-8.65%	0.012	-4.42%	0.0534	✓	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.011751	-9.08%	0.012175	-5.80%	0.0238	✓	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.011767	-9.17%	0.01255	-3.13%	0.0032	✓	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.011651	-9.05%	0.01231	-3.90%	0.0041	✓	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.011814	-9.27%	0.01324	+1.69%	0.0308	✓	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.011913	-9.47%	0.01341	+1.90%	0.0459	✓	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.012259	-9.86%	0.014255	+4.82%	0.1038	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.012936	-10.51%	0.012765	-11.69%	0.0491	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.013064	-10.64%	0.01323	-9.51%	0.0190	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.013625	-11.87%	0.01354	-12.42%	0.0558	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.01241	-9.55%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0135	✓	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.011918	-8.67%	0.012045	-7.70%	0.0088	✓	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.012224	-8.85%	0.012375	-7.72%	0.0186	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.012505	-9.12%	0.012295	-10.65%	0.0080	✓	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.012786	-9.28%	0.01237	-12.24%	0.0031	✓	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.011992	-7.82%	0.012765	-1.88%	0.0881	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.012033	-7.58%	0.01259	-3.30%	0.0571	✓	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.012338	-7.79%	0.012285	-8.18%	0.0335	✓	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.01202	-7.11%	0.012695	-1.89%	0.0512	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.012152	-7.31%	0.012735	-2.86%	0.0433	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.011374	-5.22%	0.01311	+9.25%	0.0983	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.011892	-5.21%	0.012865	+2.55%	0.0543	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.012501	-5.37%	0.012865	-2.61%	0.0421	✓	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.012794	-4.95%	0.01287	-4.38%	0.0056	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.013024	-3.46%	0.01375	+1.93%	0.0007	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.013414	-3.50%	0.01395	+0.36%	0.0030	✓	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.0148	-5.19%	0.014145	-9.39%	0.0343	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.016393	-6.17%	0.0137	-21.58%	0.1572	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.015608	-5.63%	0.01404	-15.11%	0.0235	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.016921	-5.68%	0.012965	-27.73%	0.1100	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017139	-4.73%	0.012555	-30.21%	0.1033	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.017083	-4.40%	0.012925	-27.67%	0.0932	✓	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.017068	-4.33%	0.012955	-27.38%	0.0821	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.017731	-4.03%	0.01281	-30.66%	0.1387	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.018137	-3.27%	0.01302	-30.56%	0.1404	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.01966	-2.21%	0.01316	-34.54%	0.1932	✓	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.02264	-3.39%	0.0136	-41.97%	0.3075	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.019078	-1.20%	0.014455	-25.14%	0.1031	✓	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.019551	-1.80%	0.01462	-26.57%	0.1357	✓	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.018961	-2.64%	0.01546	-20.62%	0.0537	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.02013	-2.28%	0.01372	-33.40%	0.2261	✓	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.020067	-2.21%	0.01305	-36.40%	0.2638	✓	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.019813	-2.80%	0.01341	-34.22%	0.2247	✓	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.021279	-2.82%	0.01376	-37.15%	0.2867	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.020505	-2.22%	0.014095	-32.78%	0.2363	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.022273	-2.01%	0.01301	-42.76%	0.4026	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.024088	-1.22%	0.01302	-46.61%	0.4714	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.026441	-0.22%	0.01338	-49.51%	0.5102	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.027818	-4.37%	0.01294	-55.52%	0.5889	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.038697	-13.78%	0.01311	-70.79%	0.9356	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.026101	+0.35%	0.012	-53.86%	0.5516	✗	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.020189	+1.10%	0.012545	-37.18%	0.2309	✗	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019476	-1.14%	0.01321	-32.94%	0.1791	✓	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.018858	-1.32%	0.01346	-29.57%	0.1413	✓	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018259	+0.44%	0.01349	-25.80%	0.0773	✗	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.019288	+4.34%	0.0139	-24.80%	0.0606	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.019316	+5.96%	0.01561	-14.37%	0.0214	✓	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.018526	+5.44%	0.01747	-0.57%	0.1543	✓	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.018677	+4.87%	0.01654	-7.13%	0.0361	✓	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.018732	+5.47%	0.01794	+1.01%	0.0520	✓	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017908	+4.42%	0.01799	+4.90%	0.0642	✓	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.017622	+3.57%	0.01787	+5.02%	0.0489	✓	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.017863	+2.84%	0.01784	+2.71%	0.0319	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.017848	+2.11%	0.018475	+5.69%	0.0746	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.017813	+1.94%	0.01875	+7.30%	0.0944	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.01806	+1.89%	0.020105	+13.43%	0.1470	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.017512	+0.64%	0.023435	+34.68%	0.2970	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.017818	+0.04%	0.01931	+8.42%	0.0874	✓	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.017747	+0.49%	0.01991	+12.74%	0.1382	✓	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.017375	+0.37%	0.019475	+12.51%	0.1537	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.018087	-0.37%	0.0206	+13.47%	0.1127	✗	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.018433	-0.55%	0.02052	+10.71%	0.0838	✗	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018139	-1.68%	0.020385	+10.49%	0.0722	✗	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.021438	+0.74%	0.021895	+2.89%	0.0034	✓	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.027967	+2.76%	0.02097	-22.95%	0.2922	✗	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.026462	-0.41%	0.02273	-14.45%	0.1929	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026472	-1.79%	0.024385	-9.53%	0.1407	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026228	-2.35%	0.0265	-1.34%	0.0850	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.02709	-2.63%	0.02909	+4.57%	0.0045	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.025999	-5.01%	0.04488	+63.98%	0.4003	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.027289	-3.64%	0.02601	-8.16%	0.1744	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.027326	-3.07%	0.01997	-29.16%	0.4476	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.027275	-3.65%	0.0197	-30.41%	0.4571	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026047	-3.60%	0.01911	-29.27%	0.4454	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.028369	-3.34%	0.01818	-38.06%	0.5645	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.027076	-4.69%	0.018485	-34.93%	0.5717	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.027588	-4.80%	0.01823	-37.09%	0.5945	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.028089	-5.85%	0.01757	-41.11%	0.6646	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.026733	-5.22%	0.01781	-36.86%	0.5886	✓	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.025786	-4.55%	0.01776	-34.26%	0.5575	✓	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.027228	-4.41%	0.01715	-39.79%	0.6197	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.026284	-3.65%	0.017015	-37.63%	0.5636	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.027016	-4.33%	0.01737	-38.49%	0.5891	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.026165	-3.56%	0.01748	-35.57%	0.5716	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.027663	-3.34%	0.017475	-38.94%	0.6371	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028179	-2.29%	0.017725	-38.54%	0.6600	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.029331	-0.03%	0.0174	-40.70%	0.6639	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031448	+0.83%	0.01781	-42.90%	0.6649	✗	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.031053	+1.15%	0.01766	-42.48%	0.6856	✗	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030577	+1.52%	0.01731	-42.53%	0.6836	✗	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.029323	+0.87%	0.018155	-37.55%	0.6170	✗	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.03064	+0.39%	0.018535	-39.27%	0.6142	✗	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.031125	+0.34%	0.01845	-40.52%	0.5765	✗	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030778	+0.32%	0.02128	-30.64%	0.4619	✗	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.032403	-0.02%	0.027215	-16.03%	0.2664	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.033835	-0.75%	0.02657	-22.06%	0.2609	✓	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.034406	-1.13%	0.026955	-22.54%	0.2433	✓	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.033583	-0.79%	0.02686	-20.65%	0.2449	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.033702	-0.85%	0.02782	-18.15%	0.2441	✓	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.03417	-0.55%	0.02737	-20.34%	0.2187	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.033983	-0.37%	0.02832	-16.97%	0.2249	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.03452	-0.75%	0.02819	-18.95%	0.2490	✓	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032439	-0.68%	0.02831	-13.32%	0.1669	✓	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.030981	-0.35%	0.02702	-13.09%	0.1817	✓	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.030535	-0.44%	0.02935	-4.30%	0.1429	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.029733	+0.15%	0.02841	-4.31%	0.0739	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031635	-0.11%	0.02898	-8.49%	0.1033	✓	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.032128	+0.15%	0.029835	-7.00%	0.0107	✗	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032455	+0.11%	0.028205	-13.00%	0.0400	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.032649	+0.15%	0.027015	-17.13%	0.1619	✗	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.030132	+0.88%	0.028485	-4.64%	0.0427	✗	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.029172	+1.22%	0.02728	-5.34%	0.1143	✗	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.030408	+0.79%	0.02824	-6.40%	0.0695	✗	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030586	+0.43%	0.02713	-10.92%	0.1218	✗	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030561	+0.40%	0.02862	-5.98%	0.0425	✗	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.031305	-0.14%	0.02884	-8.01%	0.0498	✓	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.029023	+0.46%	0.02934	+1.56%	0.0815	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.029257	+0.21%	0.03119	+6.83%	0.0616	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030537	-0.60%	0.0307	-0.07%	0.0488	✓	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.031086	-0.91%	0.03012	-3.98%	0.0857	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.031617	-1.24%	0.02907	-9.20%	0.0814	✓	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.031402	-1.07%	0.03052	-3.84%	0.0650	✓	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.032079	-1.36%	0.03102	-4.61%	0.1121	✓	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.033872	-2.13%	0.03068	-11.36%	0.1367	✓	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.033798	-2.20%	0.03241	-6.22%	0.0779	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.034844	-2.75%	0.03409	-4.86%	0.0984	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.033146	-2.14%	0.0348	+2.75%	0.0270	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.032604	-1.68%	0.03385	+2.08%	0.0234	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.032014	-0.73%	0.03399	+5.40%	0.0189	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.031745	-0.61%	0.03436	+7.58%	0.0188	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.029998	+0.43%	0.03411	+14.19%	0.1014	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.03132	-0.29%	0.03478	+10.73%	0.1032	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.031202	+0.10%	0.03266	+4.78%	0.0507	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.03273	-0.46%	0.03109	-5.44%	0.0381	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.033086	-0.79%	0.03067	-8.04%	0.0000	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.029925	+2.94%	0.02969	+2.13%	0.0841	✗	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.034095	-2.04%	0.03167	-9.01%	0.0076	✓	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.034069	-2.65%	0.03208	-8.33%	0.0177	✓	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.034651	-3.40%	0.03242	-9.62%	0.0309	✓	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.033601	-2.12%	0.0326	-5.04%	0.1118	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.035135	-2.67%	0.02987	-17.26%	0.0097	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.040282	-4.36%	0.02882	-31.58%	0.0408	✓	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.040549	-4.28%	0.03017	-28.78%	0.0149	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.045374	-5.29%	0.030455	-36.43%	0.0559	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.045582	-5.06%	0.03044	-36.60%	0.0814	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.045497	-4.82%	0.03135	-34.41%	0.0770	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.043733	-3.86%	0.02889	-36.49%	0.0772	✓	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.047452	-4.79%	0.029195	-41.42%	0.1373	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.045522	-4.79%	0.03072	-35.75%	0.0875	✓	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.048041	-5.28%	0.03137	-38.15%	0.1241	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.050804	-5.88%	0.032015	-40.69%	0.1616	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.051125	-6.04%	0.03174	-41.67%	0.1680	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.055947	-6.65%	0.03252	-45.74%	0.1867	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.062129	-7.13%	0.03461	-48.27%	0.2353	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.057398	-6.61%	0.03456	-43.77%	0.1521	✓	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.058788	-6.40%	0.03583	-42.95%	0.1344	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.054806	-6.06%	0.03387	-41.94%	0.1347	✓	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.058594	-4.72%	0.03316	-46.08%	0.1932	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.061342	-5.04%	0.03225	-50.08%	0.2308	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.052633	-6.35%	0.03194	-43.17%	0.1880	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.054142	-5.84%	0.02987	-48.05%	0.3069	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.055845	-5.19%	0.03141	-46.67%	0.3082	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.056338	-4.51%	0.03117	-47.17%	0.3095	✓	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.057282	-3.89%	0.03288	-44.83%	0.2474	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.059081	-3.46%	0.03335	-45.51%	0.1239	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.062972	-2.67%	0.02907	-55.07%	0.0771	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.062974	-2.52%	0.034805	-46.12%	0.1539	✓	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.062356	-3.32%	0.034995	-45.74%	0.2364	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.05998	-2.94%	0.03587	-41.96%	0.2597	✓	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.060761	-3.55%	0.03433	-45.51%	0.2888	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.058883	-3.63%	0.0361	-40.92%	0.2732	✓	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.054355	-3.45%	0.04212	-25.19%	0.1861	✓	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.054116	-2.84%	0.04236	-23.95%	0.1657	✓	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.05482	-2.80%	0.04791	-15.05%	0.1753	✓	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.057762	-2.59%	0.04801	-19.04%	0.2093	✓	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.059297	-2.31%	0.0478	-21.25%	0.2241	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.057968	-1.75%	0.04549	-22.90%	0.2280	✓	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.05657	-0.75%	0.04984	-12.56%	0.1634	✓	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.059112	-0.49%	0.04781	-19.51%	0.2481	✓	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.059028	-0.46%	0.05072	-14.47%	0.1911	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.058169	+0.29%	0.05398	-6.93%	0.0904	✗	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.05844	+0.41%	0.05441	-6.51%	0.0650	✗	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.060679	-0.20%	0.05993	-1.43%	0.0956	✓	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.059439	-0.27%	0.0669	+12.25%	0.0102	✗	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.056474	-0.22%	0.06146	+8.59%	0.1047	✓	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.057682	-0.20%	0.06281	+8.67%	0.0969	✓	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.062565	-0.69%	0.05834	-7.40%	0.2186	✓	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.062657	-0.86%	0.0615	-2.69%	0.2225	✓	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.066231	-1.00%	0.0646	-3.44%	0.1642	✓	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.070827	-1.22%	0.0562	-21.62%	0.2494	✓	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.069242	-0.94%	0.0575	-17.74%	0.1974	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070066	-1.18%	0.0589	-16.93%	0.1314	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.070055	-1.33%	0.059	-16.90%	0.1420	✓	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.071864	-1.56%	0.0596	-18.36%	0.1543	✓	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.068902	-1.43%	0.0612	-12.45%	0.1308	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.068224	-1.27%	0.0647	-6.37%	0.1171	✓	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.070802	-1.53%	0.0646	-10.15%	0.1823	✓	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.068172	-1.20%	0.0645	-6.52%	0.0982	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.070731	-1.49%	0.0618	-13.93%	0.1052	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.073427	-1.97%	0.063	-15.89%	0.0838	✓	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.073649	-1.93%	0.0611	-18.64%	0.1342	✓	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.069951	-1.48%	0.0563	-20.70%	0.2437	✓	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076438	-2.32%	0.0557	-28.82%	0.2742	✓	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.07709	-2.48%	0.0564	-28.65%	0.2331	✓	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.078762	-2.52%	0.0593	-26.61%	0.2195	✓	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.081333	-3.00%	0.0607	-27.61%	0.2182	✓	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.084556	-3.42%	0.059	-32.61%	0.2920	✓	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.085675	-3.57%	0.057	-35.85%	0.4040	✓	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.085641	-3.50%	0.0594	-33.07%	0.3510	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.083863	-2.88%	0.0593	-31.33%	0.3609	✓	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.083989	-2.62%	0.058	-32.75%	0.4640	✓	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.090511	-3.04%	0.0582	-37.65%	0.5278	✓	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.107298	-6.04%	0.0608	-46.76%	0.6094	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.08345	-2.11%	0.0596	-30.09%	0.2363	✓	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.081151	-1.81%	0.0566	-31.52%	0.1349	✓	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.078205	-1.57%	0.0578	-27.25%	0.1236	✓	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.080742	-1.53%	0.063	-23.17%	0.0602	✓	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.08399	-1.25%	0.0632	-25.69%	0.0126	✓	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.083961	-1.11%	0.0669	-21.20%	0.0388	✓	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.087115	-0.95%	0.0717	-18.48%	0.0903	✗	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.089871	-0.86%	0.0699	-22.89%	0.0929	✗	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.091704	-0.32%	0.0709	-22.93%	0.0547	✗	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.102651	-0.48%	0.071	-31.17%	0.0370	✗	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.101003	-0.39%	0.073	-28.01%	0.0279	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.097973	-0.18%	0.0699	-28.78%	0.0151	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.098206	-0.60%	0.0691	-30.06%	0.0315	✗	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.08409	+0.53%	0.0719	-14.05%	0.1976	✓	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.085456	+0.89%	0.069	-18.54%	0.2143	✓	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.082002	+1.17%	0.0718	-11.41%	0.1455	✓	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.086397	+1.23%	0.0749	-12.24%	0.2536	✓	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.101936	+0.28%	0.0751	-26.12%	0.2607	✓	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.100078	+0.53%	0.071	-28.68%	0.3793	✓	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.095278	+1.31%	0.07825	-16.80%	0.3743	✓	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.095111	+1.67%	0.07905	-15.50%	0.3385	✓	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.104782	+1.29%	0.0808	-21.89%	0.2996	✓	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.104592	+1.99%	0.08385	-18.24%	0.4191	✓	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.110905	+1.79%	0.08755	-19.64%	0.4617	✓	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.118041	+1.37%	0.08885	-23.70%	0.5310	✓	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.11484	+1.18%	0.08875	-21.81%	0.4637	✓	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.112971	+0.91%	0.08635	-22.87%	0.4917	✓	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.114464	+0.45%	0.08625	-24.31%	0.5307	✓	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.110771	+1.07%	0.09335	-14.83%	0.5584	✓	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.115164	+0.45%	0.1142	-0.39%	0.6901	✓	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.121951	-0.41%	0.08525	-30.38%	0.2373	✗	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.122431	-0.34%	0.08265	-32.72%	0.0953	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.12147	-0.07%	0.07945	-34.64%	0.0508	✗	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.119959	+0.09%	0.082	-31.58%	0.0015	✓	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.124148	-0.36%	0.08505	-31.74%	0.0106	✗	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.128077	-0.91%	0.0849	-34.31%	0.0918	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.134377	-1.08%	0.08795	-35.26%	0.0217	✓	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.144014	-0.99%	0.09065	-37.68%	0.0643	✓	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.131469	-1.08%	0.092	-30.78%	0.0173	✓	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.121806	+0.54%	0.10315	-14.86%	0.0299	✗	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.127736	+0.70%	0.1014	-20.06%	0.0045	✓	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.199509	+0.08%	0.09815	-50.76%	0.3049	✗	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.208154	+0.53%	0.0988	-52.28%	0.3312	✗	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.199547	+0.28%	0.08365	-57.96%	0.4202	✗	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.2229	+1.34%	0.0847	-61.49%	0.5219	✗	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.20991	+1.33%	0.08105	-60.87%	0.4726	✗	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.214814	+1.18%	0.08535	-59.80%	0.5822	✗	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.221145	+0.77%	0.10165	-53.68%	0.5283	✗	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.223764	-0.44%	0.09955	-55.71%	0.5816	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.213673	-0.76%	0.09405	-56.32%	0.6198	✓	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.206288	-1.37%	0.09355	-55.27%	0.6541	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.200213	-1.59%	0.10345	-49.15%	0.5558	✓	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.207067	-2.83%	0.10255	-51.88%	0.7206	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.200664	-3.29%	0.10895	-47.49%	0.7244	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.202077	-3.57%	0.11645	-44.43%	0.6763	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.192703	-3.50%	0.1135	-43.16%	0.5982	✓	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.208662	-4.57%	0.11195	-48.80%	0.5623	✓	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.203694	-4.48%	0.11395	-46.57%	0.5304	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.208073	-4.75%	0.1096	-49.83%	0.5054	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.237217	-5.60%	0.11465	-54.38%	0.5535	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.240036	-5.87%	0.12245	-51.98%	0.5436	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.232378	-5.75%	0.12285	-50.17%	0.4602	✓	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.249808	-5.95%	0.12155	-54.24%	0.4721	✓	2.81

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.