RE
RE · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 351
Track record at +1d
assessed
116
of 117 predictions shown
direction hit
56.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0459
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0070
actual -0.0094
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39085 | 0.388998 | -0.47% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.386 | -0.46% | 0.39085 | +0.79% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.378435 | -0.48% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.378721 | -0.52% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.391642 | -0.57% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.405173 | -0.50% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0269 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.416689 | -0.56% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.420043 | -0.52% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.429594 | -0.57% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.423946 | -0.56% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.444632 | -0.65% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.441865 | -0.68% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.437653 | -0.71% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.434592 | -0.80% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.458959 | -0.79% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0314 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.478234 | -0.82% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0127 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.500044 | -0.94% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.513107 | -0.87% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.504776 | -0.86% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.501646 | -0.90% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0127 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.509609 | -1.03% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.47725 | -0.88% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0648 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.470646 | -1.11% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0236 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.457488 | -0.92% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0379 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.4843 | -1.00% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0373 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.48638 | -0.95% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0053 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.473344 | -0.90% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.464802 | -0.92% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0305 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.441998 | -0.99% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0594 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.46783 | -0.97% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.464145 | -0.86% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.455501 | -0.79% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.462473 | -0.85% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.455278 | -0.81% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0187 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.441245 | -0.62% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.437716 | -0.69% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.415423 | -0.49% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0482 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.434249 | -0.58% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.423467 | -0.43% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0046 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.439504 | -0.47% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.450423 | -0.52% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.430206 | -0.48% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0383 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.422925 | -0.35% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0562 | ✗ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.452412 | -0.43% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0608 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.460095 | -0.41% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.457687 | -0.37% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0333 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.449073 | -0.29% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.436229 | -0.22% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.466436 | -0.29% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.461822 | -0.32% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0675 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.477393 | -0.36% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.487262 | -0.36% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.467131 | -0.33% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0274 | ✗ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.489723 | -0.34% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.513731 | -0.37% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.534502 | -0.37% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.524561 | -0.39% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.549527 | -0.47% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0529 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.53656 | -0.46% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.538815 | -0.53% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0258 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.499304 | -0.50% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0673 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.521132 | -0.59% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.506619 | -0.69% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.0996 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.52941 | -1.49% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1589 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.395327 | -0.57% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.1975 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.402851 | -0.63% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.416317 | -0.69% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0716 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.458082 | -0.76% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0837 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.443488 | -0.76% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.436232 | -0.86% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0365 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.428424 | -0.80% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.415787 | -0.80% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.405253 | -0.82% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.401218 | -0.80% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0446 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.404797 | -1.00% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0008 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.386482 | -0.81% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0559 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.392229 | -0.86% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.381556 | -0.80% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0459 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.382144 | -0.74% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.401984 | -0.78% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0607 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.417528 | -0.80% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.437726 | -0.83% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0623 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.438309 | -0.86% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.441754 | -0.92% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0640 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.489581 | -1.29% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.447153 | -0.96% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1019 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.446118 | -0.85% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.477182 | -0.90% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.539143 | -1.22% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1537 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.571428 | -1.78% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0543 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.54387 | -1.74% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1076 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.466493 | -1.73% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2191 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.393152 | -0.57% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2094 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.373685 | -0.35% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.390654 | -0.42% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0678 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.394103 | -0.33% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.445526 | -0.46% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1334 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.487785 | -0.55% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0879 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.484215 | -0.53% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0276 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.523593 | -0.61% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0687 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.523421 | -0.57% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0364 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.553753 | -0.59% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.577412 | -0.63% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.5715 | -0.58% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.581208 | -0.56% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.599582 | -0.57% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.625753 | -0.64% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.652703 | -0.70% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.641259 | -0.69% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.62912 | -0.64% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.617977 | -0.60% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.681945 | -0.84% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.580978 | -0.43% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1436 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.645064 | -0.50% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1246 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.77307 | -1.26% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1484 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.603181 | -0.43% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.687355 | -0.73% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1186 | ✓ | 1.00 |