PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s1

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +30d

assessed

172

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3588

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0679

actual -0.1644

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.095735	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094737	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085028	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.08714	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.089599	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.09295	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.095228	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.098652	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102455	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.103455	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.106833	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.106381	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10611	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.105181	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.105532	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.107156	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.107798	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.107893	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.107574	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.106988	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.108048	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.10614	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.105329	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.104311	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.110691	-9.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.110818	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.108953	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.107293	-9.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.102799	-9.72%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.11065	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.108652	-8.01%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.1306	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.103367	-10.50%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0652	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.104829	-10.30%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1895	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.103859	-9.08%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1441	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.101378	-6.91%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0562	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.102136	-6.55%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0204	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.101911	-5.14%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0128	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.106403	-6.08%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0067	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.104841	-5.21%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0636	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.110404	-5.94%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0182	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.108355	-5.37%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0860	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.104743	-4.48%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1190	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.111603	-5.32%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0451	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.117928	-6.18%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0278	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.123548	-6.79%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0647	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.119467	-6.40%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0166	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.118976	-5.67%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0012	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.117265	-5.36%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0160	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.122272	-5.30%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0309	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.12906	-5.48%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0804	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.140214	-5.75%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1514	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.150393	-5.19%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2325	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.165209	-5.01%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3332	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.17392	-4.62%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3942	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.178763	-4.49%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3592	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.196161	-3.25%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4540	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.195661	-4.08%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4629	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.202114	-4.73%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5064	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.208045	-5.38%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.5816	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.215164	-6.94%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5501	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.210355	-8.30%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5461	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.23359	-7.42%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.6932	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.230307	-10.32%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6453	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.283498	-10.48%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9164	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.400576	-10.61%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4567	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.348893	-10.60%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3104	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.354195	-10.92%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3687	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.31669	-10.69%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2326	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.313255	-10.69%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2304	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.26978	-10.13%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0307	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.290728	-10.22%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1490	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.296519	-10.18%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1930	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.274871	-9.81%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0636	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.249784	-9.10%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9042	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.272938	-9.25%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9488	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.258028	-9.15%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9336	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.254577	-8.98%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9360	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.248117	-8.73%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9220	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.235168	-8.53%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8489	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.235896	-8.72%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7505	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.24211	-8.81%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6972	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.222118	-8.17%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5711	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.22655	-7.96%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4856	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.229706	-7.07%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4348	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.19884	-6.12%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2355	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.172313	-4.93%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0291	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.172185	-4.76%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0154	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.182974	-4.48%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0025	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.171773	-4.92%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1316	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.171908	-4.37%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1829	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.166264	-3.30%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2182	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.166354	-2.36%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3121	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.17276	-2.33%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3409	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.169733	-2.38%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.5866	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.168563	-2.15%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9777	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.169256	-1.99%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8391	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.167067	-1.79%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8784	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.166317	-1.51%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7670	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.167056	-1.41%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7600	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.172109	-1.70%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5749	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.161525	-2.27%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6823	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.167145	-2.25%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6829	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.165801	-2.01%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6075	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.170238	-2.16%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4735	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.165928	-2.18%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5819	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.168143	-2.35%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5052	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.184068	-2.93%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4125	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.184511	-2.89%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3839	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.168563	-2.28%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4195	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.178707	-2.94%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3667	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.173365	-3.25%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4189	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.162478	-3.27%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3882	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.160333	-3.37%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4067	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.153818	-3.30%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4275	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.157679	-3.41%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2678	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.149274	-3.18%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1714	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146071	-3.16%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1986	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.13938	-3.28%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2982	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.139255	-3.42%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2429	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.13445	-3.06%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2665	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.137101	-3.34%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2165	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.133692	-3.58%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2333	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.137149	-3.77%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2397	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.139107	-3.93%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2187	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.139026	-3.75%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2090	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.145171	-3.96%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1646	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.150702	-4.28%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1236	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.156691	-4.90%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0822	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.173937	-5.58%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0207	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.178949	-5.89%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0192	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.18367	-6.26%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0966	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.179551	-6.32%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0496	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.184601	-7.14%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0879	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.165447	-5.88%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0450	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.168617	-6.31%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0030	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.175102	-7.29%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0155	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.165347	-7.11%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1370	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.161535	-6.86%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1590	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.162233	-7.25%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0587	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.171695	-8.81%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0693	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.186286	-10.16%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0402	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.176098	-9.60%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0447	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.178175	-9.95%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0746	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.181941	-10.51%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1499	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.181812	-10.42%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1216	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.164806	-9.30%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0868	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.161389	-9.60%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0868	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.141381	-8.12%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0173	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.146845	-8.37%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0307	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.157704	-8.67%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1593	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.164325	-8.52%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1731	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.175364	-8.50%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2558	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.17323	-8.26%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2175	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.181322	-8.14%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2642	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.184642	-7.92%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2871	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.185334	-7.61%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2453	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.19151	-7.42%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2340	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.185806	-6.92%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1536	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.190227	-6.57%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0679	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.205529	-6.58%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1306	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.234994	-6.45%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3033	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.237214	-7.02%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3266	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.238073	-6.62%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3055	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.256207	-6.50%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5580	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.254288	-6.29%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5292	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.268874	-7.24%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4932	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.262796	-7.41%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5246	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.254157	-7.37%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5383	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.249606	-6.68%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5193	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.263561	-7.08%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4673	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.245907	-7.38%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3013	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.232918	-7.70%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2834	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.242321	-7.74%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2668	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.233053	-7.82%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1769	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.255127	-9.08%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2455	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.282315	-10.00%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4548	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.315999	-10.89%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5913	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.292068	-10.16%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6600	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.20703	-6.20%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2540	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.194281	-6.53%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1178	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.191916	-6.59%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0661	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.189799	-6.03%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.219136	-6.18%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1129	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.209667	-7.25%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0759	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.204217	-7.28%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.175695	-7.55%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0935	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.168176	-6.59%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1912	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.230129	-7.33%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1462	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.261024	-12.18%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2868	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.168438	-6.83%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2122	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.166628	-7.12%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3215	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.163416	-7.00%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3825	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.168798	-8.85%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2836	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.158947	-7.81%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4329	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.14919	-7.77%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4795	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.154697	-8.34%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5116	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.159363	-8.79%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4567	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.156798	-8.59%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4529	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.155539	-9.12%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3742	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.17348	-10.05%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3325	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.150211	-9.16%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3984	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.131946	-8.53%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4887	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.