POD
Dolphin · Base · gru_s1
- token id
- #186
- symbol
- POD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xed664536023d8e4b1640c394777d34abaff1df8f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-11
- predictions
- 249
Track record at +1d
assessed
80
of 83 predictions shown
direction hit
52.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0990
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0066
actual +0.0092
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.627 | 0.623571 | -0.55% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.6579 | 0.652581 | -0.81% | 0.627 | -4.70% | 0.0357 | ✓ | 1.46 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.5335 | 0.531813 | -0.32% | 0.6579 | +23.32% | 0.1949 | ✗ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.5441 | 0.542401 | -0.31% | 0.5335 | -1.95% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.608173 | -0.44% | 0.5441 | -10.93% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.6536 | 0.650294 | -0.51% | 0.61085 | -6.54% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.7113 | 0.706682 | -0.65% | 0.6536 | -8.11% | 0.0679 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.7195 | 0.714073 | -0.75% | 0.7113 | -1.14% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.66875 | 0.664468 | -0.64% | 0.7195 | +7.59% | 0.1065 | ✗ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.68615 | 0.680773 | -0.78% | 0.66875 | -2.54% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 1.49 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.61085 | 0.607188 | -0.60% | 0.68615 | +12.33% | 0.1622 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.59675 | 0.593383 | -0.56% | 0.61085 | +2.36% | 0.0133 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.6003 | 0.59687 | -0.57% | 0.59675 | -0.59% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.71 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.5809 | 0.578183 | -0.47% | 0.6003 | +3.34% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.66895 | 0.665099 | -0.58% | 0.5809 | -13.16% | 0.1054 | ✓ | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.73025 | 0.725429 | -0.66% | 0.66895 | -8.39% | 0.0415 | ✓ | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.7983 | 0.792086 | -0.78% | 0.73025 | -8.52% | 0.0778 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.87205 | 0.860306 | -1.35% | 0.7983 | -8.46% | 0.0627 | ✓ | 1.38 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.78375 | 0.768615 | -1.93% | 0.87205 | +11.27% | 0.0995 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.56005 | 0.555035 | -0.90% | 0.78375 | +39.94% | 0.3414 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.42495 | 0.419037 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3388 | 0.334772 | -1.19% | 0.42495 | +25.43% | 0.2384 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.3664 | 0.361867 | -1.24% | 0.3388 | -7.53% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.3979 | 0.391884 | -1.51% | 0.3664 | -7.92% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.352653 | -1.58% | 0.3979 | +11.05% | 0.0517 | ✗ | 1.06 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.3161 | 0.312056 | -1.28% | 0.3583 | +13.35% | 0.1391 | ✗ | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.31685 | 0.312518 | -1.37% | 0.3161 | -0.24% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2885 | 0.285823 | -0.93% | 0.31685 | +9.83% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 0.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.2564 | 0.255353 | -0.41% | 0.2885 | +12.52% | 0.1207 | ✗ | 0.51 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2937 | 0.291733 | -0.67% | 0.2564 | -12.70% | 0.1340 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.3089 | 0.306079 | -0.91% | 0.2937 | -4.92% | 0.0149 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.30325 | 0.300768 | -0.82% | 0.3089 | +1.86% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2928 | 0.29097 | -0.62% | 0.30325 | +3.57% | 0.0442 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.301789 | -0.60% | 0.2928 | -3.56% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.3418 | 0.338017 | -1.11% | 0.3036 | -11.18% | 0.1168 | ✓ | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.3149 | 0.312083 | -0.89% | 0.3418 | +8.54% | 0.1203 | ✗ | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.300464 | -0.93% | 0.3149 | +3.82% | 0.0508 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2584 | 0.257469 | -0.36% | 0.3033 | +17.38% | 0.1799 | ✗ | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2653 | 0.264778 | -0.20% | 0.2584 | -2.60% | 0.0053 | ✗ | 1.90 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.281262 | -0.17% | 0.2653 | -5.84% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.3224 | 0.321718 | -0.21% | 0.28175 | -12.61% | 0.1378 | ✓ | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.3468 | 0.346211 | -0.17% | 0.3224 | -7.04% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.3219 | 0.321373 | -0.16% | 0.3468 | +7.74% | 0.0758 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.3456 | 0.344905 | -0.20% | 0.3219 | -6.86% | 0.0654 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.3517 | 0.351158 | -0.15% | 0.3456 | -1.73% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 2.15 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.34005 | 0.337722 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | 2.52 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.2972 | 0.295765 | -0.48% | 0.34005 | +14.42% | 0.1273 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3087 | 0.306928 | -0.57% | 0.2972 | -3.73% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3033 | 0.301677 | -0.53% | 0.3087 | +1.78% | 0.0910 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.3263 | 0.324111 | -0.67% | 0.3033 | -7.05% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 2.50 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.331438 | -0.89% | 0.3263 | -2.42% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 2.57 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.2912 | 0.289641 | -0.54% | 0.3344 | +14.84% | 0.1849 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.3186 | 0.315828 | -0.87% | 0.2912 | -8.60% | 0.1141 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.2782 | 0.27669 | -0.54% | 0.3186 | +14.52% | 0.1154 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.2869 | 0.285273 | -0.57% | 0.2782 | -3.03% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.3279 | 0.324391 | -1.07% | 0.2869 | -12.50% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 2.67 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.2881 | 0.286291 | -0.63% | 0.3279 | +13.81% | 0.1628 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.3328 | 0.329341 | -1.04% | 0.2881 | -13.43% | 0.1587 | ✓ | 2.88 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.334363 | -1.72% | 0.3328 | -2.18% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.2506 | 0.249271 | -0.53% | 0.3402 | +35.75% | 0.2735 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.2836 | 0.280358 | -1.14% | 0.2506 | -11.64% | 0.1111 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.2301 | 0.229074 | -0.45% | 0.2836 | +23.25% | 0.1317 | ✗ | 2.42 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.2123 | 0.211751 | -0.26% | 0.2301 | +8.38% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213224 | -0.32% | 0.2123 | -0.75% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.2183 | 0.217267 | -0.47% | 0.2139 | -2.02% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.1647 | 0.165009 | +0.19% | 0.2183 | +32.54% | 0.2404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.1805 | 0.180732 | +0.13% | 0.1647 | -8.75% | 0.0899 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.208134 | -0.08% | 0.1805 | -13.35% | 0.0980 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.263 | 0.261545 | -0.55% | 0.2083 | -20.80% | 0.2240 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.2161 | 0.215688 | -0.19% | 0.263 | +21.70% | 0.2384 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.2555 | 0.253919 | -0.62% | 0.2161 | -15.42% | 0.0938 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.2595 | 0.257666 | -0.71% | 0.2555 | -1.54% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.267629 | -0.91% | 0.2595 | -3.92% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.2474 | 0.24527 | -0.86% | 0.2701 | +9.18% | 0.0909 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.2056 | 0.204643 | -0.47% | 0.2474 | +20.33% | 0.1917 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.1846 | 0.184138 | -0.25% | 0.2056 | +11.38% | 0.1211 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.2346 | 0.233135 | -0.62% | 0.1846 | -21.31% | 0.2133 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.2073 | 0.206542 | -0.37% | 0.2346 | +13.17% | 0.1460 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.2618 | 0.260206 | -0.61% | 0.2073 | -20.82% | 0.2308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-23 | oos | 0.2748 | 0.27205 | -1.00% | 0.2618 | -4.73% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-22 | oos | 0.205 | 0.20447 | -0.26% | 0.2748 | +34.05% | 0.2798 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-21 | oos | 0.2729 | 0.271545 | -0.50% | 0.205 | -24.88% | 0.2536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-20 | oos | 0.2854 | 0.28416 | -0.43% | 0.2729 | -4.38% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 1.00 |