ONE
ONEchain · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1
- token id
- #286
- symbol
- ONE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x6bf62ca91e397b5a7d1d6bce97d9092065d7a510
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 102
Track record at +1d
assessed
33
of 34 predictions shown
direction hit
63.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0364
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0079
actual -0.0106
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.10343 | 0.102915 | -0.50% | – | pending | – | – | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.103945 | 0.10339 | -0.53% | 0.10343 | -0.50% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.36 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.10201 | 0.101586 | -0.42% | 0.103945 | +1.90% | 0.0281 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1011 | 0.100711 | -0.38% | 0.10201 | +0.90% | 0.0120 | ✗ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.102135 | 0.101741 | -0.39% | 0.1011 | -1.01% | 0.0034 | ✓ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.10497 | 0.104534 | -0.41% | 0.102135 | -2.70% | 0.0238 | ✓ | -0.38 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.10694 | 0.106466 | -0.44% | 0.10497 | -1.84% | 0.0172 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.10938 | 0.108899 | -0.44% | 0.10694 | -2.23% | 0.0155 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.118885 | 0.118228 | -0.55% | 0.10938 | -8.00% | 0.0876 | ✓ | -0.53 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.122635 | 0.121875 | -0.62% | 0.118885 | -3.06% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -0.50 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.1296 | 0.128745 | -0.66% | 0.122635 | -5.37% | 0.0637 | ✓ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.13565 | 0.134596 | -0.78% | 0.1296 | -4.46% | 0.0322 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.129045 | 0.12821 | -0.65% | 0.13565 | +5.12% | 0.0592 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13182 | 0.130936 | -0.67% | 0.129045 | -2.11% | 0.0249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.13752 | 0.13649 | -0.75% | 0.13182 | -4.14% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.147335 | 0.146194 | -0.77% | 0.13752 | -6.66% | 0.0343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.148475 | 0.147298 | -0.79% | 0.147335 | -0.77% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.145265 | 0.144082 | -0.81% | 0.148475 | +2.21% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.147165 | 0.145375 | -1.22% | 0.145265 | -1.29% | 0.0214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1419 | 0.14073 | -0.82% | 0.147165 | +3.71% | 0.0419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.13909 | 0.137874 | -0.87% | 0.1419 | +2.02% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.13935 | 0.13816 | -0.85% | 0.13909 | -0.19% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.13304 | 0.132057 | -0.74% | 0.13935 | +4.74% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15352 | 0.151986 | -1.00% | 0.13304 | -13.34% | 0.1353 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15001 | 0.148606 | -0.94% | 0.15352 | +2.34% | 0.0445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.15468 | 0.153072 | -1.04% | 0.15001 | -3.02% | 0.0207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.146485 | 0.145057 | -0.98% | 0.15468 | +5.59% | 0.0604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.15333 | 0.151717 | -1.05% | 0.146485 | -4.46% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.144105 | 0.142674 | -0.99% | 0.15333 | +6.40% | 0.0719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.15384 | 0.152308 | -1.00% | 0.144105 | -6.33% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.151575 | 0.150069 | -0.99% | 0.15384 | +1.49% | 0.0294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.144335 | 0.14304 | -0.90% | 0.151575 | +5.02% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.154195 | 0.152078 | -1.37% | 0.144335 | -6.39% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.14332 | 0.141885 | -1.00% | 0.154195 | +7.59% | 0.0788 | ✗ | 1.00 |