NEX

Nexus · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #668
symbol: NEX
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xf57d49646621f563b0b905afc8336923ac569ec5
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-20
predictions: 438

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

139

of 146 predictions shown

direction hit

74.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1205

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0132

actual -0.0853

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	6.85e-7	6.79e-7	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	6.85e-7	6.78e-7	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-19	oos	6.75e-7	6.69e-7	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	7.15e-7	7.03e-7	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-17	oos	7.15e-7	7.08e-7	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	7.35e-7	7.27e-7	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-15	oos	7.45e-7	7.35e-7	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	7.75e-7	7.64e-7	-1.41%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1166	✓	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	7.75e-7	7.63e-7	-1.55%	6.85e-7	-11.61%	0.1068	✓	0.54
2026-10-12	oos	8.05e-7	7.92e-7	-1.58%	6.75e-7	-16.15%	0.1608	✓	0.55
2026-10-11	oos	8.15e-7	8.03e-7	-1.46%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1048	✓	0.56
2026-10-10	oos	8.15e-7	8.02e-7	-1.55%	7.15e-7	-12.27%	0.1046	✓	0.57
2026-10-09	oos	7.95e-7	7.84e-7	-1.34%	7.35e-7	-7.55%	0.0575	✓	0.59
2026-10-08	oos	7.95e-7	7.85e-7	-1.28%	7.45e-7	-6.29%	0.0551	✓	0.58
2026-10-07	oos	8.05e-7	7.95e-7	-1.20%	7.75e-7	-3.73%	0.0141	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	8.15e-7	8.06e-7	-1.10%	7.75e-7	-4.91%	0.0234	✓	0.55
2026-10-05	oos	8.25e-7	8.19e-7	-0.74%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0094	✗	0.55
2026-10-04	oos	8.25e-7	8.22e-7	-0.33%	8.15e-7	-1.21%	0.0098	✗	0.56
2026-10-03	oos	8.35e-7	8.31e-7	-0.54%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0065	✓	0.56
2026-10-02	oos	8.40e-7	8.35e-7	-0.54%	7.95e-7	-5.36%	0.0365	✓	0.56
2026-10-01	oos	8.15e-7	8.12e-7	-0.38%	7.95e-7	-2.45%	0.0009	✓	0.58
2026-09-30	oos	8.25e-7	8.22e-7	-0.34%	8.05e-7	-2.42%	0.0186	✓	0.74
2026-09-29	oos	8.35e-7	8.32e-7	-0.35%	8.15e-7	-2.40%	0.0373	✓	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	8.25e-7	8.23e-7	-0.28%	8.25e-7	+0.00%	0.0172	✓	0.74
2026-09-27	oos	8.40e-7	8.37e-7	-0.32%	8.25e-7	-1.79%	0.0323	✓	0.73
2026-09-26	oos	8.35e-7	8.32e-7	-0.42%	8.35e-7	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.73
2026-09-25	oos	8.35e-7	8.32e-7	-0.35%	8.40e-7	+0.60%	0.0059	✗	0.73
2026-09-24	oos	8.30e-7	8.27e-7	-0.38%	8.15e-7	-1.81%	0.0185	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	8.50e-7	8.46e-7	-0.47%	8.25e-7	-2.94%	0.0178	✓	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.000001065	0.000001064	-0.10%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2230	✓	0.64
2026-09-21	oos	0.000001075	0.000001075	-0.04%	8.25e-7	-23.26%	0.2388	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.000001055	0.000001054	-0.09%	8.40e-7	-20.38%	0.2561	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.000001085	0.00000108	-0.43%	8.35e-7	-23.04%	0.2853	✓	0.72
2026-09-18	oos	0.000001065	0.000001065	-0.02%	8.35e-7	-21.60%	0.2710	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.00000104	0.000001038	-0.21%	8.30e-7	-20.19%	0.2961	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.000001015	0.000001014	-0.15%	8.50e-7	-16.26%	0.2484	✓	0.71
2026-09-15	oos	9.95e-7	1.00e-6	+0.50%	0.000001065	+7.04%	0.0418	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.000001025	0.000001034	+0.84%	0.000001075	+4.88%	0.0362	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.000001005	0.000001013	+0.75%	0.000001055	+4.98%	0.0005	✓	0.73
2026-09-12	oos	0.000001015	0.000001025	+0.94%	0.000001085	+6.90%	0.0201	✓	0.74
2026-09-11	oos	0.000001025	0.000001031	+0.62%	0.000001065	+3.90%	0.0032	✓	0.76
2026-09-10	oos	0.000001045	0.000001045	+0.05%	0.00000104	-0.48%	0.0034	✗	0.76
2026-09-09	oos	0.00000107	0.000001072	+0.18%	0.000001015	-5.14%	0.0332	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.000001425	0.000001428	+0.22%	9.95e-7	-30.18%	0.3338	✗	0.74
2026-09-07	oos	0.000001445	0.000001447	+0.17%	0.000001025	-29.07%	0.3367	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00000145	0.000001459	+0.62%	0.000001005	-30.69%	0.3403	✗	0.72
2026-09-05	oos	0.00000147	0.000001474	+0.26%	0.000001015	-30.95%	0.3492	✗	0.73
2026-09-04	oos	0.00000145	0.000001448	-0.10%	0.000001025	-29.31%	0.3235	✓	0.71
2026-09-03	oos	0.00000145	0.000001457	+0.51%	0.000001045	-27.93%	0.2889	✗	0.73
2026-09-02	oos	0.00000143	0.000001415	-1.07%	0.00000107	-25.17%	0.2873	✓	0.64
2026-09-01	oos	0.00000144	0.000001425	-1.03%	0.000001425	-1.04%	0.0088	✓	0.64
2026-08-31	oos	0.000001435	0.000001426	-0.66%	0.000001445	+0.70%	0.0087	✗	0.73
2026-08-30	oos	0.000001435	0.000001436	+0.08%	0.00000145	+1.05%	0.0130	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.000001445	0.000001451	+0.43%	0.00000147	+1.73%	0.0003	✓	0.65
2026-08-28	oos	0.000001455	0.000001457	+0.11%	0.00000145	-0.34%	0.0196	✗	0.65
2026-08-27	oos	0.00000148	0.000001492	+0.79%	0.00000145	-2.03%	0.0363	✗	0.66
2026-08-26	oos	0.000001465	0.00000147	+0.36%	0.00000143	-2.39%	0.0135	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.000001475	0.000001478	+0.20%	0.00000144	-2.37%	0.0166	✗	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.000001465	0.000001469	+0.29%	0.000001435	-2.05%	0.0202	✗	0.62
2026-08-23	oos	0.00000149	0.000001489	-0.09%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0362	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.0000015	0.000001495	-0.31%	0.000001445	-3.67%	0.0440	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.00000154	0.000001537	-0.17%	0.000001455	-5.52%	0.0511	✓	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.000001505	0.00000149	-1.02%	0.00000148	-1.66%	0.0708	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.00000149	0.000001468	-1.47%	0.000001465	-1.68%	0.1197	✓	0.90
2026-08-18	oos	0.000001435	0.000001409	-1.82%	0.000001475	+2.79%	0.1342	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.000001515	0.000001486	-1.92%	0.000001465	-3.30%	0.2042	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.000001485	0.000001457	-1.91%	0.00000149	+0.34%	0.1747	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.000001495	0.000001465	-2.04%	0.0000015	+0.33%	0.1627	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.000001545	0.000001514	-2.03%	0.00000154	-0.32%	0.1857	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.000001545	0.000001516	-1.86%	0.000001505	-2.59%	0.1389	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.000001555	0.000001523	-2.03%	0.00000149	-4.18%	0.1050	✓	0.93
2026-08-11	oos	0.000001635	0.000001588	-2.87%	0.000001435	-12.23%	0.1181	✓	0.93
2026-08-10	oos	0.000001645	0.000001581	-3.90%	0.000001515	-7.90%	0.0508	✓	0.94
2026-08-09	oos	0.000001435	0.000001417	-1.27%	0.000001485	+3.48%	0.0788	✗	1.01
2026-08-08	oos	0.000001445	0.000001425	-1.36%	0.000001495	+3.46%	0.0775	✗	1.01
2026-08-07	oos	0.000001475	0.000001457	-1.24%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0890	✗	1.01
2026-08-06	oos	0.000001475	0.000001457	-1.24%	0.000001545	+4.75%	0.0721	✗	1.01
2026-08-05	oos	0.000001455	0.000001439	-1.12%	0.000001555	+6.87%	0.0965	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.000001445	0.000001431	-0.99%	0.000001635	+13.15%	0.1416	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.000001465	0.000001447	-1.20%	0.000001645	+12.29%	0.1209	✗	1.01
2026-08-02	oos	0.00000149	0.000001473	-1.13%	0.000001435	-3.69%	0.0474	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.00000145	0.000001436	-0.96%	0.000001445	-0.34%	0.0271	✓	0.99
2026-07-31	oos	0.000001455	0.000001439	-1.07%	0.000001475	+1.37%	0.0077	✓	0.99
2026-07-30	oos	0.000001495	0.000001474	-1.44%	0.000001475	-1.34%	0.0081	✓	1.01
2026-07-29	oos	0.000001505	0.000001481	-1.62%	0.000001455	-3.32%	0.0286	✓	1.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.000001505	0.000001486	-1.26%	0.000001445	-3.99%	0.0313	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.000001505	0.000001486	-1.28%	0.000001465	-2.66%	0.0105	✓	1.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.000001575	0.000001551	-1.52%	0.00000149	-5.40%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.000001565	0.000001542	-1.47%	0.00000145	-7.35%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-07-24	oos	0.000001575	0.000001552	-1.47%	0.000001455	-7.62%	0.0447	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.000001595	0.000001569	-1.61%	0.000001495	-6.27%	0.0434	✓	1.01
2026-07-22	oos	0.000001635	0.000001608	-1.63%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0324	✓	1.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.000001635	0.000001607	-1.74%	0.000001505	-7.95%	0.0238	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.000001695	0.000001662	-1.95%	0.000001505	-11.21%	0.0744	✓	1.05
2026-07-19	oos	0.000001715	0.000001677	-2.24%	0.000001575	-8.16%	0.0732	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.000001705	0.000001663	-2.45%	0.000001565	-8.21%	0.0527	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.000001705	0.000001664	-2.38%	0.000001575	-7.62%	0.0583	✓	1.05
2026-07-16	oos	0.000001775	0.000001728	-2.67%	0.000001595	-10.14%	0.1008	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.000001775	0.000001723	-2.96%	0.000001635	-7.89%	0.0746	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.000001785	0.000001733	-2.94%	0.000001635	-8.40%	0.0829	✓	1.07
2026-07-13	oos	0.000001755	0.000001714	-2.34%	0.000001695	-3.42%	0.0619	✓	1.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.000001825	0.000001772	-2.93%	0.000001715	-6.03%	0.0486	✓	1.10
2026-07-11	oos	0.000002225	0.000002131	-4.21%	0.000001705	-23.37%	0.2412	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0000022	0.00000211	-4.08%	0.000001705	-22.50%	0.2091	✓	1.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.000002355	0.000002229	-5.35%	0.000001775	-24.63%	0.2390	✓	1.20
2026-07-08	oos	0.000002615	0.000002495	-4.57%	0.000001775	-32.12%	0.3916	✓	1.30
2026-07-07	oos	0.00000269	0.000002531	-5.90%	0.000001785	-33.64%	0.3833	✓	1.31
2026-07-06	oos	0.00000276	0.00000257	-6.87%	0.000001755	-36.41%	0.3457	✓	1.31
2026-07-05	oos	0.00000285	0.000002645	-7.19%	0.000001825	-35.96%	0.3744	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.000002975	0.000002728	-8.29%	0.000002225	-25.21%	0.2186	✓	1.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.00000283	0.000002577	-8.93%	0.0000022	-22.26%	0.1918	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.00000185	0.000001845	-0.26%	0.000002355	+27.30%	0.2211	✗	0.84
2026-07-01	oos	0.00000185	0.000001855	+0.25%	0.000002615	+41.35%	0.3121	✓	0.85
2026-06-30	oos	0.00000184	0.000001855	+0.84%	0.00000269	+46.20%	0.3056	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.000001885	0.000001894	+0.46%	0.00000276	+46.42%	0.3235	✓	0.86
2026-06-28	oos	0.000001885	0.000001902	+0.90%	0.00000285	+51.19%	0.3478	✓	0.85
2026-06-27	oos	0.000001905	0.000001923	+0.93%	0.000002975	+56.17%	0.3930	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.00000201	0.000002022	+0.60%	0.00000283	+40.80%	0.3009	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.00000199	0.000002007	+0.86%	0.00000185	-7.04%	0.1062	✗	0.84
2026-06-24	oos	0.000002145	0.000002145	-0.01%	0.00000185	-13.75%	0.1342	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.000002345	0.000002325	-0.84%	0.00000184	-21.54%	0.1832	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.000002455	0.000002423	-1.29%	0.000001885	-23.22%	0.2062	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.000002535	0.000002502	-1.32%	0.000001885	-25.64%	0.2363	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.000002575	0.000002537	-1.48%	0.000001905	-26.02%	0.2332	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.00000258	0.000002546	-1.32%	0.00000201	-22.09%	0.1936	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.000002835	0.000002784	-1.80%	0.00000199	-29.81%	0.2839	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.0000033	0.000003197	-3.13%	0.000002145	-35.00%	0.3438	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.00000302	0.000002943	-2.56%	0.000002345	-22.35%	0.1807	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.00000314	0.000003046	-3.01%	0.000002455	-21.82%	0.1798	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.00000308	0.000002998	-2.68%	0.000002535	-17.69%	0.1293	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.000002975	0.000002913	-2.08%	0.000002575	-13.45%	0.1202	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.000002985	0.00000293	-1.84%	0.00000258	-13.57%	0.1262	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.00000318	0.000003106	-2.32%	0.000002835	-10.85%	0.0806	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.000003115	0.000003067	-1.54%	0.0000033	+5.94%	0.0256	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.00000282	0.000002806	-0.50%	0.00000302	+7.09%	0.0118	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.00000286	0.000002839	-0.73%	0.00000314	+9.79%	0.0511	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.00000296	0.000002936	-0.81%	0.00000308	+4.05%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.00000295	0.000002949	-0.04%	0.000002975	+0.85%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.00000305	0.000003045	-0.18%	0.000002985	-2.13%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.00000294	0.000002927	-0.45%	0.00000318	+8.16%	0.0868	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.00000306	0.000003045	-0.49%	0.000003115	+1.80%	0.0640	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.00000337	0.000003319	-1.51%	0.00000282	-16.32%	0.0854	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.00000346	0.000003369	-2.64%	0.00000286	-17.34%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.000003485	0.000003387	-2.81%	0.00000296	-15.06%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.000003395	0.000003308	-2.56%	0.00000295	-13.11%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.0000035	0.00000341	-2.57%	0.00000305	-12.86%	0.0724	✗	1.00