NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

84.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2501

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0523

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.115727	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.118448	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.111007	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.114987	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.116496	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.11916	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.135215	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.142087	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.133677	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.130712	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.138448	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.137954	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.135463	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.131323	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.136269	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.137625	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.143612	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.148673	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.144092	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.145799	-1.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.148412	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.148252	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.156799	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.158513	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.163753	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.160807	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.15737	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.162583	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.16178	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.167412	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.16972	+0.17%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3543	✗	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.159034	-2.15%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2766	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.159145	-1.87%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3332	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.155258	-1.28%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2750	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.149527	-2.79%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2243	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.15664	-3.61%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2505	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.159181	-3.99%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1400	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.149347	-1.25%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0264	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.147776	-1.42%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0910	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.157307	-1.63%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1681	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.150192	+0.16%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0741	✗	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.14477	+0.06%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0411	✗	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.117509	+1.70%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1381	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.124051	+1.27%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0579	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.132598	+1.11%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0201	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.131177	+1.85%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0271	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.130353	+0.70%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0779	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.138127	+0.24%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0538	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.1411	+1.19%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0205	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.133514	-2.80%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0786	✗	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.135629	-3.51%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0813	✗	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.139497	-3.41%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0622	✗	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.150588	-3.47%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0415	✗	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.148295	-3.45%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0628	✗	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.137832	-3.85%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.1564	✗	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.143036	-0.36%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.1178	✗	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.148121	-0.79%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0512	✗	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.159546	-0.59%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0060	✗	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.134304	-1.97%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.1732	✗	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.188637	-3.34%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.1787	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.197702	-3.72%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2305	✓	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.214652	-2.83%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.2996	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.205145	-5.01%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3046	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.200846	-5.91%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3531	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.191437	-6.97%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3411	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.197043	-7.20%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3162	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.197848	-7.79%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3245	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.192566	-7.58%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4168	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.193547	-7.65%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4168	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.190976	-7.49%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3419	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.185929	-7.33%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.3794	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.188109	-7.40%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4178	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.189054	-7.39%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6625	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.189732	-7.23%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6025	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.193635	-7.34%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5604	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.188577	-7.27%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5665	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.188643	-7.37%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.5650	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.182454	-7.18%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.4695	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.188961	-7.51%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5248	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.19061	-7.71%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5125	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.188966	-7.63%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.4819	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.194553	-7.91%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5176	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.191096	-7.70%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4115	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.199128	-7.23%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4473	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.203067	-7.47%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5504	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.201431	-7.34%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.5736	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.207953	-7.47%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5533	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.224007	-7.41%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.4969	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.223859	-7.69%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6781	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.233393	-8.05%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3563	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.247894	-8.22%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3576	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.249348	-7.89%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.2910	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.216317	-6.44%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.0949	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.213922	-6.57%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.208929	-6.41%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.211231	-6.37%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.221662	-6.86%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.231936	-7.20%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.0953	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.223582	-6.67%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.226337	-6.60%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0677	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.228043	-7.36%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1462	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.219695	-6.87%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0750	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.245593	-7.93%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.1870	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.253215	-8.39%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.2248	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.249985	-8.61%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.2062	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.268287	-9.84%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.3188	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.254598	-8.95%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2381	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.232905	-7.64%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.1790	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.248364	-8.70%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.2026	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.219469	-7.29%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.207382	-6.97%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0291	✓	1.00