MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s1

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 117

Track record at +1d

assessed

38

of 39 predictions shown

direction hit

76.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1104

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0060

actual -0.0488

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.00903	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.009192	-0.21%	0.009054	-1.72%	0.0150	✓	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.011474	-0.71%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2229	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010852	-0.46%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0634	✗	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.010927	-0.29%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0042	✓	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.01214	-0.55%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1021	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.014023	-1.62%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1374	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010644	+0.04%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2919	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011676	-0.20%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.0939	✓	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012072	-0.15%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0303	✓	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.012398	-0.22%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0260	✓	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012196	+0.01%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0193	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012892	-0.03%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0552	✓	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012068	+0.27%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0679	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013577	+0.05%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1261	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016678	-0.61%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2261	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.01782	-0.81%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0620	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017165	-0.70%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0396	✗	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015554	-0.10%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016382	-0.11%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0537	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017077	-0.11%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021369	-0.49%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2385	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024741	-0.84%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1406	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.028718	-1.38%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1428	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026647	-1.05%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.1007	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028207	-1.13%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.02976	-1.29%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027475	-0.92%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0964	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.033808	-1.81%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.1983	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031003	-1.64%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1262	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026526	-0.91%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1771	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.02712	-0.53%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.030403	-0.71%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1080	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.030567	-0.60%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036676	-0.93%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2338	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.029682	-0.30%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2182	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032255	-0.28%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.0876	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.043825	-0.61%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2700	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.04907	-0.91%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1247	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.