MARSCOIN
MarsCoin · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1
- token id
- #52
- symbol
- MARSCOIN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xfe189e97832da1573e4e4ff034f4ffc3a15c7777
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-04
- predictions
- 117
Track record at +1d
assessed
38
of 39 predictions shown
direction hit
57.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0737
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0088
actual -0.0078
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.07975 | 0.079272 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.07935 | 0.078862 | -0.61% | 0.07975 | +0.50% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.07795 | 0.077507 | -0.57% | 0.07935 | +1.80% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.07555 | 0.075237 | -0.41% | 0.07795 | +3.18% | 0.0371 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.07685 | 0.076557 | -0.38% | 0.07555 | -1.69% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07985 | 0.079448 | -0.50% | 0.07685 | -3.76% | 0.0321 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07715 | 0.076842 | -0.40% | 0.07985 | +3.50% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.08255 | 0.082119 | -0.52% | 0.07715 | -6.54% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.07945 | 0.079082 | -0.46% | 0.08255 | +3.90% | 0.0613 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.080528 | -0.40% | 0.07945 | -1.73% | 0.0299 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.09555 | 0.09484 | -0.74% | 0.08085 | -15.38% | 0.1418 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.09625 | 0.095527 | -0.75% | 0.09555 | -0.73% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09325 | 0.092623 | -0.67% | 0.09625 | +3.22% | 0.0351 | ✗ | 0.74 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.09105 | 0.090505 | -0.60% | 0.09325 | +2.42% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.09505 | 0.094406 | -0.68% | 0.09105 | -4.21% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.104345 | -0.95% | 0.09505 | -9.78% | 0.0787 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.10525 | 0.104314 | -0.89% | 0.10535 | +0.10% | 0.0112 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.10865 | 0.107654 | -0.92% | 0.10525 | -3.13% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.11095 | 0.109883 | -0.96% | 0.10865 | -2.07% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.1074 | 0.106458 | -0.88% | 0.11095 | +3.31% | 0.0385 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.12765 | 0.126282 | -1.07% | 0.1074 | -15.86% | 0.1579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.1371 | 0.135432 | -1.22% | 0.12765 | -6.89% | 0.0745 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.14065 | 0.138832 | -1.29% | 0.1371 | -2.52% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.15785 | 0.153642 | -2.67% | 0.14065 | -10.90% | 0.0905 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.1233 | 0.121886 | -1.15% | 0.15785 | +28.02% | 0.2705 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.13445 | 0.132233 | -1.65% | 0.1233 | -8.29% | 0.0705 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.11835 | 0.116943 | -1.19% | 0.13445 | +13.60% | 0.1357 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.1152 | 0.114024 | -1.02% | 0.11835 | +2.73% | 0.0407 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1364 | 0.134192 | -1.62% | 0.1152 | -15.54% | 0.1527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.14165 | 0.137653 | -2.82% | 0.1364 | -3.71% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10195 | 0.10071 | -1.22% | 0.14165 | +38.94% | 0.3457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.09225 | 0.09176 | -0.53% | 0.10195 | +10.51% | 0.0405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.09905 | 0.098475 | -0.58% | 0.09225 | -6.87% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.11315 | 0.112155 | -0.88% | 0.09905 | -12.46% | 0.1287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1172 | 0.115779 | -1.21% | 0.11315 | -3.46% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.092 | 0.09172 | -0.30% | 0.1172 | +27.39% | 0.2425 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.08655 | 0.086463 | -0.10% | 0.092 | +6.30% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.09165 | 0.091516 | -0.15% | 0.08655 | -5.56% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.09765 | 0.09756 | -0.09% | 0.09165 | -6.14% | 0.0802 | ✓ | 1.00 |