MAP

MAP · · gru_s1

token id: #624
symbol: MAP
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 1,443

Track record at +1d

assessed

392

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0391

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0038

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.003395	0.00338	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.003295	0.00328	-0.45%	0.003395	+3.03%	0.0348	✗	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.003225	0.003211	-0.42%	0.003295	+2.17%	0.0240	✗	0.13
2026-10-18	oos	0.003205	0.003191	-0.44%	0.003225	+0.62%	0.0108	✗	0.12
2026-10-17	oos	0.003205	0.00319	-0.47%	0.003205	+0.00%	0.0038	✓	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.00306	0.003047	-0.42%	0.003205	+4.74%	0.0507	✗	0.12
2026-10-15	oos	0.00303	0.003018	-0.40%	0.00306	+0.99%	0.0148	✗	0.12
2026-10-14	oos	0.00312	0.003107	-0.40%	0.00303	-2.88%	0.0261	✓	0.13
2026-10-13	oos	0.003265	0.00325	-0.46%	0.00312	-4.44%	0.0389	✓	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003385	0.003368	-0.49%	0.003265	-3.55%	0.0333	✓	0.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.003515	0.003496	-0.55%	0.003385	-3.70%	0.0302	✓	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.00354	0.003519	-0.58%	0.003515	-0.71%	0.0025	✓	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.003565	0.003543	-0.61%	0.00354	-0.70%	0.0015	✓	0.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.003565	0.003542	-0.64%	0.003565	+0.00%	0.0052	✓	0.12
2026-10-07	oos	0.003565	0.003542	-0.66%	0.003565	+0.00%	0.0090	✗	0.13
2026-10-06	oos	0.00349	0.003469	-0.59%	0.003565	+2.15%	0.0312	✗	0.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.00357	0.003547	-0.63%	0.00349	-2.24%	0.0158	✓	0.21
2026-10-04	oos	0.003605	0.003581	-0.68%	0.00357	-0.97%	0.0011	✓	0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.003535	0.00351	-0.72%	0.003605	+1.98%	0.0225	✗	0.21
2026-10-02	oos	0.003475	0.003449	-0.75%	0.003535	+1.73%	0.0240	✗	0.21
2026-10-01	oos	0.00341	0.003385	-0.73%	0.003475	+1.91%	0.0271	✗	0.21
2026-09-30	oos	0.00333	0.003305	-0.76%	0.00341	+2.40%	0.0283	✗	0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.00322	0.003197	-0.73%	0.00333	+3.42%	0.0411	✗	0.18
2026-09-28	oos	0.003205	0.003181	-0.74%	0.00322	+0.47%	0.0117	✗	0.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.0032	0.003177	-0.73%	0.003205	+0.16%	0.0109	✗	0.17
2026-09-26	oos	0.003185	0.003163	-0.69%	0.0032	+0.47%	0.0116	✗	0.17
2026-09-25	oos	0.00316	0.003138	-0.70%	0.003185	+0.79%	0.0143	✗	0.14
2026-09-24	oos	0.00319	0.003167	-0.71%	0.00316	-0.94%	0.0018	✓	0.14
2026-09-23	oos	0.00321	0.003187	-0.72%	0.00319	-0.62%	0.0010	✓	0.14
2026-09-22	oos	0.00327	0.003246	-0.74%	0.00321	-1.83%	0.0080	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	0.00327	0.003246	-0.73%	0.00327	+0.00%	0.0081	✗	0.16
2026-09-20	oos	0.00328	0.003255	-0.77%	0.00327	-0.30%	0.0080	✓	0.20
2026-09-19	oos	0.00326	0.003234	-0.79%	0.00328	+0.61%	0.0142	✗	0.20
2026-09-18	oos	0.003185	0.003162	-0.73%	0.00326	+2.35%	0.0297	✗	0.20
2026-09-17	oos	0.00311	0.00309	-0.64%	0.003185	+2.41%	0.0199	✗	0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.00306	0.003042	-0.60%	0.00311	+1.63%	0.0217	✗	0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003025	0.003009	-0.52%	0.00306	+1.16%	0.0155	✗	0.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.00301	0.002994	-0.54%	0.003025	+0.50%	0.0165	✗	0.18
2026-09-13	oos	0.002985	0.002971	-0.48%	0.00301	+0.84%	0.0100	✗	0.18
2026-09-12	oos	0.003	0.002986	-0.48%	0.002985	-0.50%	0.0009	✓	0.18
2026-09-11	oos	0.003015	0.003	-0.50%	0.003	-0.50%	0.0001	✓	0.18
2026-09-10	oos	0.002955	0.002943	-0.42%	0.003015	+2.03%	0.0227	✗	0.18
2026-09-09	oos	0.00305	0.003035	-0.50%	0.002955	-3.11%	0.0231	✓	0.16
2026-09-08	oos	0.003025	0.003011	-0.48%	0.00305	+0.83%	0.0134	✗	0.16
2026-09-07	oos	0.00298	0.002966	-0.48%	0.003025	+1.51%	0.0212	✗	0.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.00288	0.002876	-0.14%	0.00298	+3.47%	0.0389	✗	0.21
2026-09-05	oos	0.002775	0.002775	-0.00%	0.00288	+3.78%	0.0358	✗	0.21
2026-09-04	oos	0.002765	0.002768	+0.12%	0.002775	+0.36%	0.0021	✓	0.18
2026-09-03	oos	0.00301	0.003014	+0.13%	0.002765	-8.14%	0.0837	✗	0.13
2026-09-02	oos	0.00307	0.003071	+0.03%	0.00301	-1.95%	0.0271	✗	0.14
2026-09-01	oos	0.00306	0.00306	-0.00%	0.00307	+0.33%	0.0035	✗	0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.00286	0.002864	+0.14%	0.00306	+6.99%	0.0689	✓	0.18
2026-08-30	oos	0.0028	0.002803	+0.11%	0.00286	+2.14%	0.0184	✓	0.15
2026-08-29	oos	0.00276	0.002763	+0.12%	0.0028	+1.45%	0.0143	✓	0.14
2026-08-28	oos	0.00276	0.002762	+0.06%	0.00276	+0.00%	0.0013	✗	0.14
2026-08-27	oos	0.00289	0.002889	-0.02%	0.00276	-4.50%	0.0423	✓	0.11
2026-08-26	oos	0.00289	0.002887	-0.11%	0.00289	+0.00%	0.0007	✓	0.11
2026-08-25	oos	0.00287	0.002865	-0.16%	0.00289	+0.70%	0.0078	✗	0.11
2026-08-24	oos	0.00287	0.002864	-0.22%	0.00287	+0.00%	0.0029	✗	0.11
2026-08-23	oos	0.00282	0.002813	-0.25%	0.00287	+1.77%	0.0185	✗	0.10
2026-08-22	oos	0.0028	0.002792	-0.29%	0.00282	+0.71%	0.0092	✗	0.10
2026-08-21	oos	0.00279	0.002782	-0.29%	0.0028	+0.36%	0.0082	✗	0.10
2026-08-20	oos	0.00281	0.002799	-0.40%	0.00279	-0.71%	0.0124	✓	0.13
2026-08-19	oos	0.00279	0.002776	-0.50%	0.00281	+0.72%	0.0061	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.00279	0.002773	-0.59%	0.00279	+0.00%	0.0033	✓	0.13
2026-08-17	oos	0.00278	0.002767	-0.45%	0.00279	+0.36%	0.0077	✗	0.13
2026-08-16	oos	0.00276	0.002749	-0.40%	0.00278	+0.72%	0.0079	✗	0.13
2026-08-15	oos	0.00289	0.002875	-0.51%	0.00276	-4.50%	0.0406	✓	0.13
2026-08-14	oos	0.00291	0.002896	-0.49%	0.00289	-0.69%	0.0021	✓	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.00323	0.003204	-0.81%	0.00291	-9.91%	0.0954	✓	0.11
2026-08-12	oos	0.00317	0.003141	-0.92%	0.00323	+1.89%	0.0280	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.00298	0.002945	-1.18%	0.00317	+6.38%	0.0739	✗	0.11
2026-08-10	oos	0.00227	0.00226	-0.45%	0.00298	+31.28%	0.2770	✗	0.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.00212	0.002113	-0.32%	0.00227	+7.08%	0.0727	✗	0.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.00211	0.002103	-0.31%	0.00212	+0.47%	0.0079	✗	0.07
2026-08-07	oos	0.00211	0.002104	-0.31%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0030	✓	0.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.00211	0.002104	-0.30%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.00213	0.002123	-0.34%	0.00211	-0.94%	0.0055	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.00212	0.002114	-0.31%	0.00213	+0.47%	0.0069	✗	0.11
2026-08-03	oos	0.00208	0.002075	-0.25%	0.00212	+1.92%	0.0207	✗	0.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.00216	0.002154	-0.30%	0.00208	-3.70%	0.0347	✓	0.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.00211	0.002105	-0.24%	0.00216	+2.37%	0.0246	✗	0.10
2026-07-31	oos	0.00215	0.002144	-0.26%	0.00211	-1.86%	0.0161	✓	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.0022	0.002192	-0.36%	0.00215	-2.27%	0.0171	✓	0.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.002	0.001996	-0.18%	0.0022	+10.00%	0.0970	✗	0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.0021	0.002096	-0.19%	0.002	-4.76%	0.0469	✓	0.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.00222	0.002215	-0.24%	0.0021	-5.41%	0.0533	✓	0.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00222	0.002215	-0.24%	0.00222	+0.00%	0.0031	✗	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0022	0.002195	-0.21%	0.00222	+0.91%	0.0108	✗	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.00224	0.002235	-0.22%	0.0022	-1.79%	0.0159	✓	0.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.00224	0.002235	-0.23%	0.00224	+0.00%	0.0026	✗	0.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0022	0.002196	-0.19%	0.00224	+1.82%	0.0205	✗	0.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.00223	0.002226	-0.20%	0.0022	-1.35%	0.0114	✓	0.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00225	0.002246	-0.16%	0.00223	-0.89%	0.0081	✓	0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.00231	0.002306	-0.15%	0.00225	-2.60%	0.0251	✓	0.04
2026-07-18	oos	0.0024	0.002396	-0.18%	0.00231	-3.75%	0.0364	✓	0.04
2026-07-17	oos	0.00242	0.002416	-0.16%	0.0024	-0.83%	0.0072	✓	0.04
2026-07-16	oos	0.00249	0.002485	-0.19%	0.00242	-2.81%	0.0267	✓	0.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.00253	0.002525	-0.20%	0.00249	-1.58%	0.0133	✓	0.04
2026-07-14	oos	0.00262	0.002614	-0.24%	0.00253	-3.44%	0.0324	✓	0.04
2026-07-13	oos	0.00264	0.002634	-0.22%	0.00262	-0.76%	0.0079	✓	0.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.00282	0.002809	-0.40%	0.00264	-6.38%	0.0618	✓	0.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.00257	0.002563	-0.26%	0.00282	+9.73%	0.0954	✗	0.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00244	0.002435	-0.20%	0.00257	+5.33%	0.0539	✗	0.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.00235	0.002347	-0.12%	0.00244	+3.83%	0.0390	✗	-0.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.00231	0.002309	-0.06%	0.00235	+1.73%	0.0182	✗	-0.03
2026-07-07	oos	0.00258	0.002575	-0.21%	0.00231	-10.47%	0.1099	✓	-0.09
2026-07-06	oos	0.00267	0.002663	-0.25%	0.00258	-3.37%	0.0328	✓	-0.09
2026-07-05	oos	0.00271	0.002703	-0.27%	0.00267	-1.48%	0.0116	✓	-0.08
2026-07-04	oos	0.00273	0.002722	-0.28%	0.00271	-0.73%	0.0039	✓	-0.08
2026-07-03	oos	0.00274	0.002732	-0.28%	0.00273	-0.36%	0.0002	✓	-0.08
2026-07-02	oos	0.00275	0.002743	-0.25%	0.00274	-0.36%	0.0002	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.00287	0.002862	-0.28%	0.00275	-4.18%	0.0388	✓	-0.04
2026-06-30	oos	0.00289	0.002882	-0.26%	0.00287	-0.69%	0.0034	✓	-0.04
2026-06-29	oos	0.00289	0.002881	-0.31%	0.00289	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	-0.04
2026-06-28	oos	0.00293	0.00292	-0.36%	0.00289	-1.37%	0.0098	✓	-0.03
2026-06-27	oos	0.00274	0.002734	-0.23%	0.00293	+6.93%	0.0693	✗	-0.01
2026-06-26	oos	0.00267	0.002666	-0.16%	0.00274	+2.62%	0.0274	✗	-0.01
2026-06-25	oos	0.00275	0.002745	-0.19%	0.00267	-2.91%	0.0276	✓	-0.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.00284	0.002833	-0.26%	0.00275	-3.17%	0.0298	✓	-0.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00289	0.002881	-0.31%	0.00284	-1.73%	0.0148	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.00295	0.00294	-0.35%	0.00289	-2.03%	0.0177	✓	-0.03
2026-06-21	oos	0.00293	0.002921	-0.32%	0.00295	+0.68%	0.0104	✗	-0.03
2026-06-20	oos	0.00298	0.002969	-0.35%	0.00293	-1.68%	0.0140	✓	-0.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.00301	0.002999	-0.38%	0.00298	-1.00%	0.0059	✓	-0.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.00302	0.003009	-0.38%	0.00301	-0.33%	0.0008	✓	-0.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.00302	0.003008	-0.40%	0.00302	+0.00%	0.0032	✓	-0.03
2026-06-16	oos	0.00303	0.003017	-0.41%	0.00302	-0.33%	0.0003	✓	-0.03
2026-06-15	oos	0.00303	0.003017	-0.44%	0.00303	+0.00%	0.0041	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.00299	0.002978	-0.40%	0.00303	+1.34%	0.0175	✗	-0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.00297	0.002959	-0.36%	0.00299	+0.67%	0.0111	✗	-0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.00297	0.002959	-0.36%	0.00297	+0.00%	0.0041	✗	-0.04
2026-06-11	oos	0.00294	0.002931	-0.31%	0.00297	+1.02%	0.0132	✗	-0.04
2026-06-10	oos	0.00291	0.002903	-0.25%	0.00294	+1.03%	0.0143	✗	-0.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.00292	0.002914	-0.21%	0.00291	-0.34%	0.0015	✓	-0.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.00302	0.003011	-0.28%	0.00292	-3.31%	0.0323	✓	-0.07
2026-06-07	oos	0.00302	0.003012	-0.27%	0.00302	+0.00%	0.0025	✓	-0.07
2026-06-06	oos	0.00308	0.003073	-0.23%	0.00302	-1.95%	0.0157	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.00311	0.003102	-0.26%	0.00308	-0.96%	0.0072	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.00308	0.003072	-0.26%	0.00311	+0.97%	0.0111	✗	-0.03
2026-06-03	oos	0.00322	0.003209	-0.35%	0.00308	-4.35%	0.0410	✓	-0.03
2026-06-02	oos	0.00323	0.003217	-0.40%	0.00322	-0.31%	0.0006	✓	-0.04
2026-06-01	oos	0.00323	0.003215	-0.46%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0037	✓	-0.01
2026-05-31	oos	0.00322	0.003205	-0.46%	0.00323	+0.31%	0.0075	✗	-0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.00322	0.003204	-0.48%	0.00322	+0.00%	0.0048	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003195	-0.48%	0.00322	+0.31%	0.0080	✗	-0.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.00323	0.003214	-0.49%	0.00321	-0.62%	0.0013	✓	-0.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.00323	0.003214	-0.51%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0049	✓	-0.02
2026-05-26	oos	0.00323	0.003213	-0.53%	0.00323	+0.00%	0.0049	✓	-0.02
2026-05-25	oos	0.00322	0.003203	-0.54%	0.00323	+0.31%	0.0083	✗	-0.01
2026-05-24	oos	0.00321	0.003193	-0.54%	0.00322	+0.31%	0.0086	✗	-0.01
2026-05-23	oos	0.00317	0.003153	-0.54%	0.00321	+1.26%	0.0181	✗	-0.02
2026-05-22	oos	0.00315	0.003133	-0.55%	0.00317	+0.63%	0.0122	✗	-0.02
2026-05-21	oos	0.00311	0.003093	-0.53%	0.00315	+1.29%	0.0178	✗	-0.01
2026-05-20	oos	0.00309	0.003074	-0.52%	0.00311	+0.65%	0.0117	✗	-0.02
2026-05-19	oos	0.00309	0.003073	-0.55%	0.00309	+0.00%	0.0057	✗	-0.02
2026-05-18	oos	0.00306	0.003042	-0.58%	0.00309	+0.98%	0.0155	✗	-0.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.00304	0.003023	-0.55%	0.00306	+0.66%	0.0120	✗	-0.02
2026-05-16	oos	0.00304	0.003023	-0.58%	0.00304	+0.00%	0.0056	✓	-0.02
2026-05-15	oos	0.00305	0.003031	-0.61%	0.00304	-0.33%	0.0026	✓	-0.02
2026-05-14	oos	0.00305	0.003029	-0.68%	0.00305	+0.00%	0.0062	✓	-0.02
2026-05-13	oos	0.00302	0.002988	-1.06%	0.00305	+0.99%	0.0206	✗	-0.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.00246	0.002451	-0.38%	0.00302	+22.76%	0.2101	✗	0.08
2026-05-11	oos	0.00242	0.00241	-0.43%	0.00246	+1.65%	0.0217	✗	0.07
2026-05-10	oos	0.00226	0.002254	-0.28%	0.00242	+7.08%	0.0716	✗	0.06
2026-05-09	oos	0.00221	0.002203	-0.30%	0.00226	+2.26%	0.0244	✗	0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.00206	0.002056	-0.20%	0.00221	+7.28%	0.0720	✗	0.05
2026-05-07	oos	0.00202	0.002017	-0.17%	0.00206	+1.98%	0.0212	✗	0.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.00203	0.002027	-0.15%	0.00202	-0.49%	0.0027	✓	0.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.00203	0.002026	-0.18%	0.00203	+0.00%	0.0015	✓	0.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.00201	0.002007	-0.17%	0.00203	+1.00%	0.0111	✗	0.04
2026-05-03	oos	0.002	0.001997	-0.17%	0.00201	+0.50%	0.0059	✗	0.05
2026-05-02	oos	0.00201	0.002007	-0.17%	0.002	-0.50%	0.0032	✓	0.05
2026-05-01	oos	0.00202	0.002017	-0.16%	0.00201	-0.50%	0.0036	✓	0.05
2026-04-30	oos	0.00207	0.002066	-0.21%	0.00202	-2.42%	0.0232	✓	0.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.00205	0.002046	-0.20%	0.00207	+0.98%	0.0115	✗	0.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.00209	0.002085	-0.24%	0.00205	-1.91%	0.0167	✓	0.03
2026-04-27	oos	0.0021	0.002095	-0.23%	0.00209	-0.48%	0.0020	✓	0.03
2026-04-26	oos	0.0021	0.002096	-0.21%	0.0021	+0.00%	0.0027	✗	0.03
2026-04-25	oos	0.0021	0.002095	-0.25%	0.0021	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	0.03
2026-04-24	oos	0.0021	0.002094	-0.28%	0.0021	+0.00%	0.0027	✓	0.03
2026-04-23	oos	0.00211	0.002103	-0.33%	0.0021	-0.47%	0.0011	✓	0.03
2026-04-22	oos	0.00211	0.002106	-0.21%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0020	✓	0.03
2026-04-21	oos	0.00211	0.002105	-0.25%	0.00211	+0.00%	0.0017	✓	0.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.00213	0.002124	-0.26%	0.00211	-0.94%	0.0070	✓	0.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.00214	0.002134	-0.30%	0.00213	-0.47%	0.0027	✓	0.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.00212	0.002114	-0.27%	0.00214	+0.94%	0.0131	✗	0.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.00215	0.002144	-0.28%	0.00212	-1.40%	0.0108	✓	0.03
2026-04-16	oos	0.00214	0.002134	-0.29%	0.00215	+0.47%	0.0069	✗	0.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.00215	0.002143	-0.31%	0.00214	-0.47%	0.0017	✓	0.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.00213	0.002124	-0.30%	0.00215	+0.94%	0.0120	✗	0.04
2026-04-13	oos	0.00215	0.002143	-0.30%	0.00213	-0.93%	0.0061	✓	0.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.00215	0.002143	-0.31%	0.00215	+0.00%	0.0138	✓	0.33
2026-04-11	oos	0.00215	0.002143	-0.33%	0.00215	+0.00%	0.0166	✗	0.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.00217	0.002162	-0.35%	0.00215	-0.92%	0.0062	✓	0.32
2026-04-09	oos	0.00222	0.002212	-0.35%	0.00217	-2.25%	0.0248	✓	0.33
2026-04-08	oos	0.00222	0.002212	-0.36%	0.00222	+0.00%	0.0002	✓	0.35
2026-04-07	oos	0.00226	0.002251	-0.38%	0.00222	-1.77%	0.0101	✓	0.34
2026-04-06	oos	0.00226	0.002251	-0.39%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0089	✓	0.29
2026-04-05	oos	0.00226	0.002251	-0.40%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0046	✗	0.29
2026-04-04	oos	0.00226	0.002251	-0.40%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0033	✓	0.29
2026-04-03	oos	0.00226	0.002251	-0.40%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0026	✓	0.29
2026-04-02	oos	0.00222	0.002212	-0.37%	0.00226	+1.80%	0.0213	✗	0.28
2026-04-01	oos	0.00221	0.002201	-0.38%	0.00222	+0.45%	0.0128	✗	0.24
2026-03-31	oos	0.0022	0.002192	-0.37%	0.00221	+0.45%	0.0086	✗	0.20
2026-03-30	oos	0.00219	0.002182	-0.36%	0.0022	+0.46%	0.0037	✗	0.20
2026-03-29	oos	0.00215	0.002144	-0.27%	0.00219	+1.86%	0.0192	✗	0.17
2026-03-28	oos	0.00222	0.002213	-0.31%	0.00215	-3.15%	0.0281	✓	0.17
2026-03-27	oos	0.00221	0.002204	-0.28%	0.00222	+0.45%	0.0074	✗	0.17
2026-03-26	oos	0.00224	0.002233	-0.32%	0.00221	-1.34%	0.0042	✓	0.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.00225	0.002243	-0.33%	0.00224	-0.44%	0.0052	✗	0.18
2026-03-24	oos	0.00225	0.002243	-0.32%	0.00225	+0.00%	0.0013	✓	0.17
2026-03-23	oos	0.00226	0.002252	-0.33%	0.00225	-0.44%	0.0003	✓	0.18
2026-03-22	oos	0.00226	0.002253	-0.31%	0.00226	+0.00%	0.0045	✓	0.18
2026-03-21	oos	0.00227	0.002263	-0.33%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0016	✓	0.18
2026-03-20	oos	0.00226	0.002252	-0.33%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0119	✗	0.18
2026-03-19	oos	0.00224	0.002233	-0.32%	0.00226	+0.89%	0.0106	✗	0.18
2026-03-18	oos	0.00227	0.002262	-0.35%	0.00224	-1.32%	0.0064	✓	0.18
2026-03-17	oos	0.00226	0.002251	-0.38%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0153	✗	0.19
2026-03-16	oos	0.002265	0.002256	-0.39%	0.00226	-0.22%	0.0042	✗	0.20
2026-03-15	oos	0.00228	0.002271	-0.41%	0.002265	-0.66%	0.0079	✓	0.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.00227	0.002261	-0.41%	0.00228	+0.44%	0.0047	✗	0.17
2026-03-13	oos	0.00227	0.002261	-0.39%	0.00227	+0.00%	0.0032	✓	0.17
2026-03-12	oos	0.00228	0.002271	-0.38%	0.00227	-0.44%	0.0016	✓	0.17
2026-03-11	oos	0.00228	0.002273	-0.29%	0.00228	+0.00%	0.0021	✓	0.16
2026-03-10	oos	0.00226	0.002254	-0.27%	0.00228	+0.88%	0.0110	✗	0.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.00227	0.002264	-0.26%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0054	✓	0.16
2026-03-08	oos	0.00225	0.002245	-0.22%	0.00227	+0.89%	0.0053	✗	0.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.00227	0.002265	-0.23%	0.00225	-0.88%	0.0034	✓	0.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.00228	0.002274	-0.25%	0.00227	-0.44%	0.0001	✓	0.16
2026-03-05	oos	0.00228	0.002274	-0.28%	0.00228	+0.00%	0.0094	✗	0.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.00226	0.002253	-0.29%	0.00228	+0.88%	0.0158	✗	0.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.00221	0.002205	-0.24%	0.00226	+2.26%	0.0159	✗	0.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.00226	0.002254	-0.26%	0.00221	-2.21%	0.0187	✓	0.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.00227	0.002264	-0.25%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0083	✓	0.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.00226	0.002253	-0.29%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0114	✗	0.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.00227	0.002263	-0.31%	0.00226	-0.44%	0.0052	✓	0.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.00229	0.00228	-0.45%	0.00227	-0.87%	0.0015	✓	0.24
2026-02-25	oos	0.00229	0.002278	-0.52%	0.00229	+0.00%	0.0069	✗	0.24
2026-02-24	oos	0.00227	0.00226	-0.46%	0.00229	+0.88%	0.0001	✓	0.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.00226	0.002249	-0.50%	0.00227	+0.44%	0.0114	✗	0.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.00223	0.002217	-0.56%	0.00226	+1.35%	0.0305	✗	0.25
2026-02-21	oos	0.00224	0.002226	-0.60%	0.00223	-0.45%	0.0029	✓	0.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.00223	0.002217	-0.60%	0.00224	+0.45%	0.0106	✗	0.25
2026-02-19	oos	0.00225	0.002237	-0.59%	0.00223	-0.89%	0.0068	✓	0.25
2026-02-18	oos	0.00225	0.002237	-0.59%	0.00225	+0.00%	0.0039	✓	0.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.00224	0.002226	-0.61%	0.00225	+0.45%	0.0145	✗	0.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.00222	0.002205	-0.67%	0.00224	+0.90%	0.0211	✗	0.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.00223	0.002214	-0.72%	0.00222	-0.45%	0.0025	✓	0.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.00224	0.00222	-0.88%	0.00223	-0.45%	0.0082	✓	0.27
2026-02-13	oos	0.00225	0.00223	-0.87%	0.00224	-0.44%	0.0005	✓	0.26
2026-02-12	oos	0.00218	0.002165	-0.67%	0.00225	+3.21%	0.0292	✗	0.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.00217	0.002154	-0.74%	0.00218	+0.46%	0.0150	✗	0.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.00212	0.002101	-0.89%	0.00217	+2.36%	0.0391	✗	0.26
2026-02-09	oos	0.00205	0.002031	-0.95%	0.00212	+3.41%	0.0482	✗	0.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.00199	0.001972	-0.90%	0.00205	+3.02%	0.0395	✗	0.28
2026-02-07	oos	0.00198	0.001964	-0.83%	0.00199	+0.51%	0.0094	✗	0.27
2026-02-06	oos	0.00196	0.001942	-0.93%	0.00198	+1.02%	0.0247	✗	0.28
2026-02-05	oos	0.00195	0.001946	-0.21%	0.00196	+0.51%	0.0261	✓	0.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.00196	0.001941	-0.98%	0.00195	-0.51%	0.1049	✗	0.67
2026-02-03	oos	0.00197	0.001947	-1.15%	0.00196	-0.51%	0.0326	✗	0.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.00201	0.001982	-1.40%	0.00197	-1.99%	0.0247	✗	0.79
2026-02-01	oos	0.00202	0.001997	-1.13%	0.00201	-0.50%	0.0115	✓	0.78
2026-01-31	oos	0.00202	0.001999	-1.05%	0.00202	+0.00%	0.0292	✗	0.83
2026-01-30	oos	0.00198	0.001955	-1.27%	0.00202	+2.02%	0.1171	✗	1.25
2026-01-18	oos	0.016	0.015891	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-01-17	oos	0.01502	0.014935	-0.57%	0.016	+6.52%	0.0903	✗	1.37
2026-01-16	oos	0.0162	0.016066	-0.83%	0.01502	-7.28%	0.0617	✓	1.36
2026-01-15	oos	0.01582	0.015693	-0.80%	0.0162	+2.40%	0.0330	✗	1.36
2026-01-14	oos	0.01685	0.01665	-1.19%	0.01582	-6.11%	0.0319	✓	1.35
2026-01-13	oos	0.0148	0.014662	-0.93%	0.01685	+13.85%	0.1192	✗	1.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.0092	0.009198	-0.02%	0.0148	+60.87%	0.4885	✗	-0.29
2026-01-11	oos	0.00251	0.002509	-0.05%	0.0092	+266.53%	1.3016	✗	-0.63
2026-01-10	oos	0.00698	0.007032	+0.74%	0.00251	-64.04%	1.0288	✗	-0.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.01365	0.013688	+0.28%	0.00698	-48.86%	0.6740	✗	-0.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.01735	0.017328	-0.13%	0.01365	-21.33%	0.2408	✓	-0.39
2026-01-07	oos	0.01783	0.017793	-0.21%	0.01735	-2.69%	0.0263	✓	-0.39
2026-01-06	oos	0.01477	0.014791	+0.15%	0.01783	+20.72%	0.1884	✓	0.06
2026-01-05	oos	0.02047	0.020368	-0.50%	0.01477	-27.85%	0.3213	✓	0.00
2026-01-04	oos	0.02045	0.020389	-0.30%	0.02047	+0.10%	0.0056	✗	-0.06
2026-01-03	oos	0.02063	0.020596	-0.17%	0.02045	-0.87%	0.0063	✓	-0.08
2026-01-02	oos	0.02142	0.021409	-0.05%	0.02063	-3.69%	0.0365	✓	-0.08
2026-01-01	oos	0.02652	0.026474	-0.17%	0.02142	-19.23%	0.2137	✓	0.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.033085	0.033002	-0.25%	0.02652	-19.84%	0.2242	✓	0.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.035535	0.035437	-0.28%	0.033085	-6.89%	0.0650	✓	0.36
2025-12-29	oos	0.04177	0.04158	-0.45%	0.035535	-14.93%	0.1654	✓	0.57
2025-12-28	oos	0.043405	0.043218	-0.43%	0.04177	-3.77%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.04503	0.044779	-0.56%	0.043405	-3.61%	0.0320	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.04464	0.044397	-0.54%	0.04503	+0.87%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.0449	0.044644	-0.57%	0.04464	-0.58%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.04446	0.044195	-0.60%	0.0449	+0.99%	0.0208	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.04242	0.0422	-0.52%	0.04446	+4.81%	0.0501	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.04292	0.04268	-0.56%	0.04242	-1.16%	0.0067	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.04195	0.041734	-0.51%	0.04292	+2.31%	0.0290	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.04248	0.042253	-0.53%	0.04195	-1.25%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.04246	0.042231	-0.54%	0.04248	+0.05%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.04286	0.04264	-0.51%	0.04246	-0.93%	0.0346	✓	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.04366	0.043427	-0.53%	0.04286	-1.83%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.04486	0.044559	-0.67%	0.04366	-2.67%	0.0015	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.04555	0.045203	-0.76%	0.04486	-1.51%	0.0241	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.04304	0.042762	-0.65%	0.04555	+5.83%	0.0833	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.04337	0.043041	-0.76%	0.04304	-0.76%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.04394	0.043578	-0.82%	0.04337	-1.30%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.04376	0.043287	-1.08%	0.04394	+0.41%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.04159	0.041272	-0.76%	0.04376	+5.22%	0.0531	✗	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.03961	0.039367	-0.61%	0.04159	+5.00%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.03963	0.039424	-0.52%	0.03961	-0.05%	0.0175	✓	1.00
2024-05-25	in	0.01318	0.013131	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2024-05-24	in	0.01303	0.01298	-0.38%	0.01318	+1.15%	0.0122	✗	0.29
2024-05-23	in	0.015	0.014883	-0.78%	0.01303	-13.13%	0.1356	✓	0.29
2024-05-22	in	0.01492	0.014823	-0.65%	0.015	+0.54%	0.0170	✗	0.30
2024-05-21	in	0.01455	0.014449	-0.69%	0.01492	+2.54%	0.0365	✗	0.30
2024-05-20	in	0.01506	0.014904	-1.04%	0.01455	-3.39%	0.0186	✓	0.30
2024-05-19	in	0.01277	0.012735	-0.27%	0.01506	+17.93%	0.1537	✗	0.19
2024-05-18	in	0.0139	0.013858	-0.30%	0.01277	-8.13%	0.0800	✓	0.17
2024-05-17	in	0.02106	0.020836	-1.06%	0.0139	-34.00%	0.4045	✓	0.15
2024-05-16	in	0.02143	0.021125	-1.42%	0.02106	-1.73%	0.0073	✓	0.15
2024-05-15	in	0.01842	0.018323	-0.53%	0.02143	+16.34%	0.1594	✗	0.19
2024-05-14	in	0.01898	0.018904	-0.40%	0.01842	-2.95%	0.0420	✓	0.22
2024-05-13	in	0.01992	0.019818	-0.51%	0.01898	-4.72%	0.0378	✓	0.24
2024-05-12	in	0.02084	0.020734	-0.51%	0.01992	-4.41%	0.0461	✓	0.26
2024-05-11	in	0.02091	0.020806	-0.50%	0.02084	-0.33%	0.0010	✓	0.26
2024-05-10	in	0.0208	0.020699	-0.48%	0.02091	+0.53%	0.0100	✗	0.26
2024-05-09	in	0.02086	0.020737	-0.59%	0.0208	-0.29%	0.0126	✗	0.26
2024-05-08	in	0.01942	0.019352	-0.35%	0.02086	+7.42%	0.0679	✗	0.23
2024-05-07	in	0.01985	0.019773	-0.39%	0.01942	-2.17%	0.0137	✓	0.23
2024-05-06	in	0.02016	0.020079	-0.40%	0.01985	-1.54%	0.0084	✓	0.23
2024-05-05	in	0.02281	0.02266	-0.66%	0.02016	-11.62%	0.1142	✓	0.20
2024-05-04	in	0.02392	0.023726	-0.81%	0.02281	-4.64%	0.0398	✓	0.20
2024-05-03	in	0.02282	0.022678	-0.62%	0.02392	+4.82%	0.0502	✗	0.20
2024-05-02	in	0.02435	0.024201	-0.61%	0.02282	-6.28%	0.0747	✓	0.25
2024-05-01	in	0.02097	0.020946	-0.12%	0.02435	+16.12%	0.1473	✗	0.24
2024-04-30	in	0.02015	0.020139	-0.06%	0.02097	+4.07%	0.0511	✗	0.27
2024-04-29	in	0.02293	0.022816	-0.50%	0.02015	-12.12%	0.1135	✓	0.21
2024-04-28	in	0.0245	0.024879	+1.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2024-04-27	in	0.02435	0.024747	+1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2024-04-26	in	0.02423	0.024642	+1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2024-04-25	in	0.02626	0.026085	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2024-04-24	in	0.02703	0.026837	-0.72%	0.02626	-2.85%	0.0227	✓	0.18
2024-04-23	in	0.027	0.026783	-0.81%	0.02703	+0.11%	0.0151	✗	0.18
2024-04-22	in	0.02669	0.026477	-0.80%	0.027	+1.16%	0.0208	✗	0.18
2024-04-21	in	0.02599	0.025839	-0.58%	0.02669	+2.69%	0.0274	✗	0.17
2024-04-20	in	0.02558	0.025454	-0.49%	0.02599	+1.60%	0.0209	✗	0.23
2024-04-19	in	0.02598	0.025871	-0.42%	0.02558	-1.54%	0.0154	✓	0.24
2024-04-18	in	0.02532	0.025258	-0.24%	0.02598	+2.61%	0.0269	✗	0.24
2024-04-17	in	0.02369	0.023741	+0.21%	0.02532	+6.88%	0.0567	✓	0.22
2024-04-16	in	0.02315	0.023189	+0.17%	0.02369	+2.33%	0.0327	✓	0.28
2024-04-15	in	0.02325	0.023313	+0.27%	0.02315	-0.43%	0.0085	✗	0.27
2024-04-14	in	0.02903	0.028954	-0.26%	0.02325	-19.91%	0.2137	✓	0.16
2024-04-13	in	0.03004	0.029979	-0.20%	0.02903	-3.36%	0.0367	✓	0.17
2024-04-12	in	0.0332	0.033023	-0.53%	0.03004	-9.52%	0.0877	✓	0.15
2024-04-11	in	0.03425	0.034066	-0.54%	0.0332	-3.07%	0.0206	✓	0.12
2024-04-10	in	0.03462	0.034423	-0.57%	0.03425	-1.07%	0.0050	✓	0.00
2024-04-09	in	0.03512	0.034891	-0.65%	0.03462	-1.42%	0.0078	✓	0.00
2024-04-08	in	0.0334	0.033204	-0.59%	0.03512	+5.15%	0.0570	✗	0.03
2024-04-07	in	0.03248	0.032316	-0.50%	0.0334	+2.83%	0.0318	✗	0.04
2024-04-06	in	0.03219	0.032057	-0.41%	0.03248	+0.90%	0.0129	✗	0.03
2024-04-05	in	0.03233	0.032217	-0.35%	0.03219	-0.43%	0.0011	✓	0.02
2024-04-04	in	0.03273	0.032612	-0.36%	0.03233	-1.22%	0.0086	✓	0.01
2024-04-03	in	0.03202	0.031994	-0.08%	0.03273	+2.22%	0.0222	✗	0.01
2024-04-02	in	0.03355	0.033512	-0.11%	0.03202	-4.56%	0.0455	✓	-0.01
2024-04-01	in	0.03349	0.033394	-0.29%	0.03355	+0.18%	0.0072	✗	0.04
2024-03-31	in	0.03688	0.036643	-0.64%	0.03349	-9.19%	0.0899	✓	0.00
2024-03-30	in	0.03402	0.033942	-0.23%	0.03688	+8.41%	0.0838	✗	-0.03
2024-03-29	in	0.03666	0.036516	-0.39%	0.03402	-7.20%	0.0710	✓	-0.04
2024-03-28	in	0.03577	0.035663	-0.30%	0.03666	+2.49%	0.0272	✗	-0.03
2024-03-27	in	0.03686	0.036775	-0.23%	0.03577	-2.96%	0.0272	✓	-0.03
2024-03-26	in	0.03745	0.03735	-0.27%	0.03686	-1.58%	0.0139	✓	-0.09
2024-03-25	in	0.03409	0.03414	+0.15%	0.03745	+9.86%	0.0927	✓	-0.10
2024-03-24	in	0.03725	0.037312	+0.17%	0.03409	-8.48%	0.0880	✗	-0.06
2024-03-23	in	0.04137	0.041365	-0.01%	0.03725	-9.96%	0.1041	✓	-0.01
2024-03-22	in	0.03915	0.039199	+0.12%	0.04137	+5.67%	0.0539	✓	0.02
2024-03-21	in	0.03636	0.036512	+0.42%	0.03915	+7.67%	0.0711	✓	0.05
2024-03-20	in	0.03555	0.035688	+0.39%	0.03636	+2.28%	0.0209	✓	0.06
2024-03-19	in	0.03452	0.034756	+0.68%	0.03555	+2.98%	0.0195	✓	0.03
2024-03-18	in	0.03238	0.032593	+0.66%	0.03452	+6.61%	0.0707	✓	0.15
2024-03-15	in	0.03782	0.038084	+0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2024-03-14	in	0.04192	0.042042	+0.29%	0.03782	-9.78%	0.1019	✗	0.15
2024-03-13	in	0.03145	0.031701	+0.80%	0.04192	+33.29%	0.2819	✓	0.10
2024-03-12	in	0.03096	0.031228	+0.86%	0.03145	+1.58%	0.0052	✓	0.08
2024-03-11	in	0.03076	0.031032	+0.88%	0.03096	+0.65%	0.0016	✓	0.08
2024-03-10	in	0.03021	0.030503	+0.97%	0.03076	+1.82%	0.0051	✓	0.07
2024-03-09	in	0.03103	0.031343	+1.01%	0.03021	-2.64%	0.0371	✗	0.03
2024-03-08	in	0.03067	0.030973	+0.99%	0.03103	+1.17%	0.0017	✓	0.04
2024-03-07	in	0.03203	0.032332	+0.94%	0.03067	-4.25%	0.0528	✗	0.00
2024-03-06	in	0.03185	0.032128	+0.87%	0.03203	+0.57%	0.0025	✓	-0.04
2024-03-05	in	0.03223	0.032458	+0.71%	0.03185	-1.18%	0.0136	✗	-0.15
2024-03-04	in	0.03272	0.032887	+0.51%	0.03223	-1.50%	0.0330	✗	-0.19
2024-03-03	in	0.03195	0.032046	+0.30%	0.03272	+2.41%	0.0357	✓	-0.19
2024-03-02	in	0.03243	0.03245	+0.06%	0.03195	-1.48%	0.0125	✗	-0.17
2024-03-01	in	0.03357	0.033515	-0.16%	0.03243	-3.40%	0.0340	✓	-0.18
2024-02-29	in	0.03435	0.034197	-0.45%	0.03357	-2.27%	0.0149	✓	-0.18
2024-02-28	in	0.03541	0.035128	-0.80%	0.03435	-2.99%	0.0266	✓	-0.20
2024-02-27	in	0.03443	0.034088	-0.99%	0.03541	+2.85%	0.0594	✗	-0.24
2024-02-26	in	0.03237	0.032086	-0.88%	0.03443	+6.36%	0.0832	✗	-0.28
2024-02-25	in	0.03101	0.030764	-0.79%	0.03237	+4.39%	0.0679	✗	-0.32
2024-02-24	in	0.0299	0.029678	-0.74%	0.03101	+3.71%	0.0449	✗	-0.32
2024-02-23	in	0.02978	0.02956	-0.74%	0.0299	+0.40%	0.0162	✗	-0.30
2024-02-22	in	0.03038	0.030147	-0.77%	0.02978	-1.97%	0.0154	✓	-0.31
2024-02-21	in	0.02982	0.029604	-0.72%	0.03038	+1.88%	0.0222	✗	-0.32

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.