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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · gru_s1

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
792
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
234
of 264 predictions shown
direction hit
53.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3341
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0487
actual +0.0948

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos3.42193.2571-4.82%–pending––1.27
2026-10-20oos3.38263.2245-4.67%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.9522-4.61%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.9337-4.60%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.965-4.80%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.0115-5.16%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.8523-5.72%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.8853-6.45%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.1053-7.24%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.1298-7.29%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5434-7.60%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3774-7.14%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3841-6.68%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.3788-6.30%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.3531-6.15%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.5721-6.38%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.7801-5.93%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.468-5.36%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.3725-5.44%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.3551-5.52%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.5827-5.84%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.7033-6.24%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.667-6.76%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.1165-7.31%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.3065-7.48%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.4729-7.66%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.4809-7.65%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.6875-7.60%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.9334-7.26%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.7027-7.19%–pending––1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.3944-7.26%3.4219-27.79%0.1841✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.4116-7.60%3.3826-29.15%0.3015✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.4511-7.45%3.0947-35.65%0.3757✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.4222-7.26%3.0752-35.51%0.3861✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.4526-7.44%3.1146-35.26%0.4739✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.2722-7.20%3.1752-31.03%0.4198✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.7435-6.87%3.0253-24.73%0.3635✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.0906-6.79%3.0842-29.72%0.3573✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.8348-6.77%3.3476-18.61%0.2730✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.9284-6.82%3.3759-19.92%0.2490✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.0622-6.65%3.8347-11.88%0.1963✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0079-6.63%3.6372-15.26%0.2359✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.2525-6.05%3.6262-19.88%0.2505✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.5437-5.92%3.6061-25.33%0.3022✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.4724-5.34%3.5727-24.38%0.3169✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.3096-4.55%3.8154-15.49%0.2315✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5448-4.42%4.0187-15.48%0.2483✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.6636-3.42%3.6643-24.12%0.3787✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.361-1.83%3.5667-19.71%0.2746✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6931-2.59%3.5512-6.34%0.1740✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4474-2.06%3.8048+8.09%0.0444✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.5095-1.60%3.9499+10.75%0.0341✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.4767-1.46%3.9328+11.46%0.0550✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.516-1.06%4.4413+24.97%0.1739✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.4719-0.69%4.6547+33.14%0.2178✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.7301+0.52%4.844+30.54%0.2161✓0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.4352-0.48%4.8522+40.57%0.2909✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.2769-0.21%5.0729+54.48%0.3749✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.4314+0.93%5.3196+56.46%0.3806✓0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.5806+0.24%5.0667+41.84%0.2466✓0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.2377+1.52%4.7386+48.58%0.2692✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.2306+3.32%4.7745+52.70%0.3561✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6354-1.23%4.8092+80.24%0.5146✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4929-4.25%4.7687+83.15%0.4959✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2167-6.02%4.8107+103.95%0.6184✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1843-6.25%4.6035+97.57%0.5826✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1285-6.53%4.0195+76.51%0.4526✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.1139-6.55%4.3885+94.01%0.5194✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0875-6.60%4.1132+84.03%0.4828✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.122-6.57%4.2158+85.61%0.4945✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1829-6.54%4.3518+86.32%0.4893✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.259-6.58%4.2923+77.50%0.4544✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2249-6.61%4.5262+89.98%0.5032✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.155-6.45%4.8297+109.67%0.6039✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.1317-6.60%4.7248+107.03%0.5837✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1556-6.21%4.5148+96.43%0.5141✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2254-6.28%4.7547+100.25%0.5283✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0557-5.91%4.8289+121.01%0.6268✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.9405-5.73%4.4421+115.80%0.5793✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8915-5.68%3.7914+89.05%0.4914✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9149-5.80%3.52+73.16%0.3993✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9033-5.65%3.5664+76.80%0.3957✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.9518-5.57%3.5283+70.70%0.3723✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.1552-5.47%3.5537+55.87%0.3183✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.0603-5.41%3.4962+60.52%0.3441✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.171-5.54%3.7108+61.45%0.3266✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0145-5.36%3.4518+62.16%0.3453✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0351-5.04%3.2837+53.22%0.3158✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9576-5.09%3.3999+64.84%0.3659✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9315-4.94%3.5721+75.80%0.4439✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0635-4.56%3.1894+47.52%0.2906✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2079-4.02%3.1267+35.92%0.2085✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.2487-4.12%2.6682+13.77%0.0946✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0797-4.56%2.6037+19.49%0.1797✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.1032-4.83%2.3588+6.74%0.1147✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.1484-4.79%2.33+3.26%0.0847✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1746-5.00%2.2771-0.53%0.0596✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.167-5.20%2.262-1.05%0.0529✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2692-6.10%2.235-7.51%0.0066✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.4125-6.95%2.2713-12.40%0.0411✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1271-7.69%2.3356+1.36%0.0811✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4387-7.34%2.4181-8.12%0.0065✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.3876-7.36%2.3824-7.56%0.0035✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.5038-6.91%2.3035-14.36%0.0910✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2287-7.00%2.2822-4.77%0.0065✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.1638-7.13%2.2984-1.35%0.0319✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.2912-6.76%2.3744-3.38%0.0260✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.4142-6.31%2.1849-15.21%0.1060✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.2982-6.50%2.0584-16.26%0.1151✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.0557-6.60%2.0055-8.88%0.0286✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.9743-6.59%2.0328-3.82%0.0193✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.9316-6.64%2.0172-2.50%0.0303✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9301-6.81%2.0669-0.21%0.0380✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7209-6.93%2.28+23.31%0.2255✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7318-6.91%2.1781+17.08%0.1959✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6062-7.01%2.2984+33.05%0.3178✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5984-7.05%2.1286+23.78%0.2527✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6938-7.08%2.1431+17.57%0.1874✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4955-7.06%2.0626+28.18%0.2815✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5747-7.14%2.0319+19.82%0.2285✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3999-6.96%2.162+43.68%0.4082✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4958-7.06%2.3005+42.95%0.4089✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4567-7.08%2.3453+49.61%0.4436✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4479-6.99%2.179+39.98%0.3992✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4364-7.07%2.2098+42.97%0.4181✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4927-7.39%2.2564+39.99%0.3925✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5908-7.55%2.2892+33.04%0.3693✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6038-7.48%2.2859+31.87%0.3723✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5669-7.26%2.4166+43.03%0.4494✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5624-7.37%2.5928+53.72%0.5136✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5094-7.51%2.3042+41.20%0.4461✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4212-7.56%2.6319+71.19%0.6142✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4378-7.72%2.5774+65.42%0.5816✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2872-7.50%2.6896+93.27%0.7139✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4541-8.15%2.3965+51.38%0.4867✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3569-7.98%2.33+58.02%0.5484✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3198-7.93%2.4575+71.44%0.6215✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3179-7.88%2.5769+80.11%0.6402✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.3854-8.15%2.458+62.95%0.5469✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3367-8.01%2.201+51.47%0.5069✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6316-8.61%2.1136+18.38%0.2767✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4718-8.23%2.0689+28.99%0.4182✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2465-7.24%2.0712+54.13%0.7519✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2799-7.02%1.849+34.33%0.6963✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2753-6.84%1.8603+35.89%0.6545✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1753-6.65%1.7274+37.19%0.6675✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0945-6.62%1.7196+46.70%0.7280✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0645-6.11%1.8228+60.77%0.8329✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.111-6.11%1.6091+35.99%0.6988✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2933-6.25%1.6959+22.92%0.5603✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2169-5.76%1.5047+16.53%0.4616✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1598-5.51%1.6094+31.11%0.5427✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1251-5.50%1.5676+31.67%0.5415✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3427-5.84%1.5567+9.16%0.3530✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.2074-5.40%1.5456+21.09%0.4657✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0871-4.77%1.6118+41.20%0.6096✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.917751-3.49%1.7207+80.95%0.8284✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.836044-3.17%1.7335+100.76%0.9213✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.849683-3.42%1.6896+92.04%0.8782✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.826923-3.62%1.6867+96.59%0.9277✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.886131-3.18%1.6319+78.31%0.8753✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.863318-3.75%1.5373+71.39%0.8460✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.906763-2.14%1.5581+68.16%0.8249✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.983507-1.62%1.3916+39.19%0.6838✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.047-0.93%1.5831+49.80%0.7534✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0408-1.27%1.4745+39.87%0.6419✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0664-1.35%1.4334+32.60%0.5774✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.980136-1.06%1.4307+44.42%0.7029✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.956781+0.31%1.5084+58.14%0.8126✓1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.968408+0.16%1.4531+50.29%0.6529✓1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.904783+0.21%1.7854+97.74%0.8967✓0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.920911-0.13%1.6039+73.94%0.7198✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.907306-0.08%1.3438+48.00%0.4925✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.905245+0.19%1.3765+52.35%0.4814✓1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.884558+0.09%1.369+54.91%0.4715✓1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.945196-0.34%1.2591+32.75%0.3198✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.897052+0.11%1.1722+30.81%0.3097✓1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.867964+0.52%1.1338+31.30%0.3128✓1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.922339+0.65%1.1832+29.12%0.2913✓1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.930427+0.09%1.3796+48.41%0.3999✓1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.944444-0.12%1.2913+36.57%0.3203✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.926708+0.25%1.2275+32.79%0.3063✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.87615-0.35%1.1906+35.42%0.3496✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.876034-2.45%1.426+58.80%0.4684✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.868357-3.42%1.2764+41.96%0.3598✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.849501-4.63%1.1415+28.15%0.2480✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.938112-4.16%0.9509-2.86%0.0054✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0169-3.04%0.86345-17.67%0.1684✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.999608-4.43%0.8798-15.88%0.1736✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.99049-4.93%0.858-17.65%0.2093✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.972752-5.17%0.9152-10.78%0.1673✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.093-4.39%0.897-21.54%0.2729✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0268-6.02%0.92655-15.20%0.2576✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1463-4.96%0.99975-17.11%0.2688✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0814-4.87%1.0568-7.04%0.1630✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.951741-6.19%1.0542+3.91%0.0323✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.935462-6.38%1.081+8.18%0.0054✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0142-5.77%0.99065-7.96%0.1461✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.959083-6.41%0.95385-6.92%0.1981✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.94286-6.47%0.96685-4.09%0.1574✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.922201-6.57%0.9029-8.53%0.2178✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.920696-6.94%0.9221-6.80%0.1821✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.885443-6.66%0.908-4.28%0.1609✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.833411-6.42%0.9035+1.45%0.0803✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.815522-6.53%0.88375+1.29%0.0497✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.761074-5.73%0.94845+17.48%0.0754✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.77815-5.88%0.89605+8.38%0.0265✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.804076-6.31%0.8635+0.61%0.1055✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.824418-6.58%0.9164+3.84%0.0899✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.844723-7.34%0.9296+1.97%0.0445✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.938647-5.73%0.94555-5.04%0.0869✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.98356-3.28%0.9244-9.10%0.1812✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.89585-6.19%0.8792-7.94%0.1314✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.885831-5.67%0.898-4.38%0.1236✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05270.998231-5.17%0.8991-14.59%0.2150✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0144-4.61%0.89075-16.24%0.1831✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1461-3.91%0.97885-17.94%0.2516✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1739-3.11%1.0488-13.44%0.2055✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.275-1.63%1.0459-19.30%0.2173✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1403-1.93%1.0419-10.39%0.0894✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.0505-3.19%1.0257-5.47%0.0452✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0692-3.48%1.1433+3.20%0.0149✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0604-3.47%1.0926-0.55%0.0330✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.113-3.42%1.2061+4.66%0.0381✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0318-3.73%1.1368+6.07%0.0510✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0173-3.66%1.0145-3.92%0.0332✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.981526-3.80%0.99925-2.07%0.0266✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.977708-4.13%1.0763+5.55%0.0068✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0863-3.82%1.0248-9.27%0.0860✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.097-3.66%1.008-11.47%0.1000✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1701-3.23%0.9871-18.36%0.1089✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.3368-2.53%0.98935-27.86%0.2070✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2526-3.51%0.9486-26.93%0.2532✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.3119-3.48%0.8906-34.48%0.3751✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3103-3.57%0.8725-35.78%0.4510✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3374-3.48%0.8073-41.74%0.5006✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3082-3.59%0.82675-39.07%0.4607✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3769-3.60%0.85825-39.91%0.4516✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4021-3.64%0.8825-39.35%0.4335✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3773-3.67%0.91165-36.24%0.5036✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3373-3.72%0.9957-28.32%0.4212✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3894-3.93%1.017-29.69%0.3666✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4665-3.80%0.955-37.35%0.4835✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4728-3.86%0.9391-38.70%0.4479✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4181-3.96%1.0527-28.71%0.3266✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3893-3.92%1.0634-26.46%0.3269✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5256-3.97%1.1928-24.92%0.2818✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6228-3.85%1.2116-28.22%0.3263✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6115-3.91%1.2961-22.71%0.2899✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5848-3.82%1.1627-29.44%0.3802✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5384-3.68%1.0852-32.06%0.4057✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3755-3.72%1.1078-22.46%0.2896✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.363-3.75%1.0986-22.42%0.2725✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4103-4.07%1.1523-21.62%0.2268✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4838-4.20%1.0717-30.80%0.3268✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5554-3.97%1.0559-34.81%0.3828✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5637-3.84%1.0204-37.25%0.4151✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5993-3.82%1.0198-38.67%0.3832✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.387-3.64%1.1295-21.53%0.2742✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5115-4.06%1.1386-27.72%0.2139✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4178-4.27%1.2091-18.36%0.0940✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5279-4.31%1.3715-14.10%0.0289✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4477-4.40%1.2982-14.27%0.0090✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4963-4.46%1.3592-13.22%0.0372✓1.00