LAPTOP
Hunter Biden's Laptop · Base · gru_s1
- token id
- #776
- symbol
- LAPTOP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb095274743941e953c746f9c228da9c18bb6ec29
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 105
Track record at +7d
assessed
28
of 35 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0915
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0495
actual -0.0298
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.06835 | 0.064742 | -5.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0684 | 0.064596 | -5.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0722 | 0.068061 | -5.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.21 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0753 | 0.071153 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0793 | 0.074513 | -6.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.075996 | -6.00% | – | pending | – | – | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07695 | 0.072907 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07705 | 0.072933 | -5.34% | 0.06835 | -11.29% | 0.0708 | ✓ | 0.24 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0796 | 0.075146 | -5.60% | 0.0684 | -14.07% | 0.1004 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.076 | 0.071912 | -5.38% | 0.0722 | -5.00% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07515 | 0.071915 | -4.30% | 0.0753 | +0.20% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07515 | 0.071454 | -4.92% | 0.0793 | +5.52% | 0.1149 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.07705 | 0.073302 | -4.86% | 0.08085 | +4.93% | 0.1071 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07725 | 0.073364 | -5.03% | 0.07695 | -0.39% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.07545 | 0.072631 | -3.74% | 0.07705 | +2.12% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.0899 | 0.08401 | -6.55% | 0.0796 | -11.46% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0746 | 0.071455 | -4.22% | 0.076 | +1.88% | 0.0906 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07235 | 0.069512 | -3.92% | 0.07515 | +3.87% | 0.1258 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0725 | 0.069473 | -4.18% | 0.07515 | +3.66% | 0.1118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.07405 | 0.071391 | -3.59% | 0.07705 | +4.05% | 0.0981 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.07072 | -3.26% | 0.07725 | +5.68% | 0.1118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0818 | 0.078045 | -4.59% | 0.07545 | -7.76% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0796 | 0.076741 | -3.59% | 0.0899 | +12.94% | 0.1616 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.0783 | 0.07567 | -3.36% | 0.0746 | -4.73% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.07785 | 0.075398 | -3.15% | 0.07235 | -7.06% | 0.0684 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0813 | 0.077967 | -4.10% | 0.0725 | -10.82% | 0.0966 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.0819 | 0.078403 | -4.27% | 0.07405 | -9.58% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.0736 | 0.07144 | -2.94% | 0.0731 | -0.68% | 0.0181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.073 | 0.070779 | -3.04% | 0.0818 | +12.05% | 0.1392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0689 | 0.066806 | -3.04% | 0.0796 | +15.53% | 0.1850 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.07575 | 0.071666 | -5.39% | 0.0783 | +3.37% | 0.1187 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.08595 | 0.079799 | -7.16% | 0.07785 | -9.42% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0879 | 0.08355 | -4.95% | 0.0813 | -7.51% | 0.0672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.10495 | 0.098538 | -6.11% | 0.0819 | -21.96% | 0.2234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.090607 | -13.99% | 0.0736 | -30.14% | 0.2469 | ✓ | 1.00 |