KSKD
Kaskad · Igra · gru_s1
- token id
- #438
- symbol
- KSKD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Igra
- address
- 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-25
- predictions
- 423
Track record at +1d
assessed
140
of 141 predictions shown
direction hit
45.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0543
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0054
actual -0.0042
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004883 | 0.004842 | -0.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004922 | 0.004879 | -0.89% | 0.004883 | -0.80% | 0.0004 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004813 | -0.84% | 0.004922 | +1.41% | 0.0243 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.00524 | 0.005178 | -1.18% | 0.004854 | -7.37% | 0.0652 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.0054 | 0.005342 | -1.09% | 0.00524 | -2.97% | 0.0172 | ✓ | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.006489 | 0.006393 | -1.49% | 0.0054 | -16.78% | 0.1691 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.007413 | 0.00715 | -3.55% | 0.006489 | -12.46% | 0.0995 | ✓ | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004916 | 0.004863 | -1.07% | 0.007413 | +50.79% | 0.4241 | ✗ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004991 | 0.004926 | -1.29% | 0.004916 | -1.49% | 0.0094 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.005084 | 0.005026 | -1.14% | 0.004991 | -1.83% | 0.0007 | ✓ | -0.39 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005203 | 0.005123 | -1.56% | 0.005084 | -2.31% | 0.0187 | ✓ | -0.47 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005152 | 0.00508 | -1.41% | 0.005203 | +0.99% | 0.0278 | ✗ | -0.41 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005563 | 0.005438 | -2.25% | 0.005152 | -7.38% | 0.0522 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005154 | 0.005001 | -2.96% | 0.005563 | +7.95% | 0.1107 | ✗ | -0.40 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003492 | 0.003452 | -1.16% | 0.005154 | +47.56% | 0.3979 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.003406 | 0.003371 | -1.03% | 0.003492 | +2.54% | 0.0317 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.003381 | 0.003344 | -1.10% | 0.003406 | +0.74% | 0.0181 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003272 | 0.003237 | -1.09% | 0.003381 | +3.32% | 0.0423 | ✗ | -0.14 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.003436 | 0.00339 | -1.31% | 0.003272 | -4.74% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -0.12 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.003394 | 0.003351 | -1.25% | 0.003436 | +1.22% | 0.0251 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.003457 | 0.003399 | -1.68% | 0.003394 | -1.82% | 0.0020 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00302 | 0.002984 | -1.20% | 0.003457 | +14.47% | 0.1501 | ✗ | -0.18 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003004 | 0.002967 | -1.22% | 0.00302 | +0.53% | 0.0174 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003096 | 0.003056 | -1.31% | 0.003004 | -2.99% | 0.0165 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.003466 | 0.003402 | -1.85% | 0.003096 | -10.66% | 0.0970 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00388 | 0.003706 | -4.48% | 0.003466 | -10.67% | 0.0669 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.002221 | 0.002173 | -2.14% | 0.00388 | +74.70% | 0.5803 | ✗ | -0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.001571 | 0.001555 | -1.01% | 0.002221 | +41.37% | 0.3559 | ✗ | -0.13 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.001353 | 0.001343 | -0.74% | 0.001571 | +16.11% | 0.1568 | ✗ | -0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.001315 | 0.001306 | -0.67% | 0.001353 | +2.89% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.001338 | 0.001329 | -0.65% | 0.001315 | -1.72% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.001392 | 0.001382 | -0.75% | 0.001338 | -3.88% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.001368 | 0.001357 | -0.79% | 0.001392 | +1.75% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.001328 | 0.001318 | -0.72% | 0.001368 | +3.01% | 0.0349 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0013 | 0.001292 | -0.63% | 0.001328 | +2.15% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.001252 | 0.001244 | -0.61% | 0.0013 | +3.83% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 0.44 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00124 | 0.001231 | -0.71% | 0.001252 | +0.97% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 0.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.001208 | 0.0012 | -0.66% | 0.00124 | +2.65% | 0.0483 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.001204 | 0.001196 | -0.64% | 0.001208 | +0.33% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.45 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.001187 | 0.001182 | -0.45% | 0.001204 | +1.43% | 0.0215 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.001178 | 0.001173 | -0.44% | 0.001187 | +0.76% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.001187 | 0.00118 | -0.59% | 0.001178 | -0.76% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.001169 | 0.001162 | -0.61% | 0.001187 | +1.54% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.001152 | 0.001146 | -0.52% | 0.001169 | +1.48% | 0.0209 | ✗ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.001171 | 0.001163 | -0.65% | 0.001152 | -1.62% | 0.0058 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.001061 | 0.00106 | -0.09% | 0.001171 | +10.42% | 0.1087 | ✗ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.001063 | 0.001063 | -0.02% | 0.001061 | -0.24% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.001026 | 0.001027 | +0.13% | 0.001063 | +3.61% | 0.0330 | ✓ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.00103 | 0.001033 | +0.33% | 0.001026 | -0.39% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.001032 | 0.001034 | +0.22% | 0.00103 | -0.19% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.001081 | 0.001083 | +0.20% | 0.001032 | -4.53% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.001086 | 0.001089 | +0.29% | 0.001081 | -0.46% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.001139 | 0.001142 | +0.26% | 0.001086 | -4.65% | 0.0580 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.0012 | 0.001203 | +0.23% | 0.001139 | -5.08% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.001204 | 0.001206 | +0.18% | 0.0012 | -0.33% | 0.0087 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.001218 | 0.00122 | +0.18% | 0.001204 | -1.15% | 0.0095 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.001322 | 0.001322 | +0.02% | 0.001218 | -7.87% | 0.0940 | ✗ | 0.76 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.001371 | 0.00137 | -0.08% | 0.001322 | -3.57% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.001323 | 0.001322 | -0.06% | 0.001371 | +3.63% | 0.0409 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.001295 | 0.001294 | -0.07% | 0.001323 | +2.16% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.001334 | 0.001333 | -0.10% | 0.001295 | -2.92% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.001455 | 0.001452 | -0.20% | 0.001334 | -8.32% | 0.0717 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.00134 | 0.001337 | -0.20% | 0.001455 | +8.58% | 0.0349 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.001375 | 0.001371 | -0.31% | 0.00134 | -2.55% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.001374 | 0.001369 | -0.38% | 0.001375 | +0.07% | 0.0540 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.001366 | 0.001361 | -0.37% | 0.001374 | +0.59% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001391 | -0.41% | 0.001366 | -2.22% | 0.0407 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001391 | -0.41% | 0.001397 | +0.00% | 0.0066 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.001424 | -0.45% | 0.001397 | -2.31% | 0.0194 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.00143 | 0.001423 | -0.46% | 0.00143 | +0.00% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.001488 | 0.001479 | -0.58% | 0.00143 | -3.90% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.001402 | 0.001395 | -0.48% | 0.001488 | +6.13% | 0.0660 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.001393 | 0.001386 | -0.49% | 0.001402 | +0.65% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.001395 | 0.001388 | -0.50% | 0.001393 | -0.14% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.00139 | 0.001383 | -0.50% | 0.001395 | +0.36% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.001413 | 0.001405 | -0.55% | 0.00139 | -1.63% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.001412 | 0.001404 | -0.54% | 0.001413 | +0.07% | 0.0024 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.001415 | 0.001407 | -0.58% | 0.001412 | -0.21% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.001424 | 0.001415 | -0.62% | 0.001415 | -0.63% | 0.0077 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.001425 | 0.001416 | -0.62% | 0.001424 | -0.07% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.001416 | 0.001407 | -0.60% | 0.001425 | +0.64% | 0.0128 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.001404 | 0.001396 | -0.54% | 0.001416 | +0.85% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.001401 | 0.001393 | -0.56% | 0.001404 | +0.21% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.001424 | 0.001415 | -0.63% | 0.001401 | -1.62% | 0.0166 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.001476 | 0.001465 | -0.74% | 0.001424 | -3.52% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.001396 | 0.001386 | -0.71% | 0.001476 | +5.73% | 0.0622 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.001373 | 0.001364 | -0.62% | 0.001396 | +1.68% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001299 | -0.62% | 0.001373 | +5.05% | 0.0805 | ✗ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.001325 | 0.001317 | -0.60% | 0.001307 | -1.36% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.00129 | 0.001284 | -0.50% | 0.001325 | +2.71% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.001261 | 0.001255 | -0.48% | 0.00129 | +2.30% | 0.0426 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.001246 | 0.001241 | -0.43% | 0.001261 | +1.20% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.001288 | 0.001283 | -0.40% | 0.001246 | -3.26% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.00157 | 0.001559 | -0.68% | 0.001288 | -17.96% | 0.2153 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.001618 | 0.001609 | -0.56% | 0.00157 | -2.97% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.001677 | 0.001668 | -0.55% | 0.001618 | -3.52% | 0.0282 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.001787 | 0.001776 | -0.61% | 0.001677 | -6.16% | 0.0751 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.001742 | 0.001734 | -0.47% | 0.001787 | +2.58% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.001788 | 0.001777 | -0.60% | 0.001742 | -2.57% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.001712 | 0.001706 | -0.33% | 0.001788 | +4.44% | 0.0520 | ✗ | 1.26 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.001805 | 0.001803 | -0.09% | 0.001712 | -5.15% | 0.1137 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.001932 | 0.001926 | -0.29% | 0.001805 | -6.57% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.002067 | 0.00206 | -0.36% | 0.001932 | -6.53% | 0.0632 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.002167 | 0.002157 | -0.47% | 0.002067 | -4.61% | 0.0345 | ✓ | 1.44 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.001999 | 0.001998 | -0.06% | 0.002167 | +8.40% | 0.0610 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.00203 | 0.002031 | +0.05% | 0.001999 | -1.53% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 1.36 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.001974 | 0.001978 | +0.21% | 0.00203 | +2.84% | 0.0503 | ✓ | 1.42 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001993 | +0.26% | 0.001974 | -0.70% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 1.43 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.0021 | 0.002106 | +0.28% | 0.001988 | -5.33% | 0.0671 | ✗ | 1.45 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.002318 | 0.002322 | +0.19% | 0.0021 | -9.40% | 0.1125 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.00231 | 0.002318 | +0.36% | 0.002318 | +0.35% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.002346 | 0.002357 | +0.48% | 0.00231 | -1.53% | 0.0454 | ✗ | 1.50 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.002523 | 0.002536 | +0.52% | 0.002346 | -7.02% | 0.1194 | ✗ | 1.66 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.002781 | 0.002795 | +0.51% | 0.002523 | -9.28% | 0.1481 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.003049 | 0.003058 | +0.30% | 0.002781 | -8.79% | 0.0438 | ✗ | 1.85 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.002636 | 0.002654 | +0.67% | 0.003049 | +15.67% | 0.1197 | ✓ | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.002773 | 0.00279 | +0.63% | 0.002636 | -4.94% | 0.0440 | ✗ | 1.67 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.003072 | 0.003088 | +0.52% | 0.002773 | -9.73% | 0.1057 | ✗ | 1.71 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.003242 | 0.003258 | +0.48% | 0.003072 | -5.24% | 0.0674 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.003936 | 0.003944 | +0.20% | 0.003242 | -17.63% | 0.1617 | ✗ | 1.62 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.006008 | 0.005987 | -0.36% | 0.003936 | -34.49% | 0.3925 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.006455 | 0.006423 | -0.50% | 0.006008 | -6.92% | 0.0461 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.006542 | 0.00651 | -0.49% | 0.006455 | -1.33% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.006544 | 0.006511 | -0.51% | 0.006542 | -0.03% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.006634 | 0.0066 | -0.52% | 0.006544 | -1.36% | 0.0202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.006546 | 0.006516 | -0.46% | 0.006634 | +1.34% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.006567 | 0.006534 | -0.50% | 0.006546 | -0.32% | 0.0264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.006569 | 0.006535 | -0.53% | 0.006567 | -0.04% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.006596 | 0.006559 | -0.56% | 0.006569 | -0.40% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.006523 | 0.00649 | -0.50% | 0.006596 | +1.12% | 0.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.006549 | 0.00652 | -0.45% | 0.006523 | -0.40% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.00655 | 0.006524 | -0.40% | 0.006549 | -0.02% | 0.0101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.006531 | 0.006507 | -0.36% | 0.00655 | +0.29% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.006586 | 0.006569 | -0.25% | 0.006531 | -0.84% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.006576 | 0.00656 | -0.24% | 0.006586 | +0.15% | 0.0078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.006607 | 0.006589 | -0.27% | 0.006576 | -0.47% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.006771 | 0.00675 | -0.31% | 0.006607 | -2.42% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.006585 | 0.006577 | -0.13% | 0.006771 | +2.82% | 0.0104 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.006446 | 0.006442 | -0.07% | 0.006585 | +2.16% | 0.0250 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.006345 | 0.006338 | -0.11% | 0.006446 | +1.59% | 0.0614 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006911 | -0.20% | 0.006345 | -8.38% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 1.00 |