KNOTS
KNOTS · Solana · gru_s1
- token id
- #767
- symbol
- KNOTS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 8RVBk8vxLiUHueLUW1f4izFVqN3nWippLhkohKg6EGkS
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1997
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0097
actual -0.0582
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003417 | 0.003357 | -1.77% | – | pending | – | – | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00358 | 0.003489 | -2.53% | 0.003417 | -4.54% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003164 | 0.003096 | -2.15% | 0.00358 | +13.15% | 0.0899 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.002509 | 0.002487 | -0.87% | 0.003164 | +26.11% | 0.2494 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002929 | 0.00289 | -1.32% | 0.002509 | -14.34% | 0.1743 | ✓ | 4.29 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002911 | 0.00288 | -1.05% | 0.002929 | +0.62% | 0.0230 | ✗ | 4.31 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003261 | 0.003209 | -1.60% | 0.002911 | -10.73% | 0.0646 | ✓ | 4.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.003038 | 0.003003 | -1.17% | 0.003261 | +7.34% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 4.26 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002995 | 0.002966 | -0.99% | 0.003038 | +1.42% | 0.1088 | ✗ | 4.55 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.003356 | 0.003324 | -0.95% | 0.002995 | -10.74% | 0.1811 | ✓ | 4.67 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0045 | 0.004371 | -2.86% | 0.003356 | -25.41% | 0.1604 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.003239 | 0.003203 | -1.11% | 0.0045 | +38.92% | 0.3009 | ✗ | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.002974 | 0.002959 | -0.49% | 0.003239 | +8.91% | 0.0859 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.003605 | 0.003572 | -0.91% | 0.002974 | -17.50% | 0.1936 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.003288 | 0.003273 | -0.46% | 0.003605 | +9.64% | 0.1158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005163 | 0.00502 | -2.76% | 0.003288 | -36.31% | 0.3963 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002456 | 0.002455 | -0.06% | 0.005163 | +110.16% | 0.7458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.003661 | 0.00363 | -0.84% | 0.002456 | -32.90% | 0.3817 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.002535 | 0.002537 | +0.06% | 0.003661 | +44.39% | 0.3462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.002868 | 0.002871 | +0.11% | 0.002535 | -11.59% | 0.1271 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.00498 | +0.11% | 0.002868 | -42.35% | 0.5478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006722 | 0.00671 | -0.17% | 0.004975 | -25.99% | 0.3146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007297 | 0.007274 | -0.31% | 0.006722 | -7.87% | 0.0779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006679 | 0.006676 | -0.05% | 0.007297 | +9.24% | 0.0866 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00815 | 0.008127 | -0.28% | 0.006679 | -18.04% | 0.1842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.011331 | 0.011231 | -0.87% | 0.00815 | -28.07% | 0.3212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.00964 | 0.009601 | -0.41% | 0.011331 | +17.54% | 0.1618 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01419 | 0.014075 | -0.81% | 0.00964 | -32.06% | 0.3750 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01521 | 0.015079 | -0.86% | 0.01419 | -6.71% | 0.0608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01505 | 0.014946 | -0.69% | 0.01521 | +1.06% | 0.0388 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02248 | 0.022163 | -1.41% | 0.01505 | -33.05% | 0.3825 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02179 | 0.021493 | -1.36% | 0.02248 | +3.17% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021875 | 0.021532 | -1.57% | 0.02179 | -0.39% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 1.00 |