KAS

Kaspa · Kaspa · gru_s1

token id: #115
symbol: KAS
variant: –
chain: Kaspa
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-19
predictions: 2,079

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0607

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0122

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.037705	0.036826	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-10-20	oos	0.03737	0.036484	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.21
2026-10-19	oos	0.0351	0.03454	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-18	oos	0.035465	0.034904	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-17	oos	0.035295	0.034808	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.036135	0.035544	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.035945	0.035339	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-14	oos	0.03702	0.036393	-1.69%	0.037705	+1.85%	0.0191	✗	1.19
2026-10-13	oos	0.038605	0.037806	-2.07%	0.03737	-3.20%	0.0093	✓	1.18
2026-10-12	oos	0.038425	0.037712	-1.86%	0.0351	-8.65%	0.0732	✓	1.18
2026-10-11	oos	0.041375	0.040343	-2.49%	0.035465	-14.28%	0.1066	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.040775	0.039809	-2.37%	0.035295	-13.44%	0.1002	✓	1.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.0414	0.040356	-2.52%	0.036135	-12.72%	0.0966	✓	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.03917	0.038311	-2.19%	0.035945	-8.23%	0.0694	✓	1.08
2026-10-07	oos	0.040535	0.039503	-2.54%	0.03702	-8.67%	0.0428	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.043225	0.042001	-2.83%	0.038605	-10.69%	0.0545	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.04348	0.042263	-2.80%	0.038425	-11.63%	0.0463	✓	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.042675	0.041582	-2.56%	0.041375	-3.05%	0.0296	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.043115	0.041961	-2.68%	0.040775	-5.43%	0.0057	✓	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.042085	0.040982	-2.62%	0.0414	-1.63%	0.0347	✗	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.041435	0.040377	-2.55%	0.03917	-5.47%	0.0095	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.043475	0.042275	-2.76%	0.040535	-6.76%	0.0384	✓	1.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.042925	0.041719	-2.81%	0.043225	+0.70%	0.0116	✓	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.04546	0.044055	-3.09%	0.04348	-4.36%	0.0422	✓	1.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.04692	0.045407	-3.22%	0.042675	-9.05%	0.0877	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.04781	0.046015	-3.75%	0.043115	-9.82%	0.0693	✓	1.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.04216	0.040913	-2.96%	0.042085	-0.18%	0.0230	✓	1.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.0399	0.038809	-2.73%	0.041435	+3.85%	0.0595	✗	1.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.03851	0.037529	-2.55%	0.043475	+12.89%	0.1578	✗	1.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.04158	0.040391	-2.86%	0.042925	+3.23%	0.0927	✗	1.06
2026-09-21	oos	0.043235	0.041853	-3.20%	0.04546	+5.15%	0.1216	✗	1.05
2026-09-20	oos	0.039935	0.038853	-2.71%	0.04692	+17.49%	0.1475	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.03912	0.038072	-2.68%	0.04781	+22.21%	0.1881	✗	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.03804	0.037116	-2.43%	0.04216	+10.83%	0.0871	✗	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0338	0.033428	-1.10%	0.0399	+18.05%	0.0840	✗	0.93
2026-09-16	oos	0.03291	0.032649	-0.79%	0.03851	+17.02%	0.0703	✗	0.92
2026-09-15	oos	0.032925	0.032718	-0.63%	0.04158	+26.29%	0.1157	✗	0.94
2026-09-14	oos	0.034885	0.03467	-0.61%	0.043235	+23.94%	0.1270	✗	0.92
2026-09-13	oos	0.033285	0.033237	-0.14%	0.039935	+19.98%	0.1337	✗	0.90
2026-09-12	oos	0.03521	0.03508	-0.37%	0.03912	+11.10%	0.0642	✗	0.89
2026-09-11	oos	0.035965	0.035777	-0.52%	0.03804	+5.77%	0.0196	✗	0.90
2026-09-10	oos	0.035345	0.035188	-0.44%	0.0338	-4.37%	0.0380	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.03653	0.036377	-0.42%	0.03291	-9.91%	0.0755	✓	0.89
2026-09-08	oos	0.035455	0.035408	-0.13%	0.032925	-7.14%	0.0397	✓	0.89
2026-09-07	oos	0.03651	0.036254	-0.70%	0.034885	-4.45%	0.0282	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.0323	0.032757	+1.42%	0.033285	+3.05%	0.0603	✓	0.98
2026-09-05	oos	0.03057	0.03116	+1.93%	0.03521	+15.18%	0.1540	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.02944	0.030114	+2.29%	0.035965	+22.16%	0.2084	✓	0.98
2026-09-03	oos	0.029815	0.03064	+2.77%	0.035345	+18.55%	0.2022	✓	0.99
2026-09-02	oos	0.027975	0.028452	+1.70%	0.03653	+30.58%	0.2394	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.027505	0.027983	+1.74%	0.035455	+28.90%	0.2252	✓	0.85
2026-08-31	oos	0.027895	0.02844	+1.95%	0.03651	+30.88%	0.2453	✓	0.67
2026-08-30	oos	0.02709	0.027503	+1.52%	0.0323	+19.23%	0.1370	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.02766	0.028055	+1.43%	0.03057	+10.52%	0.0719	✓	0.69
2026-08-28	oos	0.02804	0.028354	+1.12%	0.02944	+4.99%	0.0215	✓	0.69
2026-08-27	oos	0.02955	0.029974	+1.44%	0.029815	+0.90%	0.0135	✓	0.67
2026-08-26	oos	0.02803	0.028312	+1.01%	0.027975	-0.20%	0.0023	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.02765	0.027837	+0.67%	0.027505	-0.52%	0.0025	✓	0.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.029135	0.029241	+0.36%	0.027895	-4.26%	0.0437	✗	0.65
2026-08-23	oos	0.0293	0.029271	-0.10%	0.02709	-7.54%	0.0769	✓	0.66
2026-08-22	oos	0.029095	0.029039	-0.19%	0.02766	-4.93%	0.0587	✓	0.66
2026-08-21	oos	0.029695	0.029627	-0.23%	0.02804	-5.57%	0.0510	✓	0.66
2026-08-20	oos	0.02801	0.027726	-1.01%	0.02955	+5.50%	0.0043	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.027	0.026657	-1.27%	0.02803	+3.81%	0.0334	✓	0.64
2026-08-18	oos	0.02527	0.024952	-1.26%	0.02765	+9.42%	0.0093	✓	0.58
2026-08-17	oos	0.02566	0.025328	-1.30%	0.029135	+13.54%	0.0199	✗	0.59
2026-08-16	oos	0.02552	0.025192	-1.29%	0.0293	+14.81%	0.0234	✗	0.60
2026-08-15	oos	0.025795	0.025445	-1.36%	0.029095	+12.79%	0.0142	✗	0.60
2026-08-14	oos	0.02542	0.025104	-1.24%	0.029695	+16.82%	0.0383	✗	0.59
2026-08-13	oos	0.0253	0.024998	-1.19%	0.02801	+10.71%	0.0290	✗	0.60
2026-08-12	oos	0.02554	0.025229	-1.22%	0.027	+5.72%	0.0108	✓	0.64
2026-08-11	oos	0.02595	0.02563	-1.23%	0.02527	-2.62%	0.0256	✓	0.64
2026-08-10	oos	0.02587	0.025555	-1.22%	0.02566	-0.81%	0.0016	✓	0.65
2026-08-09	oos	0.02595	0.025625	-1.25%	0.02552	-1.66%	0.0170	✗	0.67
2026-08-08	oos	0.02667	0.026305	-1.37%	0.025795	-3.28%	0.0001	✓	0.67
2026-08-07	oos	0.026445	0.02607	-1.42%	0.02542	-3.88%	0.0048	✓	0.68
2026-08-06	oos	0.02562	0.025282	-1.32%	0.0253	-1.25%	0.0096	✓	0.68
2026-08-05	oos	0.02607	0.025738	-1.27%	0.02554	-2.03%	0.0050	✓	0.68
2026-08-04	oos	0.02641	0.026056	-1.34%	0.02595	-1.74%	0.0016	✓	0.70
2026-08-03	oos	0.02606	0.025711	-1.34%	0.02587	-0.73%	0.0012	✓	0.71
2026-08-02	oos	0.02682	0.02644	-1.42%	0.02595	-3.24%	0.0340	✓	0.73
2026-08-01	oos	0.02677	0.02637	-1.50%	0.02667	-0.37%	0.0128	✓	0.72
2026-07-31	oos	0.027205	0.026808	-1.46%	0.026445	-2.79%	0.0369	✓	0.72
2026-07-30	oos	0.02764	0.027246	-1.42%	0.02562	-7.31%	0.0564	✓	0.73
2026-07-29	oos	0.02739	0.027012	-1.38%	0.02607	-4.82%	0.0434	✓	0.72
2026-07-28	oos	0.027945	0.027551	-1.41%	0.02641	-5.49%	0.0446	✓	0.72
2026-07-27	oos	0.028125	0.027726	-1.42%	0.02606	-7.34%	0.0594	✓	0.72
2026-07-26	oos	0.02929	0.028867	-1.44%	0.02682	-8.43%	0.0535	✓	0.70
2026-07-25	oos	0.02807	0.027703	-1.31%	0.02677	-4.63%	0.0178	✓	0.68
2026-07-24	oos	0.027735	0.027387	-1.26%	0.027205	-1.91%	0.0069	✓	0.68
2026-07-23	oos	0.02799	0.027647	-1.23%	0.02764	-1.25%	0.0032	✓	0.68
2026-07-22	oos	0.02828	0.027977	-1.07%	0.02739	-3.15%	0.0019	✓	0.69
2026-07-21	oos	0.02861	0.028311	-1.05%	0.027945	-2.32%	0.0151	✗	0.69
2026-07-20	oos	0.028365	0.028057	-1.09%	0.028125	-0.85%	0.0184	✗	0.68
2026-07-19	oos	0.02833	0.028019	-1.10%	0.02929	+3.39%	0.0375	✗	0.67
2026-07-18	oos	0.027785	0.027486	-1.07%	0.02807	+1.03%	0.0262	✗	0.67
2026-07-17	oos	0.02788	0.02756	-1.15%	0.027735	-0.52%	0.0044	✓	0.67
2026-07-16	oos	0.02816	0.02786	-1.07%	0.02799	-0.60%	0.0090	✓	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	0.0289	0.028582	-1.10%	0.02828	-2.15%	0.0257	✓	0.72
2026-07-14	oos	0.028605	0.028303	-1.05%	0.02861	+0.02%	0.0061	✓	0.72
2026-07-13	oos	0.0284	0.028078	-1.14%	0.028365	-0.12%	0.0253	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.02847	0.028154	-1.11%	0.02833	-0.49%	0.0052	✓	0.78
2026-07-11	oos	0.029295	0.028947	-1.19%	0.027785	-5.15%	0.0537	✓	0.80
2026-07-10	oos	0.02949	0.029135	-1.21%	0.02788	-5.46%	0.0410	✓	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.02951	0.029139	-1.26%	0.02816	-4.57%	0.0419	✓	0.82
2026-07-08	oos	0.02925	0.028873	-1.29%	0.0289	-1.20%	0.0317	✓	0.83
2026-07-07	oos	0.02924	0.028867	-1.28%	0.028605	-2.17%	0.0310	✓	0.84
2026-07-06	oos	0.0302	0.029793	-1.35%	0.0284	-5.96%	0.0248	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.03094	0.030508	-1.39%	0.02847	-7.98%	0.0713	✓	0.86
2026-07-04	oos	0.03184	0.031359	-1.51%	0.029295	-7.99%	0.0775	✓	0.87
2026-07-03	oos	0.03138	0.030912	-1.49%	0.02949	-6.02%	0.0689	✓	0.86
2026-07-02	oos	0.03096	0.030491	-1.52%	0.02951	-4.68%	0.0560	✓	0.86
2026-07-01	oos	0.03083	0.030359	-1.53%	0.02925	-5.12%	0.0698	✓	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.029245	0.028916	-1.12%	0.02924	-0.02%	0.0562	✓	0.85
2026-06-29	oos	0.03032	0.02989	-1.42%	0.0302	-0.40%	0.0419	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.02775	0.027575	-0.63%	0.03094	+11.50%	0.0605	✗	0.82
2026-06-27	oos	0.027795	0.02762	-0.63%	0.03184	+14.55%	0.1010	✗	0.80
2026-06-26	oos	0.02811	0.027931	-0.64%	0.03138	+11.63%	0.0832	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.02756	0.027444	-0.42%	0.03096	+12.34%	0.0969	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.02795	0.027759	-0.68%	0.03083	+10.30%	0.1188	✗	0.82
2026-06-23	oos	0.02886	0.028615	-0.85%	0.029245	+1.33%	0.0798	✗	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.02934	0.029076	-0.90%	0.03032	+3.34%	0.0952	✗	0.87
2026-06-21	oos	0.02916	0.028938	-0.76%	0.02775	-4.84%	0.0115	✗	0.87
2026-06-20	oos	0.029775	0.029497	-0.93%	0.027795	-6.65%	0.0060	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.02992	0.029644	-0.92%	0.02811	-6.05%	0.0101	✓	0.76
2026-06-18	oos	0.03041	0.030121	-0.95%	0.02756	-9.37%	0.0476	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03193	0.03152	-1.28%	0.02795	-12.46%	0.0770	✓	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.03249	0.032033	-1.41%	0.02886	-11.17%	0.0672	✓	0.80
2026-06-15	oos	0.03302	0.032515	-1.53%	0.02934	-11.14%	0.0781	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	0.0324	0.031943	-1.41%	0.02916	-10.00%	0.0658	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	0.031385	0.031021	-1.16%	0.029775	-5.13%	0.0387	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	0.03099	0.030658	-1.07%	0.02992	-3.45%	0.0237	✓	0.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.03109	0.030754	-1.08%	0.03041	-2.19%	0.0037	✓	0.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.030365	0.030154	-0.70%	0.03193	+5.15%	0.0240	✗	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.03018	0.029997	-0.61%	0.03249	+7.65%	0.0367	✗	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.03205	0.031694	-1.11%	0.03302	+3.03%	0.0076	✓	0.67
2026-06-07	oos	0.03126	0.030981	-0.89%	0.0324	+3.65%	0.0199	✗	0.67
2026-06-06	oos	0.02999	0.029931	-0.20%	0.031385	+4.65%	0.0107	✗	0.64
2026-06-05	oos	0.0309	0.030741	-0.51%	0.03099	+0.29%	0.0176	✓	0.64
2026-06-04	oos	0.02955	0.029453	-0.33%	0.03109	+5.21%	0.0569	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	0.03196	0.031683	-0.87%	0.030365	-4.99%	0.0134	✓	0.70
2026-06-02	oos	0.02844	0.028377	-0.22%	0.03018	+6.12%	0.1278	✗	0.85
2026-06-01	oos	0.03044	0.030111	-1.08%	0.03205	+5.29%	0.1553	✗	0.76
2026-05-31	oos	0.0307	0.030307	-1.28%	0.03126	+1.82%	0.1463	✗	0.77
2026-05-30	oos	0.03084	0.030465	-1.22%	0.02999	-2.76%	0.1308	✗	0.76
2026-05-29	oos	0.03102	0.030657	-1.17%	0.0309	-0.39%	0.1491	✗	0.77
2026-05-28	oos	0.031095	0.030726	-1.19%	0.02955	-4.97%	0.0687	✗	0.76
2026-05-27	oos	0.03209	0.03168	-1.28%	0.03196	-0.41%	0.1225	✗	0.76
2026-05-26	oos	0.032615	0.032157	-1.40%	0.02844	-12.80%	0.0250	✓	0.76
2026-05-25	oos	0.03365	0.033126	-1.56%	0.03044	-9.54%	0.0228	✓	0.77
2026-05-24	oos	0.03334	0.032851	-1.47%	0.0307	-7.92%	0.0326	✓	0.78
2026-05-23	oos	0.0338	0.033274	-1.55%	0.03084	-8.76%	0.0467	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.03374	0.03322	-1.54%	0.03102	-8.06%	0.0470	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.03525	0.03463	-1.76%	0.031095	-11.79%	0.0673	✓	0.76
2026-05-20	oos	0.034845	0.034252	-1.70%	0.03209	-7.91%	0.0334	✓	0.76
2026-05-19	oos	0.03364	0.033106	-1.59%	0.032615	-3.05%	0.0057	✓	0.75
2026-05-18	oos	0.03485	0.034256	-1.70%	0.03365	-3.44%	0.0208	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.03396	0.033412	-1.61%	0.03334	-1.83%	0.0021	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.034185	0.033653	-1.56%	0.0338	-1.13%	0.0186	✗	0.76
2026-05-15	oos	0.035135	0.034576	-1.59%	0.03374	-3.97%	0.0113	✓	0.76
2026-05-14	oos	0.03758	0.036977	-1.60%	0.03525	-6.20%	0.0148	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.03724	0.036609	-1.70%	0.034845	-6.43%	0.0323	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.03807	0.037405	-1.75%	0.03364	-11.64%	0.0714	✓	0.73
2026-05-11	oos	0.04041	0.039581	-2.05%	0.03485	-13.76%	0.0855	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.03867	0.037967	-1.82%	0.03396	-12.18%	0.0693	✓	0.70
2026-05-09	oos	0.03729	0.036631	-1.77%	0.034185	-8.33%	0.0466	✓	0.70
2026-05-08	oos	0.03648	0.035862	-1.69%	0.035135	-3.69%	0.0103	✓	0.72
2026-05-07	oos	0.03538	0.034822	-1.58%	0.03758	+6.22%	0.0666	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0366	0.035966	-1.73%	0.03724	+1.75%	0.0584	✗	0.88
2026-05-05	oos	0.034435	0.033953	-1.40%	0.03807	+10.56%	0.1191	✗	0.88
2026-05-04	oos	0.03338	0.0329	-1.44%	0.04041	+21.06%	0.1851	✗	0.88
2026-05-03	oos	0.03365	0.033117	-1.58%	0.03867	+14.92%	0.1148	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.0332	0.032759	-1.33%	0.03729	+12.32%	0.1072	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.03264	0.032235	-1.24%	0.03648	+11.76%	0.1011	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.0325	0.032038	-1.42%	0.03538	+8.86%	0.0535	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.032555	0.032067	-1.50%	0.0366	+12.43%	0.0622	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.0328	0.032328	-1.44%	0.034435	+4.98%	0.0073	✓	0.96
2026-04-27	oos	0.0334	0.032953	-1.34%	0.03338	-0.06%	0.0174	✓	0.96
2026-04-26	oos	0.03391	0.03353	-1.12%	0.03365	-0.77%	0.0050	✓	0.96
2026-04-25	oos	0.03364	0.03322	-1.25%	0.0332	-1.31%	0.0132	✓	0.95
2026-04-24	oos	0.03369	0.033253	-1.30%	0.03264	-3.12%	0.0281	✓	0.96
2026-04-23	oos	0.034295	0.033872	-1.23%	0.0325	-5.23%	0.0168	✓	0.96
2026-04-22	oos	0.034285	0.033849	-1.27%	0.032555	-5.05%	0.0084	✓	0.96
2026-04-21	oos	0.034245	0.033722	-1.53%	0.0328	-4.22%	0.0273	✓	0.96
2026-04-20	oos	0.03484	0.03427	-1.64%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0447	✓	0.97
2026-04-19	oos	0.03421	0.033595	-1.80%	0.03391	-0.88%	0.0528	✓	0.98
2026-04-18	oos	0.0343	0.033735	-1.65%	0.03364	-1.92%	0.0273	✓	0.98
2026-04-17	oos	0.03616	0.035528	-1.75%	0.03369	-6.83%	0.0577	✓	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.03409	0.033517	-1.68%	0.034295	+0.60%	0.0164	✓	0.97
2026-04-15	oos	0.03319	0.032639	-1.66%	0.034285	+3.30%	0.0066	✓	0.97
2026-04-14	oos	0.032345	0.031825	-1.61%	0.034245	+5.87%	0.0454	✗	0.97
2026-04-13	oos	0.03311	0.032554	-1.68%	0.03484	+5.23%	0.0497	✗	0.96
2026-04-12	oos	0.03149	0.030994	-1.57%	0.03421	+8.64%	0.0579	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.032925	0.032364	-1.70%	0.0343	+4.18%	0.0240	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.03341	0.032791	-1.85%	0.03616	+8.23%	0.0454	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.03219	0.031658	-1.65%	0.03409	+5.90%	0.0303	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.031945	0.031404	-1.69%	0.03319	+3.90%	0.0063	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.03278	0.032185	-1.81%	0.032345	-1.33%	0.0246	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.031225	0.030694	-1.70%	0.03311	+6.04%	0.0013	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.03142	0.030853	-1.80%	0.03149	+0.22%	0.0035	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.031165	0.030612	-1.77%	0.032925	+5.65%	0.0066	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.03098	0.030441	-1.74%	0.03341	+7.84%	0.0092	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.03126	0.03068	-1.86%	0.03219	+2.98%	0.0206	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.03208	0.031427	-2.04%	0.031945	-0.42%	0.0252	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.03262	0.031985	-1.95%	0.03278	+0.49%	0.0270	✓	0.98
2026-03-30	oos	0.03189	0.03131	-1.82%	0.031225	-2.09%	0.0333	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.03288	0.032267	-1.86%	0.03142	-4.44%	0.0711	✓	0.99
2026-03-28	oos	0.03477	0.03413	-1.84%	0.031165	-10.37%	0.1052	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.03448	0.03388	-1.74%	0.03098	-10.15%	0.0984	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.03602	0.035382	-1.77%	0.03126	-13.21%	0.0968	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.03857	0.037856	-1.85%	0.03208	-16.83%	0.1212	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.03626	0.035709	-1.52%	0.03262	-10.04%	0.0584	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.034985	0.034553	-1.24%	0.03189	-8.85%	0.0223	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.03642	0.035884	-1.47%	0.03288	-9.72%	0.0589	✓	1.01
2026-03-21	oos	0.03576	0.035303	-1.28%	0.03477	-2.77%	0.0237	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.03804	0.037499	-1.42%	0.03448	-9.36%	0.0228	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.03729	0.036736	-1.49%	0.03602	-3.41%	0.0029	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.03946	0.038689	-1.95%	0.03857	-2.26%	0.0039	✓	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.03628	0.035907	-1.03%	0.03626	-0.06%	0.0601	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.03374	0.033538	-0.60%	0.034985	+3.69%	0.1023	✗	1.09
2026-03-15	oos	0.031	0.030872	-0.41%	0.03642	+17.48%	0.2416	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.03066	0.030514	-0.48%	0.03576	+16.63%	0.1944	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.03049	0.030338	-0.50%	0.03804	+24.76%	0.2331	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.03054	0.030386	-0.51%	0.03729	+22.10%	0.2143	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.03036	0.030205	-0.51%	0.03946	+29.97%	0.2513	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.03025	0.030117	-0.44%	0.03628	+19.93%	0.1261	✗	1.09
2026-03-09	oos	0.03006	0.029937	-0.41%	0.03374	+12.24%	0.0211	✗	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.02957	0.029484	-0.29%	0.031	+4.84%	0.0570	✓	1.08
2026-03-07	oos	0.02957	0.029485	-0.29%	0.03066	+3.69%	0.0234	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.03016	0.030057	-0.34%	0.03049	+1.09%	0.0301	✓	1.09
2026-03-05	oos	0.03043	0.030316	-0.37%	0.03054	+0.36%	0.0129	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.03075	0.030618	-0.43%	0.03036	-1.27%	0.0302	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.03054	0.030415	-0.41%	0.03025	-0.95%	0.0329	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	0.03032	0.030204	-0.38%	0.03006	-0.86%	0.0021	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	0.02943	0.029398	-0.11%	0.02957	+0.48%	0.0023	✗	1.18
2026-02-28	oos	0.03014	0.030058	-0.27%	0.02957	-1.89%	0.0216	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.03027	0.030206	-0.21%	0.03016	-0.36%	0.0419	✓	1.20
2026-02-26	oos	0.03135	0.031209	-0.45%	0.03043	-2.93%	0.0842	✓	1.20
2026-02-25	oos	0.030915	0.030787	-0.41%	0.03075	-0.53%	0.0814	✓	1.20
2026-02-24	oos	0.02909	0.029215	+0.43%	0.03054	+4.98%	0.0335	✗	1.21
2026-02-23	oos	0.02971	0.029811	+0.34%	0.03032	+2.05%	0.0624	✗	1.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.03041	0.030437	+0.09%	0.02943	-3.22%	0.0014	✓	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.031105	0.031113	+0.02%	0.03014	-3.10%	0.0128	✗	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.031165	0.031178	+0.04%	0.03027	-2.87%	0.0117	✓	1.30
2026-02-19	oos	0.03012	0.030231	+0.37%	0.03135	+4.08%	0.0264	✓	1.29
2026-02-18	oos	0.031045	0.031142	+0.31%	0.030915	-0.42%	0.0378	✗	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	0.03191	0.031943	+0.10%	0.02909	-8.84%	0.0268	✗	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.03225	0.032228	-0.07%	0.02971	-7.88%	0.0008	✗	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.03206	0.032043	-0.05%	0.03041	-5.15%	0.0300	✓	1.30
2026-02-14	oos	0.033445	0.033317	-0.38%	0.031105	-7.00%	0.0344	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	0.03214	0.032129	-0.03%	0.031165	-3.03%	0.0149	✓	1.29
2026-02-12	oos	0.031395	0.031558	+0.52%	0.03012	-4.06%	0.0616	✗	1.30
2026-02-11	oos	0.03148	0.031633	+0.48%	0.031045	-1.38%	0.0068	✗	1.31
2026-02-10	oos	0.03105	0.03121	+0.52%	0.03191	+2.77%	0.0482	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.031485	0.03161	+0.40%	0.03225	+2.43%	0.0438	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.03386	0.033856	-0.01%	0.03206	-5.32%	0.0260	✓	1.34
2026-02-07	oos	0.03134	0.0316	+0.83%	0.033445	+6.72%	0.0465	✓	1.32
2026-02-06	oos	0.03199	0.032143	+0.48%	0.03214	+0.47%	0.0322	✓	1.31
2026-02-05	oos	0.02706	0.028096	+3.83%	0.031395	+16.02%	0.0431	✓	1.28
2026-02-04	oos	0.030985	0.031233	+0.80%	0.03148	+1.60%	0.1341	✓	1.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.03206	0.032156	+0.30%	0.03105	-3.15%	0.1008	✓	1.43
2026-02-02	oos	0.03312	0.033035	-0.26%	0.031485	-4.94%	0.1209	✗	1.47
2026-02-01	oos	0.03069	0.030923	+0.76%	0.03386	+10.33%	0.2192	✓	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.03316	0.033181	+0.06%	0.03134	-5.49%	0.1278	✓	1.45
2026-01-30	oos	0.03736	0.036918	-1.18%	0.03199	-14.37%	0.1052	✗	1.41
2026-01-29	oos	0.03846	0.037908	-1.44%	0.02706	-29.64%	0.0818	✗	1.41
2026-01-28	oos	0.03977	0.039095	-1.70%	0.030985	-22.09%	0.0587	✗	1.46
2026-01-27	oos	0.03979	0.039148	-1.61%	0.03206	-19.43%	0.0423	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	0.03979	0.039093	-1.75%	0.03312	-16.76%	0.0005	✓	1.44
2026-01-25	oos	0.03958	0.038863	-1.81%	0.03069	-22.46%	0.0642	✓	1.45
2026-01-24	oos	0.04162	0.040698	-2.22%	0.03316	-20.33%	0.0247	✓	1.45
2026-01-23	oos	0.04022	0.039265	-2.37%	0.03736	-7.11%	0.0375	✗	1.41
2026-01-22	oos	0.03987	0.03888	-2.48%	0.03846	-3.54%	0.0706	✗	1.43
2026-01-21	oos	0.04105	0.039996	-2.57%	0.03977	-3.12%	0.0024	✓	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.04018	0.039279	-2.24%	0.03979	-0.97%	0.0002	✓	1.44
2026-01-19	oos	0.04267	0.041559	-2.60%	0.03979	-6.75%	0.0261	✓	1.46
2026-01-18	oos	0.04269	0.041596	-2.56%	0.03958	-7.29%	0.0665	✗	1.48
2026-01-17	oos	0.04421	0.04307	-2.58%	0.04162	-5.86%	0.0628	✗	1.48
2026-01-16	oos	0.04515	0.043985	-2.58%	0.04022	-10.92%	0.0077	✓	1.49
2026-01-15	oos	0.04555	0.044358	-2.62%	0.03987	-12.47%	0.0085	✓	1.48
2026-01-14	oos	0.04799	0.046755	-2.57%	0.04105	-14.46%	0.0099	✓	1.47
2026-01-13	oos	0.04827	0.046962	-2.71%	0.04018	-16.76%	0.0399	✓	1.51
2026-01-12	oos	0.04629	0.045085	-2.60%	0.04267	-7.82%	0.0783	✓	1.56
2026-01-11	oos	0.04672	0.045507	-2.60%	0.04269	-8.63%	0.1112	✓	1.58
2026-01-10	oos	0.04649	0.045329	-2.50%	0.04421	-4.90%	0.1060	✓	1.59
2026-01-09	oos	0.04702	0.045834	-2.52%	0.04515	-3.98%	0.1011	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.04699	0.0458	-2.53%	0.04555	-3.06%	0.0825	✓	1.57
2026-01-07	oos	0.04884	0.047618	-2.50%	0.04799	-1.74%	0.1049	✓	1.87
2026-01-06	oos	0.05147	0.05011	-2.64%	0.04827	-6.22%	0.0702	✓	1.86
2026-01-05	oos	0.05092	0.049569	-2.65%	0.04629	-9.09%	0.0148	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.04943	0.048036	-2.82%	0.04672	-5.48%	0.0151	✓	1.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.04572	0.044724	-2.18%	0.04649	+1.68%	0.0433	✗	1.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.04603	0.044989	-2.26%	0.04702	+2.15%	0.0328	✗	1.84
2026-01-01	oos	0.04474	0.043815	-2.07%	0.04699	+5.03%	0.0233	✗	1.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.04288	0.042115	-1.78%	0.04884	+13.90%	0.0715	✗	1.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.04387	0.043078	-1.80%	0.05147	+17.32%	0.0723	✗	1.81
2025-12-29	oos	0.04348	0.042805	-1.55%	0.05092	+17.11%	0.0388	✗	1.80
2025-12-28	oos	0.04453	0.043822	-1.59%	0.04943	+11.00%	0.0477	✗	1.80
2025-12-27	oos	0.04555	0.044827	-1.59%	0.04572	+0.37%	0.0360	✓	1.78
2025-12-26	oos	0.0449	0.044279	-1.38%	0.04603	+2.52%	0.0144	✓	1.77
2025-12-25	oos	0.04362	0.043131	-1.12%	0.04474	+2.57%	0.0052	✓	1.77
2025-12-24	oos	0.04453	0.043981	-1.23%	0.04288	-3.71%	0.0231	✓	1.77
2025-12-23	oos	0.04512	0.044557	-1.25%	0.04387	-2.77%	0.0348	✓	1.75
2025-12-22	oos	0.04661	0.045939	-1.44%	0.04348	-6.72%	0.0263	✓	1.74
2025-12-21	oos	0.04686	0.046174	-1.46%	0.04453	-4.97%	0.0212	✓	1.74
2025-12-20	oos	0.04493	0.044399	-1.18%	0.04555	+1.38%	0.0358	✗	1.74
2025-12-19	oos	0.04325	0.04286	-0.90%	0.0449	+3.82%	0.0622	✗	1.73
2025-12-18	oos	0.04057	0.040471	-0.24%	0.04362	+7.52%	0.0408	✗	1.72
2025-12-17	oos	0.04197	0.041773	-0.47%	0.04453	+6.10%	0.0361	✗	1.72
2025-12-16	oos	0.04481	0.044384	-0.95%	0.04512	+0.69%	0.0247	✗	1.71
2025-12-15	oos	0.04296	0.042728	-0.54%	0.04661	+8.50%	0.0453	✗	1.70
2025-12-14	oos	0.04428	0.043915	-0.82%	0.04686	+5.83%	0.0558	✗	1.71
2025-12-13	oos	0.04682	0.046275	-1.16%	0.04493	-4.04%	0.0074	✓	1.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.04629	0.045742	-1.18%	0.04325	-6.57%	0.0142	✓	1.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.04775	0.047072	-1.42%	0.04057	-15.04%	0.0123	✓	1.71
2025-12-10	oos	0.0486	0.047872	-1.50%	0.04197	-13.64%	0.0191	✓	1.72
2025-12-09	oos	0.04996	0.049105	-1.71%	0.04481	-10.31%	0.0010	✓	1.73
2025-12-08	oos	0.05214	0.051158	-1.88%	0.04296	-17.61%	0.0902	✓	1.77
2025-12-07	oos	0.05151	0.050571	-1.82%	0.04428	-14.04%	0.0888	✓	1.76
2025-12-06	oos	0.05103	0.050184	-1.66%	0.04682	-8.25%	0.0888	✓	1.77
2025-12-05	oos	0.05251	0.051578	-1.77%	0.04629	-11.85%	0.1266	✓	1.77
2025-12-04	oos	0.05509	0.053957	-2.06%	0.04775	-13.32%	0.1308	✓	1.78
2025-12-03	oos	0.05674	0.055423	-2.32%	0.0486	-14.35%	0.1042	✓	1.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.0545	0.05331	-2.18%	0.04996	-8.33%	0.0916	✓	1.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.05196	0.051059	-1.73%	0.05214	+0.35%	0.0709	✓	1.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.057285	0.055986	-2.27%	0.05151	-10.08%	0.0840	✓	1.84
2025-11-29	oos	0.056335	0.055126	-2.15%	0.05103	-9.42%	0.0455	✓	1.83
2025-11-28	oos	0.057835	0.05637	-2.53%	0.05251	-9.21%	0.0393	✓	1.83
2025-11-27	oos	0.05831	0.056749	-2.68%	0.05509	-5.52%	0.0452	✓	1.83
2025-11-26	oos	0.05813	0.056281	-3.18%	0.05674	-2.39%	0.0511	✓	1.82
2025-11-25	oos	0.0506	0.049575	-2.03%	0.0545	+7.71%	0.0166	✓	1.75
2025-11-24	oos	0.04514	0.04465	-1.09%	0.05196	+15.11%	0.1921	✗	1.78
2025-11-23	oos	0.040015	0.040064	+0.12%	0.057285	+43.16%	0.2875	✓	1.74
2025-11-22	oos	0.03809	0.038495	+1.06%	0.056335	+47.90%	0.2588	✓	1.74
2025-11-21	oos	0.038595	0.039007	+1.07%	0.057835	+49.85%	0.2789	✓	1.73
2025-11-20	oos	0.04001	0.040352	+0.85%	0.05831	+45.74%	0.2750	✓	1.73
2025-11-19	oos	0.042245	0.042146	-0.23%	0.05813	+37.60%	0.3414	✗	1.82
2025-11-18	oos	0.04326	0.043091	-0.39%	0.0506	+16.97%	0.2735	✗	1.82
2025-11-17	oos	0.042685	0.042671	-0.03%	0.04514	+5.75%	0.1342	✗	1.83
2025-11-16	oos	0.04344	0.04334	-0.23%	0.040015	-7.88%	0.0709	✗	1.85
2025-11-15	oos	0.045145	0.044929	-0.48%	0.03809	-15.63%	0.0580	✗	1.85
2025-11-14	oos	0.04449	0.044435	-0.12%	0.038595	-13.25%	0.0538	✗	1.85
2025-11-13	oos	0.04827	0.047825	-0.92%	0.04001	-17.11%	0.0862	✗	1.88
2025-11-12	oos	0.04948	0.04897	-1.03%	0.042245	-14.62%	0.0514	✗	1.89
2025-11-11	oos	0.04936	0.048855	-1.02%	0.04326	-12.36%	0.0754	✗	1.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.052515	0.051826	-1.31%	0.042685	-18.72%	0.0711	✗	1.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.05211	0.05152	-1.13%	0.04344	-16.64%	0.0321	✗	1.92
2025-11-08	oos	0.05182	0.051352	-0.90%	0.045145	-12.88%	0.0037	✓	1.94
2025-11-07	oos	0.05215	0.051612	-1.03%	0.04449	-14.69%	0.0206	✗	1.90
2025-11-06	oos	0.05107	0.050714	-0.70%	0.04827	-5.48%	0.0175	✓	1.91
2025-11-05	oos	0.04678	0.046628	-0.32%	0.04948	+5.77%	0.1028	✗	2.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.04401	0.044161	+0.34%	0.04936	+12.16%	0.0814	✓	1.98
2025-11-03	oos	0.04672	0.046621	-0.21%	0.052515	+12.40%	0.1302	✗	2.05
2025-11-02	oos	0.05215	0.051829	-0.62%	0.05211	-0.08%	0.1150	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.05323	0.052895	-0.63%	0.05182	-2.65%	0.1284	✗	2.04
2025-10-31	oos	0.05282	0.052509	-0.59%	0.05215	-1.27%	0.1133	✗	2.04
2025-10-30	oos	0.05363	0.053303	-0.61%	0.05107	-4.77%	0.0947	✗	2.05
2025-10-29	oos	0.05846	0.057895	-0.97%	0.04678	-19.98%	0.0965	✓	2.02
2025-10-28	oos	0.056465	0.056019	-0.79%	0.04401	-22.06%	0.0159	✓	2.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.05729	0.056733	-0.97%	0.04672	-18.45%	0.0498	✓	2.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.05812	0.057394	-1.25%	0.05215	-10.27%	0.0204	✓	2.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.05877	0.058042	-1.24%	0.05323	-9.43%	0.0547	✓	2.18
2025-10-24	oos	0.053045	0.052579	-0.88%	0.05282	-0.42%	0.0341	✗	2.19
2025-10-23	oos	0.05144	0.050973	-0.91%	0.05363	+4.26%	0.0869	✗	2.18
2025-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.048876	-0.76%	0.05846	+18.70%	0.1302	✗	2.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.0517	0.051193	-0.98%	0.056465	+9.22%	0.0089	✓	2.17
2025-10-20	oos	0.05496	0.054099	-1.57%	0.05729	+4.24%	0.0109	✓	2.18
2025-10-19	oos	0.05275	0.052063	-1.30%	0.05812	+10.18%	0.0019	✓	2.13
2025-10-18	oos	0.05055	0.050075	-0.94%	0.05877	+16.26%	0.0734	✗	2.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.05184	0.051344	-0.96%	0.053045	+2.32%	0.0572	✓	2.13
2025-10-16	oos	0.05353	0.052978	-1.03%	0.05144	-3.90%	0.0670	✓	2.14
2025-10-15	oos	0.056935	0.056177	-1.33%	0.04925	-13.50%	0.0689	✓	2.13
2025-10-14	oos	0.060645	0.059775	-1.43%	0.0517	-14.75%	0.0552	✓	2.11
2025-10-13	oos	0.06486	0.063834	-1.58%	0.05496	-15.26%	0.0615	✓	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.06167	0.06068	-1.61%	0.05275	-14.46%	0.0215	✓	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	0.05713	0.056334	-1.39%	0.05055	-11.52%	0.0407	✓	2.07
2025-10-10	oos	0.05531	0.054374	-1.69%	0.05184	-6.27%	0.0788	✗	2.13
2025-10-09	oos	0.07384	0.072616	-1.66%	0.05353	-27.51%	0.1076	✓	1.68
2025-10-08	oos	0.07499	0.073756	-1.65%	0.056935	-24.08%	0.0810	✓	1.66
2025-10-07	oos	0.07491	0.073515	-1.86%	0.060645	-19.04%	0.0743	✓	1.66
2025-10-06	oos	0.07812	0.076784	-1.71%	0.06486	-16.97%	0.0359	✓	1.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.07493	0.073482	-1.93%	0.06167	-17.70%	0.0560	✓	1.68
2025-10-04	oos	0.07636	0.074872	-1.95%	0.05713	-25.18%	0.1002	✓	1.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.08047	0.07894	-1.90%	0.05531	-31.27%	0.2206	✓	1.70
2025-10-02	oos	0.081495	0.079878	-1.98%	0.07384	-9.39%	0.0941	✓	1.72
2025-10-01	oos	0.07985	0.078158	-2.12%	0.07499	-6.09%	0.1085	✓	1.73
2025-09-30	oos	0.0752	0.073582	-2.15%	0.07491	-0.39%	0.0908	✓	1.75
2025-09-29	oos	0.07694	0.075218	-2.24%	0.07812	+1.53%	0.1137	✓	1.75
2025-09-28	oos	0.077705	0.075892	-2.33%	0.07493	-3.57%	0.1842	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	0.07633	0.074775	-2.04%	0.07636	+0.04%	0.1796	✓	1.82
2025-09-26	oos	0.07817	0.076478	-2.16%	0.08047	+2.94%	0.1471	✓	1.82
2025-09-25	oos	0.07547	0.074027	-1.91%	0.081495	+7.98%	0.0871	✓	1.81
2025-09-24	oos	0.078745	0.077086	-2.11%	0.07985	+1.40%	0.0505	✓	1.87
2025-09-23	oos	0.07816	0.076532	-2.08%	0.0752	-3.79%	0.0518	✓	1.89
2025-09-22	oos	0.078845	0.076956	-2.40%	0.07694	-2.42%	0.0275	✓	1.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.08139	0.07973	-2.04%	0.077705	-4.53%	0.0262	✗	1.91
2025-09-20	oos	0.08414	0.08238	-2.09%	0.07633	-9.28%	0.0323	✗	2.02
2025-09-19	oos	0.08403	0.082222	-2.15%	0.07817	-6.97%	0.0569	✗	2.02
2025-09-18	oos	0.088075	0.086125	-2.21%	0.07547	-14.31%	0.0119	✓	2.01
2025-09-17	oos	0.08874	0.086665	-2.34%	0.078745	-11.26%	0.0409	✓	2.01

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.