HAJIMI

? · · gru_s1

token id: #996
symbol: HAJIMI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-04
predictions: 516

Track record at +1d

assessed

168

of 172 predictions shown

direction hit

54.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0698

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0055

actual +0.0060

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.020435	0.020341	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.020605	0.020492	-0.55%	0.020435	-0.83%	0.0002	✓	1.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.01981	0.019731	-0.40%	0.020605	+4.01%	0.0305	✗	0.96
2026-10-18	oos	0.01918	0.019121	-0.31%	0.01981	+3.28%	0.0374	✗	0.97
2026-10-17	oos	0.02	0.01994	-0.30%	0.01918	-4.10%	0.0464	✓	0.98
2026-10-16	oos	0.02154	0.021454	-0.40%	0.02	-7.15%	0.0688	✓	0.98
2026-10-15	oos	0.02146	0.021379	-0.38%	0.02154	+0.37%	0.0151	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.02186	0.021793	-0.31%	0.02146	-1.83%	0.0222	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.025095	0.024957	-0.55%	0.02186	-12.89%	0.1164	✓	0.86
2026-10-12	oos	0.02587	0.025735	-0.52%	0.025095	-3.00%	0.0398	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.02807	0.027876	-0.69%	0.02587	-7.84%	0.0556	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.028755	0.028541	-0.75%	0.02807	-2.38%	0.0242	✓	0.82
2026-10-09	oos	0.02823	0.028029	-0.71%	0.028755	+1.86%	0.0220	✗	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	0.02805	0.027858	-0.68%	0.02823	+0.64%	0.0050	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	0.02808	0.027883	-0.70%	0.02805	-0.11%	0.0224	✗	0.86
2026-10-06	oos	0.0278	0.027612	-0.67%	0.02808	+1.01%	0.0439	✗	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.025615	0.025489	-0.49%	0.0278	+8.53%	0.0892	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.02911	0.028931	-0.61%	0.025615	-12.01%	0.1129	✓	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.030485	0.030276	-0.69%	0.02911	-4.51%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.030735	0.030531	-0.66%	0.030485	-0.81%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.03306	0.032801	-0.78%	0.030735	-7.03%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.030975	0.030778	-0.64%	0.03306	+6.73%	0.0562	✗	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.03383	0.033564	-0.79%	0.030975	-8.44%	0.0793	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.03435	0.034063	-0.84%	0.03383	-1.51%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.03413	0.033853	-0.81%	0.03435	+0.64%	0.0265	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.03457	0.034295	-0.80%	0.03413	-1.27%	0.0054	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03425	0.033979	-0.79%	0.03457	+0.93%	0.0134	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.03382	0.033576	-0.72%	0.03425	+1.27%	0.0233	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03548	0.035204	-0.78%	0.03382	-4.68%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03985	0.039318	-1.33%	0.03548	-10.97%	0.0814	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.033935	0.033685	-0.74%	0.03985	+17.43%	0.1727	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.034595	0.034318	-0.80%	0.033935	-1.91%	0.0761	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.033255	0.033024	-0.70%	0.034595	+4.03%	0.0474	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0348	0.034525	-0.79%	0.033255	-4.44%	0.0419	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03351	0.033281	-0.68%	0.0348	+3.85%	0.0129	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.03063	0.030495	-0.44%	0.03351	+9.40%	0.0916	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.03338	0.033206	-0.52%	0.03063	-8.24%	0.0881	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.013255	0.013216	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	3.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.013	0.012956	-0.34%	0.013255	+1.96%	0.0988	✗	3.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.01248	0.012446	-0.27%	0.013	+4.17%	0.1002	✗	3.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.013	0.012953	-0.36%	0.01248	-4.00%	0.0057	✓	3.14
2026-06-14	oos	0.01264	0.012603	-0.29%	0.013	+2.85%	0.0038	✗	3.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.01348	0.013426	-0.40%	0.01264	-6.23%	0.1249	✓	3.29
2026-06-12	oos	0.01236	0.012335	-0.21%	0.01348	+9.06%	0.0433	✗	3.27
2026-06-11	oos	0.01294	0.012903	-0.29%	0.01236	-4.48%	0.0417	✓	3.27
2026-06-10	oos	0.01202	0.012011	-0.07%	0.01294	+7.65%	0.0395	✓	3.37
2026-06-09	oos	0.01261	0.012596	-0.11%	0.01202	-4.68%	0.0337	✓	3.37
2026-06-08	oos	0.01487	0.014803	-0.45%	0.01261	-15.20%	0.0882	✓	3.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.01372	0.013682	-0.28%	0.01487	+8.38%	0.0957	✗	3.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.01441	0.01436	-0.35%	0.01372	-4.79%	0.1943	✓	3.76
2026-06-05	oos	0.01224	0.01224	+0.00%	0.01441	+17.73%	0.1744	✓	3.75
2026-06-04	oos	0.0133	0.013275	-0.19%	0.01224	-7.97%	0.0937	✗	3.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0137	0.01367	-0.22%	0.0133	-2.92%	0.0130	✓	3.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01373	0.013694	-0.26%	0.0137	-0.22%	0.1732	✗	4.31
2026-06-01	oos	0.01548	0.015404	-0.49%	0.01373	-11.30%	0.2501	✗	5.41
2026-05-31	oos	0.01792	0.017761	-0.89%	0.01548	-13.62%	0.0327	✗	5.45
2026-05-30	oos	0.01655	0.016405	-0.87%	0.01792	+8.28%	0.1028	✗	5.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.01367	0.013609	-0.44%	0.01655	+21.07%	0.1662	✗	5.36
2026-05-28	oos	0.01434	0.014266	-0.52%	0.01367	-4.67%	0.0321	✓	5.35
2026-05-27	oos	0.01417	0.014101	-0.49%	0.01434	+1.20%	0.0759	✗	5.43
2026-05-26	oos	0.01463	0.014552	-0.54%	0.01417	-3.14%	0.0863	✗	5.61
2026-05-25	oos	0.01469	0.014613	-0.53%	0.01463	-0.41%	0.1101	✗	5.86
2026-05-24	oos	0.0155	0.015413	-0.56%	0.01469	-5.23%	0.0689	✓	5.89
2026-05-23	oos	0.01662	0.016507	-0.68%	0.0155	-6.74%	0.0881	✓	5.93
2026-05-22	oos	0.0159	0.015811	-0.56%	0.01662	+4.53%	0.0461	✓	6.05
2026-05-21	oos	0.01805	0.017905	-0.80%	0.0159	-11.91%	0.0516	✗	6.19
2026-05-20	oos	0.01789	0.017751	-0.78%	0.01805	+0.89%	0.0110	✗	6.19
2026-05-19	oos	0.01798	0.017842	-0.77%	0.01789	-0.50%	0.0550	✓	6.28
2026-05-18	oos	0.0198	0.019581	-1.11%	0.01798	-9.19%	0.0710	✓	6.24
2026-05-17	oos	0.01949	0.019183	-1.58%	0.0198	+1.59%	0.0377	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.01506	0.014949	-0.74%	0.01949	+29.42%	0.2742	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.01473	0.014637	-0.63%	0.01506	+2.24%	0.0406	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.0176	0.017232	-2.09%	0.01473	-16.31%	0.1317	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.01145	0.0114	-0.43%	0.0176	+53.71%	0.4119	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.01212	0.012062	-0.48%	0.01145	-5.53%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.01232	0.012266	-0.44%	0.01212	-1.62%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.01407	0.013977	-0.66%	0.01232	-12.44%	0.1204	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.01243	0.012372	-0.47%	0.01407	+13.19%	0.1096	✗	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.0131	0.013027	-0.56%	0.01243	-5.11%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.01278	0.012719	-0.48%	0.0131	+2.50%	0.0272	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.01372	0.01365	-0.51%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0481	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.01414	0.014062	-0.55%	0.01372	-2.97%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.0147	0.014604	-0.65%	0.01414	-3.81%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.01436	0.014271	-0.62%	0.0147	+2.37%	0.0133	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.01562	0.01547	-0.96%	0.01436	-8.07%	0.0729	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.01347	0.013383	-0.65%	0.01562	+15.96%	0.1489	✗	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.01318	0.013093	-0.66%	0.01347	+2.20%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.01246	0.01239	-0.56%	0.01318	+5.78%	0.0546	✗	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.01247	0.012406	-0.51%	0.01246	-0.08%	0.0117	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.01326	0.013194	-0.50%	0.01247	-5.96%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-02-13	oos	0.02087	0.020796	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-02-12	oos	0.01921	0.019177	-0.17%	0.02087	+8.64%	0.0201	✗	1.67
2026-02-11	oos	0.01657	0.016574	+0.02%	0.01921	+15.93%	0.1658	✓	1.48
2026-02-10	oos	0.01683	0.016831	+0.00%	0.01657	-1.54%	0.0218	✓	1.43
2026-02-09	oos	0.01782	0.017813	-0.04%	0.01683	-5.56%	0.0303	✓	1.41
2026-02-08	oos	0.01952	0.019489	-0.16%	0.01782	-8.71%	0.0859	✓	1.45
2026-02-07	oos	0.0161	0.016128	+0.17%	0.01952	+21.24%	0.1704	✓	1.38
2026-02-06	oos	0.01679	0.016816	+0.15%	0.0161	-4.11%	0.0179	✗	1.39
2026-02-05	oos	0.01441	0.0145	+0.63%	0.01679	+16.52%	0.0205	✗	1.44
2026-02-04	oos	0.01967	0.019704	+0.17%	0.01441	-26.74%	0.1538	✗	1.06
2026-02-03	oos	0.02106	0.021078	+0.09%	0.01967	-6.60%	0.0267	✗	1.18
2026-02-02	oos	0.02438	0.024354	-0.11%	0.02106	-13.62%	0.0924	✓	1.36
2026-02-01	oos	0.02551	0.025497	-0.05%	0.02438	-4.43%	0.0772	✓	1.42
2026-01-31	oos	0.02839	0.02833	-0.21%	0.02551	-10.14%	0.0740	✓	1.37
2026-01-30	oos	0.02879	0.028684	-0.37%	0.02839	-1.39%	0.0911	✗	1.51
2026-01-18	oos	0.04019	0.039987	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-01-17	oos	0.0415	0.041269	-0.56%	0.04019	-3.16%	0.0030	✓	1.50
2026-01-16	oos	0.04227	0.042009	-0.62%	0.0415	-1.82%	0.0060	✓	1.50
2026-01-15	oos	0.04026	0.040035	-0.56%	0.04227	+4.99%	0.0556	✗	1.50
2026-01-14	oos	0.04247	0.042185	-0.67%	0.04026	-5.20%	0.0258	✓	1.48
2026-01-13	oos	0.04033	0.040061	-0.67%	0.04247	+5.31%	0.0344	✗	1.47
2026-01-12	oos	0.03617	0.03599	-0.50%	0.04033	+11.50%	0.0501	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.03813	0.037902	-0.60%	0.03617	-5.14%	0.0517	✓	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.03571	0.035524	-0.52%	0.03813	+6.78%	0.0630	✗	1.42
2026-01-09	oos	0.03562	0.035434	-0.52%	0.03571	+0.25%	0.0100	✗	1.42
2026-01-08	oos	0.03617	0.035975	-0.54%	0.03562	-1.52%	0.0019	✓	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.03658	0.036392	-0.51%	0.03617	-1.12%	0.0022	✓	1.42
2026-01-06	oos	0.04091	0.04064	-0.66%	0.03658	-10.58%	0.0701	✓	1.33
2026-01-05	oos	0.04253	0.042199	-0.78%	0.04091	-3.81%	0.0289	✓	1.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.04192	0.041494	-1.02%	0.04253	+1.46%	0.0104	✓	1.37
2026-01-03	oos	0.03634	0.036036	-0.84%	0.04192	+15.35%	0.1383	✗	1.32
2026-01-02	oos	0.03165	0.031448	-0.64%	0.03634	+14.82%	0.1356	✗	1.28
2026-01-01	oos	0.02802	0.027899	-0.43%	0.03165	+12.96%	0.1095	✗	1.22
2025-12-31	oos	0.02892	0.028777	-0.50%	0.02802	-3.11%	0.0444	✓	1.26
2025-12-30	oos	0.02701	0.026906	-0.38%	0.02892	+7.07%	0.0853	✗	1.28
2025-12-29	oos	0.02795	0.027837	-0.40%	0.02701	-3.36%	0.0496	✓	1.33
2025-12-28	oos	0.02852	0.028404	-0.41%	0.02795	-2.00%	0.0045	✓	1.32
2025-12-27	oos	0.03008	0.029945	-0.45%	0.02852	-5.19%	0.0498	✓	1.33
2025-12-26	oos	0.03048	0.030346	-0.44%	0.03008	-1.31%	0.0167	✓	1.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.03247	0.032304	-0.51%	0.03048	-6.13%	0.0600	✓	1.36
2025-12-24	oos	0.03236	0.032196	-0.51%	0.03247	+0.34%	0.0153	✗	1.36
2025-12-23	oos	0.03228	0.032121	-0.49%	0.03236	+0.25%	0.0046	✓	1.36
2025-12-22	oos	0.03319	0.033025	-0.50%	0.03228	-2.74%	0.0055	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.03697	0.036708	-0.71%	0.03319	-10.22%	0.0995	✓	1.36
2025-12-20	oos	0.03573	0.035467	-0.74%	0.03697	+3.47%	0.0366	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.03309	0.032875	-0.65%	0.03573	+7.98%	0.0798	✗	1.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.03151	0.03132	-0.60%	0.03309	+5.01%	0.0136	✗	1.36
2025-12-17	oos	0.03225	0.031991	-0.80%	0.03151	-2.29%	0.0033	✓	1.36
2025-12-16	oos	0.02812	0.027972	-0.53%	0.03225	+14.69%	0.1698	✗	1.45
2025-12-15	oos	0.02815	0.027991	-0.57%	0.02812	-0.11%	0.0200	✓	1.49
2025-12-14	oos	0.02679	0.026664	-0.47%	0.02815	+5.08%	0.0852	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.02917	0.028999	-0.59%	0.02679	-8.16%	0.0447	✓	1.48
2025-12-12	oos	0.02983	0.029623	-0.69%	0.02917	-2.21%	0.0150	✓	1.48
2025-12-11	oos	0.02945	0.029196	-0.86%	0.02983	+1.29%	0.0589	✗	1.51
2025-12-10	oos	0.02442	0.024293	-0.52%	0.02945	+20.60%	0.1846	✗	1.45
2025-12-09	oos	0.02448	0.024346	-0.55%	0.02442	-0.25%	0.0133	✗	1.45
2025-12-08	oos	0.02409	0.023952	-0.57%	0.02448	+1.62%	0.0113	✓	1.49
2025-12-07	oos	0.02244	0.022332	-0.48%	0.02409	+7.35%	0.0717	✗	1.47
2025-12-06	oos	0.02155	0.021464	-0.40%	0.02244	+4.13%	0.0259	✗	1.47
2025-12-05	oos	0.0227	0.022601	-0.44%	0.02155	-5.07%	0.0463	✓	1.48
2025-12-04	oos	0.02301	0.022911	-0.43%	0.0227	-1.35%	0.0361	✗	1.50
2025-12-03	oos	0.02497	0.024841	-0.52%	0.02301	-7.85%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2025-12-02	oos	0.02613	0.025962	-0.64%	0.02497	-4.44%	0.0622	✓	1.00
2025-12-01	oos	0.02323	0.02314	-0.39%	0.02613	+12.48%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2025-11-30	oos	0.02678	0.026613	-0.62%	0.02323	-13.26%	0.0897	✓	1.00
2025-11-29	oos	0.0263	0.026138	-0.62%	0.02678	+1.83%	0.0293	✗	1.00
2025-11-28	oos	0.02881	0.02851	-1.04%	0.0263	-8.71%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2025-11-27	oos	0.02423	0.024088	-0.59%	0.02881	+18.90%	0.1836	✗	1.00
2025-11-26	oos	0.02497	0.024787	-0.73%	0.02423	-2.96%	0.0320	✓	1.00
2025-11-25	oos	0.02264	0.022523	-0.52%	0.02497	+10.29%	0.0678	✗	1.00
2025-11-24	oos	0.02171	0.021615	-0.44%	0.02264	+4.28%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2025-11-23	oos	0.0226	0.022498	-0.45%	0.02171	-3.94%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2025-11-22	oos	0.02268	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0226	-0.35%	0.0248	✓	1.00
2025-11-21	oos	0.02678	0.026535	-0.92%	0.02268	-15.31%	0.1524	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.02092	0.020844	-0.36%	0.02678	+28.01%	0.2677	✗	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.01944	0.019378	-0.32%	0.02092	+7.61%	0.1319	✗	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.0214	0.021314	-0.40%	0.01944	-9.16%	0.0763	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.02315	0.023063	-0.37%	0.0214	-7.56%	0.0837	✓	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.03151	0.03121	-0.95%	0.02315	-26.53%	0.2764	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.03674	0.03596	-2.12%	0.03151	-14.24%	0.1178	✓	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.02743	0.02707	-1.31%	0.03674	+33.94%	0.2945	✗	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.02199	0.021766	-1.02%	0.02743	+24.74%	0.2840	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.