GNS

Syli · · gru_s1

token id: #462
symbol: GNS
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-02-17
predictions: 3,999

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1849

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0310

actual -0.0603

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.499	0.473517	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.454	0.433967	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.408	0.385974	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.4145	0.391402	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.453	0.427351	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-16	oos	0.467	0.440214	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-15	oos	0.503	0.474473	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-14	oos	0.535	0.502512	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.7175	0.652127	-9.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.369	0.346392	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-11	oos	0.3875	0.365165	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.3985	0.374325	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.3935	0.369531	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.3835	0.359573	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-07	oos	0.3815	0.357622	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.403	0.379167	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-05	oos	0.4235	0.398495	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-04	oos	0.426	0.40165	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-03	oos	0.421	0.394621	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-02	oos	0.432	0.405972	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-01	oos	0.461	0.435102	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-30	oos	0.467	0.441416	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-29	oos	0.483	0.455893	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-28	oos	0.4795	0.454449	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-27	oos	0.507	0.486271	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-26	oos	0.4785	0.458044	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-25	oos	0.486	0.467629	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-24	oos	0.472	0.454193	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-23	oos	0.464	0.449433	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-09-22	oos	0.4795	0.471586	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-09-21	oos	0.45	0.445855	-0.92%	0.499	+10.89%	0.1409	✗	0.61
2026-09-20	oos	0.4425	0.433396	-2.06%	0.454	+2.60%	0.0321	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.436	0.428297	-1.77%	0.408	-6.42%	0.0534	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.4365	0.428541	-1.82%	0.4145	-5.04%	0.0425	✓	0.66
2026-09-17	oos	0.416	0.402864	-3.16%	0.453	+8.89%	0.0762	✗	0.64
2026-09-16	oos	0.407	0.394272	-3.13%	0.467	+14.74%	0.1256	✗	0.64
2026-09-15	oos	0.4075	0.394194	-3.27%	0.503	+23.44%	0.1899	✗	0.65
2026-09-14	oos	0.4255	0.417993	-1.76%	0.535	+25.73%	0.2203	✗	0.62
2026-09-13	oos	0.4295	0.420743	-2.04%	0.7175	+67.05%	0.4835	✗	0.64
2026-09-12	oos	0.4305	0.424466	-1.40%	0.369	-14.29%	0.1761	✓	0.64
2026-09-11	oos	0.4425	0.437738	-1.08%	0.3875	-12.43%	0.1733	✓	0.64
2026-09-10	oos	0.44	0.43685	-0.72%	0.3985	-9.43%	0.1420	✓	0.63
2026-09-09	oos	0.4695	0.475383	+1.25%	0.3935	-16.19%	0.2200	✗	0.58
2026-09-08	oos	0.486	0.494771	+1.80%	0.3835	-21.09%	0.2807	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.487	0.499502	+2.57%	0.3815	-21.66%	0.3021	✗	0.63
2026-09-06	oos	0.488	0.506656	+3.82%	0.403	-17.42%	0.2679	✗	0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.4775	0.498354	+4.37%	0.4235	-11.31%	0.2067	✗	0.61
2026-09-04	oos	0.4745	0.49661	+4.66%	0.426	-10.22%	0.2058	✗	0.64
2026-09-03	oos	0.521	0.542977	+4.22%	0.421	-19.19%	0.2789	✗	0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.512	0.52418	+2.38%	0.432	-15.62%	0.2527	✗	0.67
2026-09-01	oos	0.519	0.533667	+2.83%	0.461	-11.18%	0.2085	✗	0.68
2026-08-31	oos	0.521	0.539946	+3.64%	0.467	-10.36%	0.1788	✗	0.55
2026-08-30	oos	0.507	0.520262	+2.62%	0.483	-4.73%	0.1135	✗	0.53
2026-08-29	oos	0.523	0.541042	+3.45%	0.4795	-8.32%	0.1539	✗	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.523	0.541242	+3.49%	0.507	-3.06%	0.1072	✗	0.51
2026-08-27	oos	0.534	0.571489	+7.02%	0.4785	-10.39%	0.2034	✗	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.531	0.563157	+6.06%	0.486	-8.47%	0.1791	✗	0.51
2026-08-25	oos	0.536	0.56473	+5.36%	0.472	-11.94%	0.2162	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.541	0.572005	+5.73%	0.464	-14.23%	0.2434	✗	0.52
2026-08-23	oos	0.554	0.578723	+4.46%	0.4795	-13.45%	0.2442	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.546	0.568544	+4.13%	0.45	-17.58%	0.2972	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.537	0.563524	+4.94%	0.4425	-17.60%	0.2613	✗	0.55
2026-08-20	oos	0.529	0.527766	-0.23%	0.436	-17.58%	0.2578	✓	0.63
2026-08-19	oos	0.519	0.506744	-2.36%	0.4365	-15.90%	0.2496	✓	0.65
2026-08-18	oos	0.502	0.482712	-3.84%	0.416	-17.13%	0.2625	✓	0.69
2026-08-17	oos	0.507	0.487738	-3.80%	0.407	-19.72%	0.2920	✓	0.67
2026-08-16	oos	0.506	0.484941	-4.16%	0.4075	-19.47%	0.3005	✓	0.68
2026-08-15	oos	0.518	0.495114	-4.42%	0.4255	-17.86%	0.2982	✓	0.68
2026-08-14	oos	0.524	0.50003	-4.57%	0.4295	-18.03%	0.2907	✓	0.70
2026-08-13	oos	0.526	0.501921	-4.58%	0.4305	-18.16%	0.2936	✓	0.71
2026-08-12	oos	0.524	0.500065	-4.57%	0.4425	-15.55%	0.2681	✓	0.74
2026-08-11	oos	0.53	0.504841	-4.75%	0.44	-16.98%	0.2749	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.531	0.50753	-4.42%	0.4695	-11.58%	0.2312	✓	0.76
2026-08-09	oos	0.529	0.507504	-4.06%	0.486	-8.13%	0.1881	✓	0.76
2026-08-08	oos	0.515	0.495014	-3.88%	0.487	-5.44%	0.1676	✓	0.77
2026-08-07	oos	0.504	0.486055	-3.56%	0.488	-3.17%	0.1739	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.496	0.477892	-3.65%	0.4775	-3.73%	0.1815	✓	0.83
2026-08-05	oos	0.495	0.476653	-3.71%	0.4745	-4.14%	0.1794	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.497	0.477186	-3.99%	0.521	+4.83%	0.1083	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	0.498	0.477042	-4.21%	0.512	+2.81%	0.0933	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.499	0.477538	-4.30%	0.519	+4.01%	0.0782	✓	0.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.489	0.467661	-4.36%	0.521	+6.54%	0.0741	✓	0.81
2026-07-31	oos	0.491	0.469398	-4.40%	0.507	+3.26%	0.0950	✓	0.81
2026-07-30	oos	0.493	0.473354	-3.99%	0.523	+6.09%	0.0587	✓	0.84
2026-07-29	oos	0.487	0.466992	-4.11%	0.523	+7.39%	0.0580	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.496	0.475282	-4.18%	0.534	+7.66%	0.0775	✓	0.85
2026-07-27	oos	0.498	0.477073	-4.20%	0.531	+6.63%	0.0832	✓	0.88
2026-07-26	oos	0.533	0.510704	-4.18%	0.536	+0.56%	0.1110	✓	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.538	0.513779	-4.50%	0.541	+0.56%	0.1300	✓	0.88
2026-07-24	oos	0.533	0.509173	-4.47%	0.554	+3.94%	0.0857	✓	0.88
2026-07-23	oos	0.55	0.526352	-4.30%	0.546	-0.73%	0.1111	✓	0.87
2026-07-22	oos	0.559	0.537307	-3.88%	0.537	-3.94%	0.1472	✓	0.86
2026-07-21	oos	0.559	0.539434	-3.50%	0.529	-5.37%	0.0999	✓	0.86
2026-07-20	oos	0.561	0.53964	-3.81%	0.519	-7.49%	0.0906	✓	0.85
2026-07-19	oos	0.602	0.575254	-4.44%	0.502	-16.61%	0.1362	✓	0.88
2026-07-18	oos	0.607	0.58017	-4.42%	0.507	-16.47%	0.1305	✓	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.614	0.585089	-4.71%	0.506	-17.59%	0.1300	✓	0.91
2026-07-16	oos	0.618	0.588816	-4.72%	0.518	-16.18%	0.1173	✓	0.91
2026-07-15	oos	0.636	0.606983	-4.56%	0.524	-17.61%	0.1221	✓	0.91
2026-07-14	oos	0.628	0.601113	-4.28%	0.526	-16.24%	0.1113	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.598	0.568844	-4.88%	0.524	-12.37%	0.0983	✓	0.89
2026-07-12	oos	0.61	0.582229	-4.55%	0.53	-13.11%	0.0911	✓	0.89
2026-07-11	oos	0.614	0.5857	-4.61%	0.531	-13.52%	0.0999	✓	0.83
2026-07-10	oos	0.615	0.587137	-4.53%	0.529	-13.98%	0.1137	✓	0.84
2026-07-09	oos	0.606	0.577137	-4.76%	0.515	-15.02%	0.1367	✓	0.84
2026-07-08	oos	0.606	0.575445	-5.04%	0.504	-16.83%	0.1675	✓	0.84
2026-07-07	oos	0.615	0.585032	-4.87%	0.496	-19.35%	0.1774	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.629	0.598983	-4.77%	0.495	-21.30%	0.1985	✓	0.84
2026-07-05	oos	0.636	0.60451	-4.95%	0.497	-21.86%	0.2020	✓	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.641	0.608681	-5.04%	0.498	-22.31%	0.2057	✓	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.635	0.601968	-5.20%	0.499	-21.42%	0.2003	✓	0.82
2026-07-02	oos	0.632	0.59756	-5.45%	0.489	-22.63%	0.2174	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.605	0.571725	-5.50%	0.491	-18.84%	0.1897	✓	0.80
2026-06-30	oos	0.568	0.537168	-5.43%	0.493	-13.20%	0.1635	✓	0.77
2026-06-29	oos	0.5255	0.50152	-4.56%	0.487	-7.33%	0.0807	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.511	0.487455	-4.61%	0.496	-2.94%	0.0425	✓	0.84
2026-06-27	oos	0.518	0.493536	-4.72%	0.498	-3.86%	0.0425	✓	0.85
2026-06-26	oos	0.518	0.493094	-4.81%	0.533	+2.90%	0.0056	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	0.515	0.490258	-4.80%	0.538	+4.47%	0.0302	✓	0.85
2026-06-24	oos	0.524	0.499775	-4.62%	0.533	+1.72%	0.0223	✓	0.85
2026-06-23	oos	0.542	0.517568	-4.51%	0.55	+1.48%	0.0286	✓	0.85
2026-06-22	oos	0.562	0.536812	-4.48%	0.559	-0.53%	0.0129	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.57	0.543111	-4.72%	0.559	-1.93%	0.0140	✓	0.85
2026-06-20	oos	0.583	0.555571	-4.70%	0.561	-3.77%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-06-19	oos	0.568	0.540821	-4.78%	0.602	+5.99%	0.0910	✗	0.86
2026-06-18	oos	0.569	0.540792	-4.96%	0.607	+6.68%	0.0896	✗	0.86
2026-06-17	oos	0.585	0.555543	-5.04%	0.614	+4.96%	0.1074	✗	0.86
2026-06-16	oos	0.588	0.558421	-5.03%	0.618	+5.10%	0.1264	✗	0.88
2026-06-15	oos	0.604	0.572217	-5.26%	0.636	+5.30%	0.1273	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.6	0.567145	-5.48%	0.628	+4.67%	0.1118	✗	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.596	0.561933	-5.72%	0.598	+0.34%	0.0932	✗	0.91
2026-06-12	oos	0.611	0.572751	-6.26%	0.61	-0.16%	0.0601	✓	0.92
2026-06-11	oos	0.563	0.531278	-5.63%	0.614	+9.06%	0.1417	✗	0.92
2026-06-10	oos	0.519	0.492663	-5.07%	0.615	+18.50%	0.1848	✗	0.87
2026-06-09	oos	0.498	0.474694	-4.68%	0.606	+21.69%	0.2234	✗	0.87
2026-06-08	oos	0.495	0.471437	-4.76%	0.606	+22.42%	0.2629	✗	0.89
2026-06-07	oos	0.481	0.458823	-4.61%	0.615	+27.86%	0.2927	✗	0.89
2026-06-06	oos	0.46	0.440745	-4.19%	0.629	+36.74%	0.3122	✗	0.86
2026-06-05	oos	0.458	0.439058	-4.14%	0.636	+38.86%	0.3357	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.494	0.470097	-4.84%	0.641	+29.76%	0.3193	✗	0.81
2026-06-03	oos	0.53	0.502105	-5.26%	0.635	+19.81%	0.2537	✗	0.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.487	0.464903	-4.54%	0.632	+29.77%	0.3805	✗	0.91
2026-06-01	oos	0.502	0.478685	-4.64%	0.605	+20.52%	0.3908	✗	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.503	0.479619	-4.65%	0.568	+12.92%	0.3826	✗	0.93
2026-05-30	oos	0.502	0.479482	-4.49%	0.5255	+4.68%	0.2822	✗	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.483	0.461568	-4.44%	0.511	+5.80%	0.2971	✗	0.93
2026-05-28	oos	0.464	0.443739	-4.37%	0.518	+11.64%	0.3437	✗	0.93
2026-05-27	oos	0.465	0.446914	-3.89%	0.518	+11.40%	0.3470	✗	0.93
2026-05-26	oos	0.474	0.457235	-3.54%	0.515	+8.65%	0.3418	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.492	0.477351	-2.98%	0.524	+6.50%	0.3265	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.478	0.463769	-2.98%	0.542	+13.39%	0.3586	✗	0.98
2026-05-23	oos	0.493	0.478574	-2.93%	0.562	+14.00%	0.3256	✗	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.459	0.443473	-3.38%	0.57	+24.18%	0.4078	✗	0.89
2026-05-21	oos	0.466	0.450883	-3.24%	0.583	+25.11%	0.4261	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	0.455	0.439455	-3.42%	0.568	+24.84%	0.4371	✗	0.91
2026-05-19	oos	0.476	0.461588	-3.03%	0.569	+19.54%	0.3915	✗	0.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.496	0.481932	-2.84%	0.585	+17.94%	0.3656	✗	0.97
2026-05-17	oos	0.483	0.468421	-3.02%	0.588	+21.74%	0.3886	✗	0.98
2026-05-16	oos	0.52	0.505429	-2.80%	0.604	+16.15%	0.3361	✗	0.96
2026-05-15	oos	0.541	0.529709	-2.09%	0.6	+10.91%	0.3012	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.572	0.56609	-1.03%	0.596	+4.20%	0.2664	✗	0.94
2026-05-13	oos	0.564	0.553402	-1.88%	0.611	+8.33%	0.3073	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.594	0.591145	-0.48%	0.563	-5.22%	0.1656	✗	0.91
2026-05-11	oos	0.599	0.603408	+0.74%	0.519	-13.36%	0.1109	✓	0.92
2026-05-10	oos	0.64	0.649338	+1.46%	0.498	-22.19%	0.0016	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	0.573	0.56899	-0.70%	0.495	-13.61%	0.0770	✗	0.88
2026-05-08	oos	0.563	0.556643	-1.13%	0.481	-14.56%	0.0600	✗	0.87
2026-05-07	oos	0.561	0.554036	-1.24%	0.46	-18.00%	0.0463	✗	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.553	0.551161	-0.33%	0.458	-17.18%	0.0601	✗	0.85
2026-05-05	oos	0.544	0.543446	-0.10%	0.494	-9.19%	0.0782	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.554	0.551369	-0.47%	0.53	-4.33%	0.1227	✗	0.73
2026-05-03	oos	0.546	0.538776	-1.32%	0.487	-10.81%	0.0184	✗	0.73
2026-05-02	oos	0.545	0.537863	-1.31%	0.502	-7.89%	0.0027	✓	0.73
2026-05-01	oos	0.53	0.52071	-1.75%	0.503	-5.09%	0.0101	✓	0.73
2026-04-30	oos	0.5	0.483128	-3.37%	0.502	+0.40%	0.0617	✗	0.69
2026-04-29	oos	0.534	0.516482	-3.28%	0.483	-9.55%	0.0447	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.649	0.631217	-2.74%	0.464	-28.51%	0.2820	✓	0.69
2026-04-27	oos	0.691	0.673835	-2.48%	0.465	-32.71%	0.3436	✓	0.68
2026-04-26	oos	0.705	0.69193	-1.85%	0.474	-32.77%	0.3531	✓	0.68
2026-04-25	oos	0.698	0.680747	-2.47%	0.492	-29.51%	0.3211	✓	0.69
2026-04-24	oos	0.701	0.682797	-2.60%	0.478	-31.81%	0.3522	✓	0.69
2026-04-23	oos	0.687	0.671733	-2.22%	0.493	-28.24%	0.2948	✓	0.69
2026-04-22	oos	0.696	0.679692	-2.34%	0.459	-34.05%	0.3676	✓	0.69
2026-04-21	oos	0.705	0.682478	-3.19%	0.466	-33.90%	0.3925	✓	0.70
2026-04-20	oos	0.691	0.666902	-3.49%	0.455	-34.15%	0.3969	✓	0.69
2026-04-19	oos	0.673	0.641489	-4.68%	0.476	-29.27%	0.3255	✓	0.69
2026-04-18	oos	0.707	0.682989	-3.40%	0.496	-29.84%	0.3307	✓	0.69
2026-04-17	oos	0.715	0.698862	-2.26%	0.483	-32.45%	0.3722	✓	0.69
2026-04-16	oos	0.692	0.670777	-3.07%	0.52	-24.86%	0.2807	✓	0.68
2026-04-15	oos	0.7	0.678497	-3.07%	0.541	-22.71%	0.2639	✓	0.68
2026-04-14	oos	0.712	0.690138	-3.07%	0.572	-19.66%	0.2490	✓	0.69
2026-04-13	oos	0.703	0.682357	-2.94%	0.564	-19.77%	0.2348	✓	0.70
2026-04-12	oos	0.696	0.669706	-3.78%	0.594	-14.66%	0.2063	✓	0.67
2026-04-11	oos	0.723	0.699913	-3.19%	0.599	-17.15%	0.2301	✓	0.67
2026-04-10	oos	0.727	0.706048	-2.88%	0.64	-11.97%	0.1765	✓	0.66
2026-04-09	oos	0.729	0.706528	-3.08%	0.573	-21.40%	0.2865	✓	0.66
2026-04-08	oos	0.729	0.706845	-3.04%	0.563	-22.77%	0.3074	✓	0.66
2026-04-07	oos	0.749	0.727336	-2.89%	0.561	-25.10%	0.3302	✓	0.66
2026-04-06	oos	0.724	0.699055	-3.45%	0.553	-23.62%	0.3453	✓	0.66
2026-04-05	oos	0.719	0.692421	-3.70%	0.544	-24.34%	0.3464	✓	0.66
2026-04-04	oos	0.726	0.69556	-4.19%	0.554	-23.69%	0.3410	✓	0.66
2026-04-03	oos	0.722	0.691388	-4.24%	0.546	-24.38%	0.3416	✓	0.66
2026-04-02	oos	0.723	0.691622	-4.34%	0.545	-24.62%	0.3455	✓	0.66
2026-04-01	oos	0.738	0.705372	-4.42%	0.53	-28.18%	0.3774	✓	0.66
2026-03-31	oos	0.733	0.700179	-4.48%	0.5	-31.79%	0.4108	✓	0.66
2026-03-30	oos	0.721	0.687812	-4.60%	0.534	-25.94%	0.3367	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.711	0.679762	-4.39%	0.649	-8.72%	0.1425	✓	0.66
2026-03-28	oos	0.721	0.691592	-4.08%	0.691	-4.16%	0.1022	✓	0.66
2026-03-27	oos	0.726	0.69804	-3.85%	0.705	-2.89%	0.1019	✓	0.66
2026-03-26	oos	0.75	0.724309	-3.43%	0.698	-6.93%	0.1158	✓	0.65
2026-03-25	oos	0.786	0.763033	-2.92%	0.701	-10.81%	0.1378	✓	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.793	0.770408	-2.85%	0.687	-13.37%	0.1816	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.795	0.774705	-2.55%	0.696	-12.45%	0.1703	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.758	0.734206	-3.14%	0.705	-6.99%	0.1144	✓	0.63
2026-03-21	oos	0.776	0.752308	-3.05%	0.691	-10.95%	0.1450	✓	0.62
2026-03-20	oos	0.796	0.774541	-2.70%	0.673	-15.45%	0.1692	✓	0.62
2026-03-19	oos	0.79	0.767901	-2.80%	0.707	-10.51%	0.1323	✓	0.62
2026-03-18	oos	0.824	0.803759	-2.46%	0.715	-13.23%	0.1667	✓	0.63
2026-03-17	oos	0.885	0.87003	-1.69%	0.692	-21.81%	0.2390	✓	0.61
2026-03-16	oos	0.873	0.863007	-1.14%	0.7	-19.82%	0.2089	✓	0.62
2026-03-15	oos	0.852	0.83567	-1.92%	0.712	-16.43%	0.1715	✓	0.62
2026-03-14	oos	0.838	0.816863	-2.52%	0.703	-16.11%	0.1774	✓	0.62
2026-03-13	oos	0.835	0.813242	-2.61%	0.696	-16.65%	0.1540	✓	0.62
2026-03-12	oos	0.831	0.808895	-2.66%	0.723	-13.00%	0.1343	✓	0.62
2026-03-11	oos	0.815	0.792056	-2.82%	0.727	-10.80%	0.1100	✓	0.62
2026-03-10	oos	0.787	0.765872	-2.68%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0653	✓	0.62
2026-03-09	oos	0.787	0.763525	-2.98%	0.729	-7.37%	0.0699	✓	0.62
2026-03-08	oos	0.774	0.74892	-3.24%	0.749	-3.23%	0.0541	✓	0.63
2026-03-07	oos	0.776	0.753319	-2.92%	0.724	-6.70%	0.0545	✓	0.63
2026-03-06	oos	0.779	0.758048	-2.69%	0.719	-7.70%	0.0611	✓	0.63
2026-03-05	oos	0.796	0.778661	-2.18%	0.726	-8.79%	0.0370	✓	0.63
2026-03-04	oos	0.804	0.790678	-1.66%	0.722	-10.20%	0.0380	✓	0.64
2026-03-03	oos	0.797	0.778569	-2.31%	0.723	-9.28%	0.0598	✓	0.67
2026-03-02	oos	0.8065	0.788291	-2.26%	0.738	-8.49%	0.0588	✓	0.68
2026-03-01	oos	0.777	0.758738	-2.35%	0.733	-5.66%	0.0588	✓	0.66
2026-02-28	oos	0.796	0.777457	-2.33%	0.721	-9.42%	0.0731	✓	0.67
2026-02-27	oos	0.807	0.786904	-2.49%	0.711	-11.90%	0.1024	✓	0.68
2026-02-26	oos	0.834	0.812629	-2.56%	0.721	-13.55%	0.1078	✓	0.67
2026-02-25	oos	0.832	0.811709	-2.44%	0.726	-12.74%	0.0951	✓	0.68
2026-02-24	oos	0.76	0.744273	-2.07%	0.75	-1.32%	0.0369	✓	0.63
2026-02-23	oos	0.769	0.753214	-2.05%	0.786	+2.21%	0.0188	✓	0.62
2026-02-22	oos	0.756	0.740253	-2.08%	0.793	+4.89%	0.0413	✗	0.65
2026-02-21	oos	0.761	0.744209	-2.21%	0.795	+4.47%	0.0381	✗	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.734	0.719539	-1.97%	0.758	+3.27%	0.0534	✗	0.66
2026-02-19	oos	0.711	0.69823	-1.80%	0.776	+9.14%	0.0869	✗	0.66
2026-02-18	oos	0.714	0.701403	-1.76%	0.796	+11.48%	0.0872	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.841	0.81959	-2.55%	0.79	-6.06%	0.0591	✓	0.63
2026-02-16	oos	0.864	0.84125	-2.63%	0.824	-4.63%	0.0419	✓	0.62
2026-02-15	oos	0.861	0.838691	-2.59%	0.885	+2.79%	0.0087	✓	0.62
2026-02-14	oos	0.878	0.854012	-2.73%	0.873	-0.57%	0.0217	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.881	0.855856	-2.85%	0.852	-3.29%	0.0398	✓	0.62
2026-02-12	oos	0.85	0.828236	-2.56%	0.838	-1.41%	0.0336	✓	0.62
2026-02-11	oos	0.816	0.797476	-2.27%	0.835	+2.33%	0.0112	✓	0.61
2026-02-10	oos	0.846	0.824495	-2.54%	0.831	-1.77%	0.0073	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.886	0.859609	-2.98%	0.815	-8.01%	0.0542	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.892	0.864579	-3.07%	0.787	-11.77%	0.0913	✓	0.61
2026-02-07	oos	0.903	0.875441	-3.05%	0.787	-12.85%	0.0993	✓	0.61
2026-02-06	oos	0.879	0.85199	-3.07%	0.774	-11.95%	0.0545	✓	0.62
2026-02-05	oos	0.806	0.793341	-1.57%	0.776	-3.72%	0.0626	✓	0.59
2026-02-04	oos	0.867	0.837743	-3.37%	0.779	-10.15%	0.0237	✓	0.71
2026-02-03	oos	0.896	0.863396	-3.64%	0.796	-11.16%	0.0357	✓	0.70
2026-02-02	oos	0.915	0.879873	-3.84%	0.804	-12.13%	0.0331	✓	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	0.899	0.86665	-3.60%	0.797	-11.35%	0.0006	✓	0.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.924	0.889392	-3.75%	0.8065	-12.72%	0.0036	✓	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.948	0.909923	-4.02%	0.777	-18.04%	0.0405	✓	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	0.935	0.89722	-4.04%	0.796	-14.87%	0.0690	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	0.978	0.943921	-3.48%	0.807	-17.48%	0.0919	✗	0.82
2026-01-27	oos	0.974	0.943514	-3.13%	0.834	-14.37%	0.1030	✗	0.81
2026-01-26	oos	0.949	0.920694	-2.98%	0.832	-12.33%	0.1058	✗	0.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.912	0.884136	-3.06%	0.76	-16.67%	0.0827	✗	0.78
2026-01-24	oos	0.94	0.911398	-3.04%	0.769	-18.19%	0.0787	✗	0.77
2026-01-23	oos	0.93	0.904542	-2.74%	0.756	-18.71%	0.0434	✗	0.80
2026-01-22	oos	0.912	0.887381	-2.70%	0.761	-16.56%	0.0648	✗	0.79
2026-01-21	oos	0.911	0.887905	-2.54%	0.734	-19.43%	0.0280	✗	0.80
2026-01-20	oos	0.945	0.917919	-2.87%	0.711	-24.76%	0.0316	✓	0.81
2026-01-19	oos	0.983	0.959382	-2.40%	0.714	-27.37%	0.0269	✓	0.81
2026-01-18	oos	0.991	0.96792	-2.33%	0.841	-15.14%	0.1245	✗	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	1.006	0.987445	-1.84%	0.864	-14.12%	0.1268	✗	0.81
2026-01-16	oos	1.014	1.0009	-1.29%	0.861	-15.09%	0.1150	✗	0.81
2026-01-15	oos	0.987	0.975524	-1.16%	0.878	-11.04%	0.1500	✗	0.81
2026-01-14	oos	1.026	1.0204	-0.55%	0.881	-14.13%	0.1247	✗	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.951	0.934632	-1.72%	0.85	-10.62%	0.1828	✗	0.76
2026-01-12	oos	1.007	0.976171	-3.06%	0.816	-18.97%	0.0923	✗	0.88
2026-01-11	oos	1.007	0.975362	-3.14%	0.846	-15.99%	0.1045	✗	0.89
2026-01-10	oos	1.078	1.0418	-3.36%	0.886	-17.81%	0.0699	✗	0.91
2026-01-09	oos	1.078	1.0428	-3.27%	0.892	-17.25%	0.0765	✗	0.92
2026-01-08	oos	1.087	1.0518	-3.24%	0.903	-16.93%	0.1018	✗	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	1.116	1.0807	-3.16%	0.879	-21.24%	0.1025	✗	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	1.157	1.1282	-2.49%	0.806	-30.34%	0.1461	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	1.155	1.1242	-2.66%	0.867	-24.94%	0.0424	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	1.159	1.1233	-3.08%	0.896	-22.69%	0.0099	✓	1.24
2026-01-03	oos	1.167	1.1305	-3.13%	0.915	-21.59%	0.0346	✓	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	1.162	1.1232	-3.34%	0.899	-22.63%	0.0273	✓	1.25
2026-01-01	oos	1.149	1.1082	-3.55%	0.924	-19.58%	0.0316	✓	1.24
2025-12-31	oos	1.136	1.0979	-3.36%	0.948	-16.55%	0.0985	✓	1.22
2025-12-30	oos	1.135	1.1018	-2.92%	0.935	-17.62%	0.1089	✓	1.23
2025-12-29	oos	1.119	1.0855	-3.00%	0.978	-12.60%	0.1333	✓	1.25
2025-12-28	oos	1.106	1.0736	-2.93%	0.974	-11.93%	0.1148	✓	1.25
2025-12-27	oos	1.141	1.109	-2.81%	0.949	-16.83%	0.1621	✓	1.25
2025-12-26	oos	1.203	1.1671	-2.98%	0.912	-24.19%	0.2360	✓	1.26
2025-12-25	oos	1.233	1.1951	-3.08%	0.94	-23.76%	0.2674	✓	1.26
2025-12-24	oos	1.266	1.2269	-3.09%	0.93	-26.54%	0.3038	✓	1.27
2025-12-23	oos	1.3	1.2584	-3.20%	0.912	-29.85%	0.3517	✓	1.29
2025-12-22	oos	1.286	1.2472	-3.02%	0.911	-29.16%	0.3259	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	1.274	1.2347	-3.09%	0.945	-25.82%	0.2625	✓	1.30
2025-12-20	oos	1.267	1.2271	-3.15%	0.983	-22.42%	0.2847	✓	1.34
2025-12-19	oos	1.281	1.2395	-3.24%	0.991	-22.64%	0.3056	✓	1.34
2025-12-18	oos	1.218	1.1797	-3.14%	1.006	-17.41%	0.3021	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	1.229	1.1896	-3.21%	1.014	-17.49%	0.2975	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	1.266	1.2232	-3.38%	0.987	-22.04%	0.3278	✓	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	1.24	1.1981	-3.38%	1.026	-17.26%	0.3094	✓	1.34
2025-12-14	oos	1.285	1.2384	-3.62%	0.951	-25.99%	0.3695	✓	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	1.321	1.2725	-3.67%	1.007	-23.77%	0.2478	✓	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	1.308	1.2621	-3.51%	1.007	-23.01%	0.2346	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	1.352	1.3066	-3.36%	1.078	-20.27%	0.1604	✓	1.34
2025-12-10	oos	1.392	1.3428	-3.53%	1.078	-22.56%	0.1971	✓	1.35
2025-12-09	oos	1.44	1.3877	-3.63%	1.087	-24.51%	0.2197	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	1.394	1.3394	-3.91%	1.116	-19.94%	0.1918	✓	1.35
2025-12-07	oos	1.391	1.3361	-3.95%	1.157	-16.82%	0.1927	✓	1.35
2025-12-06	oos	1.416	1.3588	-4.04%	1.155	-18.43%	0.2313	✓	1.37
2025-12-05	oos	1.389	1.3366	-3.77%	1.159	-16.56%	0.1751	✓	1.37
2025-12-04	oos	1.454	1.4025	-3.54%	1.167	-19.74%	0.1615	✓	1.37
2025-12-03	oos	1.482	1.4338	-3.26%	1.162	-21.59%	0.1580	✓	1.37
2025-12-02	oos	1.429	1.3829	-3.22%	1.149	-19.59%	0.1463	✓	1.37
2025-12-01	oos	1.393	1.3433	-3.57%	1.136	-18.45%	0.1879	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	1.472	1.4174	-3.71%	1.135	-22.89%	0.1900	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	1.4735	1.4189	-3.71%	1.119	-24.06%	0.1767	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	1.492	1.434	-3.88%	1.106	-25.87%	0.2105	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	1.496	1.4369	-3.95%	1.141	-23.73%	0.1735	✓	1.46
2025-11-26	oos	1.484	1.4256	-3.94%	1.203	-18.94%	0.1180	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	1.471	1.4101	-4.14%	1.233	-16.18%	0.1316	✓	1.50
2025-11-24	oos	1.466	1.4058	-4.11%	1.266	-13.64%	0.0935	✓	1.50
2025-11-23	oos	1.396	1.3437	-3.75%	1.3	-6.88%	0.0438	✓	1.50
2025-11-22	oos	1.377	1.3278	-3.57%	1.286	-6.61%	0.1008	✓	1.54
2025-11-21	oos	1.369	1.3199	-3.59%	1.274	-6.94%	0.0985	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.415	1.3558	-4.18%	1.267	-10.46%	0.0991	✓	1.53
2025-11-19	oos	1.452	1.3839	-4.69%	1.281	-11.78%	0.0143	✓	1.68
2025-11-18	oos	1.463	1.3926	-4.81%	1.218	-16.75%	0.0073	✓	1.69
2025-11-17	oos	1.43	1.3634	-4.66%	1.229	-14.06%	0.0089	✓	1.71
2025-11-16	oos	1.429	1.3618	-4.70%	1.266	-11.41%	0.0463	✓	1.71
2025-11-15	oos	1.451	1.3804	-4.87%	1.24	-14.54%	0.0653	✗	1.72
2025-11-14	oos	1.403	1.3388	-4.58%	1.285	-8.41%	0.0779	✗	1.71
2025-11-13	oos	1.424	1.3571	-4.70%	1.321	-7.23%	0.1534	✗	1.83
2025-11-12	oos	1.468	1.3974	-4.81%	1.308	-10.90%	0.1504	✗	1.83
2025-11-11	oos	1.468	1.4002	-4.62%	1.352	-7.90%	0.1630	✗	1.85
2025-11-10	oos	1.519	1.4521	-4.41%	1.392	-8.36%	0.2175	✗	1.84
2025-11-09	oos	1.509	1.4426	-4.40%	1.44	-4.57%	0.2253	✗	1.87
2025-11-08	oos	1.483	1.418	-4.38%	1.394	-6.00%	0.2107	✗	1.89
2025-11-07	oos	1.522	1.4552	-4.39%	1.391	-8.61%	0.1992	✗	1.83
2025-11-06	oos	1.378	1.323	-3.99%	1.416	+2.76%	0.2946	✗	1.79
2025-11-05	oos	1.397	1.3438	-3.81%	1.389	-0.57%	0.3055	✗	1.81
2025-11-04	oos	1.345	1.2994	-3.39%	1.454	+8.10%	0.2901	✗	1.83
2025-11-03	oos	1.391	1.3469	-3.17%	1.482	+6.54%	0.3477	✗	1.92
2025-11-02	oos	1.527	1.4805	-3.05%	1.429	-6.42%	0.3267	✗	1.89
2025-11-01	oos	1.5255	1.4811	-2.91%	1.393	-8.69%	0.4026	✗	1.91
2025-10-31	oos	1.496	1.4551	-2.73%	1.472	-1.60%	0.3794	✗	1.91
2025-10-30	oos	1.455	1.4152	-2.73%	1.4735	+1.27%	0.3764	✗	1.91
2025-10-29	oos	1.455	1.4152	-2.73%	1.492	+2.54%	0.4234	✗	1.94
2025-10-28	oos	1.457	1.422	-2.40%	1.496	+2.68%	0.4729	✗	1.99
2025-10-27	oos	1.471	1.4336	-2.54%	1.484	+0.88%	0.4967	✗	1.99
2025-10-26	oos	1.496	1.4514	-2.98%	1.471	-1.67%	0.5536	✗	1.99
2025-10-25	oos	1.432	1.3842	-3.34%	1.466	+2.37%	0.5287	✗	2.00
2025-10-24	oos	1.428	1.3797	-3.38%	1.396	-2.24%	0.5091	✗	2.02
2025-10-23	oos	1.4	1.3534	-3.33%	1.377	-1.64%	0.5473	✗	2.02
2025-10-22	oos	1.389	1.344	-3.24%	1.369	-1.44%	0.4983	✗	2.04
2025-10-21	oos	1.386	1.3407	-3.27%	1.415	+2.09%	0.5145	✗	2.05
2025-10-20	oos	1.408	1.3564	-3.66%	1.452	+3.12%	0.4629	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	1.399	1.3492	-3.56%	1.463	+4.57%	0.4026	✗	2.05
2025-10-18	oos	1.375	1.3271	-3.48%	1.43	+4.00%	0.3871	✗	2.06
2025-10-17	oos	1.356	1.3084	-3.51%	1.429	+5.38%	0.3398	✗	2.05
2025-10-16	oos	1.341	1.2919	-3.66%	1.451	+8.20%	0.3745	✗	2.08
2025-10-15	oos	1.37	1.3207	-3.60%	1.403	+2.41%	0.3958	✗	2.11
2025-10-14	oos	1.399	1.3538	-3.23%	1.424	+1.79%	0.3199	✗	2.13
2025-10-13	oos	1.44	1.3972	-2.97%	1.468	+1.94%	0.3183	✗	2.14
2025-10-12	oos	1.342	1.298	-3.28%	1.468	+9.39%	0.3538	✗	2.08
2025-10-11	oos	1.288	1.2461	-3.26%	1.519	+17.93%	0.2920	✗	2.12
2025-10-10	oos	1.341	1.2957	-3.38%	1.509	+12.53%	0.3131	✗	2.11
2025-10-09	oos	1.685	1.6392	-2.72%	1.483	-11.99%	0.2238	✗	1.86
2025-10-08	oos	1.772	1.7269	-2.55%	1.522	-14.11%	0.2049	✗	1.87
2025-10-07	oos	1.751	1.6987	-2.98%	1.378	-21.30%	0.1230	✗	1.84
2025-10-06	oos	1.868	1.8277	-2.15%	1.397	-25.21%	0.0593	✗	1.79
2025-10-05	oos	1.818	1.7699	-2.65%	1.345	-26.02%	0.0777	✗	1.79
2025-10-04	oos	1.855	1.8036	-2.77%	1.391	-25.01%	0.0086	✓	1.81
2025-10-03	oos	1.903	1.8505	-2.76%	1.527	-19.76%	0.0090	✓	1.81
2025-10-02	oos	1.983	1.9184	-3.26%	1.5255	-23.07%	0.0597	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	1.92	1.8516	-3.56%	1.496	-22.08%	0.0655	✓	1.85
2025-09-30	oos	1.804	1.7287	-4.17%	1.455	-19.35%	0.0756	✓	1.87
2025-09-29	oos	1.881	1.7931	-4.67%	1.455	-22.65%	0.1417	✓	1.74
2025-09-28	oos	1.84	1.7511	-4.83%	1.457	-20.82%	0.1951	✓	1.78
2025-09-27	oos	1.806	1.721	-4.71%	1.471	-18.55%	0.2299	✓	1.85
2025-09-26	oos	1.787	1.6985	-4.95%	1.496	-16.28%	0.2079	✓	1.87
2025-09-25	oos	1.729	1.6444	-4.89%	1.432	-17.18%	0.1829	✓	1.87
2025-09-24	oos	1.87	1.7743	-5.12%	1.428	-23.64%	0.1789	✓	1.86
2025-09-23	oos	1.83	1.7345	-5.22%	1.4	-23.50%	0.1822	✓	1.87
2025-09-22	oos	1.925	1.8129	-5.83%	1.389	-27.84%	0.1740	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	2.176	2.0357	-6.45%	1.386	-36.31%	0.2706	✓	1.84
2025-09-20	oos	2.156	2.0133	-6.62%	1.408	-34.69%	0.2896	✓	1.48
2025-09-19	oos	2.134	1.9921	-6.65%	1.399	-34.44%	0.2746	✓	1.26
2025-09-18	oos	2.295	2.1429	-6.63%	1.375	-40.09%	0.3379	✓	1.20
2025-09-17	oos	2.329	2.1735	-6.68%	1.356	-41.78%	0.3665	✓	1.17

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.