FLR

Flare · Flare · gru_s1

token id: #342
symbol: FLR
variant: –
chain: Flare
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-04-14
predictions: 3,819

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1064

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0259

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.006397	0.00601	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.006418	0.006042	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.006385	0.006001	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-18	oos	0.006418	0.00603	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-17	oos	0.006488	0.00608	-6.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.006633	0.006215	-6.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.006687	0.006274	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.006693	0.006259	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.006851	0.006402	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.006849	0.006366	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-11	oos	0.006991	0.006493	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-10	oos	0.006984	0.006466	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.007045	0.006531	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.006806	0.00631	-7.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.006975	0.006481	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-06	oos	0.007272	0.006799	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-05	oos	0.007223	0.006766	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-04	oos	0.007303	0.006854	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-03	oos	0.007178	0.006708	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-02	oos	0.007204	0.006749	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-01	oos	0.007389	0.006949	-5.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.007366	0.006927	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.00753	0.007112	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.007162	0.006801	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.007128	0.006816	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.007357	0.007036	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.007334	0.00705	-3.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.00718	0.006938	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.00711	0.00691	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.007207	0.007076	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.006935	0.006833	-1.47%	0.006397	-7.76%	0.0167	✓	1.07
2026-09-20	oos	0.00659	0.006414	-2.67%	0.006418	-2.60%	0.0232	✓	1.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.006636	0.006494	-2.14%	0.006385	-3.77%	0.0249	✓	1.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.00663	0.00652	-1.66%	0.006418	-3.20%	0.0309	✓	1.09
2026-09-17	oos	0.00642	0.006255	-2.58%	0.006488	+1.05%	0.0358	✓	1.13
2026-09-16	oos	0.00633	0.006196	-2.12%	0.006633	+4.80%	0.0087	✓	1.13
2026-09-15	oos	0.0063	0.006184	-1.84%	0.006687	+6.14%	0.0151	✓	1.12
2026-09-14	oos	0.00662	0.006558	-0.93%	0.006693	+1.11%	0.0270	✓	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.006403	0.006328	-1.17%	0.006851	+7.00%	0.0084	✓	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.006516	0.006498	-0.28%	0.006849	+5.11%	0.0099	✓	1.11
2026-09-11	oos	0.006377	0.006418	+0.64%	0.006991	+9.62%	0.0040	✓	1.11
2026-09-10	oos	0.006306	0.00636	+0.86%	0.006984	+10.75%	0.0052	✓	1.10
2026-09-09	oos	0.00642	0.006601	+2.81%	0.007045	+9.72%	0.0063	✓	1.11
2026-09-08	oos	0.006536	0.006736	+3.06%	0.006806	+4.13%	0.0369	✗	1.17
2026-09-07	oos	0.006562	0.006805	+3.70%	0.006975	+6.29%	0.0358	✓	1.17
2026-09-06	oos	0.006713	0.007042	+4.90%	0.007272	+8.33%	0.0419	✓	1.18
2026-09-05	oos	0.006718	0.007078	+5.36%	0.007223	+7.52%	0.0638	✗	1.18
2026-09-04	oos	0.006726	0.007129	+5.99%	0.007303	+8.58%	0.0740	✗	1.19
2026-09-03	oos	0.006957	0.007512	+7.97%	0.007178	+3.18%	0.0952	✗	1.19
2026-09-02	oos	0.006749	0.007044	+4.37%	0.007204	+6.74%	0.0867	✗	1.23
2026-09-01	oos	0.006678	0.007045	+5.50%	0.007389	+10.64%	0.0652	✗	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.007054	0.007565	+7.24%	0.007366	+4.43%	0.0973	✗	1.15
2026-08-30	oos	0.00631	0.006661	+5.56%	0.00753	+19.34%	0.0431	✓	1.07
2026-08-29	oos	0.006313	0.006739	+6.74%	0.007162	+13.43%	0.0081	✓	1.07
2026-08-28	oos	0.006346	0.006771	+6.70%	0.007128	+12.32%	0.0358	✓	1.07
2026-08-27	oos	0.006703	0.00733	+9.36%	0.007357	+9.75%	0.0493	✓	1.05
2026-08-26	oos	0.006497	0.006994	+7.65%	0.007334	+12.88%	0.0175	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.006585	0.00704	+6.91%	0.00718	+9.04%	0.0559	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.00693	0.007409	+6.91%	0.00711	+2.60%	0.1100	✗	1.04
2026-08-23	oos	0.007203	0.007604	+5.56%	0.007207	+0.06%	0.1632	✗	1.06
2026-08-22	oos	0.007129	0.007514	+5.40%	0.006935	-2.72%	0.2038	✗	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.007597	0.0081	+6.61%	0.00659	-13.26%	0.2432	✗	1.04
2026-08-20	oos	0.00695	0.007081	+1.88%	0.006636	-4.52%	0.1722	✗	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.006392	0.006336	-0.88%	0.00663	+3.72%	0.1009	✓	0.95
2026-08-18	oos	0.005872	0.005711	-2.75%	0.00642	+9.33%	0.0312	✓	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.00595	0.005786	-2.76%	0.00633	+6.38%	0.0601	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.00591	0.005729	-3.07%	0.0063	+6.60%	0.0742	✓	0.92
2026-08-15	oos	0.00597	0.005787	-3.06%	0.00662	+10.88%	0.0648	✓	0.92
2026-08-14	oos	0.00598	0.005793	-3.12%	0.006403	+7.07%	0.0836	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.00601	0.005817	-3.21%	0.006516	+8.43%	0.0692	✓	0.93
2026-08-12	oos	0.00602	0.005814	-3.43%	0.006377	+5.93%	0.0864	✓	0.91
2026-08-11	oos	0.00606	0.005846	-3.54%	0.006306	+4.06%	0.1037	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.00606	0.005821	-3.94%	0.00642	+5.95%	0.0970	✓	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.00611	0.005858	-4.13%	0.006536	+6.97%	0.0730	✓	0.96
2026-08-08	oos	0.0061	0.005861	-3.92%	0.006562	+7.58%	0.0762	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.00601	0.005769	-4.00%	0.006713	+11.70%	0.0594	✓	0.99
2026-08-06	oos	0.00596	0.005717	-4.07%	0.006718	+12.72%	0.0538	✓	0.99
2026-08-05	oos	0.00599	0.005759	-3.86%	0.006726	+12.29%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.00611	0.005858	-4.13%	0.006957	+13.86%	0.0653	✓	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.0063	0.006014	-4.54%	0.006749	+7.13%	0.0855	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00633	0.006041	-4.56%	0.006678	+5.50%	0.1011	✓	1.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.006245	0.005965	-4.49%	0.007054	+12.95%	0.0583	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.00626	0.005983	-4.42%	0.00631	+0.80%	0.1603	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.00629	0.006043	-3.93%	0.006313	+0.37%	0.1516	✓	1.03
2026-07-29	oos	0.006305	0.006065	-3.81%	0.006346	+0.65%	0.1560	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.006245	0.006021	-3.59%	0.006703	+7.33%	0.1249	✓	1.01
2026-07-27	oos	0.006285	0.006053	-3.69%	0.006497	+3.37%	0.1485	✓	1.02
2026-07-26	oos	0.00644	0.006233	-3.22%	0.006585	+2.25%	0.1325	✓	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.00642	0.006199	-3.44%	0.00693	+7.94%	0.1006	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0064	0.006193	-3.23%	0.007203	+12.55%	0.0467	✓	1.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.00647	0.006309	-2.48%	0.007129	+10.19%	0.0516	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.00665	0.006545	-1.59%	0.007597	+14.24%	0.0237	✓	1.02
2026-07-21	oos	0.006785	0.006725	-0.88%	0.00695	+2.43%	0.0616	✓	1.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.006445	0.006346	-1.54%	0.006392	-0.82%	0.0513	✓	0.96
2026-07-19	oos	0.00651	0.006404	-1.62%	0.005872	-9.80%	0.0868	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	0.00656	0.006466	-1.44%	0.00595	-9.30%	0.0784	✓	0.96
2026-07-17	oos	0.00654	0.00644	-1.52%	0.00591	-9.63%	0.0697	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	0.006635	0.006528	-1.62%	0.00597	-10.02%	0.0777	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	0.00662	0.006541	-1.19%	0.00598	-9.67%	0.0627	✓	0.99
2026-07-14	oos	0.00664	0.006576	-0.97%	0.00601	-9.49%	0.0658	✓	0.99
2026-07-13	oos	0.00639	0.006262	-2.01%	0.00602	-5.79%	0.0576	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.006465	0.00633	-2.09%	0.00606	-6.26%	0.0402	✓	1.01
2026-07-11	oos	0.006645	0.006495	-2.26%	0.00606	-8.80%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.00666	0.006509	-2.27%	0.00611	-8.26%	0.0744	✓	0.99
2026-07-09	oos	0.006605	0.006446	-2.41%	0.0061	-7.65%	0.0823	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.00657	0.006406	-2.49%	0.00601	-8.52%	0.1058	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.00674	0.006574	-2.46%	0.00596	-11.57%	0.1129	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00689	0.006729	-2.33%	0.00599	-13.06%	0.1257	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.007025	0.006853	-2.44%	0.00611	-13.02%	0.1219	✓	0.97
2026-07-04	oos	0.00706	0.006874	-2.64%	0.0063	-10.76%	0.0930	✓	0.98
2026-07-03	oos	0.00701	0.006828	-2.60%	0.00633	-9.70%	0.0905	✓	0.95
2026-07-02	oos	0.00669	0.006525	-2.47%	0.006245	-6.65%	0.0631	✓	0.94
2026-07-01	oos	0.00643	0.006276	-2.40%	0.00626	-2.64%	0.0456	✓	0.92
2026-06-30	oos	0.00641	0.00626	-2.34%	0.00629	-1.87%	0.0880	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.006575	0.00641	-2.51%	0.006305	-4.11%	0.0720	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.006595	0.006424	-2.59%	0.006245	-5.31%	0.0930	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.006665	0.006483	-2.73%	0.006285	-5.70%	0.0868	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0068	0.006609	-2.81%	0.00644	-5.29%	0.1042	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.00682	0.006627	-2.83%	0.00642	-5.87%	0.0999	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.00696	0.006752	-2.99%	0.0064	-8.05%	0.0992	✓	0.92
2026-06-23	oos	0.00707	0.006848	-3.13%	0.00647	-8.49%	0.0910	✓	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	0.007345	0.007095	-3.40%	0.00665	-9.46%	0.0940	✓	0.89
2026-06-21	oos	0.007395	0.007126	-3.64%	0.006785	-8.25%	0.0943	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	0.00742	0.007144	-3.72%	0.006445	-13.14%	0.1164	✓	0.88
2026-06-19	oos	0.00739	0.007111	-3.77%	0.00651	-11.91%	0.1050	✓	0.88
2026-06-18	oos	0.00737	0.007094	-3.75%	0.00656	-10.99%	0.1048	✓	0.88
2026-06-17	oos	0.00754	0.007246	-3.89%	0.00654	-13.26%	0.0950	✓	0.88
2026-06-16	oos	0.00773	0.007419	-4.03%	0.006635	-14.17%	0.0868	✓	0.87
2026-06-15	oos	0.00798	0.007649	-4.15%	0.00662	-17.04%	0.1238	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.00805	0.007697	-4.38%	0.00664	-17.52%	0.1381	✓	0.88
2026-06-13	oos	0.00789	0.007552	-4.29%	0.00639	-19.01%	0.1374	✓	0.87
2026-06-12	oos	0.00794	0.007594	-4.36%	0.006465	-18.58%	0.1637	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.00752	0.00722	-3.98%	0.006645	-11.64%	0.0859	✓	0.87
2026-06-10	oos	0.006835	0.006622	-3.12%	0.00666	-2.56%	0.0284	✓	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.006995	0.006758	-3.39%	0.006605	-5.58%	0.0419	✓	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.0073	0.007007	-4.02%	0.00657	-10.00%	0.0541	✓	0.78
2026-06-07	oos	0.00716	0.006877	-3.96%	0.00674	-5.87%	0.0203	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.00675	0.006535	-3.18%	0.00689	+2.07%	0.0162	✓	0.73
2026-06-05	oos	0.00671	0.006495	-3.21%	0.007025	+4.69%	0.0489	✗	0.72
2026-06-04	oos	0.00712	0.006824	-4.16%	0.00706	-0.84%	0.0418	✓	0.68
2026-06-03	oos	0.00717	0.006869	-4.20%	0.00701	-2.23%	0.0370	✓	0.69
2026-06-02	oos	0.00716	0.00685	-4.33%	0.00669	-6.56%	0.0351	✓	0.73
2026-06-01	oos	0.00754	0.007161	-5.03%	0.00643	-14.72%	0.0094	✓	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.00772	0.00734	-4.93%	0.00641	-16.97%	0.0186	✓	0.67
2026-05-30	oos	0.00773	0.00735	-4.91%	0.006575	-14.94%	0.0175	✓	0.63
2026-05-29	oos	0.00775	0.007373	-4.87%	0.006595	-14.90%	0.0210	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.0078	0.007407	-5.04%	0.006665	-14.55%	0.0238	✓	0.63
2026-05-27	oos	0.008	0.007587	-5.17%	0.0068	-15.00%	0.0268	✓	0.64
2026-05-26	oos	0.00816	0.00773	-5.27%	0.00682	-16.42%	0.0267	✓	0.64
2026-05-25	oos	0.008285	0.007844	-5.32%	0.00696	-15.99%	0.0388	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.00829	0.007862	-5.16%	0.00707	-14.72%	0.0309	✓	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.00842	0.007976	-5.27%	0.007345	-12.77%	0.0361	✓	0.65
2026-05-22	oos	0.00826	0.007828	-5.23%	0.007395	-10.47%	0.0585	✗	0.65
2026-05-21	oos	0.00843	0.007993	-5.19%	0.00742	-11.98%	0.0487	✓	0.65
2026-05-20	oos	0.008415	0.007976	-5.22%	0.00739	-12.18%	0.0543	✗	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.008265	0.007837	-5.18%	0.00737	-10.83%	0.0683	✗	0.65
2026-05-18	oos	0.00845	0.007993	-5.40%	0.00754	-10.77%	0.0581	✗	0.66
2026-05-17	oos	0.00906	0.008512	-6.05%	0.00773	-14.68%	0.0098	✓	0.64
2026-05-16	oos	0.00921	0.008673	-5.83%	0.00798	-13.36%	0.0219	✓	0.64
2026-05-15	oos	0.00934	0.008873	-5.00%	0.00805	-13.81%	0.0209	✓	0.64
2026-05-14	oos	0.009375	0.008995	-4.05%	0.00789	-15.84%	0.0202	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.00863	0.00829	-3.94%	0.00794	-8.00%	0.0925	✗	0.61
2026-05-12	oos	0.00869	0.008427	-3.03%	0.00752	-13.46%	0.0307	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.00874	0.008552	-2.15%	0.006835	-21.80%	0.0499	✓	0.61
2026-05-10	oos	0.00868	0.008571	-1.26%	0.006995	-19.41%	0.0283	✓	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.00817	0.008029	-1.72%	0.0073	-10.65%	0.0494	✗	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.00802	0.007893	-1.59%	0.00716	-10.72%	0.0411	✗	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.00781	0.007709	-1.30%	0.00675	-13.57%	0.0295	✗	0.59
2026-05-06	oos	0.00781	0.007799	-0.15%	0.00671	-14.08%	0.0384	✗	0.65
2026-05-05	oos	0.007625	0.007582	-0.57%	0.00712	-6.62%	0.0823	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.00754	0.007467	-0.97%	0.00717	-4.91%	0.0943	✗	0.61
2026-05-03	oos	0.00753	0.007437	-1.23%	0.00716	-4.91%	0.0602	✗	0.60
2026-05-02	oos	0.00757	0.007498	-0.95%	0.00754	-0.40%	0.0638	✗	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.0075	0.007432	-0.90%	0.00772	+2.93%	0.0734	✗	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	0.00746	0.007324	-1.82%	0.00773	+3.62%	0.0735	✗	0.58
2026-04-29	oos	0.007515	0.007367	-1.97%	0.00775	+3.13%	0.0692	✗	0.58
2026-04-28	oos	0.0076	0.007462	-1.81%	0.0078	+2.63%	0.0660	✗	0.58
2026-04-27	oos	0.00774	0.007655	-1.10%	0.008	+3.36%	0.0674	✗	0.58
2026-04-26	oos	0.00792	0.007899	-0.27%	0.00816	+3.03%	0.0539	✗	0.58
2026-04-25	oos	0.00791	0.00781	-1.26%	0.008285	+4.74%	0.0620	✗	0.58
2026-04-24	oos	0.00793	0.007802	-1.61%	0.00829	+4.54%	0.0644	✗	0.59
2026-04-23	oos	0.00793	0.007856	-0.93%	0.00842	+6.18%	0.0818	✗	0.59
2026-04-22	oos	0.007995	0.007933	-0.77%	0.00826	+3.31%	0.0616	✗	0.59
2026-04-21	oos	0.008055	0.007914	-1.75%	0.00843	+4.66%	0.0539	✗	0.60
2026-04-20	oos	0.008115	0.007953	-2.00%	0.008415	+3.70%	0.0438	✗	0.60
2026-04-19	oos	0.00793	0.007714	-2.73%	0.008265	+4.22%	0.0451	✗	0.61
2026-04-18	oos	0.00815	0.007999	-1.85%	0.00845	+3.68%	0.0452	✗	0.61
2026-04-17	oos	0.008465	0.008379	-1.02%	0.00906	+7.03%	0.0757	✗	0.61
2026-04-16	oos	0.00828	0.008129	-1.82%	0.00921	+11.23%	0.1015	✗	0.61
2026-04-15	oos	0.00811	0.007955	-1.91%	0.00934	+15.17%	0.1273	✗	0.60
2026-04-14	oos	0.00803	0.007863	-2.09%	0.009375	+16.75%	0.1220	✗	0.61
2026-04-13	oos	0.00806	0.007903	-1.95%	0.00863	+7.07%	0.0500	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.0077	0.007471	-2.97%	0.00869	+12.86%	0.0749	✗	0.59
2026-04-11	oos	0.00792	0.007736	-2.32%	0.00874	+10.35%	0.0560	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.00764	0.007459	-2.37%	0.00868	+13.61%	0.0817	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.00754	0.007339	-2.66%	0.00817	+8.36%	0.0390	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.00746	0.007241	-2.93%	0.00802	+7.51%	0.0316	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.0076	0.007376	-2.95%	0.00781	+2.76%	0.0052	✓	0.58
2026-04-06	oos	0.00745	0.007153	-3.99%	0.00781	+4.83%	0.0125	✓	0.60
2026-04-05	oos	0.00748	0.007138	-4.57%	0.007625	+1.94%	0.0292	✓	0.60
2026-04-04	oos	0.007535	0.007176	-4.76%	0.00754	+0.07%	0.0570	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.00756	0.007197	-4.81%	0.00753	-0.40%	0.0554	✓	0.63
2026-04-02	oos	0.00771	0.007355	-4.60%	0.00757	-1.82%	0.0741	✓	0.63
2026-04-01	oos	0.0076	0.007238	-4.76%	0.0075	-1.32%	0.0528	✓	0.64
2026-03-31	oos	0.007835	0.007464	-4.74%	0.00746	-4.79%	0.0733	✓	0.65
2026-03-30	oos	0.00785	0.007479	-4.72%	0.007515	-4.27%	0.0786	✓	0.66
2026-03-29	oos	0.00767	0.007332	-4.41%	0.0076	-0.91%	0.0585	✓	0.65
2026-03-28	oos	0.0078	0.007484	-4.05%	0.00774	-0.77%	0.0660	✓	0.65
2026-03-27	oos	0.007665	0.00738	-3.72%	0.00792	+3.33%	0.0394	✓	0.65
2026-03-26	oos	0.00794	0.007697	-3.06%	0.00791	-0.38%	0.0509	✓	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.008035	0.007841	-2.41%	0.00793	-1.31%	0.0425	✓	0.65
2026-03-24	oos	0.00812	0.007939	-2.23%	0.00793	-2.34%	0.0691	✓	0.65
2026-03-23	oos	0.008165	0.008016	-1.83%	0.007995	-2.08%	0.0668	✓	0.65
2026-03-22	oos	0.007995	0.00779	-2.56%	0.008055	+0.75%	0.0443	✓	0.66
2026-03-21	oos	0.00817	0.007975	-2.39%	0.008115	-0.67%	0.0457	✓	0.66
2026-03-20	oos	0.00831	0.008155	-1.87%	0.00793	-4.57%	0.0582	✓	0.66
2026-03-19	oos	0.00834	0.008187	-1.83%	0.00815	-2.28%	0.0571	✓	0.66
2026-03-18	oos	0.00841	0.008305	-1.24%	0.008465	+0.65%	0.0337	✓	0.67
2026-03-17	oos	0.00871	0.008718	+0.09%	0.00828	-4.94%	0.0625	✗	0.67
2026-03-16	oos	0.008915	0.008975	+0.67%	0.00811	-9.03%	0.1009	✗	0.67
2026-03-15	oos	0.00879	0.008759	-0.35%	0.00803	-8.65%	0.0991	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	0.00868	0.008602	-0.90%	0.00806	-7.14%	0.0946	✓	0.67
2026-03-13	oos	0.00879	0.008708	-0.93%	0.0077	-12.40%	0.1212	✓	0.67
2026-03-12	oos	0.00888	0.008778	-1.15%	0.00792	-10.81%	0.1269	✓	0.67
2026-03-11	oos	0.00895	0.008844	-1.18%	0.00764	-14.64%	0.1727	✓	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	0.00901	0.008906	-1.15%	0.00754	-16.32%	0.1840	✓	0.68
2026-03-09	oos	0.008965	0.008836	-1.44%	0.00746	-16.79%	0.1950	✓	0.68
2026-03-08	oos	0.00889	0.00872	-1.92%	0.0076	-14.51%	0.1961	✓	0.68
2026-03-07	oos	0.00895	0.008791	-1.78%	0.00745	-16.76%	0.1815	✓	0.68
2026-03-06	oos	0.00887	0.008735	-1.53%	0.00748	-15.67%	0.1640	✓	0.68
2026-03-05	oos	0.00921	0.009103	-1.17%	0.007535	-18.19%	0.1537	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.00939	0.009322	-0.72%	0.00756	-19.49%	0.1540	✓	0.68
2026-03-03	oos	0.00927	0.009097	-1.87%	0.00771	-16.83%	0.1504	✓	0.71
2026-03-02	oos	0.00926	0.009097	-1.76%	0.0076	-17.93%	0.1723	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.009315	0.009097	-2.34%	0.007835	-15.89%	0.1759	✓	0.72
2026-02-28	oos	0.00942	0.009206	-2.28%	0.00785	-16.67%	0.1567	✓	0.75
2026-02-27	oos	0.00929	0.009064	-2.43%	0.00767	-17.44%	0.1681	✓	0.75
2026-02-26	oos	0.00958	0.009361	-2.28%	0.0078	-18.58%	0.1693	✓	0.75
2026-02-25	oos	0.00971	0.009502	-2.14%	0.007665	-21.06%	0.1966	✓	0.75
2026-02-24	oos	0.00915	0.008937	-2.33%	0.00794	-13.22%	0.1708	✓	0.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.00907	0.008872	-2.19%	0.008035	-11.41%	0.1734	✓	0.76
2026-02-22	oos	0.00926	0.009071	-2.04%	0.00812	-12.31%	0.1430	✓	0.76
2026-02-21	oos	0.00953	0.009327	-2.13%	0.008165	-14.32%	0.1655	✓	0.77
2026-02-20	oos	0.009415	0.009224	-2.03%	0.007995	-15.08%	0.1414	✓	0.79
2026-02-19	oos	0.00928	0.00909	-2.04%	0.00817	-11.96%	0.1292	✓	0.79
2026-02-18	oos	0.009415	0.009205	-2.23%	0.00831	-11.74%	0.1495	✓	0.79
2026-02-17	oos	0.00975	0.009507	-2.49%	0.00834	-14.46%	0.1588	✓	0.78
2026-02-16	oos	0.00983	0.009578	-2.57%	0.00841	-14.45%	0.1567	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.009795	0.00954	-2.61%	0.00871	-11.08%	0.1473	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.00991	0.00963	-2.83%	0.008915	-10.04%	0.1323	✓	0.78
2026-02-13	oos	0.0095	0.00926	-2.53%	0.00879	-7.47%	0.0960	✓	0.77
2026-02-12	oos	0.00941	0.00919	-2.34%	0.00868	-7.76%	0.1147	✓	0.79
2026-02-11	oos	0.00944	0.009216	-2.38%	0.00879	-6.89%	0.0921	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.00956	0.009315	-2.56%	0.00888	-7.11%	0.0677	✓	0.80
2026-02-09	oos	0.00961	0.009352	-2.68%	0.00895	-6.87%	0.0452	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.0096	0.009344	-2.67%	0.00901	-6.15%	0.0327	✓	0.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.00956	0.009322	-2.49%	0.008965	-6.22%	0.0295	✓	0.81
2026-02-06	oos	0.00986	0.009579	-2.85%	0.00889	-9.84%	0.0203	✓	0.81
2026-02-05	oos	0.00898	0.008893	-0.97%	0.00895	-0.33%	0.0494	✓	0.81
2026-02-04	oos	0.00973	0.009424	-3.15%	0.00887	-8.84%	0.0073	✓	0.98
2026-02-03	oos	0.01	0.00966	-3.40%	0.00921	-7.90%	0.0159	✓	0.98
2026-02-02	oos	0.00997	0.009626	-3.45%	0.00939	-5.82%	0.0591	✗	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.01006	0.009717	-3.41%	0.00927	-7.85%	0.0732	✗	1.02
2026-01-31	oos	0.00969	0.009376	-3.25%	0.00926	-4.44%	0.1402	✗	1.14
2026-01-30	oos	0.01009	0.009717	-3.70%	0.009315	-7.68%	0.2543	✗	1.21
2026-01-29	oos	0.010255	0.009858	-3.87%	0.00942	-8.14%	0.2344	✗	1.20
2026-01-28	oos	0.01063	0.010246	-3.61%	0.00929	-12.61%	0.2789	✗	1.24
2026-01-27	oos	0.01062	0.010248	-3.50%	0.00958	-9.79%	0.2814	✗	1.25
2026-01-26	oos	0.01049	0.010109	-3.63%	0.00971	-7.44%	0.2801	✗	1.23
2026-01-25	oos	0.01016	0.009753	-4.01%	0.00915	-9.94%	0.3046	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01057	0.010106	-4.39%	0.00907	-14.19%	0.2845	✗	1.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.01037	0.00992	-4.34%	0.00926	-10.70%	0.2740	✗	1.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.01047	0.010017	-4.33%	0.00953	-8.98%	0.2856	✗	1.22
2026-01-21	oos	0.01034	0.009877	-4.48%	0.009415	-8.95%	0.2859	✗	1.22
2026-01-20	oos	0.01	0.009574	-4.26%	0.00928	-7.20%	0.2983	✗	1.19
2026-01-19	oos	0.01054	0.010141	-3.79%	0.009415	-10.67%	0.3245	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.01049	0.010113	-3.60%	0.00975	-7.05%	0.3531	✗	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.01105	0.010725	-2.94%	0.00983	-11.04%	0.2913	✗	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.01103	0.010714	-2.87%	0.009795	-11.20%	0.2871	✗	1.15
2026-01-15	oos	0.01115	0.010846	-2.73%	0.00991	-11.12%	0.2768	✗	1.17
2026-01-14	oos	0.011485	0.011254	-2.01%	0.0095	-17.28%	0.2322	✗	1.17
2026-01-13	oos	0.01159	0.011335	-2.20%	0.00941	-18.81%	0.2555	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.01132	0.010927	-3.47%	0.00944	-16.61%	0.2374	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.0111	0.010697	-3.63%	0.00956	-13.87%	0.2385	✗	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.01117	0.010778	-3.51%	0.00961	-13.97%	0.2073	✗	1.27
2026-01-09	oos	0.0113	0.010961	-3.00%	0.0096	-15.04%	0.1846	✗	1.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.01137	0.011058	-2.75%	0.00956	-15.92%	0.1928	✗	1.24
2026-01-07	oos	0.01183	0.011554	-2.33%	0.00986	-16.65%	0.1826	✗	1.32
2026-01-06	oos	0.01262	0.012439	-1.43%	0.00898	-28.84%	0.2001	✗	1.31
2026-01-05	oos	0.01254	0.012398	-1.14%	0.00973	-22.41%	0.0841	✗	1.30
2026-01-04	oos	0.01177	0.011572	-1.69%	0.01	-15.04%	0.0950	✗	1.27
2026-01-03	oos	0.01113	0.010945	-1.66%	0.00997	-10.42%	0.0834	✗	1.25
2026-01-02	oos	0.01091	0.010719	-1.75%	0.01006	-7.79%	0.1319	✗	1.24
2026-01-01	oos	0.0109	0.010691	-1.91%	0.00969	-11.10%	0.0521	✗	1.25
2025-12-31	oos	0.01018	0.009988	-1.88%	0.01009	-0.88%	0.0576	✗	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.01081	0.010603	-1.91%	0.010255	-5.13%	0.0196	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.01117	0.010935	-2.11%	0.01063	-4.83%	0.0561	✓	1.19
2025-12-28	oos	0.01128	0.011045	-2.09%	0.01062	-5.85%	0.0559	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.01133	0.011112	-1.93%	0.01049	-7.41%	0.0635	✓	1.19
2025-12-26	oos	0.01118	0.010969	-1.88%	0.01016	-9.12%	0.0665	✓	1.20
2025-12-25	oos	0.01117	0.010974	-1.75%	0.01057	-5.37%	0.0635	✓	1.20
2025-12-24	oos	0.011345	0.011165	-1.59%	0.01037	-8.59%	0.0994	✓	1.21
2025-12-23	oos	0.0113	0.011142	-1.40%	0.01047	-7.35%	0.0916	✓	1.28
2025-12-22	oos	0.01172	0.011575	-1.23%	0.01034	-11.77%	0.1247	✓	1.30
2025-12-21	oos	0.011425	0.011286	-1.22%	0.01	-12.47%	0.1162	✓	1.29
2025-12-20	oos	0.01157	0.011435	-1.17%	0.01054	-8.90%	0.1427	✓	1.31
2025-12-19	oos	0.0115	0.011385	-1.00%	0.01049	-8.78%	0.1615	✓	1.31
2025-12-18	oos	0.01103	0.010938	-0.83%	0.01105	+0.18%	0.1297	✓	1.31
2025-12-17	oos	0.01149	0.011377	-0.98%	0.01103	-4.00%	0.1646	✓	1.30
2025-12-16	oos	0.01168	0.011553	-1.09%	0.01115	-4.54%	0.1457	✓	1.31
2025-12-15	oos	0.01169	0.011542	-1.27%	0.011485	-1.75%	0.1562	✓	1.31
2025-12-14	oos	0.01213	0.011929	-1.65%	0.01159	-4.45%	0.1311	✓	1.30
2025-12-13	oos	0.01248	0.012271	-1.67%	0.01132	-9.29%	0.0941	✓	1.30
2025-12-12	oos	0.012345	0.012135	-1.70%	0.0111	-10.09%	0.0977	✓	1.30
2025-12-11	oos	0.0126	0.012394	-1.63%	0.01117	-11.35%	0.0730	✓	1.31
2025-12-10	oos	0.01276	0.01254	-1.73%	0.0113	-11.44%	0.0823	✓	1.31
2025-12-09	oos	0.01299	0.012734	-1.97%	0.01137	-12.47%	0.0897	✓	1.31
2025-12-08	oos	0.01301	0.012682	-2.52%	0.01183	-9.07%	0.0786	✓	1.32
2025-12-07	oos	0.01295	0.012613	-2.60%	0.01262	-2.55%	0.0469	✓	1.32
2025-12-06	oos	0.01306	0.012727	-2.55%	0.01254	-3.98%	0.0817	✓	1.33
2025-12-05	oos	0.01304	0.012725	-2.42%	0.01177	-9.74%	0.1096	✓	1.33
2025-12-04	oos	0.01328	0.012955	-2.45%	0.01113	-16.19%	0.1298	✓	1.34
2025-12-03	oos	0.01397	0.01363	-2.43%	0.01091	-21.90%	0.1717	✓	1.34
2025-12-02	oos	0.01384	0.013499	-2.46%	0.0109	-21.24%	0.1754	✓	1.35
2025-12-01	oos	0.01341	0.013089	-2.40%	0.01018	-24.09%	0.2711	✓	1.41
2025-11-30	oos	0.01466	0.014193	-3.19%	0.01081	-26.26%	0.2423	✓	1.36
2025-11-29	oos	0.01505	0.014539	-3.39%	0.01117	-25.78%	0.2072	✓	1.35
2025-11-28	oos	0.01492	0.014442	-3.20%	0.01128	-24.40%	0.2015	✓	1.35
2025-11-27	oos	0.01495	0.014484	-3.12%	0.01133	-24.21%	0.1927	✓	1.35
2025-11-26	oos	0.01429	0.013846	-3.11%	0.01118	-21.76%	0.1664	✓	1.33
2025-11-25	oos	0.01363	0.013263	-2.69%	0.01117	-18.05%	0.1694	✓	1.34
2025-11-24	oos	0.01364	0.01323	-3.01%	0.011345	-16.83%	0.1437	✓	1.34
2025-11-23	oos	0.01305	0.012661	-2.98%	0.0113	-13.41%	0.1231	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.01232	0.012012	-2.50%	0.01172	-4.87%	0.0828	✓	1.30
2025-11-21	oos	0.0126	0.012257	-2.72%	0.011425	-9.33%	0.1234	✓	1.29
2025-11-20	oos	0.012965	0.012552	-3.19%	0.01157	-10.76%	0.1078	✓	1.29
2025-11-19	oos	0.01339	0.012851	-4.03%	0.0115	-14.12%	0.0604	✓	1.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.01371	0.013112	-4.36%	0.01103	-19.55%	0.0600	✓	1.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.01379	0.013226	-4.09%	0.01149	-16.68%	0.0511	✓	1.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.01414	0.013519	-4.39%	0.01168	-17.40%	0.0511	✓	1.37
2025-11-15	oos	0.01427	0.01361	-4.62%	0.01169	-18.08%	0.0142	✓	1.37
2025-11-14	oos	0.01394	0.013363	-4.14%	0.01213	-12.98%	0.0017	✓	1.37
2025-11-13	oos	0.01455	0.013828	-4.96%	0.01248	-14.23%	0.0376	✓	1.42
2025-11-12	oos	0.01536	0.014538	-5.35%	0.012345	-19.63%	0.0017	✓	1.39
2025-11-11	oos	0.01544	0.014623	-5.29%	0.0126	-18.39%	0.0022	✓	1.37
2025-11-10	oos	0.01621	0.015355	-5.28%	0.01276	-21.28%	0.0062	✓	1.36
2025-11-09	oos	0.01598	0.015153	-5.17%	0.01299	-18.71%	0.0120	✓	1.36
2025-11-08	oos	0.01549	0.014754	-4.75%	0.01301	-16.01%	0.0389	✓	1.36
2025-11-07	oos	0.01551	0.014788	-4.66%	0.01295	-16.51%	0.0465	✓	1.35
2025-11-06	oos	0.01487	0.014236	-4.26%	0.01306	-12.17%	0.0823	✗	1.33
2025-11-05	oos	0.01498	0.01434	-4.27%	0.01304	-12.95%	0.1094	✗	1.36
2025-11-04	oos	0.0136	0.013116	-3.56%	0.01328	-2.35%	0.1393	✗	1.31
2025-11-03	oos	0.01353	0.012986	-4.02%	0.01397	+3.25%	0.2596	✗	1.42
2025-11-02	oos	0.01601	0.015295	-4.47%	0.01384	-13.55%	0.1475	✗	1.29
2025-11-01	oos	0.016	0.015287	-4.46%	0.01341	-16.19%	0.1854	✗	1.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.01613	0.015416	-4.43%	0.01466	-9.11%	0.2025	✗	1.31
2025-10-30	oos	0.01595	0.015276	-4.22%	0.01505	-5.64%	0.2157	✗	1.31
2025-10-29	oos	0.0168	0.01605	-4.46%	0.01492	-11.19%	0.1753	✗	1.30
2025-10-28	oos	0.01667	0.015984	-4.12%	0.01495	-10.32%	0.2209	✗	1.36
2025-10-27	oos	0.0171	0.016392	-4.14%	0.01429	-16.43%	0.1767	✗	1.35
2025-10-26	oos	0.01758	0.016839	-4.21%	0.01363	-22.47%	0.1550	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.01709	0.016385	-4.13%	0.01364	-20.19%	0.1351	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0174	0.016704	-4.00%	0.01305	-25.00%	0.0854	✗	1.35
2025-10-23	oos	0.01714	0.01648	-3.85%	0.01232	-28.12%	0.0664	✗	1.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.01726	0.016624	-3.68%	0.0126	-27.00%	0.0500	✗	1.39
2025-10-21	oos	0.017705	0.017075	-3.56%	0.012965	-26.77%	0.0371	✗	1.39
2025-10-20	oos	0.017545	0.016906	-3.64%	0.01339	-23.68%	0.0367	✓	1.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.017435	0.016869	-3.24%	0.01371	-21.37%	0.0303	✓	1.52
2025-10-18	oos	0.01827	0.017637	-3.46%	0.01379	-24.52%	0.0105	✓	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	0.01676	0.016255	-3.01%	0.01414	-15.63%	0.0477	✗	1.53
2025-10-16	oos	0.01747	0.016848	-3.56%	0.01427	-18.32%	0.0227	✓	1.52
2025-10-15	oos	0.01882	0.01804	-4.14%	0.01394	-25.93%	0.0188	✓	1.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.01934	0.018481	-4.44%	0.01455	-24.77%	0.0449	✓	1.53
2025-10-13	oos	0.02064	0.019662	-4.74%	0.01536	-25.58%	0.0562	✓	1.51
2025-10-12	oos	0.02002	0.019028	-4.95%	0.01544	-22.88%	0.0433	✓	1.50
2025-10-11	oos	0.01938	0.018444	-4.83%	0.01621	-16.36%	0.0611	✓	1.54
2025-10-10	oos	0.01922	0.018272	-4.93%	0.01598	-16.86%	0.0151	✓	1.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.02223	0.021398	-3.74%	0.01549	-30.32%	0.0711	✓	1.45
2025-10-08	oos	0.02322	0.022416	-3.46%	0.01551	-33.20%	0.1172	✓	1.41
2025-10-07	oos	0.02358	0.022627	-4.04%	0.01487	-36.94%	0.1652	✓	1.41
2025-10-06	oos	0.02422	0.023388	-3.43%	0.01498	-38.15%	0.1911	✓	1.39
2025-10-05	oos	0.024185	0.023227	-3.96%	0.0136	-43.77%	0.2615	✓	1.39
2025-10-04	oos	0.02423	0.023194	-4.27%	0.01353	-44.16%	0.3443	✓	1.40
2025-10-03	oos	0.02501	0.023924	-4.34%	0.01601	-35.99%	0.2605	✓	1.39
2025-10-02	oos	0.02591	0.024656	-4.84%	0.016	-38.25%	0.3016	✓	1.43
2025-10-01	oos	0.02651	0.025092	-5.35%	0.01613	-39.16%	0.3254	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.0255	0.023992	-5.91%	0.01595	-37.45%	0.3310	✓	1.49
2025-09-29	oos	0.0265	0.0249	-6.04%	0.0168	-36.60%	0.3372	✓	1.46
2025-09-28	oos	0.02637	0.024721	-6.25%	0.01667	-36.78%	0.4035	✓	1.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02541	0.023826	-6.23%	0.0171	-32.70%	0.3903	✓	1.49
2025-09-26	oos	0.0258	0.02425	-6.01%	0.01758	-31.86%	0.3856	✓	1.48
2025-09-25	oos	0.02372	0.02237	-5.69%	0.01709	-27.95%	0.3040	✓	1.46
2025-09-24	oos	0.02725	0.02573	-5.58%	0.0174	-36.15%	0.3648	✓	1.28
2025-09-23	oos	0.02488	0.023493	-5.57%	0.01714	-31.11%	0.2939	✓	1.25
2025-09-22	oos	0.02357	0.022301	-5.38%	0.01726	-26.77%	0.1970	✓	1.27
2025-09-21	oos	0.02502	0.023728	-5.16%	0.017705	-29.24%	0.2171	✓	1.22
2025-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023761	-4.92%	0.017545	-29.79%	0.2456	✓	1.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.02317	0.022016	-4.98%	0.017435	-24.75%	0.1530	✓	1.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.02367	0.022546	-4.75%	0.01827	-22.81%	0.0964	✓	1.29
2025-09-17	oos	0.02397	0.022822	-4.79%	0.01676	-30.08%	0.1913	✓	1.31

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.