FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s1

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3006

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0789

actual +0.0425

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.757727	-10.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.75265	-10.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.80147	-10.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.818035	-10.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.790021	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.821106	-10.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.845419	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.831649	-11.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.88029	-12.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.888515	-12.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.867677	-12.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.861781	-12.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.816158	-11.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.793397	-11.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.875522	-12.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.868727	-11.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	0.9286	-12.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	0.979467	-12.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	0.950371	-12.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	0.94235	-12.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	0.933877	-13.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	0.939663	-13.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	0.932591	-13.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.078	-13.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.08	-13.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.0816	-13.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.1416	-13.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.069	-12.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.1221	-12.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.1719	-11.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.1194	-10.45%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.2437	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	0.993325	-11.46%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.1853	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.071	-11.99%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.1828	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.0567	-11.87%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.1501	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.840193	-9.24%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0318	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.751493	-7.00%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1883	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.751216	-7.10%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.2177	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.722055	-5.40%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.2463	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.679096	-4.93%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3630	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.708766	-4.90%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.3390	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.714206	-4.59%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.2985	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.698606	-4.41%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.3131	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.743383	-3.85%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.2010	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.808294	-4.98%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.0892	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.842978	-4.67%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1522	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.944785	-6.82%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0294	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.853468	-3.51%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.2006	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.703423	+0.50%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4517	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.686578	+3.28%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4513	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.666506	+1.37%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4584	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.670121	+2.06%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4456	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.708951	+3.24%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4115	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.691944	+2.88%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4246	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.696694	+3.78%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5677	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.690023	+3.93%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5721	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.720933	+6.84%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5367	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.712667	+5.66%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.5957	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.729423	+5.55%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.4926	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.719982	+6.51%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5576	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.748202	+4.85%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5442	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.734098	+4.78%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.4974	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.709717	+6.84%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4460	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.667715	+0.76%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5616	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.631211	-2.41%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5872	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.593708	-4.61%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.3948	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.594514	-4.65%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2519	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.592043	-5.11%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2497	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.590597	-4.97%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1848	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.597394	-5.02%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.1077	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.595416	-4.99%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1447	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.596536	-4.90%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1415	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.609646	-4.97%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.0909	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.595792	-4.73%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1491	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.603235	-4.32%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2528	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.620538	-4.37%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2598	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.604828	-4.27%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.4131	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.593077	-4.43%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.2962	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.595235	-4.56%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0617	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.617606	-5.12%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0418	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.619833	-5.51%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0465	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.622791	-5.44%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0639	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.623716	-5.54%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0375	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.629109	-5.38%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0595	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.637586	-4.67%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0658	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.609922	-4.57%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0369	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.605918	-4.08%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0338	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.656924	-4.20%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.1133	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.643926	-3.31%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0514	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.662331	-3.38%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1289	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.720683	-3.91%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.1680	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.61119	-2.16%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0185	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.678355	-1.63%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1723	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.645149	-0.90%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0569	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.626439	-1.36%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0241	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.601213	-1.46%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0346	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.604613	-1.40%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0352	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.599	-1.66%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0556	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.621737	-1.53%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0102	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.649837	-1.38%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0071	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.642777	-1.13%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0029	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.623235	-2.01%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0106	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.635885	-1.61%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0119	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.634423	-1.69%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0163	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.639459	-1.88%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0243	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.599397	-2.04%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0551	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.608151	-2.05%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0009	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.615376	-1.78%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0054	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.619212	-1.71%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0015	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.624526	-1.76%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0344	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.6326	-2.06%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0306	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.623825	-2.31%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0401	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.631648	-2.42%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0254	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.634757	-2.39%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0023	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.644916	-2.37%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0604	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.628005	-2.18%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0429	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.654239	-2.38%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.1065	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.650378	-2.40%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0076	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.63738	-2.29%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0407	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.634446	-2.20%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0038	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.637652	-2.35%	0.75	+14.85%	0.1133	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.666565	-2.75%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.1042	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.678146	-3.01%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0181	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.696902	-3.26%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1226	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.683277	-3.19%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.0897	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.678239	-3.22%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1268	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.69454	-3.44%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1576	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.719939	-3.87%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1578	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.738876	-4.15%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1260	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.742738	-4.31%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.0948	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.733927	-4.57%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1097	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.734483	-4.67%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1070	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.722078	-4.49%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1143	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.701564	-4.16%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.0871	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.68975	-3.63%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.1032	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.70138	-3.83%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1626	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.701764	-4.25%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1080	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.682444	-4.25%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.0859	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.705768	-4.65%	0.63	-14.89%	0.1718	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.704136	-4.91%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1492	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.754452	-6.56%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1426	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.8048	-8.02%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2040	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.801203	-8.33%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1218	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.831128	-9.23%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0655	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.81371	-9.08%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0440	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.826504	-9.37%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0620	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.860849	-9.96%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0599	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.862739	-10.10%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.0762	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.855022	-10.08%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.0976	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.883937	-10.36%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1171	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.919118	-10.83%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1350	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.907435	-10.82%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.0998	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.836031	-9.81%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0193	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.844856	-9.99%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0012	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.860855	-10.09%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0289	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	0.937035	-11.32%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1129	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.867072	-10.75%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0124	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.85148	-10.74%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0269	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.8386	-10.49%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0646	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.925613	-11.38%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.0321	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.0561	-12.06%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.1621	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.1188	-11.82%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.1868	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.0522	-11.67%	0.756	-36.53%	0.1415	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.2179	-12.40%	0.732	-47.35%	0.3206	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.0645	-10.41%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.1427	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.0709	-9.70%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.1238	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.0485	-10.00%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.1343	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.0508	-10.04%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.1798	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.0555	-9.82%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.1081	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.064	-8.85%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.0435	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.933056	-7.13%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.1362	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.843811	-6.39%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2893	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.830993	-6.73%	0.874	-1.91%	0.2389	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.832252	-6.56%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.2078	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.802688	-6.35%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1787	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.772119	-6.86%	0.912	+10.01%	0.2039	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.766068	-6.69%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2570	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.846162	-7.38%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.1681	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.822469	-5.94%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.1907	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.902989	-5.67%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.1292	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.780707	-4.57%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2835	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.728486	-4.16%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3412	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.778644	-3.72%	0.927	+14.63%	0.1981	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.800388	-3.95%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.1997	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.752356	-4.61%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.2238	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.738975	-4.76%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.3343	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.724106	-5.56%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2517	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.738979	-4.46%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2383	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.746885	-3.39%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.2223	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.68055	-3.93%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.3874	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.717699	-4.37%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4560	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.737261	-4.88%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4470	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.770561	-4.94%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3643	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.741181	-6.02%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.4812	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.772089	-5.01%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.3017	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.67253	-3.19%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4293	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.635919	-3.16%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4714	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.634544	-2.93%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4712	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.649526	-2.22%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4659	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.613484	-3.34%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4485	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.583951	-3.37%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3580	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.599749	-3.96%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.2066	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.598565	-4.00%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2103	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.603147	-4.16%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.1993	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.597493	-3.96%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.1991	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.595245	-3.96%	0.829	+33.75%	0.2013	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.597438	-3.76%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1701	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.614982	-3.55%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2272	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.61162	-3.15%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.1810	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.589713	-2.54%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.2896	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.604376	-2.25%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1626	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.677171	-1.50%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0223	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.637844	-1.34%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1212	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.6479	-1.16%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1420	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.617633	-1.64%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1130	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.668193	-1.32%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0432	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.662564	-0.96%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.0946	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.643447	-1.45%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.0953	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.664424	-1.16%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.0654	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.663354	-0.16%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0472	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.677987	-0.43%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.1024	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.635125	-1.67%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.1791	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.614713	-2.30%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.2287	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.626615	-2.40%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.2330	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.636172	-2.52%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.2061	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.595184	-2.75%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.1114	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.629407	-2.54%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0138	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.66901	-2.46%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.0662	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.632141	-2.12%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0480	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.636788	-2.06%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0299	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.692132	-2.20%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1504	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.734145	-2.34%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.1034	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.696914	-2.22%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0182	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.707993	-1.80%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.0926	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.763766	-2.09%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.1926	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.827465	-2.70%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.3345	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.793509	-2.04%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.2413	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.80981	-2.15%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.2409	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.732735	-1.30%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.1265	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.759789	-1.65%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.1967	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.690965	-0.15%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.1973	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.701569	-0.22%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.1384	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.728871	-0.91%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.1715	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.759678	-1.29%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.2006	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.784853	-1.35%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.2204	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.794537	-1.04%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.1985	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.804179	-0.88%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2666	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.814025	-0.97%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.2724	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.856716	-1.55%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.2917	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.903588	-2.11%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.4094	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.919614	-2.42%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.3991	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.924151	-2.42%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.4351	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.844589	-0.62%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.3918	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.857215	-0.75%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3627	✓	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.901242	-1.49%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3545	✓	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.936804	-2.18%	0.612	-36.10%	0.4277	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.963122	-2.57%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.3940	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0346	-3.54%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.3951	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.0877	-4.64%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4276	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.926163	-0.67%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.4451	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.0941	-5.12%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3402	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.0891	-5.43%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2718	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1264	-6.76%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3389	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.1194	-6.85%	0.721	-40.01%	0.2912	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1331	-7.70%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.1961	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.1703	-8.80%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0313	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.1699	-9.40%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0300	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.2919	-10.13%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0136	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.272	-10.24%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1281	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3514	-10.41%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.1786	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.2452	-10.33%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1468	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.3896	-11.11%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2301	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4142	-11.64%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2511	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.4974	-12.71%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.2703	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.4785	-13.29%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2279	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.5148	-13.86%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2149	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.5194	-13.42%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.0981	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.3855	-13.41%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0139	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.4758	-13.21%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0087	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.6645	-12.90%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.0570	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.6119	-12.90%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0308	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.6614	-12.45%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0006	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.2373	-14.33%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1910	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.1669	-15.43%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.1743	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.0683	-14.57%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.2766	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	0.959041	-12.96%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.3891	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	0.996305	-13.74%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.3447	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.0068	-14.11%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.3979	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.0433	-14.94%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.3028	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.0885	-16.28%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.1491	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.0601	-16.24%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.2729	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.058	-15.70%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.2197	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.0498	-15.46%	1.208	-2.73%	0.2412	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.0504	-15.34%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.2463	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.1059	-15.60%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.1939	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.1344	-15.46%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.1526	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.1406	-15.81%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.1597	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.2163	-16.12%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.1485	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.0786	-13.52%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.2615	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.0808	-12.88%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.3291	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.0785	-12.11%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.2598	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.1909	-13.26%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.2539	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.13	-12.04%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.3302	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.1618	-11.82%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3702	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.1791	-11.98%	1.705	+27.28%	0.3612	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.1783	-11.55%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.4036	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.1988	-11.33%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.3411	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.2247	-11.24%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.2150	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.2649	-10.40%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1999	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.3807	-11.82%	1.911	+22.05%	0.2358	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.3421	-11.64%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.2483	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.3714	-11.35%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.2231	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.3847	-11.31%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0249	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.4641	-11.73%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.0679	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.5029	-11.58%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.1893	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.671	-12.08%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.3980	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.8141	-12.28%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4383	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	1.9403	-12.39%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.4898	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.8214	-12.22%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.4007	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.89	-12.44%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.4018	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	1.8937	-12.95%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.4413	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.0428	-13.81%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.5054	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.0599	-14.17%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.4935	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	1.8949	-14.42%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.3933	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.767	-14.49%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.2769	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.7465	-14.49%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.2754	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.7289	-14.33%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2239	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	1.8694	-15.01%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2165	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	1.8921	-15.93%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.3862	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.2073	-16.71%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.5412	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.3151	-17.74%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.6021	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.2928	-18.40%	1.373	-51.14%	0.5111	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.5124	-19.23%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.6638	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.165	-18.20%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.5026	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.7304	-17.05%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.2831	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	1.9726	-17.75%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.4175	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.3705	-19.04%	1.352	-53.83%	0.5724	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	2.8014	-20.17%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.6987	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	2.7791	-20.72%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.6567	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.3219	-22.60%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.7326	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.2292	-22.74%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.7310	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.49	-19.75%	1.547	-50.15%	0.4327	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.329	-19.17%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.3713	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.382	-18.95%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.3238	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.3033	-18.88%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.2567	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.5028	-20.19%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.2369	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.4162	-19.92%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.1019	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	1.8294	-16.69%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.2227	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.5116	-15.74%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.3311	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.5001	-15.84%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.3795	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.2417	-15.43%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.5604	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.5564	-16.22%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3921	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.5606	-16.67%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.4123	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.3427	-15.04%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.5063	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.5273	-15.30%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.2759	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.3389	-14.87%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3846	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.1658	-14.33%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.5132	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.0791	-14.48%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6762	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.2579	-15.20%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.5268	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.2142	-15.22%	2.65	+85.04%	0.7271	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.4532	-15.83%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.5858	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.348	-15.25%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.6490	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.2418	-15.20%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.8329	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.2426	-15.79%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.6586	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.2407	-15.99%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.4160	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.0907	-15.35%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.6666	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.048	-15.06%	2.928	+137.32%	0.9135	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.0968	-15.43%	3.509	+170.57%	1.0608	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	0.982122	-14.88%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.1775	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.0203	-15.43%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.3488	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.0649	-15.93%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2984	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.1751	-16.70%	3.103	+119.95%	0.8919	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.267	-17.22%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.7069	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.2111	-16.30%	2.939	+103.11%	0.7979	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.3013	-16.71%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.6821	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.189	-15.42%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.8844	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.2453	-17.60%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.8548	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	0.94561	-12.78%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.8081	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.853954	-8.72%	1.794	+91.77%	0.7430	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.729078	-6.54%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.9252	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.723348	-7.05%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7533	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.680762	-5.05%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0712	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.660735	-5.46%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.1114	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.664119	-5.65%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.9151	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.662886	-5.44%	1.8033	+157.25%	1.0354	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.670553	-5.91%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8851	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.587886	-5.76%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8595	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.57782	-6.64%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7941	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.594061	-6.73%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.9254	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.533304	-6.80%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9867	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.541851	-7.09%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1515	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.575116	-7.34%	1.5906	+156.26%	1.0100	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.551882	-7.31%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9721	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.566315	-6.92%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9601	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.566671	-7.15%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9601	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.550801	-7.05%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8554	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.57405	-6.76%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7697	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.559521	-6.75%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8591	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.589509	-6.83%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.7005	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.552144	-6.72%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.8274	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.597102	-6.85%	1.2667	+97.61%	0.7970	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.