FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s1

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0500

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual +0.0016

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.84372	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.833477	-0.43%	0.8476	+1.25%	0.0194	✗	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.892084	-0.47%	0.8371	-6.60%	0.0756	✓	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.912425	-0.53%	0.8963	-2.29%	0.0160	✓	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.878569	-0.30%	0.9173	+4.10%	0.0363	✗	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.918627	-0.37%	0.8812	-4.43%	0.0403	✓	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.950352	-0.48%	0.922	-3.45%	0.0235	✓	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.934545	-0.34%	0.9549	+1.83%	0.0155	✗	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.995562	-0.61%	0.93775	-6.38%	0.0436	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	1.0064	-0.62%	1.0017	-1.09%	0.0192	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.981568	-0.58%	1.0128	+2.58%	0.0521	✗	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.974336	-0.56%	0.9873	+0.77%	0.0050	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.919044	-0.34%	0.9798	+6.25%	0.0601	✗	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.891711	-0.21%	0.9222	+3.20%	0.0245	✗	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.989833	-0.52%	0.8936	-10.20%	0.0861	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.980109	-0.47%	0.99505	+1.05%	0.0381	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0494	-0.62%	0.9847	-6.75%	0.0615	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.1086	-0.75%	1.0559	-5.46%	0.0413	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0781	-0.70%	1.1169	+2.87%	0.0184	✗	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0718	-0.70%	1.0857	+0.59%	0.0106	✗	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0668	-0.63%	1.0794	+0.54%	0.0151	✗	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0794	-0.60%	1.0735	-1.15%	0.0180	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.0742	-0.57%	1.0859	+0.51%	0.0117	✗	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.239	-0.85%	1.0804	-13.54%	0.1387	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2381	-0.84%	1.2496	+0.08%	0.0181	✗	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2384	-0.81%	1.2486	+0.00%	0.0078	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2981	-1.14%	1.2486	-4.91%	0.0417	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.2048	-0.85%	1.3131	+8.06%	0.0886	✗	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2666	-1.02%	1.2151	-5.04%	0.0416	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.3131	-1.28%	1.2796	-3.80%	0.0108	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.235	-1.21%	1.3302	+6.41%	0.0777	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.1121	-0.88%	1.2501	+11.43%	0.0746	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.2	-1.40%	1.1219	-7.81%	0.0667	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1722	-2.23%	1.217	+1.50%	0.0347	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.917448	-0.89%	1.199	+29.52%	0.2534	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.805102	-0.37%	0.9257	+14.55%	0.1389	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.804817	-0.47%	0.8081	-0.06%	0.0021	✓	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.761334	-0.26%	0.8086	+5.93%	0.0722	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.714146	-0.02%	0.7633	+6.86%	0.0608	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.744705	-0.08%	0.7143	-4.16%	0.0398	✓	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.748037	-0.08%	0.7453	-0.44%	0.0039	✓	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.731012	+0.02%	0.7486	+2.43%	0.0210	✓	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.772821	-0.04%	0.73085	-5.47%	0.0496	✓	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.848181	-0.30%	0.77315	-9.12%	0.0920	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.880257	-0.46%	0.8507	-3.80%	0.0320	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.999951	-1.38%	0.8843	-12.78%	0.1199	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.874744	-1.11%	1.0139	+14.62%	0.1465	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.700695	+0.11%	0.88455	+26.38%	0.2328	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.666866	+0.31%	0.6999	+5.28%	0.0516	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.658611	+0.17%	0.6648	+1.11%	0.0039	✗	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.657675	+0.16%	0.6575	+0.14%	0.0001	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.687438	+0.11%	0.6566	-4.38%	0.0423	✗	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.673087	+0.07%	0.6867	+2.10%	0.0168	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.671724	+0.06%	0.6726	+0.19%	0.0032	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.664022	+0.02%	0.6713	+1.11%	0.0096	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.674867	+0.01%	0.6639	-1.62%	0.0087	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.673999	-0.07%	0.6748	+0.04%	0.0027	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.689743	-0.20%	0.6745	-2.40%	0.0239	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.674685	-0.19%	0.6911	+2.23%	0.0256	✗	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.710881	-0.38%	0.676	-5.27%	0.0551	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.697392	-0.46%	0.7136	+1.86%	0.0204	✗	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.661992	-0.35%	0.7006	+5.46%	0.0622	✗	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.659903	-0.42%	0.6643	+0.24%	0.0188	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.644104	-0.42%	0.6627	+2.46%	0.0101	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.620342	-0.33%	0.6468	+3.92%	0.0212	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.621453	-0.33%	0.6224	-0.18%	0.0005	✓	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.622012	-0.30%	0.6235	-0.06%	0.0063	✓	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.6198	-0.27%	0.6239	+0.39%	0.0076	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.627182	-0.29%	0.6215	-1.19%	0.0093	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.624864	-0.29%	0.629	+0.37%	0.0095	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.625467	-0.29%	0.6267	-0.10%	0.0019	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.639447	-0.32%	0.6273	-2.21%	0.0183	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.623683	-0.27%	0.6415	+2.57%	0.0314	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.628709	-0.28%	0.6254	-0.81%	0.0017	✓	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.646802	-0.32%	0.6305	-2.84%	0.0251	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.629996	-0.29%	0.6489	+2.71%	0.0294	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.618992	-0.26%	0.6318	+1.80%	0.0159	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.62202	-0.27%	0.6206	-0.50%	0.0002	✓	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.648917	-0.30%	0.6237	-4.18%	0.0438	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.653946	-0.31%	0.6509	-0.78%	0.0096	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.656614	-0.30%	0.656	-0.39%	0.0006	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.658316	-0.30%	0.6586	-0.26%	0.0065	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.662424	-0.37%	0.6603	-0.69%	0.0026	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.666557	-0.34%	0.6649	-0.58%	0.0159	✗	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.63726	-0.29%	0.6688	+4.65%	0.0404	✗	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.630011	-0.27%	0.6391	+1.17%	0.0139	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.682073	-0.53%	0.6317	-7.88%	0.0783	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.664251	-0.26%	0.6857	+2.96%	0.0487	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.683294	-0.32%	0.666	-2.84%	0.0373	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.743441	-0.87%	0.6855	-8.60%	0.0838	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.623388	-0.21%	0.75	+20.06%	0.1986	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.686397	-0.46%	0.6247	-9.41%	0.0801	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.64874	-0.35%	0.6896	+5.93%	0.0669	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.633162	-0.31%	0.651	+2.50%	0.0095	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.608859	-0.20%	0.6351	+4.10%	0.0347	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.611969	-0.20%	0.6101	-0.51%	0.0015	✓	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.608163	-0.15%	0.6132	+0.67%	0.0043	✓	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.630111	-0.20%	0.6091	-3.53%	0.0356	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.657091	-0.27%	0.6314	-4.17%	0.0261	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.648371	-0.27%	0.6589	+1.35%	0.0200	✗	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.634736	-0.20%	0.6501	+2.22%	0.0161	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.644658	-0.25%	0.636	-1.59%	0.0085	✗	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.643539	-0.27%	0.6463	+0.15%	0.0047	✗	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.649394	-0.35%	0.6453	-0.98%	0.0013	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.610626	-0.21%	0.6517	+6.50%	0.0517	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.619808	-0.18%	0.6119	-1.45%	0.0268	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.625307	-0.19%	0.6209	-0.89%	0.0091	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.628675	-0.21%	0.6265	-0.56%	0.0065	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.63443	-0.20%	0.63	-0.90%	0.0132	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.644402	-0.23%	0.6357	-1.58%	0.0211	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.637434	-0.18%	0.6459	+1.14%	0.0050	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.646224	-0.17%	0.6386	-1.34%	0.0273	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.649888	-0.06%	0.6473	-0.46%	0.0277	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.660523	-0.01%	0.6503	-1.56%	0.0389	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.642059	+0.01%	0.6606	+2.90%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.670076	-0.02%	0.642	-4.21%	0.0544	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.666259	-0.02%	0.6702	+0.57%	0.0136	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.652649	+0.05%	0.6664	+2.16%	0.0220	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.64939	+0.11%	0.6523	+0.55%	0.0005	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.653441	+0.07%	0.6487	-0.66%	0.0137	✓	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.684873	-0.08%	0.653	-4.73%	0.0196	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.698342	-0.12%	0.6854	-1.97%	0.0032	✗	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.719315	-0.15%	0.6992	-2.94%	0.0405	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.704941	-0.12%	0.7204	+2.07%	0.0385	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.700449	-0.05%	0.7058	+0.71%	0.0054	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.719018	-0.04%	0.7008	-2.57%	0.0360	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.74772	-0.16%	0.7193	-3.95%	0.0118	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.768846	-0.27%	0.7489	-2.85%	0.0066	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.773349	-0.37%	0.7709	-0.68%	0.0073	✗	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.767351	-0.23%	0.7762	+0.92%	0.0024	✗	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.769181	-0.17%	0.7691	-0.18%	0.0213	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.755413	-0.08%	0.7705	+1.92%	0.0047	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.732514	+0.07%	0.756	+3.28%	0.0320	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.717613	+0.27%	0.732	+2.28%	0.0170	✗	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.731167	+0.26%	0.7157	-1.86%	0.0171	✗	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.73459	+0.23%	0.7293	-0.49%	0.0170	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.715065	+0.33%	0.7329	+2.83%	0.0286	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.743277	+0.42%	0.7127	-3.72%	0.0876	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.743864	+0.45%	0.7402	-0.04%	0.0015	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.809312	+0.24%	0.7405	-8.29%	0.0389	✗	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.875412	+0.05%	0.8074	-7.73%	0.0767	✗	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.873871	-0.01%	0.875	+0.11%	0.0467	✗	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.91291	-0.29%	0.874	-4.54%	0.0265	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.892291	-0.30%	0.9156	+2.30%	0.0602	✗	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.909537	-0.27%	0.895	-1.86%	0.0136	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.952599	-0.37%	0.912	-4.61%	0.0485	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.956159	-0.37%	0.9561	-0.38%	0.0017	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.947821	-0.32%	0.9597	+0.93%	0.0212	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.981229	-0.49%	0.9509	-3.57%	0.0152	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.024	-0.65%	0.9861	-4.33%	0.0215	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	1.0103	-0.71%	1.0307	+1.30%	0.0169	✗	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.924297	-0.29%	1.0175	+9.76%	0.0923	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.936324	-0.24%	0.927	-1.24%	0.0242	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.954591	-0.30%	0.9386	-1.97%	0.0079	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0502	-0.60%	0.9575	-9.38%	0.0932	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.968162	-0.34%	1.0566	+8.76%	0.0794	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.951329	-0.27%	0.9715	+1.85%	0.0230	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.93462	-0.24%	0.9539	+1.81%	0.0258	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.0409	-0.34%	0.9369	-10.30%	0.0974	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1937	-0.61%	1.0445	-13.03%	0.1234	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2591	-0.76%	1.201	-5.34%	0.0268	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1837	-0.63%	1.2687	+6.51%	0.0503	✗	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3712	-1.37%	1.1912	-14.32%	0.1288	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1793	-0.74%	1.3903	+17.02%	0.1783	✗	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1777	-0.69%	1.1881	+0.19%	0.0140	✗	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1569	-0.70%	1.1859	+1.79%	0.0075	✗	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1584	-0.82%	1.1651	-0.25%	0.0007	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1605	-0.85%	1.168	-0.21%	0.0043	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1519	-1.32%	1.1705	+0.27%	0.0357	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.99645	-0.82%	1.1673	+16.18%	0.1505	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.897378	-0.45%	1.0047	+11.46%	0.0979	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.887458	-0.40%	0.9014	+1.17%	0.0031	✓	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.886995	-0.42%	0.891	+0.03%	0.0063	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.854185	-0.34%	0.8907	+3.92%	0.0354	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.826733	-0.27%	0.8571	+3.39%	0.0084	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.818762	-0.27%	0.829	+0.97%	0.0044	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.909089	-0.49%	0.821	-10.14%	0.0935	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.871015	-0.39%	0.9136	+4.48%	0.0632	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.948608	-0.91%	0.8744	-8.66%	0.0627	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.815105	-0.37%	0.9573	+17.02%	0.1463	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.758391	-0.22%	0.8181	+7.63%	0.0730	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.805752	-0.36%	0.7601	-6.01%	0.0465	✓	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.829249	-0.49%	0.8087	-2.95%	0.0261	✓	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.785031	-0.47%	0.8333	+5.65%	0.0329	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.772818	-0.40%	0.7887	+1.65%	0.0133	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.763559	-0.41%	0.7759	+1.20%	0.0134	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.770137	-0.43%	0.7667	-0.88%	0.0231	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.769207	-0.50%	0.7735	+0.05%	0.0249	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.706371	-0.29%	0.7731	+9.13%	0.0632	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.747678	-0.38%	0.7084	-5.61%	0.0586	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.771641	-0.45%	0.7505	-3.17%	0.0373	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.805827	-0.59%	0.7751	-4.38%	0.0348	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.783625	-0.64%	0.8106	+2.78%	0.0245	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.805145	-0.94%	0.7887	-2.97%	0.0169	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.691251	-0.50%	0.8128	+17.00%	0.1606	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.654322	-0.36%	0.6947	+5.79%	0.0408	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.651334	-0.36%	0.6567	+0.46%	0.0033	✓	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.661593	-0.41%	0.6537	-1.60%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.632374	-0.37%	0.6643	+4.66%	0.0011	✓	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.602892	-0.23%	0.6347	+5.03%	0.0540	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.622667	-0.29%	0.6043	-3.23%	0.0594	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.621875	-0.26%	0.6245	+0.16%	0.0016	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.627343	-0.31%	0.6235	-0.92%	0.0073	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.620315	-0.29%	0.6293	+1.16%	0.0354	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.618134	-0.27%	0.6221	+0.37%	0.0083	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.61941	-0.22%	0.6198	-0.16%	0.0250	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.636287	-0.21%	0.6208	-2.63%	0.0382	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.630274	-0.19%	0.6376	+0.97%	0.0178	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.604617	-0.08%	0.6315	+4.36%	0.0441	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.617377	-0.15%	0.6051	-2.13%	0.0212	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.685265	-0.33%	0.6183	-10.07%	0.0621	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.64525	-0.19%	0.6875	+6.34%	0.0514	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.654159	-0.20%	0.6465	-1.37%	0.0064	✓	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.627472	-0.07%	0.6555	+4.40%	0.0049	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.675843	-0.19%	0.6279	-7.27%	0.0563	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.667545	-0.22%	0.6771	+1.21%	0.0396	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.651285	-0.25%	0.669	+2.47%	0.0177	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.670272	-0.29%	0.6529	-2.87%	0.0058	✓	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.662418	-0.30%	0.6722	+1.17%	0.0563	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.678204	-0.40%	0.6644	-2.42%	0.0064	✓	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.643549	-0.36%	0.6809	+5.42%	0.0260	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.627284	-0.30%	0.6459	+2.65%	0.0052	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.639818	-0.34%	0.6292	-1.99%	0.0212	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.649556	-0.47%	0.642	-1.62%	0.0181	✓	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.610767	-0.20%	0.6526	+6.63%	0.0611	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.644246	-0.24%	0.612	-5.23%	0.0552	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.683984	-0.28%	0.6458	-5.85%	0.0824	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.645751	-0.01%	0.6859	+6.21%	0.0188	✗	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.650086	-0.02%	0.6458	-0.68%	0.0153	✗	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.706713	-0.14%	0.6502	-8.12%	0.0692	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.749065	-0.35%	0.7077	-5.85%	0.0120	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.710874	-0.26%	0.7517	+5.47%	0.0842	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.720519	-0.07%	0.7127	-1.15%	0.0838	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.778823	-0.16%	0.721	-7.58%	0.0685	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.84819	-0.26%	0.7801	-8.27%	0.1402	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.808711	-0.16%	0.8504	+4.99%	0.0722	✗	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.82564	-0.24%	0.81	-2.13%	0.0396	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.74251	+0.01%	0.8276	+11.48%	0.1394	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.771902	-0.08%	0.7424	-3.90%	0.0296	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.694932	+0.42%	0.7725	+11.63%	0.0334	✓	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.706122	+0.43%	0.692	-1.58%	0.0098	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.73753	+0.26%	0.7031	-4.42%	0.0075	✓	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.771369	+0.23%	0.7356	-4.42%	0.0412	✗	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.797433	+0.23%	0.7696	-3.27%	0.0350	✗	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.805442	+0.32%	0.7956	-0.91%	0.0326	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.814459	+0.39%	0.8029	-1.04%	0.0258	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.825209	+0.39%	0.8113	-1.30%	0.0057	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.87267	+0.28%	0.822	-5.54%	0.0304	✗	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.924929	+0.20%	0.8702	-5.73%	0.0624	✗	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.943548	+0.12%	0.9231	-2.05%	0.0018	✗	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.949265	+0.23%	0.9424	-0.50%	0.0263	✗	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.85539	+0.65%	0.9471	+11.44%	0.0505	✓	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.869271	+0.64%	0.8499	-1.60%	0.0067	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.919773	+0.53%	0.8637	-5.60%	0.0295	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.961973	+0.45%	0.9149	-4.47%	0.0262	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.992751	+0.43%	0.9577	-3.12%	0.0328	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0762	+0.35%	0.9885	-7.83%	0.1050	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1422	+0.14%	1.0725	-5.97%	0.0372	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.94082	+0.90%	1.1406	+22.33%	0.0381	✓	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1556	+0.21%	0.9324	-19.15%	0.0072	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1536	+0.17%	1.1532	+0.13%	0.0541	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2075	-0.04%	1.1517	-4.66%	0.0112	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2023	+0.05%	1.208	+0.52%	0.0240	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2268	-0.07%	1.2018	-2.10%	0.0094	✗	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2797	-0.27%	1.2276	-4.33%	0.0541	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2876	-0.28%	1.2832	-0.62%	0.0035	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.4299	-0.53%	1.2912	-10.18%	0.0257	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.4105	-0.47%	1.4375	+1.44%	0.0182	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4993	-0.60%	1.4171	-6.05%	0.0707	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3833	-0.38%	1.5084	+8.63%	0.0583	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5543	-0.57%	1.3886	-11.17%	0.0724	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.5901	-0.64%	1.5632	-2.32%	0.0108	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.7009	-0.85%	1.6004	-6.71%	0.0611	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.6905	-0.85%	1.7155	+0.62%	0.0131	✗	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.7406	-1.03%	1.705	-3.05%	0.0386	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.7305	-1.39%	1.7586	+0.22%	0.0911	✗	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.5851	-0.94%	1.7548	+9.67%	0.1206	✗	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6837	-0.98%	1.6001	-5.90%	0.0249	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8776	-1.75%	1.7004	-11.02%	0.0924	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.8221	-1.54%	1.911	+3.27%	0.0491	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.8477	-2.64%	1.8505	-2.49%	0.0248	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.418	-1.82%	1.8977	+31.40%	0.2661	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3518	-2.02%	1.4442	+4.67%	0.0033	✓	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.2294	-1.69%	1.3797	+10.33%	0.1100	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0902	-1.06%	1.2505	+13.49%	0.1288	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.1416	-1.16%	1.1019	-4.60%	0.0333	✓	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1582	-1.19%	1.155	-1.47%	0.0041	✓	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.2109	-1.27%	1.1722	-4.43%	0.0302	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.2773	-1.76%	1.2265	-5.67%	0.0206	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.2447	-1.66%	1.3002	+2.73%	0.0448	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.237	-1.44%	1.2657	+0.84%	0.0047	✓	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.226	-1.28%	1.2551	+1.06%	0.0164	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.227	-1.10%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0070	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2956	-1.12%	1.2407	-5.31%	0.0534	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.3275	-1.07%	1.3103	-2.35%	0.0235	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.3394	-1.13%	1.3419	-0.94%	0.0100	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.4279	-1.53%	1.3547	-6.58%	0.0643	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2398	-0.59%	1.4501	+16.27%	0.1638	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.235	-0.45%	1.2472	+0.53%	0.0092	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.2252	-0.16%	1.2406	+1.10%	0.0077	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3654	-0.55%	1.2271	-10.63%	0.1080	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2816	-0.24%	1.373	+6.87%	0.0731	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3157	-0.13%	1.2847	-2.49%	0.0256	✓	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3371	-0.19%	1.3175	-1.65%	0.0040	✓	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3312	-0.07%	1.3396	+0.56%	0.0071	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3519	-0.01%	1.3321	-1.47%	0.0178	✓	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3803	+0.03%	1.352	-2.01%	0.0229	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.415	+0.23%	1.3798	-2.26%	0.0524	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5638	-0.13%	1.4117	-9.84%	0.0947	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5182	-0.05%	1.5658	+3.09%	0.0472	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5476	+0.04%	1.5189	-1.82%	0.0333	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5612	-0.00%	1.547	-0.91%	0.0080	✗	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6548	-0.24%	1.5612	-5.88%	0.0389	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6959	-0.23%	1.6587	-2.42%	0.0220	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8901	-0.56%	1.6998	-10.57%	0.0869	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0536	-0.70%	1.9007	-8.09%	0.0817	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1952	-0.88%	2.0681	-6.62%	0.0541	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0625	-0.60%	2.2147	+6.74%	0.0543	✗	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.1444	-0.65%	2.0749	-3.87%	0.0351	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.162	-0.61%	2.1585	-0.77%	0.0113	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.3474	-0.96%	2.1753	-8.22%	0.0755	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3714	-1.19%	2.3701	-1.25%	0.0226	✗	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.1883	-1.17%	2.4001	+8.40%	0.1040	✗	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0518	-0.70%	2.2141	+7.15%	0.0581	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.031	-0.56%	2.0663	+1.17%	0.0309	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	2.0084	-0.48%	2.0424	+1.20%	0.0588	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1851	-0.65%	2.0181	-8.25%	0.0750	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.2365	-0.63%	2.1995	-2.28%	0.0159	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.6244	-0.97%	2.2508	-15.06%	0.1495	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.7809	-1.20%	2.65	-5.84%	0.0568	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.7797	-1.07%	2.8145	+0.16%	0.0211	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	3.0477	-2.01%	2.8099	-9.66%	0.0714	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.6136	-1.25%	3.1104	+17.52%	0.1603	✗	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0798	-0.30%	2.6466	+26.86%	0.2260	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.3876	-0.44%	2.0862	-13.01%	0.1322	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.9014	-0.91%	2.3982	-18.09%	0.1814	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.4524	-1.61%	2.928	-16.56%	0.1508	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.4535	-1.49%	3.509	+0.10%	0.0198	✗	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.1511	-3.28%	3.5056	-18.32%	0.1716	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	4.0192	-3.84%	4.2919	+2.69%	0.0731	✗	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	3.0423	-1.96%	4.1796	+34.70%	0.3238	✗	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.8338	-1.65%	3.103	+7.69%	0.0862	✗	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.8887	-1.71%	2.8813	-1.96%	0.0177	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.7911	-1.70%	2.939	+3.51%	0.0596	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	3.0541	-2.61%	2.8393	-9.46%	0.0681	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.8978	-3.96%	3.1359	+3.93%	0.0898	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.1539	-1.91%	3.0174	+37.42%	0.3340	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7747	-1.08%	2.1958	+22.40%	0.2101	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7585	-1.34%	1.794	+0.65%	0.0211	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4597	-0.58%	1.7824	+21.40%	0.1998	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.8355	-1.20%	1.4682	-20.97%	0.2280	✓	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.8333	-2.11%	1.8578	-0.80%	0.0176	✓	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5662	-0.89%	1.8728	+18.51%	0.1811	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7726	-1.70%	1.5803	-12.37%	0.1199	✓	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5494	-1.48%	1.8033	+14.66%	0.1524	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3493	-0.85%	1.5727	+15.57%	0.1541	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.2546	-0.58%	1.3608	+7.84%	0.0836	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4695	-0.93%	1.2619	-14.93%	0.1569	✓	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.4204	-0.82%	1.4833	+3.58%	0.0369	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.6977	-1.66%	1.4321	-17.05%	0.1735	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5691	-1.35%	1.7264	+8.54%	0.0942	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4491	-1.04%	1.5906	+8.63%	0.1024	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4582	-1.19%	1.4643	-0.77%	0.0064	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4542	-1.53%	1.4757	-0.07%	0.0180	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2746	-1.07%	1.4768	+14.62%	0.1592	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.2236	-0.83%	1.2884	+4.43%	0.0480	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.282	-1.15%	1.2338	-4.87%	0.0492	✓	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1457	-0.70%	1.2969	+12.40%	0.1344	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1977	-0.73%	1.1538	-4.37%	0.0295	✓	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2565	-0.81%	1.2065	-4.75%	0.0367	✓	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3941	-1.18%	1.2667	-10.21%	0.1061	✓	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.5069	-1.55%	1.4108	-7.83%	0.0831	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.4274	-1.35%	1.5306	+5.78%	0.0556	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.5264	-2.30%	1.447	-7.39%	0.0685	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.38	-1.84%	1.5624	+11.14%	0.1255	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4573	-3.56%	1.4058	-6.97%	0.0100	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0589	-2.34%	1.5112	+39.38%	0.3468	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.922284	-1.41%	1.0842	+15.90%	0.1620	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.774789	-0.68%	0.9355	+19.92%	0.1908	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.7719	-0.81%	0.7801	+0.24%	0.0066	✓	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.713158	-0.54%	0.7782	+8.54%	0.0972	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.695553	-0.48%	0.717	+2.59%	0.0270	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.700107	-0.54%	0.6989	-0.71%	0.0047	✓	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.696582	-0.63%	0.7039	+0.41%	0.0101	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.706039	-0.93%	0.701	-1.64%	0.0121	✓	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.620803	-0.48%	0.7127	+14.25%	0.1339	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.616315	-0.42%	0.6238	+0.79%	0.0021	✓	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.632923	-0.62%	0.6189	-2.83%	0.0217	✓	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.570499	-0.30%	0.6369	+11.31%	0.1067	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.581632	-0.27%	0.5722	-1.89%	0.0205	✓	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.618095	-0.42%	0.5832	-6.04%	0.0581	✓	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.593691	-0.29%	0.6207	+4.25%	0.0436	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.606183	-0.36%	0.5954	-2.14%	0.0134	✓	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.607893	-0.39%	0.6084	-0.31%	0.0007	✓	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.590741	-0.31%	0.6103	+2.99%	0.0333	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.613279	-0.39%	0.5926	-3.75%	0.0326	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.597987	-0.34%	0.6157	+2.62%	0.0308	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.629988	-0.43%	0.6	-5.17%	0.0490	✓	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.590005	-0.32%	0.6327	+6.89%	0.0762	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.638496	-0.39%	0.5919	-7.66%	0.0785	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.