DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 195
Track record at +1d
assessed
64
of 65 predictions shown
direction hit
51.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0373
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0058
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.2092 | 0.208427 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2088 | 0.208056 | -0.36% | 0.2092 | +0.19% | 0.0038 | ✗ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.207217 | -0.52% | 0.2088 | +0.24% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.190252 | -0.16% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0813 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185916 | -0.15% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0261 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.182178 | -0.09% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.183036 | -0.14% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.188122 | -0.12% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189662 | -0.13% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.206047 | -0.39% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0693 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.230742 | -0.84% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1210 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.267374 | -1.36% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1250 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.249798 | -0.87% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0763 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.231961 | -0.68% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.219269 | -0.74% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0572 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216525 | -0.63% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213826 | -0.34% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0363 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213181 | -0.34% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214091 | -0.33% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213155 | -0.35% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214684 | -0.38% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215463 | -0.34% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.213126 | -0.34% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0042 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.2137 | -0.35% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.210134 | -0.34% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224573 | -0.46% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230182 | -0.53% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223675 | -0.48% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0315 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.223202 | -0.45% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0092 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.219358 | -0.43% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0218 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.219995 | -0.39% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.218528 | -0.35% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.211123 | -0.41% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214907 | -0.46% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0130 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.211468 | -0.51% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0177 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.201791 | -0.40% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.196492 | -0.26% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.199515 | -0.24% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0172 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212822 | -0.29% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0431 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215944 | -0.30% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.215127 | -0.22% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.210815 | -0.16% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.199322 | +0.01% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.205501 | +0.00% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.219619 | -0.06% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.233378 | -0.12% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.242407 | -0.10% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.246515 | -0.08% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.242251 | -0.04% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.241467 | +0.01% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.23641 | -0.06% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0288 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.25726 | -0.17% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.272033 | -0.24% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.303967 | -0.70% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.279945 | -0.64% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0966 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.259438 | -0.47% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.237849 | -0.27% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.235389 | -0.26% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.245614 | -0.36% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0463 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230863 | -0.30% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0713 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.224303 | -0.29% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.232099 | -0.30% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.252396 | -0.34% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.234401 | -0.38% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.253451 | -0.65% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1265 | ✓ | 1.00 |