DOS
DAPPOS · Ethereum · gru_s1
- token id
- #141
- symbol
- DOS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x951f086a127e280724fd93ccc543f65065afeb5e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-10
- predictions
- 192
Track record at +1d
assessed
63
of 64 predictions shown
direction hit
50.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0380
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0053
actual -0.0061
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.204 | 0.203253 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.2083 | 0.206767 | -0.74% | 0.204 | -2.06% | 0.0113 | ✓ | 0.73 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.19055 | 0.189894 | -0.34% | 0.2083 | +9.32% | 0.0832 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1862 | 0.185531 | -0.36% | 0.19055 | +2.34% | 0.0282 | ✗ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.18235 | 0.181838 | -0.28% | 0.1862 | +2.11% | 0.0183 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.1833 | 0.182695 | -0.33% | 0.18235 | -0.52% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.18835 | 0.187802 | -0.29% | 0.1833 | -2.68% | 0.0189 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.1899 | 0.189374 | -0.28% | 0.18835 | -0.82% | 0.0102 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20685 | 0.205919 | -0.45% | 0.1899 | -8.19% | 0.0687 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2327 | 0.230948 | -0.75% | 0.20685 | -11.11% | 0.1219 | ✓ | 0.71 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.27105 | 0.267649 | -1.25% | 0.2327 | -14.15% | 0.1261 | ✓ | 0.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.252 | 0.249957 | -0.81% | 0.27105 | +7.56% | 0.0757 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.23355 | 0.232052 | -0.64% | 0.252 | +7.90% | 0.0799 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2209 | 0.21911 | -0.81% | 0.23355 | +5.73% | 0.0579 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216397 | -0.69% | 0.2209 | +1.38% | 0.0321 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.21455 | 0.213805 | -0.35% | 0.2179 | +1.56% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213191 | -0.33% | 0.21455 | +0.30% | 0.0080 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.2148 | 0.214079 | -0.34% | 0.2139 | -0.42% | 0.0050 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2139 | 0.213067 | -0.39% | 0.2148 | +0.42% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2155 | 0.214502 | -0.46% | 0.2139 | -0.74% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.2162 | 0.215297 | -0.42% | 0.2155 | -0.32% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.21385 | 0.212855 | -0.47% | 0.2162 | +1.10% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.21445 | 0.213385 | -0.50% | 0.21385 | -0.28% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.21085 | 0.209798 | -0.50% | 0.21445 | +1.71% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 0.67 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2256 | 0.224419 | -0.52% | 0.21085 | -6.54% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230109 | -0.56% | 0.2256 | -2.51% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.223518 | -0.55% | 0.2314 | +2.96% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2242 | 0.222976 | -0.55% | 0.22475 | +0.25% | 0.0102 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.2203 | 0.219115 | -0.54% | 0.2242 | +1.77% | 0.0229 | ✗ | 0.66 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.22085 | 0.219734 | -0.51% | 0.2203 | -0.25% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 0.69 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.2193 | 0.218217 | -0.49% | 0.22085 | +0.71% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.70 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.212 | 0.210764 | -0.58% | 0.2193 | +3.44% | 0.0044 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214514 | -0.64% | 0.212 | -1.81% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.21255 | 0.210869 | -0.79% | 0.2159 | +1.58% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 0.68 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.2026 | 0.201168 | -0.71% | 0.21255 | +4.91% | 0.0203 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.197 | 0.195896 | -0.56% | 0.2026 | +2.84% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.2 | 0.198865 | -0.57% | 0.197 | -1.50% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 0.61 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212289 | -0.54% | 0.2 | -6.30% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.2166 | 0.215266 | -0.62% | 0.21345 | -1.45% | 0.0185 | ✓ | 0.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.2156 | 0.214416 | -0.55% | 0.2166 | +0.46% | 0.0136 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.21115 | 0.209914 | -0.59% | 0.2156 | +2.11% | 0.0263 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.1993 | 0.198332 | -0.49% | 0.21115 | +5.95% | 0.0575 | ✗ | 0.59 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.2055 | 0.204627 | -0.42% | 0.1993 | -3.02% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.21975 | 0.218793 | -0.44% | 0.2055 | -6.48% | 0.0606 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.23365 | 0.232592 | -0.45% | 0.21975 | -5.95% | 0.0486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.24265 | 0.241682 | -0.40% | 0.23365 | -3.71% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.2467 | 0.245703 | -0.40% | 0.24265 | -1.64% | 0.0188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.24235 | 0.241387 | -0.40% | 0.2467 | +1.79% | 0.0198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.24145 | 0.240648 | -0.33% | 0.24235 | +0.37% | 0.0268 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.23655 | 0.235596 | -0.40% | 0.24145 | +2.07% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2577 | 0.256568 | -0.44% | 0.23655 | -8.21% | 0.0801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2727 | 0.271483 | -0.45% | 0.2577 | -5.50% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.3061 | 0.303302 | -0.91% | 0.2727 | -10.91% | 0.1178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.279357 | -0.85% | 0.3061 | +8.64% | 0.0987 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.26065 | 0.25905 | -0.61% | 0.28175 | +8.10% | 0.0789 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.2385 | 0.237616 | -0.37% | 0.26065 | +9.29% | 0.1233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.236 | 0.23506 | -0.40% | 0.2385 | +1.06% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.2465 | 0.245254 | -0.51% | 0.236 | -4.26% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.23155 | 0.230513 | -0.45% | 0.2465 | +6.46% | 0.0728 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.22495 | 0.223954 | -0.44% | 0.23155 | +2.93% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2328 | 0.2317 | -0.47% | 0.22495 | -3.37% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.25325 | 0.251878 | -0.54% | 0.2328 | -8.08% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2353 | 0.233766 | -0.65% | 0.25325 | +7.63% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.2551 | 0.252556 | -1.00% | 0.2353 | -7.76% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 1.00 |