CARDS

Collector Crypt · Solana · gru_s1

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 21 predictions shown

direction hit

40.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0996

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0173

actual +0.0161

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37764	0.371521	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.376255	0.367803	-2.25%	0.37764	+0.37%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.341225	0.334109	-2.09%	0.376255	+10.27%	0.1058	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.332115	0.32563	-1.95%	0.341225	+2.74%	0.0334	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.25713	0.255001	-0.83%	0.332115	+29.16%	0.2663	✗	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.271445	0.26906	-0.88%	0.25713	-5.27%	0.0530	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.29283	0.2886	-1.44%	0.271445	-7.30%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.349415	0.342897	-1.87%	0.29283	-16.19%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.31083	0.305276	-1.79%	0.349415	+12.41%	0.1282	✗	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.279395	0.274233	-1.85%	0.31083	+11.25%	0.1439	✗	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.2734	0.270688	-0.99%	0.279395	+2.19%	0.0152	✗	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.32592	0.321128	-1.47%	0.2734	-16.11%	0.1375	✓	1.00
2026-10-10	oos	0.31055	0.304642	-1.90%	0.32592	+4.95%	0.0583	✗	1.00
2026-10-09	oos	0.29286	0.287307	-1.90%	0.31055	+6.04%	0.0734	✗	1.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.25146	0.248031	-1.36%	0.29286	+16.46%	0.1558	✗	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.272395	0.268746	-1.34%	0.25146	-7.69%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.310145	0.303713	-2.07%	0.272395	-12.17%	0.0820	✓	1.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.285115	0.277954	-2.51%	0.310145	+8.78%	0.1120	✗	1.00
2026-10-04	oos	0.23562	0.232877	-1.16%	0.285115	+21.01%	0.2112	✗	1.00
2026-10-03	oos	0.26884	0.263426	-2.01%	0.23562	-12.36%	0.1322	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.2746	0.267484	-2.59%	0.26884	-2.10%	0.0023	✓	1.00