BP

Backpack · Solana · gru_s1

token id: #474
symbol: BP
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: BPxxfRCXkUVhig4HS1Lh7kZqV6SPJhzfEk4x6fVBjPCy
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-23
predictions: 612

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

197

of 204 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1602

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0274

actual +0.0676

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.0984	1.0679	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-20	oos	1.0962	1.0649	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-19	oos	1.1594	1.1235	-3.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-18	oos	1.1091	1.0763	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-17	oos	0.97705	0.96118	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	1.0034	0.98377	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-15	oos	1.0144	0.991635	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	1.0044	0.983338	-2.09%	1.0984	+9.37%	0.0927	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	1.0445	1.0178	-2.55%	1.0962	+4.96%	0.0769	✗	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	1.0973	1.0663	-2.82%	1.1594	+5.66%	0.0821	✗	1.36
2026-10-11	oos	1.1975	1.1564	-3.44%	1.1091	-7.39%	0.0163	✓	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	1.1394	1.1032	-3.17%	0.97705	-14.24%	0.0977	✓	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	1.2027	1.1601	-3.54%	1.0034	-16.57%	0.1288	✓	1.28
2026-10-08	oos	1.126	1.0884	-3.34%	1.0144	-9.91%	0.0771	✓	1.26
2026-10-07	oos	1.0901	1.055	-3.22%	1.0044	-7.87%	0.0222	✓	1.30
2026-10-06	oos	1.1856	1.1426	-3.62%	1.0445	-11.90%	0.0539	✓	1.24
2026-10-05	oos	1.2399	1.193	-3.78%	1.0973	-11.50%	0.0233	✓	1.26
2026-10-04	oos	1.2509	1.2025	-3.87%	1.1975	-4.26%	0.0375	✓	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	1.2619	1.2114	-4.01%	1.1394	-9.72%	0.0333	✓	1.28
2026-10-02	oos	1.1594	1.1148	-3.84%	1.2027	+3.74%	0.1057	✗	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	1.268	1.2113	-4.48%	1.126	-11.21%	0.0260	✓	1.24
2026-09-30	oos	1.2865	1.2271	-4.61%	1.0901	-15.26%	0.1143	✓	1.22
2026-09-29	oos	1.1463	1.1011	-3.94%	1.1856	+3.42%	0.0464	✗	1.22
2026-09-28	oos	1.2709	1.2152	-4.38%	1.2399	-2.44%	0.0137	✓	1.25
2026-09-27	oos	1.3501	1.2815	-5.08%	1.2509	-7.35%	0.0515	✓	1.14
2026-09-26	oos	1.3079	1.2428	-4.98%	1.2619	-3.51%	0.0108	✓	1.15
2026-09-25	oos	1.3502	1.2498	-7.44%	1.1594	-14.14%	0.0810	✓	1.19
2026-09-24	oos	1.0486	0.996688	-4.95%	1.268	+20.93%	0.2340	✗	1.25
2026-09-23	oos	0.848	0.816345	-3.73%	1.2865	+51.70%	0.4672	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.76025	0.737378	-3.01%	1.1463	+50.78%	0.4850	✗	1.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.89395	0.853402	-4.54%	1.2709	+42.16%	0.4488	✗	1.37
2026-09-20	oos	0.82965	0.781111	-5.85%	1.3501	+62.73%	0.4894	✗	1.45
2026-09-19	oos	0.64225	0.62559	-2.59%	1.3079	+103.64%	0.6812	✗	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.57225	0.562128	-1.77%	1.3502	+135.95%	0.8207	✗	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.5342	0.527162	-1.32%	1.0486	+96.29%	0.5402	✗	1.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.4646	0.464153	-0.10%	0.848	+82.52%	0.4523	✗	1.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.4664	0.466346	-0.01%	0.76025	+63.00%	0.3238	✗	1.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.5093	0.507155	-0.42%	0.89395	+75.53%	0.4526	✗	1.12
2026-09-13	oos	0.4988	0.497708	-0.22%	0.82965	+66.33%	0.4494	✗	1.11
2026-09-12	oos	0.5479	0.543578	-0.79%	0.64225	+17.22%	0.1137	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.56005	0.555108	-0.88%	0.57225	+2.18%	0.0277	✓	1.25
2026-09-10	oos	0.5563	0.551751	-0.82%	0.5342	-3.97%	0.0291	✓	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.59295	0.585248	-1.30%	0.4646	-21.65%	0.1959	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.573	0.567555	-0.95%	0.4664	-18.60%	0.1470	✓	1.32
2026-09-07	oos	0.51165	0.513142	+0.29%	0.5093	-0.46%	0.0085	✓	1.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.4892	0.49482	+1.15%	0.4988	+1.96%	0.0719	✓	1.42
2026-09-05	oos	0.43585	0.445482	+2.21%	0.5479	+25.71%	0.2529	✓	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.4332	0.443046	+2.27%	0.56005	+29.28%	0.2808	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.45165	0.462602	+2.42%	0.5563	+23.17%	0.2725	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.42545	0.432516	+1.66%	0.59295	+39.37%	0.2976	✓	1.42
2026-09-01	oos	0.3946	0.402221	+1.93%	0.573	+45.21%	0.3342	✓	1.46
2026-08-31	oos	0.4092	0.417772	+2.09%	0.51165	+25.04%	0.1972	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.4054	0.412369	+1.72%	0.4892	+20.67%	0.1556	✓	0.45
2026-08-29	oos	0.4135	0.420052	+1.58%	0.43585	+5.41%	0.0266	✓	0.51
2026-08-28	oos	0.4334	0.438269	+1.12%	0.4332	-0.05%	0.0237	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.4455	0.451927	+1.44%	0.45165	+1.38%	0.0069	✓	0.51
2026-08-26	oos	0.4339	0.438458	+1.05%	0.42545	-1.95%	0.0190	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.4389	0.441932	+0.69%	0.3946	-10.09%	0.1059	✗	0.51
2026-08-24	oos	0.4103	0.413747	+0.84%	0.4092	-0.27%	0.0084	✗	0.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.4431	0.443993	+0.20%	0.4054	-8.51%	0.0905	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.4304	0.430487	+0.02%	0.4135	-3.93%	0.0484	✗	0.53
2026-08-21	oos	0.4728	0.469902	-0.61%	0.4334	-8.33%	0.0778	✓	0.49
2026-08-20	oos	0.4026	0.399526	-0.76%	0.4455	+10.66%	0.0854	✗	0.25
2026-08-19	oos	0.4004	0.393543	-1.71%	0.4339	+8.37%	0.0589	✗	0.29
2026-08-18	oos	0.3608	0.352921	-2.18%	0.4389	+21.65%	0.1952	✗	0.12
2026-08-17	oos	0.3692	0.360303	-2.41%	0.4103	+11.13%	0.1078	✗	0.11
2026-08-16	oos	0.3661	0.35731	-2.40%	0.4431	+21.03%	0.1907	✗	0.12
2026-08-15	oos	0.3707	0.361357	-2.52%	0.4304	+16.10%	0.1510	✗	0.12
2026-08-14	oos	0.3817	0.371259	-2.74%	0.4728	+23.87%	0.2134	✗	0.13
2026-08-13	oos	0.3807	0.369543	-2.93%	0.4026	+5.75%	0.0668	✗	0.13
2026-08-12	oos	0.3817	0.370178	-3.02%	0.4004	+4.90%	0.0634	✗	0.17
2026-08-11	oos	0.3759	0.364126	-3.13%	0.3608	-4.02%	0.0118	✓	0.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.3539	0.343523	-2.93%	0.3692	+4.32%	0.0708	✗	0.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.4022	0.388016	-3.53%	0.3661	-8.98%	0.0542	✓	0.12
2026-08-08	oos	0.3854	0.372717	-3.29%	0.3707	-3.81%	0.0019	✓	0.12
2026-08-07	oos	0.4063	0.391762	-3.58%	0.3817	-6.05%	0.0225	✓	0.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.4411	0.423461	-4.00%	0.3807	-13.69%	0.1044	✓	0.15
2026-08-05	oos	0.4013	0.38715	-3.53%	0.3817	-4.88%	0.0111	✓	0.17
2026-08-04	oos	0.3902	0.376282	-3.57%	0.3759	-3.66%	0.0005	✓	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	0.3691	0.358193	-2.96%	0.3539	-4.12%	0.0132	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	0.3812	0.369087	-3.18%	0.4022	+5.51%	0.0829	✗	0.14
2026-08-01	oos	0.3678	0.358522	-2.52%	0.3854	+4.79%	0.0691	✗	0.09
2026-07-31	oos	0.3676	0.358522	-2.47%	0.4063	+10.53%	0.1220	✗	0.10
2026-07-30	oos	0.4028	0.388055	-3.66%	0.4411	+9.51%	0.1282	✗	0.02
2026-07-29	oos	0.4315	0.416293	-3.52%	0.4013	-7.00%	0.0374	✓	0.07
2026-07-28	oos	0.4521	0.436107	-3.54%	0.3902	-13.69%	0.1114	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.4452	0.430515	-3.30%	0.3691	-17.09%	0.1536	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.4715	0.452091	-4.12%	0.3812	-19.15%	0.1697	✓	0.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.4618	0.444133	-3.83%	0.3678	-20.36%	0.1881	✓	0.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.4467	0.431577	-3.39%	0.3676	-17.71%	0.1601	✓	0.02
2026-07-23	oos	0.4334	0.419624	-3.18%	0.4028	-7.06%	0.0408	✓	0.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.4646	0.444758	-4.27%	0.4315	-7.12%	0.0305	✓	-0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.4645	0.447411	-3.68%	0.4521	-2.67%	0.0100	✓	-0.01
2026-07-20	oos	0.4481	0.435095	-2.90%	0.4452	-0.65%	0.0221	✓	-0.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.4327	0.42265	-2.32%	0.4715	+8.97%	0.1099	✗	-0.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.4838	0.468546	-3.15%	0.4618	-4.55%	0.0148	✓	-0.03
2026-07-17	oos	0.472	0.45842	-2.88%	0.4467	-5.36%	0.0259	✓	-0.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.5022	0.486978	-3.03%	0.4334	-13.70%	0.1166	✓	-0.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.5499	0.529664	-3.68%	0.4646	-15.51%	0.1284	✓	-0.13
2026-07-14	oos	0.5377	0.518652	-3.54%	0.4645	-13.61%	0.1076	✓	-0.11
2026-07-13	oos	0.5299	0.513248	-3.14%	0.4481	-15.44%	0.1294	✓	-0.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.556	0.536179	-3.56%	0.4327	-22.18%	0.2117	✓	-0.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.5853	0.562072	-3.97%	0.4838	-17.34%	0.1479	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.5659	0.543899	-3.89%	0.472	-16.59%	0.1421	✓	-0.09
2026-07-09	oos	0.544	0.525113	-3.47%	0.5022	-7.68%	0.0437	✓	-0.10
2026-07-08	oos	0.5505	0.530804	-3.58%	0.5499	-0.11%	0.0391	✗	-0.10
2026-07-07	oos	0.5861	0.561936	-4.12%	0.5377	-8.26%	0.0403	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.5768	0.55313	-4.10%	0.5299	-8.13%	0.0466	✓	-0.13
2026-07-05	oos	0.5198	0.501294	-3.56%	0.556	+6.96%	0.1039	✗	-0.12
2026-07-04	oos	0.5456	0.524636	-3.84%	0.5853	+7.28%	0.1105	✗	-0.10
2026-07-03	oos	0.5821	0.557624	-4.20%	0.5659	-2.78%	0.0177	✓	-0.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.616	0.587304	-4.66%	0.544	-11.69%	0.0744	✓	-0.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.6116	0.581526	-4.92%	0.5505	-9.99%	0.0520	✓	-0.07
2026-06-30	oos	0.5575	0.534204	-4.18%	0.5861	+5.13%	0.1011	✗	-0.11
2026-06-29	oos	0.5169	0.49656	-3.93%	0.5768	+11.59%	0.1535	✗	-0.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.4789	0.461716	-3.59%	0.5198	+8.54%	0.1257	✗	-0.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.5447	0.520744	-4.40%	0.5456	+0.17%	0.0528	✗	-0.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.5608	0.534284	-4.73%	0.5821	+3.80%	0.0904	✗	-0.11
2026-06-25	oos	0.5105	0.489851	-4.04%	0.616	+20.67%	0.2329	✗	-0.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.6027	0.572124	-5.07%	0.6116	+1.48%	0.0620	✗	-0.28
2026-06-23	oos	0.59	0.559396	-5.19%	0.5575	-5.51%	0.0048	✓	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.6595	0.618224	-6.26%	0.5169	-21.62%	0.1865	✓	-0.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.6834	0.633738	-7.27%	0.4789	-29.92%	0.2855	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.6577	0.609418	-7.34%	0.5447	-17.18%	0.1175	✓	-0.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.5807	0.544293	-6.27%	0.5608	-3.43%	0.0232	✓	-0.12
2026-06-18	oos	0.592	0.542222	-8.41%	0.5105	-13.77%	0.0660	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.4729	0.439463	-7.07%	0.6027	+27.45%	0.3180	✗	0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.4182	0.394424	-5.69%	0.59	+41.08%	0.4072	✗	0.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.4219	0.39745	-5.80%	0.6595	+56.32%	0.5097	✗	0.09
2026-06-14	oos	0.4896	0.443251	-9.47%	0.6834	+39.58%	0.4383	✗	0.14
2026-06-13	oos	0.335	0.315504	-5.82%	0.6577	+96.33%	0.7343	✗	-0.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.291	0.276148	-5.10%	0.5807	+99.55%	0.7431	✗	-0.16
2026-06-11	oos	0.2692	0.257232	-4.45%	0.592	+119.91%	0.8318	✗	-0.16
2026-06-10	oos	0.2411	0.232839	-3.43%	0.4729	+96.14%	0.7225	✗	-0.29
2026-06-09	oos	0.2476	0.238111	-3.83%	0.4182	+68.90%	0.5815	✗	-0.30
2026-06-08	oos	0.2589	0.248185	-4.14%	0.4219	+62.96%	0.5470	✗	-0.33
2026-06-07	oos	0.2575	0.245737	-4.57%	0.4896	+90.14%	0.7016	✗	-0.33
2026-06-06	oos	0.2271	0.219735	-3.24%	0.335	+47.51%	0.4519	✗	-0.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.2316	0.223143	-3.65%	0.291	+25.65%	0.2868	✗	-0.53
2026-06-04	oos	0.2341	0.225114	-3.84%	0.2692	+14.99%	0.1766	✗	-0.58
2026-06-03	oos	0.2857	0.260712	-8.75%	0.2411	-15.61%	0.1029	✓	-0.60
2026-06-02	oos	0.1773	0.172006	-2.99%	0.2476	+39.65%	0.3715	✗	0.09
2026-06-01	oos	0.149	0.146718	-1.53%	0.2589	+73.76%	0.6516	✗	0.68
2026-05-31	oos	0.163	0.159266	-2.29%	0.2575	+57.98%	0.5680	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.1626	0.157961	-2.85%	0.2271	+39.67%	0.4754	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.1421	0.139954	-1.51%	0.2316	+62.98%	0.6049	✗	0.55
2026-05-28	oos	0.1254	0.124498	-0.72%	0.2341	+86.68%	0.7117	✗	0.57
2026-05-27	oos	0.1253	0.124396	-0.72%	0.2857	+128.01%	0.9172	✗	0.58
2026-05-26	oos	0.12	0.119338	-0.55%	0.1773	+47.75%	0.4792	✗	0.65
2026-05-25	oos	0.1201	0.119393	-0.59%	0.149	+24.06%	0.2750	✗	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.124	0.123208	-0.64%	0.163	+31.45%	0.3102	✗	0.67
2026-05-23	oos	0.1315	0.130374	-0.86%	0.1626	+23.65%	0.2469	✗	0.68
2026-05-22	oos	0.1326	0.131303	-0.98%	0.1421	+7.16%	0.0982	✗	0.69
2026-05-21	oos	0.1343	0.132752	-1.15%	0.1254	-6.63%	0.0189	✓	0.71
2026-05-20	oos	0.132	0.130603	-1.06%	0.1253	-5.08%	0.0117	✓	0.71
2026-05-19	oos	0.1354	0.133809	-1.17%	0.12	-11.37%	0.1000	✓	0.72
2026-05-18	oos	0.1376	0.135894	-1.24%	0.1201	-12.72%	0.1264	✓	0.72
2026-05-17	oos	0.1406	0.13874	-1.32%	0.124	-11.81%	0.1083	✓	0.72
2026-05-16	oos	0.1434	0.141457	-1.36%	0.1315	-8.30%	0.0595	✓	0.72
2026-05-15	oos	0.1443	0.142401	-1.32%	0.1326	-8.11%	0.0373	✓	0.73
2026-05-14	oos	0.1495	0.14759	-1.28%	0.1343	-10.17%	0.0625	✓	0.72
2026-05-13	oos	0.151	0.14876	-1.48%	0.132	-12.58%	0.1025	✓	0.74
2026-05-12	oos	0.1476	0.145623	-1.34%	0.1354	-8.27%	0.0358	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.1573	0.155018	-1.45%	0.1376	-12.52%	0.0748	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.151	0.149108	-1.25%	0.1406	-6.89%	0.0127	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.1504	0.148191	-1.47%	0.1434	-4.65%	0.0083	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.1498	0.147447	-1.57%	0.1443	-3.67%	0.0107	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.1431	0.14095	-1.50%	0.1495	+4.47%	0.0487	✗	0.77
2026-05-06	oos	0.1475	0.145463	-1.38%	0.151	+2.37%	0.0577	✗	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.1451	0.143007	-1.44%	0.1476	+1.72%	0.0356	✗	0.75
2026-05-04	oos	0.1507	0.148179	-1.67%	0.1573	+4.38%	0.0417	✗	0.78
2026-05-03	oos	0.1578	0.154611	-2.02%	0.151	-4.31%	0.0608	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.1554	0.152298	-2.00%	0.1504	-3.22%	0.0331	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.1461	0.143295	-1.92%	0.1498	+2.53%	0.0243	✗	0.81
2026-04-30	oos	0.1427	0.139698	-2.10%	0.1431	+0.28%	0.0132	✓	0.79
2026-04-29	oos	0.1429	0.1398	-2.17%	0.1475	+3.22%	0.0032	✓	0.78
2026-04-28	oos	0.1479	0.144568	-2.25%	0.1451	-1.89%	0.0416	✓	0.77
2026-04-27	oos	0.1495	0.146229	-2.19%	0.1507	+0.80%	0.0051	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.1465	0.143575	-2.00%	0.1578	+7.71%	0.0957	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.1442	0.141112	-2.14%	0.1554	+7.77%	0.0853	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.1421	0.138999	-2.18%	0.1461	+2.81%	0.0414	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.1417	0.138645	-2.16%	0.1427	+0.71%	0.0512	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.1404	0.137407	-2.13%	0.1429	+1.78%	0.0673	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.1404	0.137054	-2.38%	0.1479	+5.34%	0.0766	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.1408	0.137376	-2.43%	0.1495	+6.18%	0.0650	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.1367	0.133264	-2.51%	0.1465	+7.17%	0.0311	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.1404	0.136927	-2.47%	0.1442	+2.71%	0.0268	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.1379	0.134742	-2.29%	0.1421	+3.05%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.1495	0.14535	-2.78%	0.1417	-5.22%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.1394	0.135832	-2.56%	0.1404	+0.72%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.1439	0.140019	-2.70%	0.1404	-2.43%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.1496	0.145433	-2.79%	0.1408	-5.88%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.1443	0.140316	-2.76%	0.1367	-5.27%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.1479	0.143633	-2.89%	0.1404	-5.07%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.1474	0.143232	-2.83%	0.1379	-6.45%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.1478	0.143626	-2.82%	0.1495	+1.15%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.1503	0.145938	-2.90%	0.1394	-7.25%	0.0972	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.1543	0.149249	-3.27%	0.1439	-6.74%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.1488	0.144721	-2.74%	0.1496	+0.54%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.1473	0.14342	-2.63%	0.1443	-2.04%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.1534	0.149428	-2.59%	0.1479	-3.59%	0.0929	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.1494	0.145687	-2.48%	0.1474	-1.34%	0.0746	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.1444	0.141349	-2.11%	0.1478	+2.35%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.1506	0.147121	-2.31%	0.1503	-0.20%	0.0214	✓	1.00