BASECAT
Basecat · Base · gru_s1
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
69.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1068
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0102
actual -0.0185
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011903 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011564 | -1.33% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0506 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.01212 | -1.26% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0711 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012739 | -1.48% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0313 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012592 | -1.35% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012778 | -1.52% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012693 | -1.60% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.012436 | -1.34% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0174 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013325 | -1.77% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013001 | -1.32% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016101 | -4.04% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1400 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012799 | -1.47% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2481 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011268 | -0.51% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1314 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011414 | -0.40% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0332 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.01282 | -1.00% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0663 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011681 | -0.67% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1759 | ✗ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012777 | -0.95% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0764 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012867 | -1.33% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0265 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013229 | -1.02% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0719 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011078 | -0.02% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1799 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011883 | -0.14% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0587 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012281 | -0.04% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0746 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013679 | -0.27% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1047 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014618 | -0.39% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0699 | ✓ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015798 | -0.76% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0406 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016044 | -0.69% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016736 | -0.68% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0460 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018335 | -1.00% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0749 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018538 | -1.13% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017166 | -0.77% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.01924 | -1.36% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017429 | -0.18% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018879 | -0.35% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022037 | -1.31% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1556 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.01698 | +0.29% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016427 | +0.44% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020304 | +0.04% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2237 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021324 | -0.07% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.021636 | -0.04% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022781 | -0.10% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0452 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021321 | +0.00% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.031494 | -0.51% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.3989 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031867 | -0.45% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0159 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038676 | -0.83% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1871 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.04257 | -0.90% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.054747 | -1.53% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2269 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.074455 | -4.32% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.2984 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.054994 | -3.52% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.04478 | -3.70% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2610 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028422 | -0.80% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4424 | ✗ | 1.00 |