AVAAI

? · · gru_s1

token id: #791
symbol: AVAAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-03-04
predictions: 1,737

Track record at +1d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0559

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007525	0.007468	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.00756	0.007456	-1.37%	0.007525	-0.46%	0.0076	✓	-0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.007405	0.007358	-0.64%	0.00756	+2.09%	0.0341	✗	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.00711	0.007062	-0.67%	0.007405	+4.15%	0.0465	✗	-0.46
2026-10-17	oos	0.007295	0.0072	-1.30%	0.00711	-2.54%	0.0089	✓	-0.49
2026-10-16	oos	0.00736	0.007316	-0.60%	0.007295	-0.88%	0.0036	✓	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.00747	0.007418	-0.70%	0.00736	-1.47%	0.0113	✓	-0.46
2026-10-14	oos	0.007585	0.007545	-0.53%	0.00747	-1.52%	0.0068	✓	-0.46
2026-10-13	oos	0.007845	0.007798	-0.60%	0.007585	-3.31%	0.0369	✓	-0.49
2026-10-12	oos	0.008115	0.008071	-0.54%	0.007845	-3.33%	0.0206	✓	-0.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.00849	0.008442	-0.56%	0.008115	-4.42%	0.0510	✓	-0.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.008855	0.008803	-0.59%	0.00849	-4.12%	0.0320	✓	-0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.008635	0.008586	-0.56%	0.008855	+2.55%	0.0328	✗	-0.46
2026-10-08	oos	0.009345	0.009266	-0.85%	0.008635	-7.60%	0.0659	✓	-0.44
2026-10-07	oos	0.009275	0.009216	-0.64%	0.009345	+0.75%	0.0055	✓	-0.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.00931	0.009265	-0.49%	0.009275	-0.38%	0.0110	✓	-0.45
2026-10-05	oos	0.00941	0.009363	-0.50%	0.00931	-1.06%	0.0067	✓	-0.44
2026-10-04	oos	0.00963	0.009575	-0.57%	0.00941	-2.28%	0.0213	✓	-0.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.009195	0.009159	-0.39%	0.00963	+4.73%	0.0598	✗	-0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.009955	0.009902	-0.53%	0.009195	-7.63%	0.0728	✓	-0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.00995	0.009898	-0.52%	0.009955	+0.05%	0.0039	✓	-0.47
2026-09-30	oos	0.009625	0.009576	-0.51%	0.00995	+3.38%	0.0449	✗	-0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.00986	0.009806	-0.54%	0.009625	-2.38%	0.0192	✓	-0.50
2026-09-28	oos	0.010215	0.010142	-0.72%	0.00986	-3.48%	0.0271	✓	-0.50
2026-09-27	oos	0.00985	0.0098	-0.50%	0.010215	+3.71%	0.0359	✗	-0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.01024	0.010184	-0.55%	0.00985	-3.81%	0.0330	✓	-0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.00975	0.009705	-0.46%	0.01024	+5.03%	0.0556	✗	-0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.009845	0.009798	-0.48%	0.00975	-0.96%	0.0067	✓	-0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.009825	0.009769	-0.57%	0.009845	+0.20%	0.0077	✗	-0.52
2026-09-22	oos	0.010185	0.010141	-0.43%	0.009825	-3.53%	0.0441	✓	-0.58
2026-09-21	oos	0.011175	0.011098	-0.69%	0.010185	-8.86%	0.0878	✓	-0.44
2026-09-20	oos	0.01132	0.011177	-1.26%	0.011175	-1.28%	0.0339	✗	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.009885	0.009827	-0.59%	0.01132	+14.52%	0.1410	✗	-0.49
2026-09-18	oos	0.00951	0.00946	-0.52%	0.009885	+3.94%	0.0460	✗	-0.48
2026-09-17	oos	0.00962	0.009547	-0.76%	0.00951	-1.14%	0.0247	✗	-0.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.00954	0.009493	-0.50%	0.00962	+0.84%	0.0147	✗	-0.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.01028	0.010188	-0.90%	0.00954	-7.20%	0.0623	✓	-0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01038	0.01021	-1.64%	0.01028	-0.96%	0.0085	✓	-0.45
2026-09-13	oos	0.00893	0.008891	-0.44%	0.01038	+16.24%	0.1646	✗	-0.55
2026-09-12	oos	0.00878	0.008732	-0.54%	0.00893	+1.71%	0.0191	✗	-0.54
2026-09-11	oos	0.00872	0.00866	-0.68%	0.00878	+0.69%	0.0141	✗	-0.52
2026-09-10	oos	0.007835	0.007825	-0.12%	0.00872	+11.30%	0.1129	✗	-0.53
2026-09-09	oos	0.008415	0.008401	-0.17%	0.007835	-6.89%	0.0832	✓	-0.60
2026-09-08	oos	0.008665	0.008632	-0.38%	0.008415	-2.89%	0.0267	✓	-0.56
2026-09-07	oos	0.00862	0.00859	-0.35%	0.008665	+0.52%	0.0041	✗	-0.56
2026-09-06	oos	0.00832	0.008308	-0.14%	0.00862	+3.61%	0.0272	✗	-0.62
2026-09-05	oos	0.00847	0.008446	-0.28%	0.00832	-1.77%	0.0111	✓	-0.62
2026-09-04	oos	0.00848	0.008461	-0.22%	0.00847	-0.12%	0.0022	✓	-0.56
2026-09-03	oos	0.008545	0.008519	-0.31%	0.00848	-0.76%	0.0159	✓	-0.58
2026-09-02	oos	0.0081	0.008069	-0.39%	0.008545	+5.49%	0.0856	✗	-0.57
2026-09-01	oos	0.00816	0.008122	-0.47%	0.0081	-0.74%	0.0033	✓	-0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.008515	0.008479	-0.42%	0.00816	-4.17%	0.0467	✓	-0.56
2026-08-30	oos	0.00861	0.008591	-0.22%	0.008515	-1.10%	0.0033	✓	-0.49
2026-08-29	oos	0.008825	0.00879	-0.39%	0.00861	-2.44%	0.0233	✓	-0.35
2026-08-28	oos	0.009015	0.008962	-0.59%	0.008825	-2.11%	0.0137	✓	-0.35
2026-08-27	oos	0.008675	0.008621	-0.63%	0.009015	+3.92%	0.0347	✗	-0.32
2026-08-26	oos	0.008715	0.00865	-0.74%	0.008675	-0.46%	0.0079	✗	-0.32
2026-08-25	oos	0.0089	0.008825	-0.85%	0.008715	-2.08%	0.0106	✓	-0.31
2026-08-24	oos	0.00901	0.008937	-0.81%	0.0089	-1.22%	0.0060	✓	-0.31
2026-08-23	oos	0.008855	0.008797	-0.66%	0.00901	+1.75%	0.0288	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.00889	0.008834	-0.63%	0.008855	-0.39%	0.0050	✓	-0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.00965	0.00959	-0.62%	0.00889	-7.88%	0.0814	✓	-0.34
2026-08-20	oos	0.01943	0.018622	-4.16%	0.00965	-50.33%	0.7284	✓	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.014135	0.01378	-2.51%	0.01943	+37.46%	0.3110	✗	0.63
2026-08-18	oos	0.012725	0.012511	-1.68%	0.014135	+11.08%	0.0879	✗	0.49
2026-08-17	oos	0.01269	0.012452	-1.88%	0.012725	+0.28%	0.0201	✗	0.50
2026-08-16	oos	0.013505	0.013219	-2.12%	0.01269	-6.03%	0.0559	✓	0.58
2026-08-15	oos	0.013505	0.013272	-1.72%	0.013505	+0.00%	0.0191	✗	0.58
2026-08-14	oos	0.01464	0.014196	-3.03%	0.013505	-7.75%	0.0504	✓	0.62
2026-08-13	oos	0.01464	0.014127	-3.51%	0.01464	+0.00%	0.0403	✗	0.65
2026-08-12	oos	0.01266	0.012212	-3.54%	0.01464	+15.64%	0.1812	✗	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.00852	0.008441	-0.93%	0.01266	+48.59%	0.4066	✗	0.62
2026-08-10	oos	0.00858	0.008508	-0.83%	0.00852	-0.70%	0.0054	✓	0.67
2026-08-09	oos	0.00846	0.0084	-0.71%	0.00858	+1.42%	0.0296	✗	0.58
2026-08-08	oos	0.00894	0.008863	-0.86%	0.00846	-5.37%	0.0460	✓	0.59
2026-08-07	oos	0.0084	0.008329	-0.85%	0.00894	+6.43%	0.0707	✗	0.51
2026-08-06	oos	0.0089	0.008804	-1.08%	0.0084	-5.62%	0.0522	✓	0.54
2026-08-05	oos	0.008635	0.008486	-1.72%	0.0089	+3.07%	0.0505	✗	0.54
2026-08-04	oos	0.0085	0.008362	-1.63%	0.008635	+1.59%	0.0280	✗	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.00825	0.008159	-1.10%	0.0085	+3.03%	0.0367	✗	0.46
2026-08-02	oos	0.00774	0.007657	-1.08%	0.00825	+6.59%	0.0748	✗	0.40
2026-08-01	oos	0.00771	0.007586	-1.61%	0.00774	+0.39%	0.0154	✓	0.40
2026-07-31	oos	0.007635	0.007553	-1.08%	0.00771	+0.98%	0.0210	✗	0.40
2026-07-30	oos	0.00719	0.007132	-0.80%	0.007635	+6.19%	0.0821	✗	0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.007175	0.007113	-0.86%	0.00719	+0.21%	0.0033	✓	0.58
2026-07-28	oos	0.007545	0.007422	-1.63%	0.007175	-4.90%	0.0342	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.00718	0.007116	-0.89%	0.007545	+5.08%	0.0572	✗	0.52
2026-07-26	oos	0.00804	0.007907	-1.65%	0.00718	-10.70%	0.0851	✓	0.45
2026-07-25	oos	0.008155	0.008026	-1.59%	0.00804	-1.41%	0.0049	✓	0.42
2026-07-24	oos	0.008755	0.008569	-2.12%	0.008155	-6.85%	0.0511	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.00817	0.00803	-1.72%	0.008755	+7.16%	0.0943	✗	0.52
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.00815	-1.63%	0.00817	-1.39%	0.0110	✓	0.54
2026-07-21	oos	0.00929	0.009063	-2.44%	0.008285	-10.82%	0.0863	✓	0.54
2026-07-20	oos	0.008425	0.008282	-1.70%	0.00929	+10.27%	0.1089	✗	0.30
2026-07-19	oos	0.010075	0.009766	-3.07%	0.008425	-16.38%	0.1507	✓	0.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.00858	0.008368	-2.47%	0.010075	+17.42%	0.1865	✗	0.48
2026-07-17	oos	0.0072	0.007071	-1.80%	0.00858	+19.17%	0.1865	✗	0.50
2026-07-16	oos	0.006605	0.00654	-0.99%	0.0072	+9.01%	0.0953	✗	0.50
2026-07-15	oos	0.006445	0.006405	-0.62%	0.006605	+2.48%	0.0399	✗	0.63
2026-07-14	oos	0.00651	0.006459	-0.78%	0.006445	-1.00%	0.0004	✓	0.63
2026-07-13	oos	0.006445	0.006362	-1.29%	0.00651	+1.01%	0.0051	✓	0.66
2026-07-12	oos	0.00661	0.006496	-1.73%	0.006445	-2.50%	0.0073	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.005985	0.00595	-0.58%	0.00661	+10.44%	0.1056	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.006075	0.006027	-0.80%	0.005985	-1.48%	0.0017	✓	0.93
2026-07-09	oos	0.00596	0.005892	-1.14%	0.006075	+1.93%	0.0167	✗	0.92
2026-07-08	oos	0.00582	0.005787	-0.57%	0.00596	+2.41%	0.0159	✗	0.91
2026-07-07	oos	0.005875	0.005829	-0.78%	0.00582	-0.94%	0.0147	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.00595	0.005917	-0.55%	0.005875	-1.26%	0.0027	✓	0.93
2026-07-05	oos	0.005985	0.005955	-0.51%	0.00595	-0.58%	0.0067	✓	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	0.00595	0.005913	-0.63%	0.005985	+0.59%	0.0050	✓	0.91
2026-07-03	oos	0.005965	0.005903	-1.04%	0.00595	-0.25%	0.0001	✓	0.88
2026-07-02	oos	0.005235	0.005189	-0.88%	0.005965	+13.94%	0.1260	✗	0.80
2026-07-01	oos	0.00587	0.00584	-0.52%	0.005235	-10.82%	0.1322	✓	0.91
2026-06-30	oos	0.00581	0.005779	-0.54%	0.00587	+1.03%	0.0066	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.005865	0.005829	-0.62%	0.00581	-0.94%	0.0225	✗	0.93
2026-06-28	oos	0.00615	0.006079	-1.16%	0.005865	-4.63%	0.0467	✓	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.00522	0.005205	-0.30%	0.00615	+17.82%	0.1744	✗	0.98
2026-06-26	oos	0.005615	0.005591	-0.43%	0.00522	-7.03%	0.0675	✓	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.006115	0.006078	-0.61%	0.005615	-8.18%	0.0842	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.005745	0.005718	-0.47%	0.006115	+6.44%	0.0893	✗	1.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.006925	0.006808	-1.68%	0.005745	-17.04%	0.1443	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.006105	0.006023	-1.35%	0.006925	+13.43%	0.1617	✗	1.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.00552	0.005501	-0.35%	0.006105	+10.60%	0.0926	✗	1.04
2026-06-20	oos	0.005575	0.005554	-0.38%	0.00552	-0.99%	0.0095	✗	1.01
2026-06-19	oos	0.005625	0.005604	-0.37%	0.005575	-0.89%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.005965	0.005934	-0.52%	0.005625	-5.70%	0.0631	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.0062	0.006142	-0.93%	0.005965	-3.79%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006445	0.006373	-1.12%	0.0062	-3.80%	0.0091	✓	1.02
2026-06-15	oos	0.006055	0.006027	-0.46%	0.006445	+6.44%	0.0795	✗	1.25
2026-06-14	oos	0.00592	0.005896	-0.41%	0.006055	+2.28%	0.0160	✗	1.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.005765	0.005747	-0.31%	0.00592	+2.69%	0.0031	✗	1.35
2026-06-12	oos	0.005605	0.00559	-0.26%	0.005765	+2.85%	0.0111	✗	1.41
2026-06-11	oos	0.005835	0.005818	-0.29%	0.005605	-3.94%	0.0367	✓	1.42
2026-06-10	oos	0.00564	0.005628	-0.21%	0.005835	+3.46%	0.0118	✓	1.42
2026-06-09	oos	0.00566	0.005645	-0.26%	0.00564	-0.35%	0.0046	✗	1.42
2026-06-08	oos	0.00503	0.005025	-0.10%	0.00566	+12.52%	0.1522	✗	1.50
2026-06-07	oos	0.00482	0.004817	-0.06%	0.00503	+4.36%	0.0489	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.00463	0.004635	+0.10%	0.00482	+4.10%	0.0212	✗	1.53
2026-06-05	oos	0.00478	0.004777	-0.06%	0.00463	-3.14%	0.0266	✓	1.59
2026-06-04	oos	0.00502	0.005027	+0.14%	0.00478	-4.78%	0.0209	✓	1.60
2026-06-03	oos	0.00608	0.006063	-0.28%	0.00502	-17.43%	0.1832	✓	1.52
2026-06-02	oos	0.00593	0.005918	-0.21%	0.00608	+2.53%	0.0917	✗	1.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.00592	0.005905	-0.25%	0.00593	+0.17%	0.1301	✗	1.86
2026-05-31	oos	0.007	0.006963	-0.53%	0.00592	-15.43%	0.1060	✓	1.80
2026-05-30	oos	0.00695	0.006924	-0.38%	0.007	+0.72%	0.0157	✗	1.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.00684	0.00681	-0.44%	0.00695	+1.61%	0.0105	✗	1.80
2026-05-28	oos	0.006745	0.006695	-0.73%	0.00684	+1.41%	0.0249	✗	1.78
2026-05-27	oos	0.006985	0.006965	-0.29%	0.006745	-3.44%	0.0131	✓	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.00688	0.006864	-0.23%	0.006985	+1.53%	0.0535	✗	1.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.00712	0.007102	-0.25%	0.00688	-3.37%	0.0047	✗	1.96
2026-05-24	oos	0.006995	0.00698	-0.21%	0.00712	+1.79%	0.0129	✗	1.96
2026-05-23	oos	0.00723	0.007215	-0.21%	0.006995	-3.25%	0.0389	✓	1.89
2026-05-22	oos	0.00717	0.007155	-0.21%	0.00723	+0.84%	0.0196	✓	1.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.00747	0.007449	-0.28%	0.00717	-4.02%	0.0143	✗	1.91
2026-05-20	oos	0.00715	0.007129	-0.29%	0.00747	+4.48%	0.0449	✗	1.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.006985	0.006972	-0.18%	0.00715	+2.36%	0.0077	✗	1.91
2026-05-18	oos	0.00721	0.007193	-0.24%	0.006985	-3.12%	0.0250	✓	1.91
2026-05-17	oos	0.00716	0.00714	-0.28%	0.00721	+0.70%	0.0211	✗	1.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.00792	0.007892	-0.35%	0.00716	-9.60%	0.0806	✓	1.87
2026-05-15	oos	0.008605	0.008528	-0.89%	0.00792	-7.96%	0.0515	✓	1.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.009	0.008951	-0.54%	0.008605	-4.39%	0.0076	✗	1.86
2026-05-13	oos	0.009115	0.009024	-1.00%	0.009	-1.26%	0.0450	✓	1.90
2026-05-12	oos	0.01031	0.010155	-1.50%	0.009115	-11.59%	0.0806	✓	1.83
2026-05-11	oos	0.008235	0.008173	-0.75%	0.01031	+25.20%	0.2619	✗	1.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.008425	0.008373	-0.62%	0.008235	-2.26%	0.0055	✓	1.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.0091	0.009055	-0.50%	0.008425	-7.42%	0.1096	✓	1.98
2026-05-07	oos	0.008435	0.008386	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.96
2026-05-06	oos	0.00761	0.007569	-0.53%	0.008435	+10.84%	0.1378	✗	1.66
2026-05-05	oos	0.007865	0.007813	-0.66%	0.00761	-3.24%	0.0358	✓	1.45
2026-05-04	oos	0.00863	0.008544	-1.00%	0.007865	-8.86%	0.1020	✓	1.46
2026-05-01	oos	0.00842	0.008375	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-04-30	oos	0.007465	0.007431	-0.46%	0.00842	+12.79%	0.0951	✗	1.20
2026-04-29	oos	0.00896	0.008886	-0.82%	0.007465	-16.69%	0.1832	✓	1.22
2026-04-28	oos	0.00955	0.009413	-1.44%	0.00896	-6.18%	0.0404	✓	1.19
2026-04-27	oos	0.009655	0.009578	-0.80%	0.00955	-1.09%	0.0132	✗	1.19
2026-04-26	oos	0.008935	0.008865	-0.79%	0.009655	+8.06%	0.1057	✗	1.21
2026-04-25	oos	0.007945	0.007872	-0.92%	0.008935	+12.46%	0.1111	✗	1.19
2026-04-24	oos	0.008115	0.008069	-0.57%	0.007945	-2.09%	0.0184	✓	1.19
2026-04-23	oos	0.008985	0.00887	-1.28%	0.008115	-9.68%	0.0765	✓	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.008285	0.00822	-0.79%	0.008985	+8.45%	0.0879	✗	1.18
2026-04-21	oos	0.00987	0.009794	-0.77%	0.008285	-16.06%	0.1973	✓	1.25
2026-04-20	oos	0.009995	0.009894	-1.01%	0.00987	-1.25%	0.0105	✓	1.27
2026-04-19	oos	0.008755	0.008689	-0.76%	0.009995	+14.16%	0.1057	✗	1.26
2026-04-18	oos	0.01023	0.010065	-1.61%	0.008755	-14.42%	0.1078	✓	1.24
2026-04-17	oos	0.01058	0.01035	-2.17%	0.01023	-3.31%	0.0103	✓	1.24
2026-04-16	oos	0.009235	0.009147	-0.96%	0.01058	+14.56%	0.1150	✗	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.008915	0.00883	-0.95%	0.009235	+3.59%	0.0396	✗	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.00885	0.008706	-1.63%	0.008915	+0.73%	0.0131	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.00846	0.008406	-0.64%	0.00885	+4.61%	0.0557	✗	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.007195	0.007162	-0.47%	0.00846	+17.58%	0.1110	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.00799	0.007942	-0.60%	0.007195	-9.95%	0.0641	✓	1.07
2026-04-10	oos	0.0085	0.008438	-0.73%	0.00799	-6.00%	0.0559	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.00848	0.008417	-0.74%	0.0085	+0.24%	0.0081	✓	1.08
2026-04-08	oos	0.00788	0.007826	-0.69%	0.00848	+7.61%	0.0696	✗	1.07
2026-04-07	oos	0.007705	0.007647	-0.76%	0.00788	+2.27%	0.0424	✗	1.07
2026-04-06	oos	0.007535	0.007443	-1.22%	0.007705	+2.26%	0.0130	✓	1.10
2026-04-05	oos	0.00697	0.006936	-0.49%	0.007535	+8.11%	0.0853	✗	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.007145	0.007103	-0.58%	0.00697	-2.45%	0.0465	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.007545	0.007486	-0.78%	0.007145	-5.30%	0.0521	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.00692	0.006861	-0.85%	0.007545	+9.03%	0.0939	✗	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.00696	0.00686	-1.44%	0.00692	-0.57%	0.0288	✗	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.00588	0.005859	-0.35%	0.00696	+18.37%	0.1740	✗	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.00583	0.005807	-0.39%	0.00588	+0.86%	0.0122	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.0065	0.006472	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.00699	0.006954	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.00744	0.007368	-0.97%	0.00699	-6.05%	0.0125	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.00665	0.006628	-0.33%	0.00744	+11.88%	0.1037	✗	1.09
2026-03-23	oos	0.006775	0.006748	-0.40%	0.00665	-1.85%	0.0094	✓	1.09
2026-03-22	oos	0.00665	0.006619	-0.47%	0.006775	+1.88%	0.0251	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.00658	0.006544	-0.55%	0.00665	+1.06%	0.0335	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.006735	0.006713	-0.32%	0.00658	-2.30%	0.0052	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.00703	0.007004	-0.37%	0.006735	-4.20%	0.0484	✓	1.12
2026-03-18	oos	0.00754	0.00749	-0.66%	0.00703	-6.76%	0.0434	✓	1.07
2026-03-17	oos	0.00968	0.009608	-0.74%	0.00754	-22.11%	0.2066	✓	0.97
2026-03-16	oos	0.00966	0.00954	-1.24%	0.00968	+0.21%	0.0272	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.00812	0.008048	-0.89%	0.00966	+18.97%	0.1554	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0071	0.007055	-0.64%	0.00812	+14.37%	0.1206	✗	0.91
2026-03-13	oos	0.00702	0.006996	-0.35%	0.0071	+1.14%	0.0111	✗	0.92
2026-03-12	oos	0.00747	0.007412	-0.78%	0.00702	-6.02%	0.0597	✓	0.93
2026-03-10	oos	0.0094	0.009337	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-03-08	oos	0.0069	0.006874	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-03-07	oos	0.008	0.007964	-0.45%	0.0069	-13.75%	0.1266	✓	0.87
2026-03-06	oos	0.00777	0.007739	-0.40%	0.008	+2.96%	0.0439	✗	0.86
2026-03-05	oos	0.00777	0.007736	-0.43%	0.00777	+0.00%	0.0395	✗	0.88
2026-03-04	oos	0.008	0.007966	-0.43%	0.00777	-2.87%	0.0022	✓	0.90
2026-03-03	oos	0.00719	0.007171	-0.27%	0.008	+11.27%	0.0564	✗	0.86
2026-03-02	oos	0.00896	0.008908	-0.58%	0.00719	-19.75%	0.2083	✓	0.83
2026-02-28	oos	0.007825	0.007793	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-02-27	oos	0.007995	0.007956	-0.49%	0.007825	-2.13%	0.0297	✓	0.79
2026-02-26	oos	0.00808	0.008028	-0.64%	0.007995	-1.05%	0.0153	✗	0.79
2026-02-25	oos	0.00843	0.008329	-1.20%	0.00808	-4.15%	0.0245	✓	0.79
2026-02-24	oos	0.006895	0.006876	-0.28%	0.00843	+22.26%	0.1648	✗	0.66
2026-02-23	oos	0.00707	0.007034	-0.51%	0.006895	-2.48%	0.0144	✓	0.65
2026-02-22	oos	0.0073	0.007276	-0.32%	0.00707	-3.15%	0.0003	✓	0.64
2026-02-21	oos	0.00756	0.007532	-0.37%	0.0073	-3.44%	0.0280	✓	0.66
2026-02-20	oos	0.007695	0.007666	-0.37%	0.00756	-1.75%	0.0137	✓	0.64
2026-02-19	oos	0.0076	0.007573	-0.35%	0.007695	+1.25%	0.0064	✗	0.64
2026-02-18	oos	0.00738	0.007358	-0.30%	0.0076	+2.98%	0.0269	✗	0.66
2026-02-17	oos	0.00772	0.007693	-0.34%	0.00738	-4.40%	0.0314	✓	0.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.00775	0.007723	-0.35%	0.00772	-0.39%	0.0130	✗	0.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.00758	0.007557	-0.30%	0.00775	+2.24%	0.0246	✗	0.65
2026-02-14	oos	0.00798	0.007948	-0.41%	0.00758	-5.01%	0.0384	✓	0.62
2026-02-13	oos	0.00777	0.007739	-0.40%	0.00798	+2.70%	0.0221	✗	0.61
2026-02-12	oos	0.007225	0.007207	-0.25%	0.00777	+7.54%	0.0528	✗	0.58
2026-02-11	oos	0.006995	0.006984	-0.15%	0.007225	+3.29%	0.0412	✗	0.60
2026-02-10	oos	0.007205	0.007191	-0.20%	0.006995	-2.91%	0.0117	✓	0.61
2026-02-09	oos	0.00743	0.007412	-0.25%	0.007205	-3.03%	0.0170	✓	0.60
2026-02-08	oos	0.007305	0.007289	-0.22%	0.00743	+1.71%	0.0208	✗	0.63
2026-02-07	oos	0.00745	0.007432	-0.24%	0.007305	-1.95%	0.0266	✓	0.63
2026-02-06	oos	0.00764	0.007607	-0.43%	0.00745	-2.49%	0.0092	✓	0.64
2026-02-05	oos	0.0071	0.0071	+0.01%	0.00764	+7.61%	0.0002	✗	0.63
2026-02-04	oos	0.008245	0.008166	-0.96%	0.0071	-13.89%	0.0679	✓	0.48
2026-02-03	oos	0.008465	0.008375	-1.06%	0.008245	-2.60%	0.0009	✓	0.46
2026-02-02	oos	0.00849	0.008409	-0.95%	0.008465	-0.29%	0.0270	✗	0.52
2026-02-01	oos	0.00988	0.009684	-1.99%	0.00849	-14.07%	0.1458	✓	0.62
2026-01-31	oos	0.00818	0.008131	-0.60%	0.00988	+20.78%	0.2119	✗	0.76
2026-01-30	oos	0.00799	0.007956	-0.42%	0.00818	+2.38%	0.0865	✗	0.87
2026-01-29	oos	0.00854	0.008453	-1.01%	0.00799	-6.44%	0.0522	✓	0.88
2026-01-28	oos	0.00866	0.008622	-0.44%	0.00854	-1.39%	0.0424	✗	0.97
2026-01-27	oos	0.00907	0.009027	-0.47%	0.00866	-4.52%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.00863	0.008596	-0.40%	0.00907	+5.10%	0.0443	✗	0.96
2026-01-24	oos	0.00918	0.009144	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-01-23	oos	0.00991	0.00986	-0.50%	0.00918	-7.37%	0.0674	✓	0.93
2026-01-22	oos	0.00946	0.009418	-0.44%	0.00991	+4.76%	0.0508	✗	0.95
2026-01-21	oos	0.01008	0.010007	-0.73%	0.00946	-6.15%	0.0572	✓	0.96
2026-01-20	oos	0.00853	0.008499	-0.37%	0.01008	+18.17%	0.1599	✗	0.91
2026-01-19	oos	0.00937	0.009327	-0.46%	0.00853	-8.96%	0.0502	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	0.01061	0.010551	-0.56%	0.00937	-11.69%	0.1094	✓	0.81
2026-01-17	oos	0.01091	0.010843	-0.62%	0.01061	-2.75%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-01-16	oos	0.01143	0.011324	-0.93%	0.01091	-4.55%	0.0341	✓	0.76
2026-01-15	oos	0.01061	0.010555	-0.52%	0.01143	+7.73%	0.0803	✗	0.78
2026-01-14	oos	0.01078	0.010723	-0.52%	0.01061	-1.58%	0.0006	✓	0.79
2026-01-13	oos	0.0109	0.010841	-0.54%	0.01078	-1.10%	0.0192	✓	0.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.01092	0.010848	-0.66%	0.0109	-0.18%	0.0357	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.01061	0.010497	-1.07%	0.01092	+2.92%	0.0364	✗	0.92
2026-01-10	oos	0.01035	0.010297	-0.51%	0.01061	+2.51%	0.0248	✗	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.0103	0.010241	-0.58%	0.01035	+0.49%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.00995	0.009902	-0.48%	0.0103	+3.52%	0.0443	✗	0.88
2026-01-07	oos	0.01011	0.010055	-0.54%	0.00995	-1.58%	0.0054	✓	1.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.01065	0.010548	-0.96%	0.01011	-5.07%	0.0062	✓	1.84
2026-01-05	oos	0.01071	0.010654	-0.52%	0.01065	-0.56%	0.0025	✓	1.85
2026-01-04	oos	0.01088	0.010814	-0.61%	0.01071	-1.56%	0.0587	✓	1.91
2026-01-03	oos	0.01056	0.010489	-0.67%	0.01088	+3.03%	0.0176	✗	1.93
2026-01-02	oos	0.01001	0.009956	-0.54%	0.01056	+5.49%	0.0454	✗	1.91
2026-01-01	oos	0.00981	0.009757	-0.54%	0.01001	+2.04%	0.0005	✓	1.91
2025-12-31	oos	0.00922	0.009181	-0.42%	0.00981	+6.40%	0.0395	✗	1.90
2025-12-30	oos	0.00912	0.009085	-0.39%	0.00922	+1.10%	0.0342	✗	1.90
2025-12-29	oos	0.00901	0.008978	-0.36%	0.00912	+1.22%	0.0119	✓	1.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.00913	0.009096	-0.37%	0.00901	-1.31%	0.0070	✗	1.89
2025-12-27	oos	0.00926	0.009225	-0.38%	0.00913	-1.40%	0.0118	✓	1.84
2025-12-26	oos	0.00933	0.009293	-0.40%	0.00926	-0.75%	0.0143	✓	1.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.00897	0.008942	-0.32%	0.00933	+4.01%	0.0399	✗	1.82
2025-12-24	oos	0.00947	0.009425	-0.47%	0.00897	-5.28%	0.0403	✓	1.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.00969	0.009624	-0.68%	0.00947	-2.27%	0.0199	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.01004	0.009984	-0.55%	0.00969	-3.49%	0.0064	✓	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.00998	0.00988	-1.00%	0.01004	+0.60%	0.0178	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.0105	0.010392	-1.03%	0.00998	-4.95%	0.0472	✓	1.90
2025-12-19	oos	0.01023	0.010117	-1.11%	0.0105	+2.64%	0.0322	✗	1.90
2025-12-18	oos	0.01094	0.010753	-1.71%	0.01023	-6.49%	0.1103	✓	1.99
2025-12-17	oos	0.01009	0.009969	-1.20%	0.01094	+8.42%	0.1104	✗	2.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.01143	0.011184	-2.16%	0.01009	-11.72%	0.0658	✓	1.96
2025-12-15	oos	0.00933	0.009259	-0.76%	0.01143	+22.51%	0.1796	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.00819	0.008174	-0.20%	0.00933	+13.92%	0.1716	✗	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.00886	0.00883	-0.33%	0.00819	-7.56%	0.0300	✓	1.94
2025-12-12	oos	0.00883	0.008797	-0.37%	0.00886	+0.34%	0.0076	✗	1.94
2025-12-11	oos	0.00935	0.009294	-0.59%	0.00883	-5.56%	0.0032	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01041	0.010366	-0.43%	0.00935	-10.18%	0.1139	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.01022	0.010178	-0.41%	0.01041	+1.86%	0.0363	✗	1.95
2025-12-08	oos	0.01078	0.010723	-0.53%	0.01022	-5.19%	0.0928	✓	2.02
2025-12-07	oos	0.01075	0.010711	-0.36%	0.01078	+0.28%	0.0008	✓	2.02
2025-12-06	oos	0.01164	0.011574	-0.57%	0.01075	-7.65%	0.0999	✓	2.06
2025-12-05	oos	0.01061	0.010584	-0.25%	0.01164	+9.71%	0.0969	✗	2.07
2025-12-04	oos	0.01177	0.011722	-0.41%	0.01061	-9.86%	0.0378	✓	2.04
2025-12-03	oos	0.01243	0.012382	-0.39%	0.01177	-5.31%	0.0208	✓	2.04
2025-12-02	oos	0.01279	0.01273	-0.47%	0.01243	-2.81%	0.0725	✓	2.09
2025-12-01	oos	0.01306	0.012984	-0.58%	0.01279	-2.07%	0.1458	✓	2.31
2025-11-30	oos	0.01361	0.013447	-1.20%	0.01306	-4.04%	0.0811	✗	2.38
2025-11-29	oos	0.012045	0.012002	-0.36%	0.01361	+12.99%	0.1377	✗	2.36
2025-11-28	oos	0.01104	0.011019	-0.19%	0.012045	+9.10%	0.0909	✗	2.36
2025-11-27	oos	0.011235	0.011214	-0.19%	0.01104	-1.74%	0.0049	✓	2.36
2025-11-26	oos	0.01114	0.011121	-0.17%	0.011235	+0.85%	0.0115	✓	2.32
2025-11-25	oos	0.01105	0.01104	-0.09%	0.01114	+0.81%	0.0754	✓	2.39
2025-11-24	oos	0.01073	0.010726	-0.04%	0.01105	+2.98%	0.0555	✗	2.40
2025-11-23	oos	0.00993	0.009943	+0.13%	0.01073	+8.06%	0.0365	✓	2.38
2025-11-22	oos	0.01035	0.010364	+0.14%	0.00993	-4.06%	0.1047	✗	2.50
2025-11-21	oos	0.00991	0.009931	+0.21%	0.01035	+4.44%	0.0526	✓	2.49
2025-11-20	oos	0.01144	0.011437	-0.02%	0.00991	-13.37%	0.1014	✓	2.45
2025-11-19	oos	0.01182	0.011806	-0.12%	0.01144	-3.21%	0.1111	✗	2.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.01244	0.012411	-0.23%	0.01182	-4.98%	0.0082	✓	2.57
2025-11-17	oos	0.012795	0.012744	-0.40%	0.01244	-2.77%	0.0469	✓	2.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.011855	0.01184	-0.13%	0.012795	+7.93%	0.1368	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.01158	0.011564	-0.14%	0.011855	+2.37%	0.0632	✗	2.67
2025-11-14	oos	0.01169	0.011672	-0.15%	0.01158	-0.94%	0.0374	✓	2.69
2025-11-13	oos	0.012335	0.012293	-0.34%	0.01169	-5.23%	0.0986	✗	2.83
2025-11-12	oos	0.01321	0.013157	-0.40%	0.012335	-6.62%	0.0076	✓	2.83
2025-11-11	oos	0.01342	0.013357	-0.47%	0.01321	-1.56%	0.0274	✗	2.87
2025-11-10	oos	0.01488	0.014779	-0.68%	0.01342	-9.81%	0.0169	✓	2.80
2025-11-09	oos	0.014945	0.014857	-0.59%	0.01488	-0.43%	0.0325	✓	2.79
2025-11-08	oos	0.01458	0.014499	-0.56%	0.014945	+2.50%	0.0361	✓	2.85
2025-11-07	oos	0.01479	0.014704	-0.58%	0.01458	-1.42%	0.0228	✗	3.22
2025-11-06	oos	0.014025	0.013961	-0.46%	0.01479	+5.45%	0.0051	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.01395	0.013875	-0.54%	0.014025	+0.54%	0.0932	✗	3.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.0129	0.012839	-0.47%	0.01395	+8.14%	0.0068	✗	3.26
2025-11-03	oos	0.013235	0.013169	-0.50%	0.0129	-2.53%	0.1499	✗	3.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.01428	0.014187	-0.65%	0.013235	-7.32%	0.0617	✗	3.58
2025-11-01	oos	0.015055	0.01496	-0.63%	0.01428	-5.15%	0.0623	✓	3.58
2025-10-31	oos	0.01473	0.014638	-0.62%	0.015055	+2.21%	0.0119	✗	3.56
2025-10-30	oos	0.013045	0.012983	-0.48%	0.01473	+12.92%	0.0859	✗	3.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.01405	0.013986	-0.46%	0.013045	-7.15%	0.0147	✓	3.48
2025-10-28	oos	0.013935	0.013858	-0.55%	0.01405	+0.83%	0.1062	✗	3.58
2025-10-27	oos	0.01474	0.014622	-0.80%	0.013935	-5.46%	0.0109	✓	3.58
2025-10-26	oos	0.015345	0.015148	-1.28%	0.01474	-3.94%	0.0129	✓	3.58
2025-10-25	oos	0.015695	0.01551	-1.18%	0.015345	-2.23%	0.1050	✓	3.70
2025-10-24	oos	0.01405	0.013984	-0.47%	0.015695	+11.71%	0.0948	✗	3.68
2025-10-23	oos	0.013835	0.013748	-0.63%	0.01405	+1.55%	0.0091	✓	3.69
2025-10-22	oos	0.013455	0.013372	-0.62%	0.013835	+2.82%	0.0524	✓	3.72
2025-10-21	oos	0.012415	0.012374	-0.33%	0.013455	+8.38%	0.1108	✗	3.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.012795	0.012734	-0.48%	0.012415	-2.97%	0.0511	✗	3.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.012955	0.012885	-0.54%	0.012795	-1.24%	0.0710	✓	3.71
2025-10-18	oos	0.013675	0.013544	-0.96%	0.012955	-5.27%	0.0957	✓	3.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.01244	0.012416	-0.19%	0.013675	+9.93%	0.0704	✗	3.74
2025-10-16	oos	0.012935	0.012894	-0.32%	0.01244	-3.83%	0.0249	✗	3.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.013855	0.013807	-0.35%	0.012935	-6.64%	0.0261	✗	3.84
2025-10-14	oos	0.014675	0.014595	-0.55%	0.013855	-5.59%	0.0259	✗	3.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.015605	0.015428	-1.14%	0.014675	-5.96%	0.0245	✗	3.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.01386	0.013798	-0.44%	0.015605	+12.59%	0.1164	✗	3.74
2025-10-11	oos	0.012495	0.012448	-0.38%	0.01386	+10.92%	0.0396	✓	3.86
2025-10-10	oos	0.00968	0.009689	+0.10%	0.012495	+29.08%	0.3360	✓	4.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.018125	0.018043	-0.45%	0.00968	-46.59%	0.3978	✓	3.02
2025-10-08	oos	0.01968	0.019581	-0.50%	0.018125	-7.90%	0.0383	✓	2.93
2025-10-07	oos	0.018695	0.018603	-0.49%	0.01968	+5.27%	0.0082	✗	3.02
2025-10-06	oos	0.020405	0.020305	-0.49%	0.018695	-8.38%	0.0001	✓	3.05
2025-10-05	oos	0.018995	0.018916	-0.41%	0.020405	+7.42%	0.0465	✗	3.03
2025-10-04	oos	0.019065	0.018977	-0.46%	0.018995	-0.37%	0.0255	✓	3.06
2025-10-03	oos	0.019705	0.019584	-0.62%	0.019065	-3.25%	0.0304	✓	3.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.019045	0.018907	-0.72%	0.019705	+3.47%	0.0017	✓	3.08
2025-10-01	oos	0.01877	0.018683	-0.46%	0.019045	+1.47%	0.0320	✓	3.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.01776	0.017681	-0.44%	0.01877	+5.69%	0.0678	✓	3.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.017835	0.017702	-0.75%	0.01776	-0.42%	0.0122	✗	3.42
2025-09-28	oos	0.018995	0.018791	-1.07%	0.017835	-6.11%	0.1205	✓	3.57
2025-09-27	oos	0.018745	0.018673	-0.38%	0.018995	+1.33%	0.0651	✓	3.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.01917	0.019081	-0.46%	0.018745	-2.22%	0.0172	✓	3.63
2025-09-25	oos	0.017775	0.017723	-0.29%	0.01917	+7.85%	0.0566	✗	3.62
2025-09-24	oos	0.019315	0.019234	-0.42%	0.017775	-7.97%	0.0665	✗	3.75
2025-09-23	oos	0.01906	0.018982	-0.41%	0.019315	+1.34%	0.0271	✓	3.77
2025-09-22	oos	0.019105	0.019025	-0.42%	0.01906	-0.24%	0.0255	✗	3.70
2025-09-21	oos	0.02267	0.022543	-0.56%	0.019105	-15.73%	0.0851	✓	3.60
2025-09-20	oos	0.024065	0.023901	-0.68%	0.02267	-5.80%	0.0380	✓	3.65
2025-09-19	oos	0.02346	0.023302	-0.67%	0.024065	+2.58%	0.0303	✗	3.63
2025-09-18	oos	0.02366	0.023457	-0.86%	0.02346	-0.85%	0.0452	✗	3.67
2025-09-17	oos	0.023985	0.023806	-0.75%	0.02366	-1.36%	0.0264	✓	3.73
2025-09-16	oos	0.022655	0.022491	-0.72%	0.023985	+5.87%	0.0754	✗	3.73
2025-09-15	oos	0.02217	0.02199	-0.81%	0.022655	+2.19%	0.0170	✓	3.74
2025-09-14	oos	0.02363	0.02342	-0.89%	0.02217	-6.18%	0.0570	✓	3.76
2025-09-13	oos	0.02563	0.025382	-0.97%	0.02363	-7.80%	0.0504	✓	3.74
2025-09-12	oos	0.025755	0.025496	-1.01%	0.02563	-0.49%	0.0097	✓	3.74
2025-09-11	oos	0.024105	0.023843	-1.09%	0.025755	+6.85%	0.0589	✗	3.74
2025-09-10	oos	0.02493	0.024616	-1.26%	0.024105	-3.31%	0.0723	✓	3.78
2025-09-09	oos	0.02357	0.023395	-0.74%	0.02493	+5.77%	0.0197	✓	3.86
2025-09-08	oos	0.02671	0.026478	-0.87%	0.02357	-11.76%	0.0981	✓	3.91

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.