ATLA

? · · gru_s1

token id: #450
symbol: ATLA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-08-17
predictions: 1,266

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0292

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0059

actual +0.0040

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	116.35	115.9864	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-20	oos	116.7219	116.3165	-0.35%	116.35	-0.32%	0.0008	✓	0.17
2026-10-19	oos	115.1533	114.7818	-0.32%	116.7219	+1.36%	0.0145	✗	0.17
2026-10-18	oos	117.0067	116.5639	-0.38%	115.1533	-1.58%	0.0118	✓	0.17
2026-10-17	oos	116.2617	115.8216	-0.38%	117.0067	+0.64%	0.0089	✗	0.17
2026-10-16	oos	116.6026	116.2073	-0.34%	116.2617	-0.29%	0.0007	✓	0.17
2026-10-15	oos	116.0011	115.6162	-0.33%	116.6026	+0.52%	0.0098	✗	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	116.679	116.2615	-0.36%	116.0011	-0.58%	0.0034	✓	0.17
2026-10-13	oos	117.4309	116.9694	-0.39%	116.679	-0.64%	0.0006	✓	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	115.7178	115.2917	-0.37%	117.4309	+1.48%	0.0157	✗	0.16
2026-10-11	oos	119.1933	118.6811	-0.43%	115.7178	-2.92%	0.0218	✓	0.15
2026-10-10	oos	118.4958	117.973	-0.44%	119.1933	+0.59%	0.0090	✗	0.14
2026-10-09	oos	118.2518	117.7175	-0.45%	118.4958	+0.21%	0.0060	✗	0.14
2026-10-08	oos	118.544	117.9729	-0.48%	118.2518	-0.25%	0.0009	✓	0.14
2026-10-07	oos	115.5679	115.0515	-0.45%	118.544	+2.58%	0.0329	✗	0.16
2026-10-06	oos	115.9719	115.4755	-0.43%	115.5679	-0.35%	0.0052	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	116.27	115.7346	-0.46%	115.9719	-0.26%	0.0024	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	117.0534	116.5142	-0.46%	116.27	-0.67%	0.0007	✓	0.16
2026-10-03	oos	116.522	115.9331	-0.51%	117.0534	+0.46%	0.0063	✗	0.16
2026-10-02	oos	116.2472	115.6623	-0.50%	116.522	+0.24%	0.0070	✗	0.16
2026-10-01	oos	118.5477	117.984	-0.48%	116.2472	-1.94%	0.0142	✓	0.16
2026-09-30	oos	116.9363	116.3822	-0.47%	118.5477	+1.38%	0.0160	✗	0.16
2026-09-29	oos	118.5378	117.945	-0.50%	116.9363	-1.35%	0.0084	✓	0.16
2026-09-28	oos	118.279	117.6352	-0.54%	118.5378	+0.22%	0.0073	✗	0.16
2026-09-27	oos	119.6322	118.9441	-0.58%	118.279	-1.13%	0.0038	✓	0.15
2026-09-26	oos	119.7037	119.1513	-0.46%	119.6322	-0.06%	0.0039	✓	0.15
2026-09-25	oos	119.1593	118.5836	-0.48%	119.7037	+0.46%	0.0088	✗	0.15
2026-09-24	oos	119.5586	118.9455	-0.51%	119.1593	-0.33%	0.0023	✓	0.15
2026-09-23	oos	119.5349	118.943	-0.50%	119.5586	+0.02%	0.0051	✗	0.15
2026-09-22	oos	120.5905	120.0349	-0.46%	119.5349	-0.88%	0.0011	✓	0.15
2026-09-21	oos	122.0118	121.4093	-0.49%	120.5905	-1.16%	0.0061	✓	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	122.0733	121.544	-0.43%	122.0118	-0.05%	0.0056	✓	0.15
2026-09-19	oos	122.1804	121.6449	-0.44%	122.0733	-0.09%	0.0036	✓	0.15
2026-09-18	oos	121.7619	121.2946	-0.38%	122.1804	+0.34%	0.0066	✗	0.15
2026-09-17	oos	119.8243	119.48	-0.29%	121.7619	+1.62%	0.0116	✗	0.13
2026-09-16	oos	119.6282	119.3146	-0.26%	119.8243	+0.16%	0.0039	✗	0.13
2026-09-15	oos	118.9348	118.6866	-0.21%	119.6282	+0.58%	0.0070	✗	0.12
2026-09-14	oos	122.4108	122.1111	-0.24%	118.9348	-2.84%	0.0226	✓	0.11
2026-09-13	oos	121.0485	120.8198	-0.19%	122.4108	+1.13%	0.0114	✗	0.10
2026-09-12	oos	121.6973	121.5026	-0.16%	121.0485	-0.53%	0.0032	✓	0.09
2026-09-11	oos	121.8078	121.6678	-0.11%	121.6973	-0.09%	0.0002	✓	0.09
2026-09-10	oos	122.6452	122.4978	-0.12%	121.8078	-0.68%	0.0065	✓	0.09
2026-09-09	oos	125.4371	125.3242	-0.09%	122.6452	-2.23%	0.0197	✓	0.08
2026-09-08	oos	126.7087	126.6379	-0.06%	125.4371	-1.00%	0.0094	✓	0.06
2026-09-07	oos	127.8053	127.7192	-0.07%	126.7087	-0.86%	0.0074	✓	0.06
2026-09-06	oos	129.8901	129.9287	+0.03%	127.8053	-1.61%	0.0152	✗	0.08
2026-09-05	oos	129.0303	129.136	+0.08%	129.8901	+0.67%	0.0053	✓	0.08
2026-09-04	oos	130.1788	130.3388	+0.12%	129.0303	-0.88%	0.0103	✗	0.09
2026-09-03	oos	132.4877	132.7748	+0.22%	130.1788	-1.74%	0.0182	✗	0.08
2026-09-02	oos	136.2007	136.3108	+0.08%	132.4877	-2.73%	0.0347	✗	0.12
2026-09-01	oos	137.779	137.9025	+0.09%	136.2007	-1.15%	0.0123	✗	0.13
2026-08-31	oos	136.8872	137.0752	+0.14%	137.779	+0.65%	0.0072	✓	0.14
2026-08-30	oos	135.8412	135.9655	+0.09%	136.8872	+0.77%	0.0053	✓	0.13
2026-08-29	oos	137.7388	137.8473	+0.08%	135.8412	-1.38%	0.0138	✗	0.12
2026-08-28	oos	136.563	136.6279	+0.05%	137.7388	+0.86%	0.0075	✓	0.12
2026-08-27	oos	137.6446	137.7676	+0.09%	136.563	-0.79%	0.0049	✗	0.13
2026-08-26	oos	136.7192	136.7617	+0.03%	137.6446	+0.68%	0.0045	✓	0.12
2026-08-25	oos	135.7951	135.7953	+0.00%	136.7192	+0.68%	0.0060	✓	0.12
2026-08-24	oos	138.0338	137.9916	-0.03%	135.7951	-1.62%	0.0154	✓	0.12
2026-08-23	oos	138.5343	138.4238	-0.08%	138.0338	-0.36%	0.0046	✓	0.11
2026-08-22	oos	137.8683	137.7315	-0.10%	138.5343	+0.48%	0.0049	✗	0.11
2026-08-21	oos	138.6534	138.5374	-0.08%	137.8683	-0.57%	0.0031	✓	0.11
2026-08-20	oos	140.2151	139.9435	-0.19%	138.6534	-1.11%	0.0191	✓	0.14
2026-08-19	oos	139.2406	138.9065	-0.24%	140.2151	+0.70%	0.0010	✓	0.16
2026-08-18	oos	139.1964	138.8363	-0.26%	139.2406	+0.03%	0.0094	✓	0.18
2026-08-17	oos	138.781	138.4453	-0.24%	139.1964	+0.30%	0.0048	✗	0.19
2026-08-16	oos	139.7788	139.453	-0.23%	138.781	-0.71%	0.0099	✓	0.20
2026-08-15	oos	140.189	139.8763	-0.22%	139.7788	-0.29%	0.0001	✓	0.19
2026-08-14	oos	146.9445	146.5671	-0.26%	140.189	-4.60%	0.0446	✓	0.22
2026-08-13	oos	151.1525	150.7196	-0.29%	146.9445	-2.78%	0.0238	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	150.0512	149.6416	-0.27%	151.1525	+0.73%	0.0100	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	150.0016	149.5919	-0.27%	150.0512	+0.03%	0.0034	✗	0.18
2026-08-10	oos	150.5222	150.0973	-0.28%	150.0016	-0.35%	0.0006	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	149.8991	149.5035	-0.26%	150.5222	+0.42%	0.0098	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	150.7103	150.3009	-0.27%	149.8991	-0.54%	0.0025	✓	0.20
2026-08-07	oos	150.2681	149.8666	-0.27%	150.7103	+0.29%	0.0056	✗	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	150.2508	149.8616	-0.26%	150.2681	+0.01%	0.0007	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	151.7696	151.3583	-0.27%	150.2508	-1.00%	0.0063	✓	0.20
2026-08-04	oos	151.192	150.7839	-0.27%	151.7696	+0.38%	0.0050	✗	0.18
2026-08-03	oos	151.2501	150.8389	-0.27%	151.192	-0.04%	0.0008	✓	0.17
2026-08-02	oos	152.0657	151.6462	-0.28%	151.2501	-0.54%	0.0025	✓	0.18
2026-08-01	oos	151.7473	151.3282	-0.28%	152.0657	+0.21%	0.0029	✗	0.17
2026-07-31	oos	150.4472	150.0534	-0.26%	151.7473	+0.86%	0.0114	✗	0.17
2026-07-30	oos	151.3602	150.9799	-0.25%	150.4472	-0.60%	0.0015	✓	0.17
2026-07-29	oos	150.5366	150.1698	-0.24%	151.3602	+0.55%	0.0050	✗	0.22
2026-07-28	oos	151.869	151.4906	-0.25%	150.5366	-0.88%	0.0065	✓	0.23
2026-07-27	oos	149.3046	148.9693	-0.22%	151.869	+1.72%	0.0187	✗	0.22
2026-07-26	oos	153.1511	152.7905	-0.24%	149.3046	-2.51%	0.0180	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	151.4572	151.1145	-0.23%	153.1511	+1.12%	0.0104	✗	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	151.2942	150.9536	-0.23%	151.4572	+0.11%	0.0028	✗	0.17
2026-07-23	oos	151.0425	150.7261	-0.21%	151.2942	+0.17%	0.0065	✗	0.18
2026-07-22	oos	152.3194	152.0104	-0.20%	151.0425	-0.84%	0.0035	✓	0.18
2026-07-21	oos	153.2626	152.9514	-0.20%	152.3194	-0.62%	0.0030	✓	0.18
2026-07-20	oos	152.0898	151.779	-0.20%	153.2626	+0.77%	0.0060	✗	0.19
2026-07-19	oos	154.1228	153.779	-0.22%	152.0898	-1.32%	0.0126	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	155.108	154.751	-0.23%	154.1228	-0.64%	0.0037	✓	0.22
2026-07-17	oos	152.9571	152.6098	-0.23%	155.108	+1.41%	0.0131	✗	0.22
2026-07-16	oos	151.6415	151.3071	-0.22%	152.9571	+0.87%	0.0104	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	149.9178	149.6272	-0.19%	151.6415	+1.15%	0.0170	✗	0.25
2026-07-14	oos	153.3422	153.0154	-0.21%	149.9178	-2.23%	0.0195	✓	0.23
2026-07-13	oos	152.7226	152.3945	-0.21%	153.3422	+0.41%	0.0032	✓	0.22
2026-07-12	oos	152.4355	152.1174	-0.21%	152.7226	+0.19%	0.0093	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	152.4016	152.0863	-0.21%	152.4355	+0.02%	0.0024	✗	0.25
2026-07-10	oos	152.366	152.0678	-0.20%	152.4016	+0.02%	0.0037	✗	0.27
2026-07-09	oos	152.3446	152.055	-0.19%	152.366	+0.01%	0.0020	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	151.7781	151.5116	-0.18%	152.3446	+0.37%	0.0015	✓	0.27
2026-07-07	oos	151.5182	151.2707	-0.16%	151.7781	+0.17%	0.0081	✗	0.27
2026-07-06	oos	154.3142	154.0446	-0.17%	151.5182	-1.81%	0.0137	✓	0.27
2026-07-05	oos	154.077	153.8309	-0.16%	154.3142	+0.15%	0.0014	✓	0.27
2026-07-04	oos	154.7202	154.485	-0.15%	154.077	-0.42%	0.0048	✓	0.27
2026-07-03	oos	153.7662	153.5579	-0.14%	154.7202	+0.62%	0.0052	✗	0.26
2026-07-02	oos	152.0462	151.9047	-0.09%	153.7662	+1.13%	0.0079	✗	0.26
2026-07-01	oos	151.6335	151.5557	-0.05%	152.0462	+0.27%	0.0031	✓	0.25
2026-06-30	oos	152.05	152.0287	-0.01%	151.6335	-0.27%	0.0086	✓	0.25
2026-06-29	oos	152.0878	152.0382	-0.03%	152.05	-0.02%	0.0072	✗	0.26
2026-06-28	oos	151.5607	151.5512	-0.01%	152.0878	+0.35%	0.0005	✗	0.26
2026-06-27	oos	152.1466	152.1387	-0.01%	151.5607	-0.39%	0.0017	✓	0.27
2026-06-26	oos	154.0792	154.0609	-0.01%	152.1466	-1.25%	0.0122	✓	0.27
2026-06-25	oos	152.199	152.228	+0.02%	154.0792	+1.24%	0.0108	✓	0.27
2026-06-24	oos	152.274	152.2778	+0.00%	152.199	-0.05%	0.0050	✓	0.26
2026-06-23	oos	152.4131	152.3859	-0.02%	152.274	-0.09%	0.0062	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	152.288	152.2518	-0.02%	152.4131	+0.08%	0.0065	✗	0.27
2026-06-21	oos	152.065	152.0584	-0.00%	152.288	+0.15%	0.0014	✓	0.26
2026-06-20	oos	152.8393	152.8173	-0.01%	152.065	-0.51%	0.0011	✓	0.24
2026-06-19	oos	153.6905	153.6835	-0.00%	152.8393	-0.55%	0.0083	✓	0.24
2026-06-18	oos	154.2555	154.2681	+0.01%	153.6905	-0.37%	0.0058	✗	0.22
2026-06-17	oos	155.0079	154.9813	-0.02%	154.2555	-0.49%	0.0009	✗	0.23
2026-06-16	oos	158.1635	158.0836	-0.05%	155.0079	-2.00%	0.0155	✓	0.23
2026-06-15	oos	155.3014	155.258	-0.03%	158.1635	+1.84%	0.0206	✗	0.21
2026-06-14	oos	160.2353	160.1439	-0.06%	155.3014	-3.08%	0.0326	✓	0.22
2026-06-13	oos	159.8021	159.7442	-0.04%	160.2353	+0.27%	0.0015	✓	0.23
2026-06-12	oos	159.9919	159.966	-0.02%	159.8021	-0.12%	0.0043	✓	0.23
2026-06-11	oos	166.0988	165.9893	-0.07%	159.9919	-3.68%	0.0367	✓	0.23
2026-06-10	oos	169.7934	169.6916	-0.06%	166.0988	-2.18%	0.0300	✓	0.25
2026-06-09	oos	174.6371	174.4121	-0.13%	169.7934	-2.77%	0.0258	✓	0.26
2026-06-08	oos	180.7511	180.386	-0.20%	174.6371	-3.38%	0.0266	✓	0.26
2026-06-07	oos	183.1239	182.6974	-0.23%	180.7511	-1.30%	0.0095	✓	0.31
2026-06-06	oos	182.4621	182.2425	-0.12%	183.1239	+0.36%	0.0051	✓	0.25
2026-06-05	oos	185.492	185.2722	-0.12%	182.4621	-1.63%	0.0146	✓	0.23
2026-06-04	oos	187.7511	187.3925	-0.19%	185.492	-1.20%	0.0001	✓	0.23
2026-06-03	oos	193.7013	193.2802	-0.22%	187.7511	-3.07%	0.0283	✓	0.20
2026-06-02	oos	196.8275	196.3023	-0.27%	193.7013	-1.59%	0.0075	✓	0.15
2026-06-01	oos	198.3972	197.7628	-0.32%	196.8275	-0.79%	0.0117	✗	0.24
2026-05-31	oos	199.2405	198.6009	-0.32%	198.3972	-0.42%	0.0067	✗	0.25
2026-05-30	oos	202.775	202.127	-0.32%	199.2405	-1.74%	0.0128	✓	0.59
2026-05-29	oos	200.2331	199.6622	-0.29%	202.775	+1.27%	0.0127	✗	0.51
2026-05-28	oos	204.5351	203.938	-0.29%	200.2331	-2.10%	0.0173	✓	0.52
2026-05-27	oos	206.7726	206.1437	-0.30%	204.5351	-1.08%	0.0047	✓	0.29
2026-05-26	oos	205.4656	204.8034	-0.32%	206.7726	+0.64%	0.0104	✗	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	203.8498	203.2311	-0.30%	205.4656	+0.79%	0.0204	✗	0.51
2026-05-24	oos	201.751	201.1545	-0.30%	203.8498	+1.04%	0.0115	✗	0.51
2026-05-23	oos	203.1663	202.5836	-0.29%	201.751	-0.70%	0.0063	✓	0.52
2026-05-22	oos	202.7993	202.2803	-0.26%	203.1663	+0.18%	0.0042	✓	0.54
2026-05-21	oos	211.6062	210.9127	-0.33%	202.7993	-4.16%	0.0254	✓	0.50
2026-05-20	oos	208.2707	207.6371	-0.30%	211.6062	+1.60%	0.0185	✗	0.50
2026-05-19	oos	202.8908	202.3376	-0.27%	208.2707	+2.65%	0.0243	✗	0.50
2026-05-18	oos	204.5183	203.9357	-0.28%	202.8908	-0.80%	0.0040	✓	0.52
2026-05-17	oos	200.68	200.2024	-0.24%	204.5183	+1.91%	0.0245	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	222.4611	221.677	-0.35%	200.68	-9.79%	0.0950	✓	0.50
2026-05-15	oos	221.8012	221.0696	-0.33%	222.4611	+0.30%	0.0125	✗	0.51
2026-05-14	oos	222.2199	221.5414	-0.31%	221.8012	-0.19%	0.0139	✗	0.51
2026-05-13	oos	228.3821	227.5871	-0.35%	222.2199	-2.70%	0.0351	✓	0.50
2026-05-12	oos	247.5702	246.5178	-0.43%	228.3821	-7.75%	0.0695	✓	0.46
2026-05-11	oos	240.5782	239.7022	-0.36%	247.5702	+2.91%	0.0396	✗	0.47
2026-05-10	oos	244.2902	243.374	-0.38%	240.5782	-1.52%	0.0087	✓	0.49
2026-05-09	oos	243.2573	242.3479	-0.37%	244.2902	+0.42%	0.0015	✓	0.50
2026-05-08	oos	245.6895	244.752	-0.38%	243.2573	-0.99%	0.0090	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	260.8894	259.7255	-0.45%	245.6895	-5.83%	0.0567	✓	0.50
2026-05-06	oos	255.1516	254.1705	-0.38%	260.8894	+2.25%	0.0348	✗	0.49
2026-05-05	oos	264.0396	262.8595	-0.45%	255.1516	-3.37%	0.0333	✓	0.54
2026-05-04	oos	259.6586	258.4905	-0.45%	264.0396	+1.69%	0.0140	✗	0.55
2026-05-03	oos	262.6737	261.3196	-0.52%	259.6586	-1.15%	0.0156	✓	0.56
2026-05-02	oos	262.4384	261.0617	-0.52%	262.6737	+0.09%	0.0070	✗	0.56
2026-05-01	oos	265.3872	263.8348	-0.58%	262.4384	-1.11%	0.0086	✓	0.58
2026-04-30	oos	249.8432	248.1992	-0.66%	265.3872	+6.22%	0.0532	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	246.8498	245.1308	-0.70%	249.8432	+1.21%	0.0150	✗	0.55
2026-04-28	oos	244.3125	242.5499	-0.72%	246.8498	+1.04%	0.0216	✗	0.54
2026-04-27	oos	239.4538	237.7701	-0.70%	244.3125	+2.03%	0.0345	✗	0.54
2026-04-26	oos	240.4076	238.8576	-0.64%	239.4538	-0.40%	0.0113	✗	0.52
2026-04-25	oos	246.8195	245.1751	-0.67%	240.4076	-2.60%	0.0266	✓	0.53
2026-04-24	oos	239.3317	237.5209	-0.76%	246.8195	+3.13%	0.0371	✗	0.55
2026-04-23	oos	240.4245	238.501	-0.80%	239.3317	-0.45%	0.0093	✗	0.55
2026-04-22	oos	242.0296	240.003	-0.84%	240.4245	-0.66%	0.0012	✓	0.55
2026-04-21	oos	239.428	237.3898	-0.85%	242.0296	+1.09%	0.0059	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	241.0308	238.8933	-0.89%	239.428	-0.66%	0.0013	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	233.5885	231.5899	-0.86%	241.0308	+3.19%	0.0235	✗	0.60
2026-04-18	oos	239.4263	237.3322	-0.87%	233.5885	-2.44%	0.0007	✓	0.60
2026-04-17	oos	241.1719	239.1056	-0.86%	239.4263	-0.72%	0.0120	✗	0.60
2026-04-16	oos	235.6184	233.7478	-0.79%	241.1719	+2.36%	0.0159	✗	0.60
2026-04-15	oos	262.677	260.4907	-0.83%	235.6184	-10.30%	0.1030	✓	0.62
2026-04-14	oos	268.7346	266.5615	-0.81%	262.677	-2.25%	0.0202	✓	0.63
2026-04-13	oos	275.3103	272.8627	-0.89%	268.7346	-2.39%	0.0130	✓	0.62
2026-04-12	oos	269.944	267.2054	-1.01%	275.3103	+1.99%	0.0030	✓	0.65
2026-04-11	oos	280.1861	277.4619	-0.97%	269.944	-3.66%	0.0071	✓	0.63
2026-04-10	oos	283.65	280.5569	-1.09%	280.1861	-1.22%	0.0021	✓	0.63
2026-04-09	oos	285.12	281.9929	-1.10%	283.65	-0.52%	0.0047	✓	0.64
2026-04-08	oos	287.4921	284.4928	-1.04%	285.12	-0.83%	0.0042	✓	0.64
2026-04-07	oos	288.3202	285.2493	-1.07%	287.4921	-0.29%	0.0152	✗	0.64
2026-04-06	oos	285.8666	282.7754	-1.08%	288.3202	+0.86%	0.0102	✓	0.68
2026-04-05	oos	292.2391	288.8423	-1.16%	285.8666	-2.18%	0.0089	✓	0.68
2026-04-04	oos	296.5	292.8102	-1.24%	292.2391	-1.44%	0.0191	✓	0.68
2026-04-03	oos	289.5533	286.1068	-1.19%	296.5	+2.40%	0.0323	✗	0.68
2026-04-02	oos	291.033	287.4787	-1.22%	289.5533	-0.51%	0.0065	✓	0.68
2026-04-01	oos	290.5238	286.8147	-1.28%	291.033	+0.18%	0.0268	✗	0.67
2026-03-31	oos	288.4871	284.8132	-1.27%	290.5238	+0.71%	0.0209	✗	0.67
2026-03-30	oos	285.5425	281.9314	-1.26%	288.4871	+1.03%	0.0079	✓	0.69
2026-03-29	oos	282.4259	278.7248	-1.31%	285.5425	+1.10%	0.0161	✗	0.68
2026-03-28	oos	283.9924	280.0387	-1.39%	282.4259	-0.55%	0.0123	✓	0.69
2026-03-27	oos	286.5556	282.4534	-1.43%	283.9924	-0.89%	0.0058	✓	0.69
2026-03-26	oos	286.9869	282.8214	-1.45%	286.5556	-0.15%	0.0375	✗	0.68
2026-03-25	oos	288.6543	284.2161	-1.54%	286.9869	-0.58%	0.0342	✗	0.68
2026-03-24	oos	289.4908	284.8302	-1.61%	288.6543	-0.29%	0.0059	✓	0.69
2026-03-23	oos	285.2288	280.5612	-1.64%	289.4908	+1.49%	0.0346	✗	0.68
2026-03-22	oos	288.3836	283.4223	-1.72%	285.2288	-1.09%	0.0253	✓	0.73
2026-03-21	oos	285.2849	280.2591	-1.76%	288.3836	+1.09%	0.0399	✗	0.72
2026-03-20	oos	281.6591	276.5507	-1.81%	285.2849	+1.29%	0.0475	✗	0.72
2026-03-19	oos	283.0578	277.9328	-1.81%	281.6591	-0.49%	0.0073	✓	0.72
2026-03-18	oos	292.3958	285.9332	-2.21%	283.0578	-3.19%	0.0031	✓	0.70
2026-03-17	oos	287.8671	281.1183	-2.34%	292.3958	+1.57%	0.0661	✗	0.72
2026-03-16	oos	293.0667	286.1379	-2.36%	287.8671	-1.77%	0.0144	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	287.8375	279.9719	-2.73%	293.0667	+1.82%	0.0274	✓	0.66
2026-03-14	oos	286.9874	278.7407	-2.87%	287.8375	+0.30%	0.0170	✓	0.68
2026-03-13	oos	287.1263	277.717	-3.28%	286.9874	-0.05%	0.0300	✓	0.70
2026-03-12	oos	291.2892	279.963	-3.89%	287.1263	-1.43%	0.0212	✓	0.70
2026-03-11	oos	274.2802	263.2484	-4.02%	291.2892	+6.20%	0.0981	✗	0.68
2026-03-10	oos	250.1096	239.8079	-4.12%	274.2802	+9.66%	0.1320	✗	0.66
2026-03-09	oos	229.7689	220.6594	-3.96%	250.1096	+8.85%	0.1109	✗	0.65
2026-03-08	oos	243.7696	233.3596	-4.27%	229.7689	-5.74%	0.0413	✓	0.70
2026-03-07	oos	234.8456	224.3514	-4.47%	243.7696	+3.80%	0.0966	✗	0.70
2026-03-06	oos	235.0381	224.2355	-4.60%	234.8456	-0.08%	0.0549	✗	0.69
2026-03-05	oos	233.0921	220.5458	-5.38%	235.0381	+0.83%	0.0914	✗	0.69
2026-03-04	oos	217.4655	205.9359	-5.30%	233.0921	+7.19%	0.1421	✗	0.73
2026-03-03	oos	204.6076	193.6964	-5.33%	217.4655	+6.28%	0.0696	✗	0.75
2026-03-02	oos	205.5447	192.8077	-6.20%	204.6076	-0.46%	0.0649	✗	0.76
2026-03-01	oos	153.2768	144.2835	-5.87%	205.5447	+34.10%	0.3253	✗	0.63
2026-02-28	oos	133.8969	126.6387	-5.42%	153.2768	+14.47%	0.2033	✗	0.69
2026-02-27	oos	130.9839	122.9272	-6.15%	133.8969	+2.22%	0.0739	✗	0.69
2026-02-26	oos	95.535	89.2095	-6.62%	130.9839	+37.11%	0.4031	✗	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	32.0054	31.5407	-1.45%	95.535	+198.50%	1.1144	✗	0.84
2026-02-24	oos	22.4332	22.3779	-0.25%	32.0054	+42.67%	0.3238	✗	0.57
2026-02-23	oos	22.132	22.0823	-0.22%	22.4332	+1.36%	0.0207	✗	0.57
2026-02-22	oos	22.2461	22.1908	-0.25%	22.132	-0.51%	0.0239	✗	0.59
2026-02-21	oos	22.9018	22.8333	-0.30%	22.2461	-2.86%	0.0231	✓	0.59
2026-02-20	oos	22.7649	22.697	-0.30%	22.9018	+0.60%	0.0092	✗	0.59
2026-02-19	oos	22.1787	22.1292	-0.22%	22.7649	+2.64%	0.0196	✗	0.58
2026-02-18	oos	21.7848	21.7488	-0.17%	22.1787	+1.81%	0.0147	✗	0.59
2026-02-17	oos	22.3419	22.2963	-0.20%	21.7848	-2.49%	0.0146	✓	0.55
2026-02-16	oos	22.6204	22.5679	-0.23%	22.3419	-1.23%	0.0017	✓	0.58
2026-02-15	oos	22.5257	22.4746	-0.23%	22.6204	+0.42%	0.0059	✗	0.57
2026-02-14	oos	23.3204	23.251	-0.30%	22.5257	-3.41%	0.0237	✓	0.55
2026-02-13	oos	22.5	22.45	-0.22%	23.3204	+3.65%	0.0303	✗	0.55
2026-02-12	oos	22.3803	22.3427	-0.17%	22.5	+0.53%	0.0139	✓	0.54
2026-02-11	oos	21.9658	21.9348	-0.14%	22.3803	+1.89%	0.0280	✗	0.64
2026-02-10	oos	21.9054	21.8725	-0.15%	21.9658	+0.28%	0.0213	✗	0.65
2026-02-09	oos	22.4283	22.3862	-0.19%	21.9054	-2.33%	0.0096	✓	0.65
2026-02-08	oos	22.1734	22.1381	-0.16%	22.4283	+1.15%	0.0147	✗	0.66
2026-02-07	oos	22.3773	22.3461	-0.14%	22.1734	-0.91%	0.0177	✓	0.67
2026-02-06	oos	22.299	22.2624	-0.16%	22.3773	+0.35%	0.0175	✗	0.67
2026-02-05	oos	20.5777	20.6231	+0.22%	22.299	+8.36%	0.0017	✓	0.66
2026-02-04	oos	22.0357	22.0041	-0.14%	20.5777	-6.62%	0.0517	✗	0.79
2026-02-03	oos	22.5834	22.5276	-0.25%	22.0357	-2.43%	0.0069	✗	0.81
2026-02-02	oos	22.4885	22.4217	-0.30%	22.5834	+0.42%	0.0353	✗	0.72
2026-02-01	oos	21.5711	21.5369	-0.16%	22.4885	+4.25%	0.0284	✗	0.65
2026-01-31	oos	22.5394	22.4729	-0.30%	21.5711	-4.30%	0.0255	✓	0.68
2026-01-30	oos	22.1003	22.0224	-0.35%	22.5394	+1.99%	0.0776	✗	0.81
2026-01-29	oos	20.9116	20.868	-0.21%	22.1003	+5.68%	0.0613	✗	0.81
2026-01-28	oos	20.4224	20.3834	-0.19%	20.9116	+2.40%	0.0752	✗	0.93
2026-01-27	oos	20.2232	20.1878	-0.18%	20.4224	+0.99%	0.0111	✗	0.93
2026-01-26	oos	21.3303	21.2787	-0.24%	20.2232	-5.19%	0.0598	✓	0.91
2026-01-25	oos	20.5804	20.5465	-0.16%	21.3303	+3.64%	0.0202	✗	0.89
2026-01-24	oos	21.7946	21.7421	-0.24%	20.5804	-5.57%	0.0297	✓	0.88
2026-01-23	oos	21.8302	21.7808	-0.23%	21.7946	-0.16%	0.0045	✗	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	21.8837	21.8339	-0.23%	21.8302	-0.24%	0.0003	✓	0.87
2026-01-21	oos	22.1339	22.08	-0.24%	21.8837	-1.13%	0.0099	✓	0.88
2026-01-20	oos	21.6518	21.6085	-0.20%	22.1339	+2.23%	0.0137	✗	0.87
2026-01-19	oos	23.4273	23.3624	-0.28%	21.6518	-7.58%	0.0371	✓	0.83
2026-01-18	oos	23.2421	23.1859	-0.24%	23.4273	+0.80%	0.0200	✗	0.84
2026-01-17	oos	23.9459	23.8813	-0.27%	23.2421	-2.94%	0.0139	✓	0.85
2026-01-16	oos	23.9111	23.8478	-0.26%	23.9459	+0.15%	0.0076	✗	0.86
2026-01-15	oos	24.0331	23.9678	-0.27%	23.9111	-0.51%	0.0016	✓	0.86
2026-01-14	oos	24.5732	24.502	-0.29%	24.0331	-2.20%	0.0071	✓	0.86
2026-01-13	oos	24.7011	24.6169	-0.34%	24.5732	-0.52%	0.0120	✓	0.63
2026-01-12	oos	23.1593	23.0925	-0.29%	24.7011	+6.66%	0.0415	✗	0.58
2026-01-11	oos	23.9192	23.8438	-0.32%	23.1593	-3.18%	0.0311	✓	0.58
2026-01-10	oos	23.8134	23.7386	-0.31%	23.9192	+0.44%	0.0044	✗	0.58
2026-01-09	oos	23.8132	23.7436	-0.29%	23.8134	+0.00%	0.0039	✗	0.60
2026-01-08	oos	24.1148	24.0434	-0.30%	23.8132	-1.25%	0.0063	✓	0.59
2026-01-07	oos	24.5347	24.4629	-0.29%	24.1148	-1.71%	0.0128	✓	0.55
2026-01-06	oos	25.6867	25.6047	-0.32%	24.5347	-4.48%	0.0285	✓	0.54
2026-01-05	oos	25.467	25.3901	-0.30%	25.6867	+0.86%	0.0125	✗	0.55
2026-01-04	oos	25.957	25.8663	-0.35%	25.467	-1.89%	0.0305	✓	0.58
2026-01-03	oos	25.5897	25.5025	-0.34%	25.957	+1.44%	0.0118	✗	0.59
2026-01-02	oos	25.667	25.5735	-0.36%	25.5897	-0.30%	0.0038	✓	0.62
2026-01-01	oos	24.5707	24.4947	-0.31%	25.667	+4.46%	0.0385	✗	0.60
2025-12-31	oos	23.7913	23.7272	-0.27%	24.5707	+3.28%	0.0267	✗	0.58
2025-12-30	oos	24.2007	24.1314	-0.29%	23.7913	-1.69%	0.0083	✓	0.58
2025-12-29	oos	23.9863	23.9191	-0.28%	24.2007	+0.89%	0.0030	✗	0.59
2025-12-28	oos	24.3566	24.2869	-0.29%	23.9863	-1.52%	0.0073	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	24.3761	24.3063	-0.29%	24.3566	-0.08%	0.0016	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	23.7524	23.6939	-0.25%	24.3761	+2.63%	0.0250	✗	0.58
2025-12-25	oos	23.5185	23.4686	-0.21%	23.7524	+0.99%	0.0112	✗	0.58
2025-12-24	oos	26.0062	25.9261	-0.31%	23.5185	-9.57%	0.0945	✓	0.58
2025-12-23	oos	26.8291	26.7346	-0.35%	26.0062	-3.07%	0.0288	✓	0.58
2025-12-22	oos	26.8696	26.7746	-0.35%	26.8291	-0.15%	0.0096	✗	0.59
2025-12-21	oos	26.5705	26.4843	-0.32%	26.8696	+1.13%	0.0150	✗	0.58
2025-12-20	oos	26.8269	26.7327	-0.35%	26.5705	-0.96%	0.0080	✓	0.54
2025-12-19	oos	26.7768	26.674	-0.38%	26.8269	+0.19%	0.0043	✗	0.54
2025-12-18	oos	26.2886	26.1887	-0.38%	26.7768	+1.86%	0.0065	✗	0.52
2025-12-17	oos	29.9878	29.6563	-1.11%	26.2886	-12.34%	0.1162	✓	0.50
2025-12-16	oos	21.8866	21.8279	-0.27%	29.9878	+37.01%	0.3291	✗	0.61
2025-12-15	oos	21.6415	21.5948	-0.22%	21.8866	+1.13%	0.0034	✗	0.61
2025-12-14	oos	22.2734	22.2161	-0.26%	21.6415	-2.84%	0.0143	✓	0.59
2025-12-13	oos	23.0332	22.9613	-0.31%	22.2734	-3.30%	0.0167	✓	0.59
2025-12-12	oos	23.8373	23.7454	-0.39%	23.0332	-3.37%	0.0303	✓	0.59
2025-12-11	oos	21.8244	21.7673	-0.26%	23.8373	+9.22%	0.1068	✗	0.64
2025-12-10	oos	22.8815	22.8142	-0.29%	21.8244	-4.62%	0.0479	✓	0.65
2025-12-09	oos	23.3848	23.309	-0.32%	22.8815	-2.15%	0.0135	✓	0.70
2025-12-08	oos	22.6316	22.5775	-0.24%	23.3848	+3.33%	0.0198	✗	0.69
2025-12-07	oos	23.2849	23.2296	-0.24%	22.6316	-2.81%	0.0280	✓	0.69
2025-12-06	oos	23.7457	23.6949	-0.21%	23.2849	-1.94%	0.0263	✓	0.70
2025-12-05	oos	23.319	23.281	-0.16%	23.7457	+1.83%	0.0204	✗	0.70
2025-12-04	oos	24.4511	24.3878	-0.26%	23.319	-4.63%	0.0241	✓	0.68
2025-12-03	oos	25.408	25.3187	-0.35%	24.4511	-3.77%	0.0250	✓	0.67
2025-12-02	oos	23.6644	23.6116	-0.22%	25.408	+7.37%	0.0585	✗	0.64
2025-12-01	oos	21.5241	21.5441	+0.09%	23.6644	+9.94%	0.0628	✓	0.55
2025-11-30	oos	23.1575	23.137	-0.09%	21.5241	-7.05%	0.0490	✓	0.50
2025-11-29	oos	23.481	23.4626	-0.08%	23.1575	-1.38%	0.0100	✓	0.60
2025-11-28	oos	23.7343	23.7236	-0.05%	23.481	-1.07%	0.0098	✓	0.61
2025-11-27	oos	24.1139	24.1047	-0.04%	23.7343	-1.57%	0.0127	✓	0.60
2025-11-26	oos	24.3308	24.3368	+0.02%	24.1139	-0.89%	0.0150	✗	0.62
2025-11-25	oos	23.7477	23.8046	+0.24%	24.3308	+2.46%	0.0004	✓	0.61
2025-11-24	oos	23.9648	24.0272	+0.26%	23.7477	-0.91%	0.0052	✗	0.61
2025-11-23	oos	23.7215	23.8158	+0.40%	23.9648	+1.03%	0.0062	✗	0.75
2025-11-22	oos	23.2791	23.414	+0.58%	23.7215	+1.90%	0.0028	✓	0.64
2025-11-21	oos	23.1645	23.3188	+0.67%	23.2791	+0.49%	0.0012	✓	0.64
2025-11-20	oos	23.9538	24.1111	+0.66%	23.1645	-3.30%	0.0292	✗	0.63
2025-11-19	oos	23.5218	23.6708	+0.63%	23.9538	+1.84%	0.0480	✓	0.65
2025-11-18	oos	28.4432	28.5372	+0.33%	23.5218	-17.30%	0.1845	✗	0.55
2025-11-17	oos	30.6551	30.7378	+0.27%	28.4432	-7.22%	0.0827	✗	0.59
2025-11-16	oos	30.1868	30.2804	+0.31%	30.6551	+1.55%	0.0236	✓	0.50
2025-11-15	oos	30.8623	30.9524	+0.29%	30.1868	-2.19%	0.0183	✗	0.47
2025-11-14	oos	33.0263	33.1046	+0.24%	30.8623	-6.55%	0.0757	✗	0.51
2025-11-13	oos	39.8493	39.7713	-0.20%	33.0263	-17.12%	0.1731	✓	0.24
2025-11-12	oos	40.1724	40.0865	-0.21%	39.8493	-0.80%	0.0013	✓	0.23
2025-11-11	oos	40.3298	40.2589	-0.18%	40.1724	-0.39%	0.0009	✓	0.22
2025-11-10	oos	43.3289	43.1892	-0.32%	40.3298	-6.92%	0.0641	✓	0.16
2025-11-09	oos	42.2415	42.1492	-0.22%	43.3289	+2.57%	0.0257	✗	0.15
2025-11-08	oos	42.1604	42.086	-0.18%	42.2415	+0.19%	0.0003	✓	0.17
2025-11-07	oos	43.038	42.9468	-0.21%	42.1604	-2.04%	0.0169	✓	0.16
2025-11-06	oos	42.0086	41.9599	-0.12%	43.038	+2.45%	0.0223	✗	0.16
2025-11-05	oos	44.1646	44.0768	-0.20%	42.0086	-4.88%	0.0453	✓	0.11
2025-11-04	oos	52.6475	52.4242	-0.42%	44.1646	-16.11%	0.1778	✓	0.27
2025-11-03	oos	52.3884	52.1665	-0.42%	52.6475	+0.49%	0.0222	✗	0.27
2025-11-02	oos	57.15	56.8475	-0.53%	52.3884	-8.33%	0.0768	✓	0.13
2025-11-01	oos	55.4853	55.2144	-0.49%	57.15	+3.00%	0.0339	✗	0.13
2025-10-31	oos	55.7768	55.4947	-0.51%	55.4853	-0.52%	0.0008	✓	0.14
2025-10-30	oos	54.3527	54.1046	-0.46%	55.7768	+2.62%	0.0289	✗	0.14
2025-10-29	oos	55.7967	55.5009	-0.53%	54.3527	-2.59%	0.0192	✓	0.11
2025-10-28	oos	54.3445	54.0779	-0.49%	55.7967	+2.67%	0.0343	✗	0.12
2025-10-27	oos	55.5335	55.2415	-0.53%	54.3445	-2.14%	0.0153	✓	0.10
2025-10-26	oos	57.5933	57.221	-0.65%	55.5335	-3.58%	0.0296	✓	0.09
2025-10-25	oos	57.1906	56.8328	-0.63%	57.5933	+0.70%	0.0104	✗	0.11
2025-10-24	oos	57.1726	56.8172	-0.62%	57.1906	+0.03%	0.0059	✓	0.12
2025-10-23	oos	56.9443	56.5772	-0.64%	57.1726	+0.40%	0.0094	✗	0.13
2025-10-22	oos	56.2255	55.8501	-0.67%	56.9443	+1.28%	0.0160	✗	0.14
2025-10-21	oos	56.035	55.6327	-0.72%	56.2255	+0.34%	0.0116	✗	0.14
2025-10-20	oos	57.4	56.8946	-0.88%	56.035	-2.38%	0.0132	✓	0.10
2025-10-19	oos	55.5789	55.1265	-0.81%	57.4	+3.28%	0.0387	✗	0.10
2025-10-18	oos	54.0674	53.6421	-0.79%	55.5789	+2.80%	0.0341	✗	0.10
2025-10-17	oos	54.232	53.7692	-0.85%	54.0674	-0.30%	0.0048	✓	0.11
2025-10-16	oos	55.8495	54.722	-2.02%	54.232	-2.90%	0.0078	✓	0.08
2025-10-15	oos	38.7231	38.5412	-0.47%	55.8495	+44.23%	0.3809	✗	0.42
2025-10-14	oos	39.6162	39.4152	-0.51%	38.7231	-2.25%	0.0099	✓	0.38
2025-10-13	oos	40.1722	39.9471	-0.56%	39.6162	-1.38%	0.0014	✓	0.36
2025-10-12	oos	39.6347	39.4197	-0.54%	40.1722	+1.36%	0.0183	✗	0.36
2025-10-11	oos	38.3818	38.198	-0.48%	39.6347	+3.26%	0.0228	✗	0.37
2025-10-10	oos	38.5326	38.3339	-0.52%	38.3818	-0.39%	0.0082	✗	0.35
2025-10-09	oos	39.5594	39.3464	-0.54%	38.5326	-2.60%	0.0052	✓	0.21
2025-10-08	oos	40.0443	39.826	-0.55%	39.5594	-1.21%	0.0044	✓	0.17
2025-10-07	oos	38.6379	38.4378	-0.52%	40.0443	+3.64%	0.0383	✗	0.17
2025-10-06	oos	40.0257	39.7614	-0.66%	38.6379	-3.47%	0.0275	✓	0.04
2025-10-05	oos	38.1369	37.8793	-0.68%	40.0257	+4.95%	0.0548	✗	0.03
2025-10-04	oos	34.6692	34.487	-0.53%	38.1369	+10.00%	0.1007	✗	-0.01
2025-10-03	oos	35.2035	35.0141	-0.54%	34.6692	-1.52%	0.0099	✓	-0.01
2025-10-02	oos	35.7534	35.5477	-0.58%	35.2035	-1.54%	0.0103	✓	0.04
2025-10-01	oos	35.9315	35.7069	-0.62%	35.7534	-0.50%	0.0000	✓	0.08
2025-09-30	oos	34.53	34.3219	-0.60%	35.9315	+4.06%	0.0436	✗	0.06
2025-09-29	oos	35.227	35.0084	-0.62%	34.53	-1.98%	0.0136	✓	0.05
2025-09-28	oos	35.3014	35.0743	-0.64%	35.227	-0.21%	0.0022	✓	0.11
2025-09-27	oos	34.9165	34.7019	-0.61%	35.3014	+1.10%	0.0133	✗	0.17
2025-09-26	oos	35.3441	35.1005	-0.69%	34.9165	-1.21%	0.0052	✓	0.18
2025-09-25	oos	34.0119	33.7959	-0.64%	35.3441	+3.92%	0.0437	✗	0.17
2025-09-24	oos	34.679	34.4346	-0.70%	34.0119	-1.92%	0.0135	✓	-0.03
2025-09-23	oos	34.2595	33.9785	-0.82%	34.679	+1.22%	0.0204	✗	0.00
2025-09-22	oos	32.1767	31.9267	-0.78%	34.2595	+6.47%	0.0707	✗	0.02
2025-09-21	oos	29.8116	29.5594	-0.85%	32.1767	+7.93%	0.0879	✗	0.14
2025-09-20	oos	24.5372	24.4191	-0.48%	29.8116	+21.50%	0.2004	✗	0.21
2025-09-19	oos	31.4257	31.1837	-0.77%	24.5372	-21.92%	0.2398	✓	0.25
2025-09-18	oos	30.3499	30.1393	-0.69%	31.4257	+3.54%	0.0449	✗	0.25
2025-09-17	oos	30.069	29.8554	-0.71%	30.3499	+0.93%	0.0150	✗	0.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.