ARX

Arcium · Solana · gru_s1

token id: #310
symbol: ARX
variant: –
chain: Solana
address: ARXwZkNAtzPfdcoqQiduJn8EPv9fKiDfGn2KyggyDrFs
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-22
predictions: 342

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 114 predictions shown

direction hit

64.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3397

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0930

actual +0.0950

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.2378	0.210528	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-21	oos	0.2364	0.210642	-10.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-10-20	oos	0.23045	0.207696	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-19	oos	0.22725	0.207007	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-18	oos	0.23265	0.211535	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-17	oos	0.23705	0.215103	-9.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-16	oos	0.23935	0.216783	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-10-15	oos	0.2303	0.209899	-8.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-14	oos	0.2421	0.218663	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-13	oos	0.25125	0.224549	-10.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.2508	0.22388	-10.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-11	oos	0.2821	0.247457	-12.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.2784	0.245114	-11.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-09	oos	0.25605	0.227493	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.26245	0.232359	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-07	oos	0.27185	0.239221	-12.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.27005	0.237793	-11.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-05	oos	0.2923	0.255605	-12.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.2751	0.241864	-12.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.2819	0.246689	-12.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.2895	0.252309	-12.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-01	oos	0.284	0.247454	-12.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.2786	0.242226	-13.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-29	oos	0.27045	0.235254	-13.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.25885	0.22515	-13.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.2513	0.218571	-13.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-26	oos	0.2266	0.198552	-12.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.58
2026-09-25	oos	0.2494	0.216171	-13.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-24	oos	0.2518	0.217752	-13.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.2311	0.201105	-12.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.2222	0.194541	-12.45%	0.2378	+7.02%	0.2164	✗	0.67
2026-09-21	oos	0.20055	0.177201	-11.64%	0.2364	+17.88%	0.3132	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.19665	0.172586	-12.24%	0.23045	+17.19%	0.2719	✗	0.80
2026-09-19	oos	0.19445	0.170632	-12.25%	0.22725	+16.87%	0.2806	✗	0.80
2026-09-18	oos	0.1914	0.168149	-12.15%	0.23265	+21.55%	0.3136	✗	0.80
2026-09-17	oos	0.1731	0.155852	-9.96%	0.23705	+36.94%	0.3753	✗	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.1693	0.153527	-9.32%	0.23935	+41.38%	0.3972	✗	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.1623	0.149152	-8.10%	0.2303	+41.90%	0.3779	✗	0.68
2026-09-14	oos	0.16235	0.148831	-8.33%	0.2421	+49.12%	0.4560	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.15375	0.144219	-6.20%	0.25125	+63.41%	0.5005	✗	0.69
2026-09-12	oos	0.15455	0.145618	-5.78%	0.2508	+62.28%	0.5045	✗	0.69
2026-09-11	oos	0.1391	0.135616	-2.50%	0.2821	+102.80%	0.6761	✗	0.70
2026-09-10	oos	0.13475	0.133931	-0.61%	0.2784	+106.60%	0.6763	✗	0.69
2026-09-09	oos	0.1473	0.143665	-2.47%	0.25605	+73.83%	0.5439	✗	0.64
2026-09-08	oos	0.1524	0.148412	-2.62%	0.26245	+72.21%	0.5442	✗	0.64
2026-09-07	oos	0.14595	0.144608	-0.92%	0.27185	+86.26%	0.5973	✗	0.66
2026-09-06	oos	0.1413	0.141816	+0.37%	0.27005	+91.12%	0.6006	✓	0.69
2026-09-05	oos	0.1321	0.134353	+1.71%	0.2923	+121.27%	0.7284	✓	0.68
2026-09-04	oos	0.1363	0.139959	+2.68%	0.2751	+101.83%	0.6195	✓	0.68
2026-09-03	oos	0.129	0.133385	+3.40%	0.2819	+118.53%	0.7169	✓	0.75
2026-09-02	oos	0.1263	0.127366	+0.84%	0.2895	+129.22%	0.7541	✓	0.75
2026-09-01	oos	0.1232	0.123925	+0.59%	0.284	+130.52%	0.7596	✓	0.76
2026-08-31	oos	0.12885	0.132405	+2.76%	0.2786	+116.22%	0.6980	✓	0.75
2026-08-30	oos	0.11945	0.119178	-0.23%	0.27045	+126.41%	0.7662	✗	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.12315	0.124146	+0.81%	0.25885	+110.19%	0.6886	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.1217	0.122292	+0.49%	0.2513	+106.49%	0.6620	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.132	0.138626	+5.02%	0.2266	+71.67%	0.4586	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.1292	0.133061	+2.99%	0.2494	+93.03%	0.5885	✓	0.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.13065	0.132759	+1.61%	0.2518	+92.73%	0.5941	✓	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.13355	0.138452	+3.67%	0.2311	+73.04%	0.4701	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	0.1465	0.149725	+2.20%	0.2222	+51.67%	0.3240	✓	0.68
2026-08-22	oos	0.1243	0.124829	+0.43%	0.20055	+61.34%	0.3989	✓	0.64
2026-08-21	oos	0.1294	0.129865	+0.36%	0.19665	+51.97%	0.3924	✓	0.63
2026-08-20	oos	0.117	0.108372	-7.37%	0.19445	+66.20%	0.5439	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.1163	0.104914	-9.79%	0.1914	+64.57%	0.5437	✗	0.37
2026-08-18	oos	0.1134	0.102993	-9.18%	0.1731	+52.65%	0.4727	✗	0.28
2026-08-17	oos	0.1128	0.102723	-8.93%	0.1693	+50.09%	0.4539	✗	0.28
2026-08-16	oos	0.1097	0.101276	-7.68%	0.1623	+47.95%	0.4367	✗	0.19
2026-08-15	oos	0.10755	0.099629	-7.37%	0.16235	+50.95%	0.4457	✗	0.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.11125	0.102511	-7.86%	0.15375	+38.20%	0.3659	✗	0.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.1114	0.102274	-8.19%	0.15455	+38.73%	0.3713	✗	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.1143	0.104365	-8.69%	0.1391	+21.70%	0.2458	✗	0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.11885	0.10757	-9.49%	0.13475	+13.38%	0.1866	✗	0.21
2026-08-10	oos	0.1269	0.113042	-10.92%	0.1473	+16.08%	0.2274	✗	0.18
2026-08-09	oos	0.1266	0.111776	-11.71%	0.1524	+20.38%	0.2693	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.13015	0.113994	-12.41%	0.14595	+12.14%	0.2051	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.14055	0.121469	-13.58%	0.1413	+0.53%	0.1059	✓	0.21
2026-08-06	oos	0.1461	0.125694	-13.97%	0.1321	-9.58%	0.0008	✓	0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.15025	0.128286	-14.62%	0.1363	-9.28%	0.0128	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.14175	0.12232	-13.71%	0.129	-8.99%	0.0121	✓	0.17
2026-08-03	oos	0.1479	0.126934	-14.18%	0.1263	-14.60%	0.0434	✓	0.19
2026-08-02	oos	0.1524	0.129704	-14.89%	0.1232	-19.16%	0.0899	✓	0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.16225	0.13708	-15.51%	0.12885	-20.59%	0.1176	✓	0.25
2026-07-31	oos	0.15805	0.13381	-15.34%	0.11945	-24.42%	0.1665	✓	0.25
2026-07-30	oos	0.1536	0.128574	-16.29%	0.12315	-19.82%	0.1203	✓	0.41
2026-07-29	oos	0.156	0.130763	-16.18%	0.1217	-21.99%	0.1529	✓	0.41
2026-07-28	oos	0.1527	0.128302	-15.98%	0.132	-13.56%	0.0649	✓	0.41
2026-07-27	oos	0.1502	0.126137	-16.02%	0.1292	-13.98%	0.0620	✓	0.40
2026-07-26	oos	0.16	0.131724	-17.67%	0.13065	-18.34%	0.0642	✓	0.30
2026-07-25	oos	0.1795	0.147178	-18.01%	0.13355	-25.60%	0.1969	✓	0.48
2026-07-24	oos	0.1715	0.140583	-18.03%	0.1465	-14.58%	0.0482	✓	0.46
2026-07-23	oos	0.17255	0.141344	-18.08%	0.1243	-27.96%	0.2125	✓	0.50
2026-07-22	oos	0.16805	0.137878	-17.95%	0.1294	-23.00%	0.1656	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	0.1516	0.125751	-17.05%	0.117	-22.82%	0.1653	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.15445	0.128662	-16.70%	0.1163	-24.70%	0.1618	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.1477	0.125071	-15.32%	0.1134	-23.22%	0.0980	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.1512	0.127671	-15.56%	0.1128	-25.40%	0.1189	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.1625	0.137555	-15.35%	0.1097	-32.49%	0.2096	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.1622	0.13921	-14.17%	0.10755	-33.69%	0.2462	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.16265	0.140577	-13.57%	0.11125	-31.60%	0.2067	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.16555	0.144397	-12.78%	0.1114	-32.71%	0.2351	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.1726	0.152174	-11.83%	0.1143	-33.78%	0.3044	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.1679	0.148991	-11.26%	0.11885	-29.21%	0.2227	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.1814	0.162301	-10.53%	0.1269	-30.04%	0.2482	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.1783	0.160295	-10.10%	0.1266	-29.00%	0.2472	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.17915	0.16168	-9.75%	0.13015	-27.35%	0.2440	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.18075	0.163487	-9.55%	0.14055	-22.24%	0.1929	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.1964	0.177585	-9.58%	0.1461	-25.61%	0.2100	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.2184	0.198073	-9.31%	0.15025	-31.20%	0.2857	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.2388	0.216234	-9.45%	0.14175	-40.64%	0.4296	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.2062	0.186568	-9.52%	0.1479	-28.27%	0.2383	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.2145	0.194115	-9.50%	0.1524	-28.95%	0.2575	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.2256	0.204409	-9.39%	0.16225	-28.08%	0.2516	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.2228	0.202448	-9.13%	0.15805	-29.06%	0.2942	✓	1.00