ARK

ARK · native · gru_s1

token id: #261
symbol: ARK
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-26
predictions: 3,270

Track record at +30d

assessed

359

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

74.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1356

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0082

actual -0.0248

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.173565	0.160105	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-20	oos	0.17451	0.160802	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.173985	0.159327	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-18	oos	0.16914	0.158745	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-17	oos	0.173255	0.162141	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-16	oos	0.17946	0.165908	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.169796	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-14	oos	0.18125	0.167822	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.19077	0.176396	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-12	oos	0.188815	0.172579	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.20696	0.187673	-9.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-10	oos	0.21283	0.191517	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-09	oos	0.21456	0.195047	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-08	oos	0.22464	0.202912	-9.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-07	oos	0.2145	0.194344	-9.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.208695	0.192339	-7.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-05	oos	0.21823	0.200728	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.22409	0.206778	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.231185	0.211169	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-02	oos	0.21165	0.194337	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.243225	0.218478	-10.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.26057	0.229538	-11.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-29	oos	0.251205	0.222813	-11.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-28	oos	0.23865	0.214117	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-27	oos	0.247355	0.22175	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-26	oos	0.260575	0.231071	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-25	oos	0.25433	0.224686	-11.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.1933	0.178846	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-23	oos	0.15873	0.151633	-4.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	0.158	0.153856	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-21	oos	0.154	0.149923	-2.65%	0.173565	+12.70%	0.1920	✗	0.99
2026-09-20	oos	0.15176	0.143421	-5.49%	0.17451	+14.99%	0.1728	✗	1.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.15344	0.145082	-5.45%	0.173985	+13.39%	0.1737	✗	1.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.142255	0.136351	-4.15%	0.16914	+18.90%	0.2005	✗	1.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.13709	0.129921	-5.23%	0.173255	+26.38%	0.2161	✗	1.12
2026-09-16	oos	0.149755	0.140603	-6.11%	0.17946	+19.84%	0.1680	✗	1.12
2026-09-15	oos	0.145165	0.136574	-5.92%	0.18215	+25.48%	0.1941	✗	1.13
2026-09-14	oos	0.168585	0.156856	-6.96%	0.18125	+7.51%	0.1018	✗	1.01
2026-09-13	oos	0.13775	0.131663	-4.42%	0.19077	+38.49%	0.2989	✗	0.91
2026-09-12	oos	0.132925	0.133834	+0.68%	0.188815	+42.05%	0.2922	✓	0.92
2026-09-11	oos	0.114605	0.120631	+5.26%	0.20696	+80.59%	0.4646	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.11005	0.114834	+4.35%	0.21283	+93.39%	0.5427	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.117645	0.12031	+2.27%	0.21456	+82.38%	0.5311	✓	0.90
2026-09-08	oos	0.116325	0.119065	+2.36%	0.22464	+93.11%	0.5991	✓	0.88
2026-09-07	oos	0.114495	0.117834	+2.92%	0.2145	+87.34%	0.5537	✓	0.88
2026-09-06	oos	0.1178	0.125184	+6.27%	0.208695	+77.16%	0.4564	✓	0.87
2026-09-05	oos	0.1176	0.12453	+5.89%	0.21823	+85.57%	0.4986	✓	0.87
2026-09-04	oos	0.117595	0.12409	+5.52%	0.22409	+90.56%	0.5193	✓	0.87
2026-09-03	oos	0.11391	0.121929	+7.04%	0.231185	+102.95%	0.6016	✓	0.91
2026-09-02	oos	0.10991	0.114713	+4.37%	0.21165	+92.57%	0.5305	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.10899	0.115457	+5.93%	0.243225	+123.16%	0.6602	✓	0.92
2026-08-31	oos	0.110155	0.118081	+7.20%	0.26057	+136.55%	0.7349	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.1093	0.116962	+7.01%	0.251205	+129.83%	0.6970	✓	0.91
2026-08-29	oos	0.111545	0.123496	+10.71%	0.23865	+113.95%	0.6025	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.112455	0.122813	+9.21%	0.247355	+119.96%	0.6292	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.114335	0.125092	+9.41%	0.260575	+127.90%	0.6895	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.11256	0.121762	+8.18%	0.25433	+125.95%	0.6820	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.106795	0.11799	+10.48%	0.1933	+81.00%	0.4305	✓	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.107195	0.118977	+10.99%	0.15873	+48.08%	0.2302	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.108375	0.118403	+9.25%	0.158	+45.79%	0.1961	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.1085	0.118522	+9.24%	0.154	+41.94%	0.1573	✓	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.106915	0.120873	+13.05%	0.15176	+41.94%	0.1953	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.097025	0.106387	+9.65%	0.15344	+58.14%	0.2772	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.09194	0.097068	+5.58%	0.142255	+54.73%	0.2562	✓	0.82
2026-08-18	oos	0.08602	0.087606	+1.84%	0.13709	+59.37%	0.3191	✓	0.78
2026-08-17	oos	0.08748	0.08923	+2.00%	0.149755	+71.19%	0.3876	✓	0.78
2026-08-16	oos	0.08796	0.089314	+1.54%	0.145165	+65.04%	0.3362	✓	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.08962	0.090931	+1.46%	0.168585	+88.11%	0.4435	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.088395	0.089679	+1.45%	0.13775	+55.83%	0.2685	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.090045	0.091375	+1.48%	0.132925	+47.62%	0.2147	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.089295	0.091404	+2.36%	0.114605	+28.34%	0.0630	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.09124	0.094249	+3.30%	0.11005	+20.62%	0.0016	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	0.092525	0.094726	+2.38%	0.117645	+27.15%	0.0478	✓	0.83
2026-08-09	oos	0.093465	0.096072	+2.79%	0.116325	+24.46%	0.0303	✓	0.85
2026-08-08	oos	0.094535	0.098059	+3.73%	0.114495	+21.11%	0.0118	✓	0.84
2026-08-07	oos	0.094245	0.097101	+3.03%	0.1178	+24.99%	0.0132	✓	0.84
2026-08-06	oos	0.09463	0.096241	+1.70%	0.1176	+24.27%	0.0168	✓	0.85
2026-08-05	oos	0.093025	0.093801	+0.83%	0.117595	+26.41%	0.0478	✓	0.85
2026-08-04	oos	0.093385	0.09364	+0.27%	0.11391	+21.98%	0.0052	✗	0.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.094775	0.094414	-0.38%	0.10991	+15.97%	0.0176	✓	0.86
2026-08-02	oos	0.09291	0.092401	-0.55%	0.10899	+17.31%	0.0054	✓	0.86
2026-08-01	oos	0.092585	0.092096	-0.53%	0.110155	+18.98%	0.0103	✓	0.84
2026-07-31	oos	0.09376	0.092917	-0.90%	0.1093	+16.57%	0.0165	✓	0.84
2026-07-30	oos	0.09442	0.093849	-0.60%	0.111545	+18.14%	0.0079	✗	0.87
2026-07-29	oos	0.09288	0.091832	-1.13%	0.112455	+21.08%	0.0361	✗	0.84
2026-07-28	oos	0.09666	0.096937	+0.29%	0.114335	+18.29%	0.0280	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.097625	0.096758	-0.89%	0.11256	+15.30%	0.0320	✓	0.85
2026-07-26	oos	0.10425	0.104574	+0.31%	0.106795	+2.44%	0.1217	✗	0.78
2026-07-25	oos	0.1036	0.103621	+0.02%	0.107195	+3.47%	0.1276	✗	0.78
2026-07-24	oos	0.102	0.101759	-0.24%	0.108375	+6.25%	0.0890	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.10346	0.103346	-0.11%	0.1085	+4.87%	0.0850	✓	0.79
2026-07-22	oos	0.105135	0.105749	+0.58%	0.106915	+1.69%	0.1222	✗	0.78
2026-07-21	oos	0.10553	0.106409	+0.83%	0.097025	-8.06%	0.1654	✗	0.78
2026-07-20	oos	0.102865	0.103373	+0.49%	0.09194	-10.62%	0.1627	✗	0.75
2026-07-19	oos	0.102685	0.102965	+0.27%	0.08602	-16.23%	0.1798	✗	0.75
2026-07-18	oos	0.105435	0.105411	-0.02%	0.08748	-17.03%	0.1827	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.10409	0.103896	-0.19%	0.08796	-15.50%	0.1534	✓	0.78
2026-07-16	oos	0.104335	0.104374	+0.04%	0.08962	-14.10%	0.1431	✗	0.79
2026-07-15	oos	0.1069	0.107413	+0.48%	0.088395	-17.31%	0.1735	✗	0.78
2026-07-14	oos	0.107745	0.108235	+0.45%	0.090045	-16.43%	0.1648	✗	0.79
2026-07-13	oos	0.10499	0.104877	-0.11%	0.089295	-14.95%	0.1755	✓	0.80
2026-07-12	oos	0.107	0.107057	+0.05%	0.09124	-14.73%	0.1572	✗	0.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.1078	0.108026	+0.21%	0.092525	-14.17%	0.1567	✗	0.81
2026-07-10	oos	0.1084	0.109039	+0.59%	0.093465	-13.78%	0.1632	✗	0.81
2026-07-09	oos	0.10599	0.107099	+1.05%	0.094535	-10.81%	0.1466	✗	0.80
2026-07-08	oos	0.10426	0.1041	-0.15%	0.094245	-9.61%	0.1328	✓	0.80
2026-07-07	oos	0.106835	0.106458	-0.35%	0.09463	-11.42%	0.1295	✓	0.79
2026-07-06	oos	0.110765	0.109855	-0.82%	0.093025	-16.02%	0.1736	✓	0.79
2026-07-05	oos	0.110715	0.110079	-0.57%	0.093385	-15.65%	0.1702	✓	0.78
2026-07-04	oos	0.11172	0.111076	-0.58%	0.094775	-15.17%	0.1634	✓	0.79
2026-07-03	oos	0.112	0.111301	-0.62%	0.09291	-17.04%	0.1927	✓	0.78
2026-07-02	oos	0.1092	0.108799	-0.37%	0.092585	-15.22%	0.1772	✓	0.77
2026-07-01	oos	0.10592	0.106069	+0.14%	0.09376	-11.48%	0.1587	✗	0.76
2026-06-30	oos	0.11245	0.109952	-2.22%	0.09442	-16.03%	0.2366	✓	0.84
2026-06-28	oos	0.110405	0.109012	-1.26%	0.09666	-12.45%	0.1793	✓	0.83
2026-06-27	oos	0.112845	0.111612	-1.09%	0.097625	-13.49%	0.1847	✓	0.84
2026-06-26	oos	0.10684	0.105562	-1.20%	0.10425	-2.42%	0.0840	✓	0.84
2026-06-25	oos	0.10414	0.103234	-0.87%	0.1036	-0.52%	0.0582	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	0.106585	0.105762	-0.77%	0.102	-4.30%	0.0772	✓	0.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.108595	0.107667	-0.85%	0.10346	-4.73%	0.0714	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.11121	0.109703	-1.35%	0.105135	-5.46%	0.0700	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.11287	0.11121	-1.47%	0.10553	-6.50%	0.0951	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.116545	0.114813	-1.49%	0.102865	-11.74%	0.1228	✓	0.85
2026-06-19	oos	0.113975	0.112889	-0.95%	0.102685	-9.91%	0.1108	✓	0.85
2026-06-18	oos	0.115755	0.114812	-0.81%	0.105435	-8.92%	0.1112	✓	0.87
2026-06-17	oos	0.121285	0.118875	-1.99%	0.10409	-14.18%	0.1255	✓	0.85
2026-06-16	oos	0.1241	0.121677	-1.95%	0.104335	-15.93%	0.1297	✓	0.84
2026-06-15	oos	0.124935	0.122886	-1.64%	0.1069	-14.44%	0.1187	✓	0.87
2026-06-14	oos	0.1246	0.122903	-1.36%	0.107745	-13.53%	0.1221	✓	0.86
2026-06-13	oos	0.121495	0.119383	-1.74%	0.10499	-13.58%	0.0976	✓	0.90
2026-06-12	oos	0.11965	0.118104	-1.29%	0.107	-10.57%	0.1016	✓	0.91
2026-06-11	oos	0.121415	0.119709	-1.41%	0.1078	-11.21%	0.1078	✓	0.90
2026-06-10	oos	0.120205	0.118718	-1.24%	0.1084	-9.82%	0.1303	✓	0.92
2026-06-09	oos	0.115155	0.114758	-0.35%	0.10599	-7.96%	0.1016	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.14344	0.140143	-2.30%	0.112	-21.92%	0.2032	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.14843	0.144523	-2.63%	0.1092	-26.43%	0.2100	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.15781	0.152923	-3.10%	0.10592	-32.88%	0.2284	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.156685	0.154108	-1.64%	0.11245	-28.23%	0.1251	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.151745	0.149138	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-05-29	oos	0.149	0.147202	-1.21%	0.110405	-25.90%	0.1208	✓	0.79
2026-05-28	oos	0.14687	0.144141	-1.86%	0.112845	-23.17%	0.0826	✓	0.79
2026-05-27	oos	0.151	0.148453	-1.69%	0.10684	-29.25%	0.1598	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.15437	0.15274	-1.06%	0.10414	-32.54%	0.1944	✓	0.79
2026-05-25	oos	0.15909	0.156661	-1.53%	0.106585	-33.00%	0.1950	✓	0.80
2026-05-24	oos	0.158125	0.153952	-2.64%	0.108595	-31.32%	0.1834	✓	0.80
2026-05-23	oos	0.163095	0.15803	-3.11%	0.11121	-31.81%	0.2041	✓	0.81
2026-05-22	oos	0.15824	0.153435	-3.04%	0.11287	-28.67%	0.1642	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.16376	0.15932	-2.71%	0.116545	-28.83%	0.1613	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	0.16008	0.159955	-0.08%	0.113975	-28.80%	0.1788	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	0.1582	0.15842	+0.14%	0.115755	-26.83%	0.1537	✗	0.80
2026-05-18	oos	0.16315	0.163886	+0.45%	0.121285	-25.66%	0.1575	✗	0.81
2026-05-17	oos	0.162445	0.16473	+1.41%	0.1241	-23.60%	0.1498	✗	0.81
2026-05-16	oos	0.166865	0.17434	+4.48%	0.124935	-25.13%	0.2012	✗	0.80
2026-05-15	oos	0.17048	0.178543	+4.73%	0.1246	-26.91%	0.2074	✗	0.82
2026-05-14	oos	0.1781	0.187289	+5.16%	0.121495	-31.78%	0.2454	✗	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.17641	0.18409	+4.35%	0.11965	-32.18%	0.2397	✗	0.86
2026-05-12	oos	0.18261	0.187426	+2.64%	0.121415	-33.51%	0.2347	✗	0.84
2026-05-11	oos	0.189155	0.194701	+2.93%	0.120205	-36.45%	0.2447	✗	0.83
2026-05-10	oos	0.18791	0.199109	+5.96%	0.115155	-38.72%	0.3122	✗	0.82
2026-05-07	oos	0.179	0.188255	+5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-05-06	oos	0.1802	0.193481	+7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-05-05	oos	0.177505	0.191389	+7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-05-04	oos	0.175	0.184706	+5.55%	0.14344	-18.03%	0.0115	✓	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.17779	0.183808	+3.38%	0.14843	-16.51%	0.0334	✗	1.10
2026-05-01	oos	0.17355	0.176976	+1.97%	0.156685	-9.72%	0.0539	✗	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.17367	0.172542	-0.65%	0.151745	-12.62%	0.0911	✓	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.17556	0.174221	-0.76%	0.149	-15.13%	0.1209	✓	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.181895	0.183032	+0.62%	0.14687	-19.26%	0.1784	✗	1.11
2026-04-27	oos	0.17189	0.172885	+0.58%	0.151	-12.15%	0.0902	✗	1.12
2026-04-26	oos	0.176575	0.181246	+2.65%	0.15437	-12.58%	0.1192	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.173675	0.178104	+2.55%	0.15909	-8.40%	0.1071	✗	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.17244	0.176914	+2.59%	0.158125	-8.30%	0.1052	✗	1.12
2026-04-23	oos	0.171695	0.176326	+2.70%	0.163095	-5.01%	0.0543	✗	1.13
2026-04-22	oos	0.172625	0.177383	+2.76%	0.15824	-8.33%	0.0737	✗	1.13
2026-04-21	oos	0.17375	0.175837	+1.20%	0.16376	-5.75%	0.0888	✗	1.14
2026-04-20	oos	0.17181	0.173071	+0.73%	0.16008	-6.83%	0.1019	✗	1.13
2026-04-19	oos	0.16685	0.166318	-0.32%	0.1582	-5.18%	0.0933	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1744	0.174858	+0.26%	0.16315	-6.45%	0.0868	✗	1.11
2026-04-17	oos	0.17886	0.179331	+0.26%	0.162445	-9.18%	0.1033	✗	1.11
2026-04-16	oos	0.175965	0.174465	-0.85%	0.166865	-5.17%	0.0873	✓	1.11
2026-04-15	oos	0.17247	0.175732	+1.89%	0.17048	-1.15%	0.0914	✗	1.11
2026-04-14	oos	0.168605	0.172211	+2.14%	0.1781	+5.63%	0.0653	✗	1.11
2026-04-13	oos	0.17076	0.17424	+2.04%	0.17641	+3.31%	0.0575	✗	1.11
2026-04-12	oos	0.16379	0.165103	+0.80%	0.18261	+11.49%	0.0449	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.16851	0.169624	+0.66%	0.189155	+12.25%	0.0175	✗	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.17066	0.171835	+0.69%	0.18791	+10.11%	0.0447	✗	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.16953	0.169478	-0.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.168575	0.167797	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.171065	0.17344	+1.39%	0.179	+4.64%	0.0893	✗	1.13
2026-04-06	oos	0.16605	0.167458	+0.85%	0.1802	+8.52%	0.1154	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.166055	0.167325	+0.76%	0.177505	+6.90%	0.1199	✗	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.165295	0.164151	-0.69%	0.175	+5.87%	0.1298	✓	1.13
2026-04-03	oos	0.16679	0.165605	-0.71%	0.17779	+6.60%	0.1101	✓	1.13
2026-04-02	oos	0.160885	0.160713	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-04-01	oos	0.16651	0.16509	-0.85%	0.17355	+4.23%	0.1071	✓	1.13
2026-03-31	oos	0.16275	0.161539	-0.74%	0.17367	+6.71%	0.0546	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.16123	0.159192	-1.26%	0.17556	+8.89%	0.0465	✓	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.15744	0.156267	-0.75%	0.181895	+15.53%	0.0134	✓	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.161465	0.160131	-0.83%	0.17189	+6.46%	0.1034	✓	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.161995	0.160467	-0.94%	0.176575	+9.00%	0.0970	✓	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.166535	0.165559	-0.59%	0.173675	+4.29%	0.0907	✓	1.14
2026-03-25	oos	0.1729	0.172744	-0.09%	0.17244	-0.27%	0.0965	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	0.17146	0.171067	-0.23%	0.171695	+0.14%	0.1155	✓	1.14
2026-03-23	oos	0.17144	0.171391	-0.03%	0.172625	+0.69%	0.1055	✓	1.14
2026-03-22	oos	0.164175	0.16359	-0.36%	0.17375	+5.83%	0.0751	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.17075	0.168992	-1.03%	0.17181	+0.62%	0.0934	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.176025	0.175046	-0.56%	0.16685	-5.21%	0.1006	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.17606	0.175206	-0.49%	0.1744	-0.94%	0.0960	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.17895	0.17993	+0.55%	0.17886	-0.05%	0.0967	✗	1.15
2026-03-17	oos	0.18915	0.19054	+0.73%	0.175965	-6.97%	0.0985	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.18851	0.188451	-0.03%	0.17247	-8.51%	0.0878	✓	1.15
2026-03-15	oos	0.17487	0.175004	+0.08%	0.168605	-3.58%	0.0579	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.17057	0.170419	-0.09%	0.17076	+0.11%	0.0478	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.17268	0.172624	-0.03%	0.16379	-5.15%	0.0495	✓	1.13
2026-03-12	oos	0.17447	0.178067	+2.06%	0.16851	-3.42%	0.0954	✗	1.13
2026-03-11	oos	0.17011	0.171772	+0.98%	0.17066	+0.32%	0.0504	✗	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.165995	0.168006	+1.21%	0.16953	+2.13%	0.0201	✗	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.163925	0.165723	+1.10%	0.168575	+2.84%	0.0258	✗	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.162995	0.16284	-0.10%	0.171065	+4.95%	0.0495	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.164055	0.164104	+0.03%	0.16605	+1.22%	0.0151	✗	1.15
2026-03-06	oos	0.169885	0.169459	-0.25%	0.166055	-2.25%	0.0352	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.171755	0.171978	+0.13%	0.165295	-3.76%	0.0206	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.17464	0.174575	-0.04%	0.16679	-4.49%	0.0482	✗	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.172185	0.171137	-0.61%	0.160885	-6.56%	0.0364	✓	1.19
2026-03-02	oos	0.17192	0.171125	-0.46%	0.16651	-3.15%	0.0148	✓	1.19
2026-03-01	oos	0.171345	0.170051	-0.76%	0.16275	-5.02%	0.0876	✓	1.20
2026-02-28	oos	0.175335	0.174153	-0.67%	0.16123	-8.04%	0.0730	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.17458	0.172956	-0.93%	0.15744	-9.82%	0.0958	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.17904	0.177539	-0.84%	0.161465	-9.82%	0.0737	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.18074	0.178459	-1.26%	0.161995	-10.37%	0.0673	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.170555	0.169574	-0.57%	0.166535	-2.36%	0.1049	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.172325	0.170736	-0.92%	0.1729	+0.33%	0.1058	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.18046	0.177841	-1.45%	0.17146	-4.99%	0.0876	✓	1.21
2026-02-21	oos	0.185815	0.182211	-1.94%	0.17144	-7.74%	0.1117	✓	1.21
2026-02-20	oos	0.184385	0.180433	-2.14%	0.164175	-10.96%	0.0919	✓	1.21
2026-02-19	oos	0.182425	0.178073	-2.39%	0.17075	-6.40%	0.0767	✓	1.22
2026-02-18	oos	0.181725	0.17674	-2.74%	0.176025	-3.14%	0.0766	✓	1.22
2026-02-17	oos	0.189235	0.182446	-3.59%	0.17606	-6.96%	0.0781	✓	1.19
2026-02-16	oos	0.191405	0.187435	-2.07%	0.17895	-6.51%	0.0870	✓	1.19
2026-02-15	oos	0.189955	0.185593	-2.30%	0.18915	-0.42%	0.0669	✓	1.19
2026-02-14	oos	0.20493	0.196219	-4.25%	0.18851	-8.01%	0.1231	✓	1.18
2026-02-13	oos	0.20067	0.192647	-4.00%	0.17487	-12.86%	0.1636	✓	1.18
2026-02-12	oos	0.18518	0.181807	-1.82%	0.17057	-7.89%	0.1481	✓	1.15
2026-02-11	oos	0.181585	0.178902	-1.48%	0.17268	-4.90%	0.0995	✓	1.13
2026-02-10	oos	0.18496	0.180227	-2.56%	0.17447	-5.67%	0.0606	✓	1.13
2026-02-09	oos	0.182105	0.177522	-2.52%	0.17011	-6.59%	0.0444	✓	1.14
2026-02-08	oos	0.18154	0.177872	-2.02%	0.165995	-8.56%	0.0640	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.18568	0.181775	-2.10%	0.163925	-11.72%	0.0900	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.18501	0.180844	-2.25%	0.162995	-11.90%	0.0280	✓	1.14
2026-02-05	oos	0.160015	0.159096	-0.57%	0.164055	+2.52%	0.0456	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.20325	0.194008	-4.55%	0.169885	-16.42%	0.0713	✓	0.89
2026-02-03	oos	0.20823	0.198258	-4.79%	0.171755	-17.52%	0.0874	✓	0.86
2026-02-02	oos	0.21705	0.207785	-4.27%	0.17464	-19.54%	0.1058	✓	0.86
2026-02-01	oos	0.2103	0.201919	-3.99%	0.172185	-18.12%	0.0578	✓	0.86
2026-01-31	oos	0.219565	0.209242	-4.70%	0.17192	-21.70%	0.0727	✓	0.93
2026-01-30	oos	0.23511	0.222711	-5.27%	0.171345	-27.12%	0.0367	✓	0.92
2026-01-29	oos	0.23785	0.227566	-4.32%	0.175335	-26.28%	0.0459	✓	0.92
2026-01-28	oos	0.255955	0.245365	-4.14%	0.17458	-31.79%	0.0721	✓	0.89
2026-01-27	oos	0.26027	0.249632	-4.09%	0.17904	-31.21%	0.0837	✓	0.89
2026-01-26	oos	0.25924	0.24861	-4.10%	0.18074	-30.28%	0.0887	✓	0.88
2026-01-25	oos	0.24934	0.239315	-4.02%	0.170555	-31.60%	0.0764	✓	0.87
2026-01-24	oos	0.25788	0.24803	-3.82%	0.172325	-33.18%	0.0864	✓	0.87
2026-01-23	oos	0.25693	0.24816	-3.41%	0.18046	-29.76%	0.0755	✓	0.87
2026-01-22	oos	0.259115	0.249794	-3.60%	0.185815	-28.29%	0.0564	✓	0.87
2026-01-20	oos	0.26255	0.252048	-4.00%	0.182425	-30.52%	0.0803	✓	0.88
2026-01-19	oos	0.26284	0.255243	-2.89%	0.181725	-30.86%	0.0302	✓	0.93
2026-01-18	oos	0.27386	0.265593	-3.02%	0.189235	-30.90%	0.0339	✓	0.93
2026-01-17	oos	0.28892	0.279051	-3.42%	0.191405	-33.75%	0.0816	✓	0.91
2026-01-16	oos	0.28677	0.277624	-3.19%	0.189955	-33.76%	0.0785	✓	0.92
2026-01-15	oos	0.28772	0.279199	-2.96%	0.20493	-28.77%	0.0209	✓	0.92
2026-01-14	oos	0.29702	0.288987	-2.70%	0.20067	-32.44%	0.0479	✓	0.92
2026-01-13	oos	0.296395	0.293125	-1.10%	0.18518	-37.52%	0.1148	✓	0.94
2026-01-12	oos	0.27538	0.273156	-0.81%	0.181585	-34.06%	0.1304	✓	0.90
2026-01-11	oos	0.2824	0.278254	-1.47%	0.18496	-34.50%	0.1506	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.28944	0.282944	-2.24%	0.182105	-37.08%	0.2035	✓	0.93
2026-01-09	oos	0.28973	0.28349	-2.15%	0.18154	-37.34%	0.1933	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.29088	0.285807	-1.74%	0.18568	-36.17%	0.1605	✓	0.99
2026-01-07	oos	0.29302	0.287022	-2.05%	0.18501	-36.86%	0.1293	✓	1.20
2026-01-06	oos	0.2836	0.281142	-0.87%	0.160015	-43.58%	0.0674	✓	1.24
2026-01-05	oos	0.28016	0.278468	-0.60%	0.20325	-27.45%	0.0064	✓	1.23
2026-01-03	oos	0.27195	0.267603	-1.60%	0.21705	-20.19%	0.0360	✓	1.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.27572	0.26979	-2.15%	0.2103	-23.73%	0.0563	✓	1.23
2026-01-01	oos	0.26246	0.257127	-2.03%	0.219565	-16.34%	0.0116	✓	1.21
2025-12-31	oos	0.257905	0.251996	-2.29%	0.23511	-8.84%	0.0219	✓	1.20
2025-12-30	oos	0.264	0.259998	-1.52%	0.23785	-9.91%	0.0345	✓	1.21
2025-12-29	oos	0.264925	0.259836	-1.92%	0.255955	-3.39%	0.0429	✓	1.20
2025-12-28	oos	0.26149	0.256379	-1.95%	0.26027	-0.47%	0.0018	✓	1.20
2025-12-27	oos	0.26159	0.254506	-2.71%	0.25924	-0.90%	0.0125	✓	1.18
2025-12-26	oos	0.250025	0.245327	-1.88%	0.24934	-0.27%	0.0261	✗	1.17
2025-12-25	oos	0.250575	0.245982	-1.83%	0.25788	+2.92%	0.0219	✗	1.17
2025-12-24	oos	0.25811	0.25164	-2.51%	0.25693	-0.46%	0.0039	✓	1.17
2025-12-23	oos	0.25794	0.250999	-2.69%	0.259115	+0.46%	0.0046	✓	1.19
2025-12-22	oos	0.26017	0.252414	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2025-12-21	oos	0.25406	0.248452	-2.21%	0.26255	+3.34%	0.0596	✗	1.17
2025-12-20	oos	0.258335	0.25323	-1.98%	0.26284	+1.74%	0.0186	✓	1.19
2025-12-19	oos	0.25433	0.250879	-1.36%	0.27386	+7.68%	0.0150	✗	1.19
2025-12-18	oos	0.24288	0.238592	-1.77%	0.28892	+18.96%	0.0648	✗	1.18
2025-12-17	oos	0.253725	0.248286	-2.14%	0.28677	+13.02%	0.0228	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.2625	0.256293	-2.36%	0.28772	+9.61%	0.0159	✓	1.18
2025-12-15	oos	0.26616	0.258815	-2.76%	0.29702	+11.59%	0.0001	✓	1.20
2025-12-14	oos	0.2745	0.265131	-3.41%	0.296395	+7.98%	0.0179	✓	1.19
2025-12-13	oos	0.28291	0.273427	-3.35%	0.27538	-2.66%	0.0051	✓	1.18
2025-12-12	oos	0.28005	0.270821	-3.30%	0.2824	+0.84%	0.0341	✗	1.18
2025-12-11	oos	0.28642	0.27702	-3.28%	0.28944	+1.05%	0.0719	✗	1.18
2025-12-10	oos	0.292285	0.280423	-4.06%	0.28973	-0.87%	0.0524	✗	1.19
2025-12-09	oos	0.29326	0.281444	-4.03%	0.29088	-0.81%	0.0544	✗	1.18
2025-12-08	oos	0.284875	0.273703	-3.92%	0.29302	+2.86%	0.0601	✗	1.17
2025-12-07	oos	0.28704	0.280138	-2.40%	0.2836	-1.20%	0.0300	✓	1.17
2025-12-06	oos	0.29035	0.28343	-2.38%	0.28016	-3.51%	0.0715	✓	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.296505	0.28957	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.292345	0.286995	-1.83%	0.27195	-6.98%	0.0338	✓	1.23
2025-12-03	oos	0.29318	0.286973	-2.12%	0.27572	-5.96%	0.0069	✓	1.23
2025-12-02	oos	0.287035	0.284824	-0.77%	0.26246	-8.56%	0.0465	✓	1.24
2025-12-01	oos	0.27774	0.277011	-0.26%	0.257905	-7.14%	0.0895	✓	1.29
2025-11-30	oos	0.296985	0.293669	-1.12%	0.264	-11.11%	0.0782	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.31041	0.306496	-1.26%	0.264925	-14.65%	0.0927	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.2863	0.286201	-0.03%	0.26149	-8.67%	0.0474	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.282945	0.281061	-0.67%	0.26159	-7.55%	0.0221	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.274165	0.272941	-0.45%	0.250025	-8.80%	0.0427	✓	1.26
2025-11-25	oos	0.273475	0.271915	-0.57%	0.250575	-8.37%	0.0794	✓	1.30
2025-11-24	oos	0.27588	0.27527	-0.22%	0.25811	-6.44%	0.0546	✓	1.30
2025-11-23	oos	0.27126	0.272659	+0.52%	0.25794	-4.91%	0.0649	✗	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.25884	0.259067	+0.09%	0.26017	+0.51%	0.0556	✗	1.34
2025-11-21	oos	0.26148	0.261455	-0.01%	0.25406	-2.84%	0.0837	✓	1.34
2025-11-20	oos	0.26911	0.267233	-0.70%	0.258335	-4.00%	0.0610	✓	1.33
2025-11-19	oos	0.27749	0.275704	-0.64%	0.25433	-8.35%	0.0272	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.28673	0.283735	-1.04%	0.24288	-15.29%	0.0360	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.289155	0.285884	-1.13%	0.253725	-12.25%	0.0231	✓	1.46
2025-11-16	oos	0.289095	0.287625	-0.51%	0.2625	-9.20%	0.0106	✗	1.47
2025-11-15	oos	0.29537	0.295326	-0.01%	0.26616	-9.89%	0.0434	✗	1.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.29554	0.296918	+0.47%	0.2745	-7.12%	0.0237	✓	1.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.300075	0.301744	+0.56%	0.28291	-5.72%	0.0905	✓	1.57
2025-11-12	oos	0.31321	0.312753	-0.15%	0.28005	-10.59%	0.0748	✗	1.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.32233	0.322203	-0.04%	0.28642	-11.14%	0.0492	✗	1.56
2025-11-10	oos	0.311865	0.312965	+0.35%	0.292285	-6.28%	0.1578	✓	1.60
2025-11-07	oos	0.31026	0.31139	+0.36%	0.28704	-7.48%	0.1220	✓	1.53
2025-11-06	oos	0.285505	0.288213	+0.95%	0.29035	+1.70%	0.1960	✓	1.49
2025-11-05	oos	0.274	0.278173	+1.52%	0.296505	+8.21%	0.2959	✓	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.26582	0.267052	+0.46%	0.292345	+9.98%	0.2409	✓	1.55
2025-11-03	oos	0.27914	0.281216	+0.74%	0.29318	+5.03%	0.2519	✓	1.60
2025-11-02	oos	0.318915	0.320078	+0.36%	0.287035	-10.00%	0.1824	✓	1.52
2025-11-01	oos	0.320415	0.319044	-0.43%	0.27774	-13.32%	0.2346	✗	1.53
2025-10-31	oos	0.309865	0.311749	+0.61%	0.296985	-4.16%	0.2459	✓	1.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.308515	0.309716	+0.39%	0.31041	+0.61%	0.2723	✓	1.53
2025-10-29	oos	0.319275	0.320037	+0.24%	0.2863	-10.33%	0.1786	✓	1.52
2025-10-28	oos	0.31918	0.321618	+0.76%	0.282945	-11.35%	0.2033	✓	1.56
2025-10-27	oos	0.328305	0.330156	+0.56%	0.274165	-16.49%	0.1757	✓	1.56
2025-10-26	oos	0.33998	0.3423	+0.68%	0.273475	-19.56%	0.1979	✓	1.56
2025-10-25	oos	0.33173	0.332114	+0.12%	0.27588	-16.84%	0.1860	✓	1.58
2025-10-24	oos	0.327525	0.32835	+0.25%	0.27126	-17.18%	0.1994	✓	1.59
2025-10-23	oos	0.32564	0.327034	+0.43%	0.25884	-20.51%	0.1825	✓	1.59
2025-10-22	oos	0.31558	0.317729	+0.68%	0.26148	-17.14%	0.1782	✓	1.59
2025-10-21	oos	0.32218	0.323849	+0.52%	0.26911	-16.47%	0.1721	✓	1.59
2025-10-20	oos	0.332165	0.333095	+0.28%	0.27749	-16.46%	0.1163	✓	1.58
2025-10-19	oos	0.327595	0.327767	+0.05%	0.28673	-12.47%	0.1081	✓	1.54
2025-10-18	oos	0.32185	0.321619	-0.07%	0.289155	-10.16%	0.1281	✗	1.54
2025-10-17	oos	0.3212	0.319993	-0.38%	0.289095	-10.00%	0.0874	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	0.337535	0.334896	-0.78%	0.29537	-12.49%	0.0648	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	0.352265	0.349822	-0.69%	0.29554	-16.10%	0.0721	✗	1.51
2025-10-14	oos	0.36235	0.359212	-0.87%	0.300075	-17.19%	0.0118	✗	1.51
2025-10-13	oos	0.38349	0.378625	-1.27%	0.31321	-18.33%	0.0019	✓	1.49
2025-10-12	oos	0.385365	0.376631	-2.27%	0.32233	-16.36%	0.0067	✓	1.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.35246	0.345044	-2.10%	0.311865	-11.52%	0.0390	✓	1.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.35363	0.345256	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2025-10-09	oos	0.42924	0.415248	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.438	0.424198	-3.15%	0.31026	-29.16%	0.1275	✓	1.04
2025-10-07	oos	0.439955	0.422171	-4.04%	0.285505	-35.11%	0.2090	✓	1.01
2025-10-06	oos	0.452595	0.439037	-3.00%	0.274	-39.46%	0.2877	✓	1.00
2025-10-05	oos	0.44116	0.428789	-2.80%	0.26582	-39.75%	0.2818	✓	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	0.443395	0.432327	-2.50%	0.27914	-37.04%	0.2966	✓	1.01
2025-10-03	oos	0.451335	0.435057	-3.61%	0.318915	-29.34%	0.2074	✓	1.02
2025-10-02	oos	0.45289	0.433442	-4.29%	0.320415	-29.25%	0.2079	✓	1.03
2025-10-01	oos	0.433395	0.412542	-4.81%	0.309865	-28.50%	0.2122	✓	0.93
2025-09-30	oos	0.424195	0.399785	-5.75%	0.308515	-27.27%	0.2101	✓	0.95
2025-09-29	oos	0.41666	0.392117	-5.89%	0.319275	-23.37%	0.1641	✓	1.07
2025-09-28	oos	0.42299	0.394406	-6.76%	0.31918	-24.54%	0.2187	✓	1.12
2025-09-27	oos	0.415515	0.387131	-6.83%	0.328305	-20.99%	0.2097	✓	1.14
2025-09-26	oos	0.42021	0.392616	-6.57%	0.33998	-19.09%	0.1932	✓	1.14
2025-09-25	oos	0.40847	0.380197	-6.92%	0.33173	-18.79%	0.1634	✓	1.13
2025-09-24	oos	0.43509	0.411962	-5.32%	0.327525	-24.72%	0.2070	✓	1.09
2025-09-23	oos	0.442055	0.415692	-5.96%	0.32564	-26.33%	0.2252	✓	1.11
2025-09-22	oos	0.42058	0.396844	-5.64%	0.31558	-24.97%	0.1764	✓	1.13
2025-09-21	oos	0.45137	0.423704	-6.13%	0.32218	-28.62%	0.2069	✓	1.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.462155	0.43226	-6.47%	0.332165	-28.13%	0.2120	✓	1.12
2025-09-19	oos	0.453095	0.422697	-6.71%	0.327595	-27.70%	0.1847	✓	1.12
2025-09-18	oos	0.47161	0.438244	-7.07%	0.32185	-31.76%	0.2091	✓	1.13
2025-09-17	oos	0.466725	0.432636	-7.30%	0.3212	-31.18%	0.1951	✓	1.14
2025-09-16	oos	0.458205	0.42604	-7.02%	0.337535	-26.34%	0.1452	✓	1.14
2025-09-15	oos	0.459515	0.424394	-7.64%	0.352265	-23.34%	0.1396	✓	1.15
2025-09-14	oos	0.494815	0.452681	-8.52%	0.36235	-26.77%	0.1992	✓	1.19
2025-09-13	oos	0.45655	0.425862	-6.72%	0.38349	-16.00%	0.0975	✓	1.21
2025-09-12	oos	0.453335	0.428676	-5.44%	0.385365	-14.99%	0.0956	✓	1.22
2025-09-11	oos	0.4556	0.427363	-6.20%	0.35246	-22.64%	0.1414	✓	1.22
2025-09-10	oos	0.45231	0.422717	-6.54%	0.35363	-21.82%	0.1678	✓	1.22
2025-09-09	oos	0.449115	0.416959	-7.16%	0.42924	-4.43%	0.0793	✓	1.24
2025-09-08	oos	0.450765	0.417423	-7.40%	0.438	-2.83%	0.0715	✓	1.25
2025-09-07	oos	0.42992	0.398188	-7.38%	0.439955	+2.33%	0.0093	✓	1.23
2025-09-06	oos	0.42645	0.393982	-7.61%	0.452595	+6.13%	0.0073	✓	1.18
2025-09-05	oos	0.42821	0.394431	-7.89%	0.44116	+3.02%	0.0179	✓	1.18
2025-09-04	oos	0.425515	0.39289	-7.67%	0.443395	+4.20%	0.0017	✓	1.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.