ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s1
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2995
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0207
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008142 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007272 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006898 | +0.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.00586 | +2.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006982 | +1.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007741 | +1.02% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008692 | -0.09% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008664 | +0.16% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007639 | +1.65% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008763 | +0.83% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2462 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010953 | -1.33% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010574 | -0.81% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012346 | -1.86% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4642 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013296 | -2.24% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013638 | -2.65% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013227 | -2.38% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013611 | -2.50% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.013935 | -2.65% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.1942 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013024 | -2.30% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015034 | -2.94% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1548 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013876 | -2.52% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013706 | -2.38% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014324 | -2.43% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0780 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018653 | -2.80% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3169 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020805 | -3.23% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.3978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023096 | -3.85% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5535 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023607 | -4.64% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4262 | ✓ | 1.00 |