AEON
AEON · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1
- token id
- #345
- symbol
- AEON
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x277add739c6e0477616948357af9e79fe1ec9b80
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-27
- predictions
- 237
Track record at +1d
assessed
78
of 79 predictions shown
direction hit
56.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0641
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0040
actual -0.0090
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.037 | 0.036861 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.03676 | 0.036656 | -0.28% | 0.037 | +0.65% | 0.0086 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.038125 | 0.038025 | -0.26% | 0.03676 | -3.58% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.03724 | 0.037169 | -0.19% | 0.038125 | +2.38% | 0.0213 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.036775 | 0.036716 | -0.16% | 0.03724 | +1.26% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.03876 | 0.038682 | -0.20% | 0.036775 | -5.12% | 0.0530 | ✓ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.03639 | 0.036342 | -0.13% | 0.03876 | +6.51% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.04028 | 0.040192 | -0.22% | 0.03639 | -9.66% | 0.0971 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0438 | 0.043685 | -0.26% | 0.04028 | -8.04% | 0.0833 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.048775 | 0.048619 | -0.32% | 0.0438 | -10.20% | 0.0997 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.04964 | 0.049486 | -0.31% | 0.048775 | -1.74% | 0.0186 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.054755 | 0.054564 | -0.35% | 0.04964 | -9.34% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.058435 | 0.058201 | -0.40% | 0.054755 | -6.30% | 0.0628 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.06656 | 0.066188 | -0.56% | 0.058435 | -12.21% | 0.1255 | ✓ | 0.20 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06229 | 0.061977 | -0.50% | 0.06656 | +6.86% | 0.0695 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.067975 | 0.067496 | -0.70% | 0.06229 | -8.36% | 0.0779 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06723 | 0.066702 | -0.79% | 0.067975 | +1.11% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.06323 | 0.062774 | -0.72% | 0.06723 | +6.33% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 0.16 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.054515 | 0.054252 | -0.48% | 0.06323 | +15.99% | 0.1552 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.05105 | 0.050843 | -0.40% | 0.054515 | +6.79% | 0.0658 | ✗ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.05145 | 0.051226 | -0.43% | 0.05105 | -0.78% | 0.0040 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.051035 | 0.050833 | -0.40% | 0.05145 | +0.81% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.05493 | 0.054661 | -0.49% | 0.051035 | -7.09% | 0.0720 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.053805 | 0.053544 | -0.48% | 0.05493 | +2.09% | 0.0258 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.05314 | 0.052872 | -0.50% | 0.053805 | +1.25% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.05507 | 0.054796 | -0.50% | 0.05314 | -3.50% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.057125 | 0.056828 | -0.52% | 0.05507 | -3.60% | 0.0315 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058275 | 0.057944 | -0.57% | 0.057125 | -1.97% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.05772 | 0.057394 | -0.57% | 0.058275 | +0.96% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05952 | 0.059147 | -0.63% | 0.05772 | -3.02% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06501 | 0.064509 | -0.77% | 0.05952 | -8.44% | 0.0774 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.054875 | 0.054589 | -0.52% | 0.06501 | +18.47% | 0.1757 | ✗ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.05323 | 0.052927 | -0.57% | 0.054875 | +3.09% | 0.0271 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.05497 | 0.054633 | -0.61% | 0.05323 | -3.17% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.058485 | 0.058052 | -0.74% | 0.05497 | -6.01% | 0.0552 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05392 | 0.053607 | -0.58% | 0.058485 | +8.47% | 0.0913 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.04804 | 0.047847 | -0.40% | 0.05392 | +12.24% | 0.1197 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.04968 | 0.049485 | -0.39% | 0.04804 | -3.30% | 0.0292 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.05118 | 0.050949 | -0.45% | 0.04968 | -2.93% | 0.0285 | ✓ | -0.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04843 | 0.048283 | -0.30% | 0.05118 | +5.68% | 0.0609 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.048715 | 0.048584 | -0.27% | 0.04843 | -0.59% | 0.0040 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.049335 | 0.04922 | -0.23% | 0.048715 | -1.26% | 0.0102 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.046305 | 0.046275 | -0.06% | 0.049335 | +6.54% | 0.0654 | ✗ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0501 | 0.050024 | -0.15% | 0.046305 | -7.57% | 0.0830 | ✓ | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05692 | 0.056755 | -0.29% | 0.0501 | -11.98% | 0.1253 | ✓ | -0.29 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.052055 | 0.051965 | -0.17% | 0.05692 | +9.35% | 0.0892 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05333 | 0.053258 | -0.14% | 0.052055 | -2.39% | 0.0266 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.05466 | 0.054601 | -0.11% | 0.05333 | -2.43% | 0.0220 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05531 | 0.055254 | -0.10% | 0.05466 | -1.18% | 0.0103 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.054365 | 0.054323 | -0.08% | 0.05531 | +1.74% | 0.0140 | ✗ | -0.20 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.05344 | -0.09% | 0.054365 | +1.64% | 0.0329 | ✗ | -0.32 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.05728 | 0.057206 | -0.13% | 0.05349 | -6.62% | 0.0676 | ✓ | -0.34 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06265 | 0.062542 | -0.17% | 0.05728 | -8.57% | 0.0946 | ✓ | -0.45 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.05752 | 0.057419 | -0.18% | 0.06265 | +8.92% | 0.0927 | ✗ | -0.48 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.06812 | 0.067919 | -0.30% | 0.05752 | -15.56% | 0.1707 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.0696 | 0.069319 | -0.40% | 0.06812 | -2.13% | 0.0143 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.06064 | 0.06047 | -0.28% | 0.0696 | +14.78% | 0.1319 | ✗ | -0.28 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.05871 | 0.058543 | -0.28% | 0.06064 | +3.29% | 0.0401 | ✗ | -0.31 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.05588 | 0.05574 | -0.25% | 0.05871 | +5.06% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.05864 | 0.058486 | -0.26% | 0.05588 | -4.71% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.05969 | 0.059532 | -0.26% | 0.05864 | -1.76% | 0.0311 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.06661 | 0.066389 | -0.33% | 0.05969 | -10.39% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.06945 | 0.069211 | -0.34% | 0.06661 | -4.09% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.07285 | 0.072553 | -0.41% | 0.06945 | -4.67% | 0.1140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.08236 | 0.081861 | -0.61% | 0.07285 | -11.55% | 0.1688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.08632 | 0.085627 | -0.80% | 0.08236 | -4.59% | 0.1079 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.08219 | 0.081545 | -0.78% | 0.08632 | +5.02% | 0.0537 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.0757 | 0.075168 | -0.70% | 0.08219 | +8.57% | 0.0635 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.07896 | 0.078264 | -0.88% | 0.0757 | -4.13% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.06513 | 0.064741 | -0.60% | 0.07896 | +21.23% | 0.1979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.06773 | 0.067258 | -0.70% | 0.06513 | -3.84% | 0.0250 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.05488 | 0.05463 | -0.46% | 0.06773 | +23.41% | 0.2147 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.05403 | 0.05381 | -0.41% | 0.05488 | +1.57% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.05374 | 0.053543 | -0.37% | 0.05403 | +0.54% | 0.0150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.05444 | 0.054231 | -0.38% | 0.05374 | -1.29% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.06309 | 0.06271 | -0.60% | 0.05444 | -13.71% | 0.1405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.05274 | 0.052562 | -0.34% | 0.06309 | +19.62% | 0.1823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.05843 | 0.05819 | -0.41% | 0.05274 | -9.74% | 0.1080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.06048 | 0.0602 | -0.46% | 0.05843 | -3.39% | 0.0246 | ✓ | 1.00 |