A

Vaulta · native · gru_s1

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1267

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0251

actual -0.0615

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.089519	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.092672	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.083661	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.085193	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.104344	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.098088	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.0907	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.094244	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.09069	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.090089	-9.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.094142	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.092946	-9.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.093914	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.087717	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.088866	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.093618	-9.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.09238	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.088568	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.08756	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.086785	-7.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.08871	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.090871	-7.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.08924	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.088636	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.096062	-7.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.094875	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.095656	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.094123	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.088418	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.094255	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.091515	-1.70%	0.09485	+1.88%	0.0824	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.086019	-3.35%	0.09785	+9.94%	0.1066	✗	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.087261	-2.99%	0.0884	-1.72%	0.0054	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.088845	-3.27%	0.09015	-1.85%	0.0002	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.075786	-3.58%	0.1117	+42.11%	0.3325	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.073711	-2.88%	0.1047	+37.94%	0.2927	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.073811	-3.14%	0.09715	+27.49%	0.2001	✗	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.078863	-2.34%	0.1036	+28.30%	0.2368	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.079162	-2.69%	0.0997	+22.56%	0.1629	✗	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.077142	-1.48%	0.09905	+26.50%	0.2011	✗	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.076329	-0.55%	0.1038	+35.24%	0.2372	✗	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.076734	-0.99%	0.10325	+33.23%	0.2265	✗	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.081641	+0.17%	0.10475	+28.53%	0.2038	✓	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.081208	+0.57%	0.09735	+20.56%	0.1423	✓	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.08253	+2.59%	0.09825	+22.13%	0.1245	✓	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.083678	+3.82%	0.10315	+27.98%	0.1487	✓	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.083864	+4.70%	0.10175	+27.03%	0.1246	✓	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.081154	+5.05%	0.09665	+25.11%	0.0957	✓	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.084618	+7.52%	0.09575	+21.66%	0.0832	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.078623	+2.57%	0.09425	+22.96%	0.0879	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.076672	+2.92%	0.09615	+29.06%	0.1288	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.077919	+4.10%	0.09875	+31.93%	0.1750	✓	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.076383	+3.57%	0.09635	+30.64%	0.1565	✓	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.079197	+3.59%	0.0952	+24.53%	0.1198	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.078932	+3.65%	0.1039	+36.44%	0.1937	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.082395	+6.18%	0.1017	+31.06%	0.1600	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.082195	+4.24%	0.1023	+29.74%	0.1558	✓	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.075613	+3.44%	0.0994	+35.98%	0.2012	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.07559	+3.48%	0.09175	+25.60%	0.1268	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.077051	+2.33%	0.09795	+30.08%	0.1336	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.074529	+1.89%	0.0931	+27.27%	0.1027	✓	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.079875	+3.33%	0.089	+15.14%	0.0724	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.068179	-2.11%	0.08995	+29.15%	0.1760	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.062983	-5.29%	0.09185	+38.12%	0.2270	✗	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.056385	-6.72%	0.0786	+30.02%	0.1827	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.056814	-6.86%	0.0759	+24.43%	0.1389	✗	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.056665	-7.11%	0.0762	+24.92%	0.1247	✗	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.057207	-7.13%	0.08075	+31.09%	0.1452	✗	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.057453	-7.18%	0.08135	+31.42%	0.1623	✗	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.057987	-7.07%	0.0783	+25.48%	0.1141	✗	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.058404	-6.63%	0.07675	+22.70%	0.0828	✗	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.058848	-6.74%	0.0775	+22.82%	0.0960	✗	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.059705	-6.86%	0.0815	+27.15%	0.1144	✗	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.060067	-6.73%	0.08075	+25.39%	0.1088	✗	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.060745	-6.83%	0.08045	+23.39%	0.0865	✗	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.060148	-6.53%	0.0806	+25.25%	0.0790	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.060852	-6.67%	0.0801	+22.85%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.060044	-6.47%	0.07725	+20.33%	0.0393	✓	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.060518	-6.75%	0.0787	+21.26%	0.0218	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.059939	-6.85%	0.07665	+19.11%	0.0440	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.059112	-6.69%	0.0745	+17.60%	0.0307	✓	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.05943	-6.78%	0.07485	+17.41%	0.0047	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.059815	-6.54%	0.07375	+15.23%	0.0039	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.057935	-5.49%	0.07645	+24.71%	0.0729	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.056658	-5.25%	0.07615	+27.34%	0.0872	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.059166	-5.03%	0.0776	+24.56%	0.0331	✓	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.059268	-4.87%	0.07885	+26.57%	0.0625	✗	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.060916	-4.22%	0.0731	+14.94%	0.0053	✓	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.059305	-4.19%	0.07305	+18.01%	0.0008	✓	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.060603	-3.27%	0.0753	+20.19%	0.0173	✓	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.063259	-2.68%	0.07315	+12.54%	0.0276	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.064752	-2.04%	0.0773	+16.94%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.066191	-1.50%	0.06965	+3.65%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.065584	-1.53%	0.0665	-0.15%	0.0490	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.06692	-1.52%	0.06045	-11.04%	0.1017	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.068501	-1.44%	0.061	-12.23%	0.1108	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.068592	-2.01%	0.061	-12.86%	0.0996	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.070502	-2.76%	0.0616	-15.03%	0.1222	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.073647	-2.45%	0.0619	-18.01%	0.1449	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.0724	-2.43%	0.0624	-15.90%	0.1227	✓	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.071458	-3.37%	0.06255	-15.42%	0.1539	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.069485	-2.68%	0.0631	-11.62%	0.0925	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.071692	-3.18%	0.0641	-13.44%	0.1144	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.075785	-3.70%	0.0644	-18.17%	0.1755	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.076151	-4.21%	0.0652	-17.99%	0.1864	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.071532	-3.73%	0.06435	-13.39%	0.1528	✓	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.071284	-3.34%	0.0652	-11.59%	0.1060	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.0716	-3.24%	0.0642	-13.24%	0.1198	✓	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.069904	-3.18%	0.0649	-10.11%	0.0824	✓	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.07102	-3.77%	0.06435	-12.80%	0.1053	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.065187	-3.28%	0.06335	-6.01%	0.0451	✓	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.062628	-2.30%	0.06375	-0.55%	0.0038	✓	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.062569	-2.16%	0.064	+0.08%	0.0271	✓	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.061747	-1.91%	0.0613	-2.62%	0.1156	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.060186	-1.98%	0.0598	-2.61%	0.0739	✓	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.058893	-1.84%	0.0623	+3.83%	0.0224	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.058933	-2.10%	0.0623	+3.49%	0.0123	✓	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.059863	-2.58%	0.0636	+3.50%	0.0348	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.058627	-2.45%	0.0619	+3.00%	0.0283	✓	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.060121	-2.95%	0.06265	+1.13%	0.0138	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.062794	-3.69%	0.065	-0.31%	0.0071	✓	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.062166	-3.77%	0.0661	+2.32%	0.0247	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.061802	-3.81%	0.0672	+4.59%	0.0274	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.063308	-4.37%	0.0666	+0.60%	0.0340	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.063858	-3.76%	0.06795	+2.41%	0.0414	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.066178	-4.02%	0.0695	+0.80%	0.0153	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.070441	-5.13%	0.07	-5.72%	0.0031	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.069145	-5.02%	0.0725	-0.41%	0.0784	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.069892	-5.17%	0.0755	+2.44%	0.1033	✗	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.070239	-5.21%	0.0742	+0.13%	0.0669	✗	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.06894	-4.78%	0.07395	+2.14%	0.1074	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.0679	-4.23%	0.0714	+0.71%	0.0467	✗	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.069197	-4.82%	0.07405	+1.86%	0.0641	✗	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.061818	-2.42%	0.0787	+24.23%	0.1979	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.062213	-2.64%	0.0795	+24.41%	0.2209	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.062511	-2.78%	0.0743	+15.55%	0.1863	✗	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.062041	-2.76%	0.07375	+15.60%	0.1725	✗	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.060513	-1.60%	0.074	+20.33%	0.1517	✗	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.060954	-1.85%	0.0722	+16.26%	0.1295	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.065036	-3.79%	0.0738	+9.17%	0.1370	✗	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.068172	-4.92%	0.0674	-6.00%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.067498	-5.07%	0.0641	-9.85%	0.0224	✓	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.071878	-6.65%	0.06395	-16.95%	0.0287	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.072121	-6.70%	0.06295	-18.56%	0.0622	✓	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.071794	-6.64%	0.0614	-20.16%	0.0124	✓	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.071319	-6.41%	0.06	-21.26%	0.0020	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.069765	-6.04%	0.0602	-18.92%	0.0229	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.070751	-6.23%	0.06145	-18.56%	0.0351	✓	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.07305	-6.35%	0.0601	-22.95%	0.0005	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.074585	-6.06%	0.06195	-21.98%	0.0125	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.07324	-5.62%	0.0652	-15.98%	0.0561	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.07602	-5.57%	0.0646	-19.75%	0.0151	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.073719	-5.25%	0.06425	-17.42%	0.0059	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.077688	-5.43%	0.0662	-19.42%	0.0110	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.076949	-5.00%	0.06635	-18.09%	0.0094	✓	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.076265	-4.37%	0.06895	-13.54%	0.0559	✗	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.078428	-3.77%	0.07425	-8.90%	0.0852	✗	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.077881	-3.07%	0.0728	-9.40%	0.0636	✗	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.081338	-3.11%	0.0737	-12.21%	0.0302	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.084876	-2.78%	0.0741	-15.12%	0.0098	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.090079	-2.30%	0.0724	-21.48%	0.0415	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.088292	-2.76%	0.0709	-21.92%	0.0484	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.092034	-2.09%	0.0727	-22.66%	0.0594	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.095999	-1.44%	0.06335	-34.96%	0.2112	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.097155	-1.72%	0.0639	-35.36%	0.2123	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.092792	-2.12%	0.0643	-32.17%	0.1924	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.094509	-1.96%	0.0638	-33.82%	0.2277	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.090059	-1.36%	0.0615	-32.64%	0.1920	✓	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.091449	+0.05%	0.0621	-32.06%	0.1767	✗	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.087272	-0.20%	0.0676	-22.70%	0.0591	✓	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.086708	-1.24%	0.0717	-18.34%	0.0092	✓	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.087215	-1.56%	0.0711	-19.75%	0.0690	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.089655	-1.04%	0.077	-15.01%	0.0706	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.088341	-1.18%	0.0773	-13.53%	0.0827	✓	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.086597	-2.37%	0.0769	-13.30%	0.0899	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.091093	-3.30%	0.0762	-19.11%	0.1510	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.089751	-2.50%	0.07425	-19.34%	0.1566	✓	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.087876	-1.37%	0.07545	-15.32%	0.1168	✓	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.090963	-0.64%	0.078	-14.80%	0.1212	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.087061	-0.84%	0.0794	-9.57%	0.0876	✓	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.090079	-1.23%	0.0776	-14.91%	0.1435	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.087619	+0.36%	0.0805	-7.79%	0.0659	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.087046	-0.06%	0.0778	-10.68%	0.0802	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.081635	-1.53%	0.08215	-0.90%	0.0075	✓	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.080539	-1.18%	0.081	-0.61%	0.0129	✓	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.077338	-2.04%	0.07975	+1.01%	0.0044	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.080687	-0.88%	0.0815	+0.12%	0.0042	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084611	-0.22%	0.08035	-5.25%	0.0553	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.082105	-1.61%	0.08395	+0.60%	0.0125	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.079827	-1.57%	0.0873	+7.64%	0.0402	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.076959	-1.84%	0.0922	+17.60%	0.1009	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.078063	-1.56%	0.0908	+14.50%	0.0948	✗	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.074637	-2.94%	0.094	+22.24%	0.1120	✗	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.078445	-2.43%	0.0974	+21.14%	0.1139	✗	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.079425	-1.94%	0.09885	+22.04%	0.1102	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.077184	-2.73%	0.0948	+19.47%	0.0995	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.076775	-3.00%	0.0964	+21.79%	0.1178	✗	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.078625	-2.93%	0.0913	+12.72%	0.0523	✗	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.076221	-3.40%	0.0914	+15.84%	0.0276	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.075776	-3.41%	0.08745	+11.47%	0.0027	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.075614	-4.41%	0.0878	+11.00%	0.0109	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.075842	-4.72%	0.0886	+11.31%	0.0052	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.073248	-4.63%	0.0906	+17.97%	0.0602	✗	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.076088	-3.81%	0.0894	+13.02%	0.0302	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.072671	-3.62%	0.0887	+17.64%	0.0929	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.07154	-3.97%	0.0942	+26.44%	0.1545	✗	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.069335	-4.10%	0.09205	+27.32%	0.1440	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.071169	-4.34%	0.0891	+19.76%	0.0777	✗	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.07081	-3.79%	0.09155	+24.39%	0.0945	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.073767	-3.57%	0.0878	+14.77%	0.0577	✗	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.077668	-3.52%	0.0912	+13.29%	0.0816	✗	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.078689	-3.45%	0.0873	+7.12%	0.0040	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.076127	-3.45%	0.0871	+10.46%	0.0403	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.0731	-3.94%	0.0829	+8.94%	0.0129	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.074966	-3.89%	0.0815	+4.49%	0.0084	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.077838	-3.90%	0.07895	-2.53%	0.0297	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.078254	-4.10%	0.0814	-0.25%	0.0370	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.077009	-3.86%	0.0848	+5.87%	0.0181	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.081257	-3.50%	0.08345	-0.89%	0.0103	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.082479	-3.31%	0.0811	-4.92%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.080248	-4.12%	0.0784	-6.33%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.075407	-4.18%	0.0793	+0.76%	0.0069	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.075409	-4.79%	0.0769	-2.90%	0.0222	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.073482	-4.69%	0.0804	+4.28%	0.0548	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.072977	-4.48%	0.081	+6.02%	0.0658	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.072335	-4.44%	0.07935	+4.82%	0.0670	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.072889	-4.60%	0.07915	+3.60%	0.0446	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.072628	-4.69%	0.081	+6.30%	0.0213	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.07299	-4.59%	0.0789	+3.14%	0.0539	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.075492	-4.68%	0.07845	-0.95%	0.0251	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.07544	-4.26%	0.0791	+0.38%	0.1016	✗	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.076653	-3.46%	0.0796	+0.25%	0.1242	✗	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.073782	-4.18%	0.0768	-0.26%	0.0631	✗	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.075702	-4.54%	0.0791	-0.25%	0.0553	✗	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.075523	-4.16%	0.0754	-4.31%	0.0410	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.077577	-4.17%	0.0745	-7.97%	0.0368	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.076895	-4.00%	0.0723	-9.74%	0.0632	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.077898	-3.47%	0.0744	-7.81%	0.0271	✓	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.080055	-3.43%	0.0736	-11.22%	0.0578	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.075833	-2.78%	0.0765	-1.92%	0.0671	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.076562	-2.59%	0.0805	+2.42%	0.0538	✓	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.078043	-2.45%	0.0815	+1.88%	0.0023	✓	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.080903	-2.59%	0.07885	-5.06%	0.0712	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.080285	-2.15%	0.0761	-7.25%	0.0513	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.079489	-1.99%	0.078	-3.82%	0.0496	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.080598	-2.36%	0.081	-1.88%	0.0592	✓	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.082784	-2.49%	0.0816	-3.89%	0.0525	✓	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.084317	-2.41%	0.0801	-7.29%	0.0878	✓	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.083953	-2.15%	0.0842	-1.86%	0.0742	✓	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.087318	-2.66%	0.0853	-4.91%	0.0985	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.085818	-1.92%	0.0837	-4.34%	0.0852	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.083771	-1.27%	0.0787	-7.25%	0.1403	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.081242	-0.68%	0.0792	-3.18%	0.0851	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.080668	-0.16%	0.0771	-4.58%	0.0718	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.08314	+0.53%	0.0764	-7.62%	0.0862	✗	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.083205	+0.43%	0.0757	-8.63%	0.0896	✗	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.086597	+1.52%	0.0764	-10.43%	0.1123	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.086805	+1.70%	0.0762	-10.72%	0.0575	✗	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.080029	+3.26%	0.0765	-1.29%	0.1230	✗	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.092193	+1.09%	0.0792	-13.16%	0.0632	✗	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.092675	+0.57%	0.0788	-14.49%	0.0791	✗	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.094814	-0.30%	0.0794	-16.51%	0.0740	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.091355	+0.33%	0.077	-15.43%	0.0232	✗	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.092686	+0.42%	0.0793	-14.08%	0.0147	✓	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.099903	-0.69%	0.0788	-21.67%	0.0805	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.100299	-1.38%	0.08095	-20.40%	0.0872	✗	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.10788	-1.66%	0.0801	-26.98%	0.0948	✗	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.107903	-1.91%	0.0807	-26.64%	0.0728	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.10917	-1.56%	0.0829	-25.25%	0.0623	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.107179	-1.67%	0.078	-28.44%	0.0730	✗	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.113159	-1.60%	0.0786	-31.65%	0.0503	✗	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.110547	-1.82%	0.08	-28.95%	0.0375	✗	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.107206	-1.83%	0.08305	-23.95%	0.0980	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.10923	-1.24%	0.08205	-25.81%	0.0672	✗	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.105466	-1.25%	0.0811	-24.06%	0.0944	✗	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.113188	-1.49%	0.08255	-28.15%	0.1110	✗	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.120092	-1.00%	0.0849	-30.01%	0.0717	✗	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.127364	-0.11%	0.0864	-32.24%	0.0210	✗	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.137938	-0.12%	0.0858	-37.87%	0.0614	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.169713	-1.33%	0.0897	-47.85%	0.2397	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.177979	-1.18%	0.0875	-51.42%	0.2795	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.178092	-1.66%	0.08485	-53.15%	0.2790	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.162921	-3.14%	0.0818	-51.37%	0.3035	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.165201	-3.22%	0.0808	-52.67%	0.3646	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.169834	-3.83%	0.0827	-53.17%	0.3949	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.168641	-3.63%	0.08285	-52.66%	0.3697	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.167579	-3.02%	0.0853	-50.64%	0.3141	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.172827	-3.12%	0.08535	-52.16%	0.2444	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.181318	-2.62%	0.0775	-58.38%	0.1315	✓	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.180993	-3.00%	0.0912	-51.13%	0.2368	✓	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.170546	-4.03%	0.09215	-48.14%	0.2803	✓	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.166547	-3.73%	0.0951	-45.03%	0.3116	✓	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.16525	-3.92%	0.09105	-47.06%	0.3202	✓	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.157187	-4.04%	0.0923	-43.65%	0.3219	✓	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.151667	-4.07%	0.1006	-36.37%	0.3423	✓	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.156105	-3.64%	0.1017	-37.22%	0.3511	✓	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.149812	-3.53%	0.1097	-29.36%	0.3511	✓	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.150692	-3.71%	0.11	-29.71%	0.3385	✓	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.152447	-3.70%	0.1109	-29.94%	0.3266	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.146525	-2.77%	0.109	-27.67%	0.2819	✓	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.148739	-2.98%	0.115	-24.98%	0.2932	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.15682	-2.90%	0.1126	-30.28%	0.3662	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.160956	-2.15%	0.1092	-33.62%	0.4259	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.161631	-1.98%	0.1106	-32.93%	0.3944	✓	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.160923	-1.27%	0.1068	-34.48%	0.4038	✓	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.167265	-1.43%	0.1149	-32.29%	0.4537	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.159096	-0.87%	0.1213	-24.42%	0.3726	✓	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.146228	-0.19%	0.1275	-12.97%	0.3111	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.152657	-0.22%	0.1381	-9.74%	0.2667	✓	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.162453	-0.21%	0.172	+5.65%	0.0795	✓	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.162486	+0.05%	0.1801	+10.90%	0.0842	✗	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.167327	-0.10%	0.1811	+8.12%	0.0490	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.174939	-0.26%	0.1682	-4.10%	0.0560	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.174908	-0.11%	0.1707	-2.51%	0.0350	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.181507	-0.16%	0.1766	-2.86%	0.0113	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.183373	-0.93%	0.175	-5.46%	0.0194	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.187086	-1.07%	0.1728	-8.62%	0.0498	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.177793	-1.12%	0.1784	-0.78%	0.0077	✓	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.175118	-0.90%	0.1862	+5.38%	0.0032	✓	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.179457	-0.96%	0.1866	+2.98%	0.0428	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.176978	-1.13%	0.1777	-0.73%	0.0346	✓	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.186095	-1.69%	0.173	-8.61%	0.0463	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.191211	-1.89%	0.172	-11.75%	0.0437	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.187453	-1.55%	0.1638	-13.97%	0.0880	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.185306	-0.85%	0.1581	-15.41%	0.1832	✓	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.191495	-1.80%	0.162	-16.92%	0.1277	✓	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.197566	-1.81%	0.1553	-22.81%	0.1662	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.198663	-1.82%	0.1565	-22.66%	0.1782	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.20158	-2.00%	0.1583	-23.04%	0.1718	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.201282	-2.08%	0.1507	-26.68%	0.2268	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.201887	-1.47%	0.1533	-25.18%	0.2721	✓	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.207421	-1.93%	0.1615	-23.64%	0.2367	✓	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.2047	-1.61%	0.1645	-20.93%	0.2316	✓	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.20479	-1.07%	0.1649	-20.34%	0.2988	✓	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.210138	-0.76%	0.163	-23.02%	0.3293	✓	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.214445	-1.40%	0.1697	-21.98%	0.2714	✓	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.224209	-2.24%	0.1605	-30.02%	0.2633	✓	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.230112	-2.29%	0.1465	-37.79%	0.2935	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.230009	-2.23%	0.153	-34.96%	0.2821	✓	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.234819	-2.46%	0.1628	-32.38%	0.2353	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.241027	-2.40%	0.1624	-34.24%	0.2054	✓	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.240922	-1.28%	0.1675	-31.37%	0.2325	✓	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.247503	-1.80%	0.1754	-30.41%	0.1475	✓	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.262423	-1.82%	0.1751	-34.49%	0.1689	✓	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.268094	-1.67%	0.1818	-33.32%	0.1766	✓	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.290261	-2.14%	0.1851	-37.59%	0.1777	✓	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.284345	-2.10%	0.1891	-34.89%	0.1718	✓	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.288236	-2.34%	0.1798	-39.08%	0.2328	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.303001	-3.07%	0.1767	-43.47%	0.2813	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.259639	-1.33%	0.1812	-31.14%	0.1255	✓	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.250751	-1.34%	0.179	-29.57%	0.0494	✓	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.242303	-0.72%	0.1893	-22.43%	0.0612	✓	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.249005	-1.01%	0.1949	-22.52%	0.0200	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.267808	-1.52%	0.1904	-29.99%	0.0449	✗	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.267894	-1.42%	0.1869	-31.22%	0.1330	✗	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.26263	-1.49%	0.195	-26.86%	0.0921	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.260926	-1.61%	0.2012	-24.13%	0.0977	✗	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.275507	-2.04%	0.20235	-28.05%	0.0738	✗	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.279547	-1.98%	0.2057	-27.88%	0.1259	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.291464	-1.70%	0.20555	-30.67%	0.1228	✗	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.293437	-1.89%	0.2049	-31.49%	0.1932	✗	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.286405	-2.43%	0.2115	-27.95%	0.1834	✗	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.287868	-2.40%	0.20805	-29.46%	0.1842	✗	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.280362	-2.48%	0.207	-28.00%	0.2382	✗	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.271086	-2.26%	0.21175	-23.65%	0.2379	✗	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.275979	-2.45%	0.2175	-23.12%	0.2268	✗	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.283745	-2.94%	0.22935	-21.55%	0.1812	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.279903	-3.11%	0.2355	-18.48%	0.1545	✗	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.278143	-3.04%	0.23525	-17.99%	0.1509	✗	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.274317	-2.86%	0.24075	-14.75%	0.1261	✗	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.27961	-3.18%	0.24695	-14.49%	0.1374	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.28806	-3.55%	0.24405	-18.28%	0.1719	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.305808	-3.07%	0.25205	-20.11%	0.0750	✗	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.319171	-2.83%	0.2673	-18.62%	0.0899	✗	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.295734	-3.35%	0.27265	-10.90%	0.1531	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.264407	-3.59%	0.2966	+8.15%	0.2060	✗	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.254337	-4.17%	0.29045	+9.44%	0.2947	✗	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.378074	-2.26%	0.29515	-23.69%	0.0168	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.394228	-1.55%	0.3126	-21.94%	0.0022	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.390463	-2.13%	0.26315	-34.04%	0.1540	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.40665	-0.65%	0.25415	-37.91%	0.2225	✓	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.398675	-0.93%	0.24405	-39.35%	0.2257	✓	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.39957	-1.00%	0.25155	-37.67%	0.2747	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.412995	-0.63%	0.27195	-34.56%	0.2808	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.411437	-1.26%	0.27175	-34.79%	0.2896	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.402815	-1.97%	0.2666	-35.12%	0.3035	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.382965	-2.75%	0.2652	-32.66%	0.2958	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.392301	-2.63%	0.28125	-30.19%	0.2795	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.399297	-3.33%	0.2852	-30.95%	0.3456	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.389842	-3.53%	0.2965	-26.63%	0.3308	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.398965	-2.73%	0.2991	-27.08%	0.3508	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.389213	-2.39%	0.29355	-26.38%	0.3164	✓	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.413023	-1.94%	0.29495	-29.97%	0.3068	✓	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.415267	-1.56%	0.2875	-31.85%	0.3426	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.421656	-1.25%	0.27735	-35.05%	0.3503	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.454512	-1.74%	0.2829	-38.84%	0.3877	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.461042	-2.05%	0.29235	-37.89%	0.3917	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.45891	-2.28%	0.2889	-38.48%	0.3756	✓	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.472061	-2.75%	0.28685	-40.90%	0.3760	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.46492	-3.43%	0.2824	-41.34%	0.3744	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.