A

Vaulta · native · gru_s1

token id: #104
symbol: A
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-07-23
predictions: 1,341

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0241

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0025

actual -0.0024

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09485	0.094557	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-20	oos	0.09785	0.097237	-0.63%	0.09485	-3.07%	0.0218	✓	1.06
2026-10-19	oos	0.0884	0.088215	-0.21%	0.09785	+10.69%	0.0898	✗	1.03
2026-10-18	oos	0.09015	0.089981	-0.19%	0.0884	-1.94%	0.0156	✓	1.03
2026-10-17	oos	0.1117	0.110658	-0.93%	0.09015	-19.29%	0.2130	✓	1.05
2026-10-16	oos	0.1047	0.104073	-0.60%	0.1117	+6.69%	0.0723	✗	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.09715	0.096786	-0.37%	0.1047	+7.77%	0.0868	✗	1.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.1036	0.102859	-0.72%	0.09715	-6.23%	0.0645	✓	1.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.0997	0.099189	-0.51%	0.1036	+3.91%	0.0647	✗	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.09905	0.09857	-0.48%	0.0997	+0.66%	0.0074	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.1038	0.103183	-0.59%	0.09905	-4.58%	0.0158	✓	1.07
2026-10-10	oos	0.10325	0.102576	-0.65%	0.1038	+0.53%	0.0024	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.10475	0.103856	-0.85%	0.10325	-1.43%	0.0104	✓	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.09735	0.096696	-0.67%	0.10475	+7.60%	0.0693	✗	1.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.09825	0.097654	-0.61%	0.09735	-0.92%	0.0167	✗	1.03
2026-10-06	oos	0.10315	0.102304	-0.82%	0.09825	-4.75%	0.0128	✓	1.03
2026-10-05	oos	0.10175	0.100657	-1.07%	0.10315	+1.38%	0.0270	✗	1.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.09665	0.096115	-0.55%	0.10175	+5.28%	0.0661	✗	1.04
2026-10-03	oos	0.09575	0.095285	-0.49%	0.09665	+0.94%	0.0073	✓	1.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.09425	0.093834	-0.44%	0.09575	+1.59%	0.0173	✗	1.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095751	-0.41%	0.09425	-1.98%	0.0115	✓	1.05
2026-09-30	oos	0.09875	0.098243	-0.51%	0.09615	-2.63%	0.0381	✓	1.08
2026-09-29	oos	0.09635	0.095917	-0.45%	0.09875	+2.49%	0.0302	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.0952	0.094714	-0.51%	0.09635	+1.21%	0.0148	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.1039	0.103326	-0.55%	0.0952	-8.37%	0.0701	✓	0.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.1017	0.101187	-0.50%	0.1039	+2.16%	0.0259	✗	0.99
2026-09-25	oos	0.1023	0.101737	-0.55%	0.1017	-0.59%	0.0041	✓	0.99
2026-09-24	oos	0.0994	0.098779	-0.62%	0.1023	+2.92%	0.0385	✗	0.99
2026-09-23	oos	0.09175	0.091514	-0.26%	0.0994	+8.34%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.09795	0.09747	-0.49%	0.09175	-6.33%	0.0396	✓	0.98
2026-09-21	oos	0.0931	0.092741	-0.39%	0.09795	+5.21%	0.0593	✗	1.01
2026-09-20	oos	0.089	0.088757	-0.27%	0.0931	+4.61%	0.0189	✓	1.03
2026-09-19	oos	0.08995	0.089571	-0.42%	0.089	-1.06%	0.0055	✓	1.03
2026-09-18	oos	0.09185	0.091063	-0.86%	0.08995	-2.07%	0.0169	✓	1.03
2026-09-17	oos	0.0786	0.078536	-0.08%	0.09185	+16.86%	0.1066	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.0759	0.07589	-0.01%	0.0786	+3.56%	0.0328	✗	0.86
2026-09-15	oos	0.0762	0.076155	-0.06%	0.0759	-0.39%	0.0100	✓	0.90
2026-09-14	oos	0.08075	0.08074	-0.01%	0.0762	-5.63%	0.0293	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.08135	0.081275	-0.09%	0.08075	-0.74%	0.0217	✓	0.86
2026-09-12	oos	0.0783	0.078357	+0.07%	0.08135	+3.90%	0.0427	✓	0.87
2026-09-11	oos	0.07675	0.076816	+0.09%	0.0783	+2.02%	0.0185	✓	0.87
2026-09-10	oos	0.0775	0.077534	+0.04%	0.07675	-0.97%	0.0178	✗	0.88
2026-09-09	oos	0.0815	0.081525	+0.03%	0.0775	-4.91%	0.0313	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.08075	0.080842	+0.11%	0.0815	+0.93%	0.0101	✓	0.96
2026-09-07	oos	0.08045	0.080533	+0.10%	0.08075	+0.37%	0.0106	✓	0.97
2026-09-06	oos	0.0806	0.080799	+0.25%	0.08045	-0.19%	0.0108	✓	0.96
2026-09-05	oos	0.0801	0.080256	+0.19%	0.0806	+0.62%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-09-04	oos	0.07725	0.077427	+0.23%	0.0801	+3.69%	0.0320	✓	0.96
2026-09-03	oos	0.0787	0.078853	+0.19%	0.07725	-1.84%	0.0015	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.07665	0.076637	-0.02%	0.0787	+2.67%	0.0258	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.0745	0.07449	-0.01%	0.07665	+2.89%	0.0298	✗	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.07485	0.07487	+0.03%	0.0745	-0.47%	0.0101	✓	1.01
2026-08-30	oos	0.07375	0.073674	-0.10%	0.07485	+1.49%	0.0041	✗	1.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.07645	0.076286	-0.22%	0.07375	-3.53%	0.0265	✓	0.99
2026-08-28	oos	0.07615	0.07587	-0.37%	0.07645	+0.39%	0.0026	✓	0.99
2026-08-27	oos	0.0776	0.077305	-0.38%	0.07615	-1.87%	0.0159	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.07885	0.078332	-0.66%	0.0776	-1.59%	0.0253	✓	1.01
2026-08-25	oos	0.0731	0.072783	-0.43%	0.07885	+7.87%	0.0737	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.07305	0.07278	-0.37%	0.0731	+0.07%	0.0102	✗	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.0753	0.074788	-0.68%	0.07305	-2.99%	0.0400	✓	1.03
2026-08-22	oos	0.07315	0.072764	-0.53%	0.0753	+2.94%	0.0253	✗	1.03
2026-08-21	oos	0.0773	0.076724	-0.75%	0.07315	-5.37%	0.0312	✓	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.06965	0.069101	-0.79%	0.0773	+10.98%	0.0455	✗	0.95
2026-08-19	oos	0.0665	0.065757	-1.12%	0.06965	+4.74%	0.0068	✓	0.97
2026-08-18	oos	0.06045	0.059888	-0.93%	0.0665	+10.01%	0.0426	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.061	0.060678	-0.53%	0.06045	-0.90%	0.0066	✓	0.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.061	0.0607	-0.49%	0.061	+0.00%	0.0190	✓	0.93
2026-08-15	oos	0.0616	0.061222	-0.61%	0.061	-0.97%	0.0010	✓	0.93
2026-08-14	oos	0.0619	0.061463	-0.71%	0.0616	-0.48%	0.0016	✓	0.93
2026-08-13	oos	0.0624	0.062092	-0.49%	0.0619	-0.80%	0.0036	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.06255	0.062261	-0.46%	0.0624	-0.24%	0.0020	✓	0.97
2026-08-11	oos	0.0631	0.062798	-0.48%	0.06255	-0.87%	0.0021	✓	0.96
2026-08-10	oos	0.0641	0.063766	-0.52%	0.0631	-1.56%	0.0047	✓	0.97
2026-08-09	oos	0.0644	0.064065	-0.52%	0.0641	-0.47%	0.0149	✗	0.98
2026-08-08	oos	0.0652	0.06487	-0.51%	0.0644	-1.23%	0.0064	✓	0.98
2026-08-07	oos	0.06435	0.064046	-0.47%	0.0652	+1.32%	0.0176	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.0652	0.06482	-0.58%	0.06435	-1.30%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.0642	0.0639	-0.47%	0.0652	+1.56%	0.0254	✗	1.01
2026-08-04	oos	0.0649	0.064569	-0.51%	0.0642	-1.08%	0.0144	✓	1.01
2026-08-03	oos	0.06435	0.064014	-0.52%	0.0649	+0.85%	0.0044	✓	1.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.06335	0.06307	-0.44%	0.06435	+1.58%	0.0206	✗	1.01
2026-08-01	oos	0.06375	0.063479	-0.42%	0.06335	-0.63%	0.0138	✓	1.01
2026-07-31	oos	0.064	0.063686	-0.49%	0.06375	-0.39%	0.0020	✓	1.01
2026-07-30	oos	0.0613	0.061037	-0.43%	0.064	+4.40%	0.0795	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0598	0.059575	-0.38%	0.0613	+2.51%	0.0150	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.0623	0.062064	-0.38%	0.0598	-4.01%	0.0380	✓	1.04
2026-07-27	oos	0.0623	0.06206	-0.39%	0.0623	+0.00%	0.0014	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.0636	0.06341	-0.30%	0.0623	-2.04%	0.0084	✗	1.02
2026-07-25	oos	0.0619	0.061732	-0.27%	0.0636	+2.75%	0.0134	✗	1.02
2026-07-24	oos	0.06265	0.062447	-0.32%	0.0619	-1.20%	0.0122	✓	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.065	0.064846	-0.24%	0.06265	-3.62%	0.0192	✓	1.02
2026-07-22	oos	0.0661	0.06598	-0.18%	0.065	-1.66%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.0672	0.067093	-0.16%	0.0661	-1.64%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.0666	0.066504	-0.14%	0.0672	+0.90%	0.0100	✓	1.03
2026-07-19	oos	0.06795	0.067817	-0.20%	0.0666	-1.99%	0.0267	✓	1.05
2026-07-18	oos	0.0695	0.0694	-0.14%	0.06795	-2.23%	0.0193	✓	1.05
2026-07-17	oos	0.07	0.069873	-0.18%	0.0695	-0.71%	0.0203	✓	1.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.0725	0.072345	-0.21%	0.07	-3.45%	0.0350	✓	1.08
2026-07-15	oos	0.0755	0.075265	-0.31%	0.0725	-3.97%	0.0218	✓	1.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.0742	0.074018	-0.24%	0.0755	+1.75%	0.0243	✗	1.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.07395	0.073728	-0.30%	0.0742	+0.34%	0.0423	✓	1.14
2026-07-12	oos	0.0714	0.071258	-0.20%	0.07395	+3.57%	0.0648	✗	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.07405	0.073863	-0.25%	0.0714	-3.58%	0.0333	✓	1.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.0787	0.078369	-0.42%	0.07405	-5.91%	0.0504	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.0795	0.079093	-0.51%	0.0787	-1.01%	0.0222	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.0743	0.073956	-0.46%	0.0795	+7.00%	0.0555	✗	1.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.07375	0.073486	-0.36%	0.0743	+0.75%	0.0306	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.074	0.073669	-0.45%	0.07375	-0.34%	0.0133	✗	1.14
2026-07-05	oos	0.0722	0.071865	-0.46%	0.074	+2.49%	0.0220	✗	1.11
2026-07-04	oos	0.0738	0.073381	-0.57%	0.0722	-2.17%	0.0250	✓	1.11
2026-07-03	oos	0.0674	0.067162	-0.35%	0.0738	+9.50%	0.0847	✗	1.06
2026-07-02	oos	0.0641	0.063978	-0.19%	0.0674	+5.15%	0.0346	✗	1.05
2026-07-01	oos	0.06395	0.063862	-0.14%	0.0641	+0.23%	0.0230	✓	1.06
2026-06-30	oos	0.06295	0.062845	-0.17%	0.06395	+1.59%	0.0087	✓	1.08
2026-06-29	oos	0.0614	0.061327	-0.12%	0.06295	+2.52%	0.0571	✗	1.12
2026-06-28	oos	0.06	0.059999	-0.00%	0.0614	+2.33%	0.0103	✗	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.0602	0.06019	-0.02%	0.06	-0.33%	0.0054	✗	1.12
2026-06-26	oos	0.06145	0.061413	-0.06%	0.0602	-2.03%	0.0187	✓	1.12
2026-06-25	oos	0.0601	0.060094	-0.01%	0.06145	+2.25%	0.0167	✗	1.12
2026-06-24	oos	0.06195	0.061863	-0.14%	0.0601	-2.99%	0.0054	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.0652	0.065056	-0.22%	0.06195	-4.98%	0.0192	✓	1.11
2026-06-22	oos	0.0646	0.064402	-0.31%	0.0652	+0.93%	0.0353	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.06425	0.064153	-0.15%	0.0646	+0.54%	0.0056	✓	1.11
2026-06-20	oos	0.0662	0.066035	-0.25%	0.06425	-2.95%	0.0105	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.06635	0.066243	-0.16%	0.0662	-0.23%	0.0135	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.06895	0.068792	-0.23%	0.06635	-3.77%	0.0467	✓	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.07425	0.073923	-0.44%	0.06895	-7.14%	0.0429	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.0728	0.07253	-0.37%	0.07425	+1.99%	0.0430	✗	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.0737	0.073374	-0.44%	0.0728	-1.22%	0.0031	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.0741	0.073792	-0.42%	0.0737	-0.54%	0.0108	✓	1.10
2026-06-13	oos	0.0724	0.072032	-0.51%	0.0741	+2.35%	0.0069	✗	1.09
2026-06-12	oos	0.0709	0.070648	-0.36%	0.0724	+2.12%	0.0090	✗	1.11
2026-06-11	oos	0.0727	0.072161	-0.74%	0.0709	-2.48%	0.0172	✓	1.11
2026-06-10	oos	0.06335	0.063378	+0.04%	0.0727	+14.76%	0.1027	✓	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.0639	0.063946	+0.07%	0.06335	-0.86%	0.0054	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.0643	0.064314	+0.02%	0.0639	-0.62%	0.0163	✓	1.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.0638	0.063807	+0.01%	0.0643	+0.78%	0.0115	✓	1.01
2026-06-06	oos	0.0615	0.061636	+0.22%	0.0638	+3.74%	0.0042	✗	0.98
2026-06-05	oos	0.0621	0.062233	+0.21%	0.0615	-0.97%	0.0090	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.0676	0.067552	-0.07%	0.0621	-8.14%	0.0429	✓	0.93
2026-06-03	oos	0.0717	0.071563	-0.19%	0.0676	-5.72%	0.0537	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0711	0.070844	-0.36%	0.0717	+0.84%	0.0488	✗	0.92
2026-06-01	oos	0.077	0.076556	-0.58%	0.0711	-7.66%	0.0172	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0773	0.076985	-0.41%	0.077	-0.39%	0.0272	✗	0.87
2026-05-30	oos	0.0769	0.076622	-0.36%	0.0773	+0.52%	0.0110	✗	0.83
2026-05-29	oos	0.0762	0.07592	-0.37%	0.0769	+0.92%	0.0083	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.07425	0.074	-0.34%	0.0762	+2.63%	0.0310	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.07545	0.075163	-0.38%	0.07425	-1.59%	0.0033	✓	0.82
2026-05-26	oos	0.078	0.077785	-0.28%	0.07545	-3.27%	0.0140	✓	0.82
2026-05-25	oos	0.0794	0.079136	-0.33%	0.078	-1.76%	0.0011	✓	0.84
2026-05-24	oos	0.0776	0.077364	-0.30%	0.0794	+2.32%	0.0230	✗	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.0805	0.080189	-0.39%	0.0776	-3.60%	0.0363	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0778	0.077623	-0.23%	0.0805	+3.47%	0.0235	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.08215	0.081902	-0.30%	0.0778	-5.30%	0.0296	✓	0.79
2026-05-20	oos	0.081	0.080845	-0.19%	0.08215	+1.42%	0.0153	✗	0.79
2026-05-19	oos	0.07975	0.079665	-0.11%	0.081	+1.57%	0.0094	✗	0.79
2026-05-18	oos	0.0815	0.081426	-0.09%	0.07975	-2.15%	0.0190	✓	0.79
2026-05-17	oos	0.08035	0.080307	-0.05%	0.0815	+1.43%	0.0195	✗	0.79
2026-05-16	oos	0.08395	0.083892	-0.07%	0.08035	-4.29%	0.0361	✓	0.78
2026-05-15	oos	0.0873	0.087177	-0.14%	0.08395	-3.84%	0.0282	✓	0.79
2026-05-14	oos	0.0922	0.092087	-0.12%	0.0873	-5.31%	0.0340	✓	0.77
2026-05-13	oos	0.0908	0.090682	-0.13%	0.0922	+1.54%	0.0006	✓	0.77
2026-05-12	oos	0.094	0.09384	-0.17%	0.0908	-3.40%	0.0217	✓	0.75
2026-05-11	oos	0.0974	0.097205	-0.20%	0.094	-3.49%	0.0225	✓	0.72
2026-05-10	oos	0.09885	0.098607	-0.25%	0.0974	-1.47%	0.0082	✓	0.72
2026-05-09	oos	0.0948	0.094607	-0.20%	0.09885	+4.27%	0.0304	✗	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.0964	0.096094	-0.32%	0.0948	-1.66%	0.0176	✓	0.70
2026-05-07	oos	0.0913	0.091113	-0.21%	0.0964	+5.59%	0.0548	✗	0.69
2026-05-06	oos	0.0914	0.091168	-0.25%	0.0913	-0.11%	0.0144	✗	0.73
2026-05-05	oos	0.08745	0.087318	-0.15%	0.0914	+4.52%	0.0403	✗	0.83
2026-05-04	oos	0.0878	0.087731	-0.08%	0.08745	-0.40%	0.0140	✓	0.82
2026-05-03	oos	0.0886	0.088499	-0.11%	0.0878	-0.90%	0.0214	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.090422	-0.20%	0.0886	-2.21%	0.0190	✓	0.83
2026-05-01	oos	0.0894	0.089283	-0.13%	0.0906	+1.34%	0.0099	✗	0.83
2026-04-30	oos	0.0887	0.088525	-0.20%	0.0894	+0.79%	0.0115	✓	0.85
2026-04-29	oos	0.0942	0.093779	-0.45%	0.0887	-5.84%	0.0619	✓	0.86
2026-04-28	oos	0.09205	0.091693	-0.39%	0.0942	+2.34%	0.0335	✗	0.88
2026-04-27	oos	0.0891	0.088814	-0.32%	0.09205	+3.31%	0.0479	✗	0.89
2026-04-26	oos	0.09155	0.091304	-0.27%	0.0891	-2.68%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2026-04-25	oos	0.0878	0.087613	-0.21%	0.09155	+4.27%	0.0325	✗	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0912	0.090859	-0.37%	0.0878	-3.73%	0.0364	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0873	0.086967	-0.38%	0.0912	+4.47%	0.0569	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.0871	0.086721	-0.44%	0.0873	+0.23%	0.0058	✗	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.0829	0.082729	-0.21%	0.0871	+5.07%	0.0302	✗	0.88
2026-04-20	oos	0.0815	0.08133	-0.21%	0.0829	+1.72%	0.0135	✗	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.07895	0.078783	-0.21%	0.0815	+3.23%	0.0094	✗	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.0814	0.081219	-0.22%	0.07895	-3.01%	0.0053	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.0848	0.084596	-0.24%	0.0814	-4.01%	0.0224	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.08345	0.083179	-0.32%	0.0848	+1.62%	0.0037	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0811	0.080821	-0.34%	0.08345	+2.90%	0.0281	✗	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.0784	0.078241	-0.20%	0.0811	+3.44%	0.0280	✗	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.0793	0.079118	-0.23%	0.0784	-1.13%	0.0059	✓	0.89
2026-04-12	oos	0.0769	0.076723	-0.23%	0.0793	+3.12%	0.0138	✓	0.92
2026-04-11	oos	0.0804	0.080139	-0.32%	0.0769	-4.35%	0.0115	✓	0.92
2026-04-10	oos	0.081	0.080562	-0.54%	0.0804	-0.74%	0.0031	✓	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.07935	0.079152	-0.25%	0.081	+2.08%	0.0080	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.07915	0.078949	-0.25%	0.07935	+0.25%	0.0040	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.081	0.080685	-0.39%	0.07915	-2.28%	0.0087	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.0789	0.078672	-0.29%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.07845	0.078176	-0.35%	0.0789	+0.57%	0.0112	✗	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0791	0.078838	-0.33%	0.07845	-0.82%	0.0285	✓	0.94
2026-04-03	oos	0.0796	0.079115	-0.61%	0.0791	-0.63%	0.0048	✓	0.94
2026-04-02	oos	0.0768	0.076486	-0.41%	0.0796	+3.65%	0.0390	✗	0.94
2026-04-01	oos	0.0791	0.078787	-0.40%	0.0768	-2.91%	0.0085	✓	0.95
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075223	-0.23%	0.0791	+4.91%	0.0518	✗	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.0745	0.074328	-0.23%	0.0754	+1.21%	0.0066	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0723	0.072136	-0.23%	0.0745	+3.04%	0.0210	✗	0.96
2026-03-28	oos	0.0744	0.07421	-0.25%	0.0723	-2.82%	0.0208	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0736	0.073438	-0.22%	0.0744	+1.09%	0.0135	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0765	0.07629	-0.27%	0.0736	-3.79%	0.0016	✓	0.96
2026-03-25	oos	0.0805	0.080277	-0.28%	0.0765	-4.97%	0.0137	✓	0.95
2026-03-24	oos	0.0815	0.081237	-0.32%	0.0805	-1.23%	0.0195	✓	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.07885	0.078605	-0.31%	0.0815	+3.36%	0.0408	✗	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.0761	0.075896	-0.27%	0.07885	+3.61%	0.0036	✓	0.96
2026-03-21	oos	0.078	0.077767	-0.30%	0.0761	-2.44%	0.0067	✓	0.96
2026-03-20	oos	0.081	0.080751	-0.31%	0.078	-3.70%	0.0130	✓	0.95
2026-03-19	oos	0.0816	0.08124	-0.44%	0.081	-0.74%	0.0108	✓	0.96
2026-03-18	oos	0.0801	0.079737	-0.45%	0.0816	+1.87%	0.0417	✗	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.0842	0.083835	-0.43%	0.0801	-4.87%	0.0089	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.0853	0.084887	-0.48%	0.0842	-1.29%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0837	0.083164	-0.64%	0.0853	+1.91%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-03-14	oos	0.0787	0.078197	-0.64%	0.0837	+6.35%	0.0462	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0792	0.078629	-0.72%	0.0787	-0.63%	0.0031	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.0771	0.076797	-0.39%	0.0792	+2.72%	0.0250	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0764	0.076082	-0.42%	0.0771	+0.92%	0.0088	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0757	0.075345	-0.47%	0.0764	+0.92%	0.0104	✗	0.99
2026-03-09	oos	0.0764	0.076139	-0.34%	0.0757	-0.92%	0.0277	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.0762	0.07593	-0.35%	0.0764	+0.26%	0.0311	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.0765	0.07623	-0.35%	0.0762	-0.39%	0.0194	✗	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.0792	0.078811	-0.49%	0.0765	-3.41%	0.0170	✓	1.02
2026-03-05	oos	0.0788	0.078401	-0.51%	0.0792	+0.51%	0.0518	✗	1.04
2026-03-04	oos	0.0794	0.078941	-0.58%	0.0788	-0.76%	0.0246	✗	1.05
2026-03-03	oos	0.077	0.076571	-0.56%	0.0794	+3.12%	0.0303	✓	1.08
2026-03-02	oos	0.0793	0.079009	-0.37%	0.077	-2.90%	0.0179	✓	1.08
2026-03-01	oos	0.0788	0.078625	-0.22%	0.0793	+0.63%	0.0404	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.08095	0.080657	-0.36%	0.0788	-2.66%	0.0040	✓	1.07
2026-02-27	oos	0.0801	0.079924	-0.22%	0.08095	+1.06%	0.0051	✓	1.07
2026-02-26	oos	0.0807	0.080468	-0.29%	0.0801	-0.74%	0.0217	✗	1.08
2026-02-25	oos	0.0829	0.082615	-0.34%	0.0807	-2.65%	0.0155	✓	1.08
2026-02-24	oos	0.078	0.07798	-0.03%	0.0829	+6.28%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-02-23	oos	0.0786	0.07854	-0.08%	0.078	-0.76%	0.0023	✗	1.06
2026-02-22	oos	0.08	0.079965	-0.04%	0.0786	-1.75%	0.0317	✗	1.08
2026-02-21	oos	0.08305	0.082946	-0.12%	0.08	-3.67%	0.0308	✓	1.08
2026-02-20	oos	0.08205	0.081914	-0.17%	0.08305	+1.22%	0.0142	✗	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.0811	0.080971	-0.16%	0.08205	+1.17%	0.0029	✓	1.08
2026-02-18	oos	0.08255	0.082629	+0.10%	0.0811	-1.76%	0.0276	✗	1.08
2026-02-17	oos	0.0849	0.08496	+0.07%	0.08255	-2.77%	0.0121	✗	1.07
2026-02-16	oos	0.0864	0.086413	+0.01%	0.0849	-1.74%	0.0042	✓	1.07
2026-02-15	oos	0.0858	0.085833	+0.04%	0.0864	+0.70%	0.0056	✓	1.07
2026-02-14	oos	0.0897	0.089671	-0.03%	0.0858	-4.35%	0.0288	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.0875	0.087553	+0.06%	0.0897	+2.51%	0.0093	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.08485	0.085078	+0.27%	0.0875	+3.12%	0.0130	✗	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.0818	0.082086	+0.35%	0.08485	+3.73%	0.0460	✓	1.05
2026-02-10	oos	0.0808	0.081091	+0.36%	0.0818	+1.24%	0.0367	✓	1.07
2026-02-09	oos	0.0827	0.082965	+0.32%	0.0808	-2.30%	0.0064	✗	1.07
2026-02-08	oos	0.08285	0.083182	+0.40%	0.0827	-0.18%	0.0031	✓	1.08
2026-02-07	oos	0.0853	0.085696	+0.46%	0.08285	-2.87%	0.0500	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.08535	0.085719	+0.43%	0.0853	-0.06%	0.0151	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.0775	0.078217	+0.93%	0.08535	+10.13%	0.0444	✗	1.13
2026-02-04	oos	0.0912	0.091566	+0.40%	0.0775	-15.02%	0.0260	✓	1.28
2026-02-03	oos	0.09215	0.092419	+0.29%	0.0912	-1.03%	0.0324	✓	1.27
2026-02-02	oos	0.0951	0.09524	+0.15%	0.09215	-3.10%	0.0179	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.09105	0.091347	+0.33%	0.0951	+4.45%	0.0118	✓	1.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.0923	0.092538	+0.26%	0.09105	-1.35%	0.0126	✓	1.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.1006	0.100631	+0.03%	0.0923	-8.25%	0.0003	✓	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.1017	0.101615	-0.08%	0.1006	-1.08%	0.0039	✓	1.30
2026-01-28	oos	0.1097	0.109541	-0.15%	0.1017	-7.29%	0.0049	✓	1.30
2026-01-27	oos	0.11	0.10989	-0.10%	0.1097	-0.27%	0.0024	✓	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	0.1109	0.110797	-0.09%	0.11	-0.81%	0.0199	✓	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.109	0.108884	-0.11%	0.1109	+1.74%	0.0067	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.115	0.114833	-0.15%	0.109	-5.22%	0.0150	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	0.1126	0.112262	-0.30%	0.115	+2.13%	0.0298	✗	1.29
2026-01-22	oos	0.1092	0.109195	-0.00%	0.1126	+3.11%	0.0305	✗	1.29
2026-01-21	oos	0.1106	0.110636	+0.03%	0.1092	-1.27%	0.0145	✗	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.1068	0.106894	+0.09%	0.1106	+3.56%	0.0188	✓	1.29
2026-01-19	oos	0.1149	0.114846	-0.05%	0.1068	-7.05%	0.0122	✓	1.29
2026-01-18	oos	0.1213	0.121252	-0.04%	0.1149	-5.28%	0.0391	✓	1.28
2026-01-17	oos	0.1275	0.127326	-0.14%	0.1213	-4.86%	0.0287	✓	1.27
2026-01-16	oos	0.1381	0.137857	-0.18%	0.1275	-7.68%	0.0729	✓	1.26
2026-01-15	oos	0.172	0.17158	-0.24%	0.1381	-19.71%	0.2160	✓	1.26
2026-01-14	oos	0.1801	0.179642	-0.25%	0.172	-4.50%	0.0256	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	0.1811	0.180316	-0.43%	0.1801	-0.55%	0.0219	✓	1.27
2026-01-12	oos	0.1682	0.16782	-0.23%	0.1811	+7.67%	0.0198	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.1707	0.170214	-0.28%	0.1682	-1.46%	0.0163	✓	1.26
2026-01-10	oos	0.1766	0.175966	-0.36%	0.1707	-3.34%	0.0374	✓	1.28
2026-01-09	oos	0.175	0.174403	-0.34%	0.1766	+0.91%	0.0146	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.1728	0.172162	-0.37%	0.175	+1.27%	0.0238	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.1784	0.177626	-0.43%	0.1728	-3.14%	0.0226	✓	1.79
2026-01-06	oos	0.1862	0.185051	-0.62%	0.1784	-4.19%	0.0108	✗	1.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.1866	0.185072	-0.82%	0.1862	-0.21%	0.0089	✗	1.78
2026-01-04	oos	0.1777	0.176893	-0.45%	0.1866	+5.01%	0.0082	✗	1.76
2026-01-03	oos	0.173	0.172186	-0.47%	0.1777	+2.72%	0.0142	✗	1.76
2026-01-02	oos	0.172	0.171023	-0.57%	0.173	+0.58%	0.0010	✓	1.76
2026-01-01	oos	0.1638	0.163192	-0.37%	0.172	+5.01%	0.0288	✗	1.74
2025-12-31	oos	0.1581	0.15752	-0.37%	0.1638	+3.61%	0.0148	✗	1.73
2025-12-30	oos	0.162	0.161317	-0.42%	0.1581	-2.41%	0.0025	✓	1.72
2025-12-29	oos	0.1553	0.15489	-0.26%	0.162	+4.31%	0.0200	✗	1.69
2025-12-28	oos	0.1565	0.155978	-0.33%	0.1553	-0.77%	0.0105	✗	1.70
2025-12-27	oos	0.1583	0.157549	-0.47%	0.1565	-1.14%	0.0080	✓	1.67
2025-12-26	oos	0.1507	0.150388	-0.21%	0.1583	+5.04%	0.0416	✗	1.66
2025-12-25	oos	0.1533	0.15305	-0.16%	0.1507	-1.70%	0.0178	✓	1.66
2025-12-24	oos	0.1615	0.161116	-0.24%	0.1533	-5.08%	0.0414	✓	1.66
2025-12-23	oos	0.1645	0.164184	-0.19%	0.1615	-1.82%	0.0199	✓	1.65
2025-12-22	oos	0.1649	0.164514	-0.23%	0.1645	-0.24%	0.0210	✗	1.65
2025-12-21	oos	0.163	0.162628	-0.23%	0.1649	+1.17%	0.0154	✗	1.65
2025-12-20	oos	0.1697	0.169341	-0.21%	0.163	-3.95%	0.0441	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	0.1605	0.16023	-0.17%	0.1697	+5.73%	0.0531	✗	1.66
2025-12-18	oos	0.1465	0.146605	+0.07%	0.1605	+9.56%	0.0412	✓	1.63
2025-12-17	oos	0.153	0.153112	+0.07%	0.1465	-4.25%	0.0299	✗	1.63
2025-12-16	oos	0.1628	0.16283	+0.02%	0.153	-6.02%	0.0317	✗	1.62
2025-12-15	oos	0.1624	0.162471	+0.04%	0.1628	+0.25%	0.0248	✗	1.63
2025-12-14	oos	0.1675	0.167524	+0.01%	0.1624	-3.04%	0.0017	✓	1.63
2025-12-13	oos	0.1754	0.175361	-0.02%	0.1675	-4.50%	0.0079	✓	1.63
2025-12-12	oos	0.1751	0.175063	-0.02%	0.1754	+0.17%	0.0023	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	0.1818	0.181519	-0.15%	0.1751	-3.69%	0.0044	✗	1.63
2025-12-10	oos	0.1851	0.184834	-0.14%	0.1818	-1.78%	0.0256	✓	1.64
2025-12-09	oos	0.1891	0.188543	-0.29%	0.1851	-2.12%	0.0068	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	0.1798	0.179649	-0.08%	0.1891	+5.17%	0.0154	✗	1.62
2025-12-07	oos	0.1767	0.176562	-0.08%	0.1798	+1.75%	0.0137	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	0.1812	0.180881	-0.18%	0.1767	-2.48%	0.0439	✓	1.63
2025-12-05	oos	0.179	0.178936	-0.04%	0.1812	+1.23%	0.0140	✗	1.63
2025-12-04	oos	0.1893	0.189022	-0.15%	0.179	-5.44%	0.0052	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	0.1949	0.194423	-0.24%	0.1893	-2.87%	0.0028	✓	1.63
2025-12-02	oos	0.1904	0.190168	-0.12%	0.1949	+2.36%	0.0136	✓	1.64
2025-12-01	oos	0.1869	0.186835	-0.04%	0.1904	+1.87%	0.0799	✓	1.75
2025-11-30	oos	0.195	0.194937	-0.03%	0.1869	-4.15%	0.0408	✗	1.79
2025-11-29	oos	0.2012	0.201014	-0.09%	0.195	-3.08%	0.0213	✓	1.78
2025-11-28	oos	0.20235	0.202161	-0.09%	0.2012	-0.57%	0.0033	✓	1.78
2025-11-27	oos	0.2057	0.205259	-0.21%	0.20235	-1.63%	0.0062	✓	1.78
2025-11-26	oos	0.20555	0.205427	-0.06%	0.2057	+0.07%	0.0150	✓	1.75
2025-11-25	oos	0.2049	0.204964	+0.03%	0.20555	+0.32%	0.0612	✗	1.81
2025-11-24	oos	0.2115	0.211667	+0.08%	0.2049	-3.12%	0.0131	✗	1.81
2025-11-23	oos	0.20805	0.208426	+0.18%	0.2115	+1.66%	0.0156	✗	1.81
2025-11-22	oos	0.207	0.207588	+0.28%	0.20805	+0.51%	0.0433	✗	1.84
2025-11-21	oos	0.21175	0.212297	+0.26%	0.207	-2.24%	0.0170	✗	1.83
2025-11-20	oos	0.2175	0.218024	+0.24%	0.21175	-2.64%	0.0021	✓	1.83
2025-11-19	oos	0.22935	0.229434	+0.04%	0.2175	-5.17%	0.0512	✓	1.89
2025-11-18	oos	0.2355	0.235516	+0.01%	0.22935	-2.61%	0.0033	✓	1.89
2025-11-17	oos	0.23525	0.235412	+0.07%	0.2355	+0.11%	0.0163	✗	1.90
2025-11-16	oos	0.24075	0.240791	+0.02%	0.23525	-2.28%	0.0188	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.24695	0.246922	-0.01%	0.24075	-2.51%	0.0018	✗	1.89
2025-11-14	oos	0.24405	0.244232	+0.07%	0.24695	+1.19%	0.0096	✗	1.89
2025-11-13	oos	0.25205	0.251925	-0.05%	0.24405	-3.17%	0.0733	✗	2.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.2673	0.266645	-0.24%	0.25205	-5.71%	0.0163	✓	1.99
2025-11-11	oos	0.27265	0.272412	-0.09%	0.2673	-1.96%	0.0075	✗	1.98
2025-11-10	oos	0.2966	0.295912	-0.23%	0.27265	-8.07%	0.0270	✓	1.93
2025-11-09	oos	0.29045	0.289725	-0.25%	0.2966	+2.12%	0.0002	✓	1.94
2025-11-08	oos	0.29515	0.294249	-0.31%	0.29045	-1.59%	0.0591	✓	1.98
2025-11-07	oos	0.3126	0.310177	-0.78%	0.29515	-5.58%	0.0308	✓	1.94
2025-11-06	oos	0.26315	0.262395	-0.29%	0.3126	+18.79%	0.1390	✗	1.85
2025-11-05	oos	0.25415	0.253982	-0.07%	0.26315	+3.54%	0.0835	✗	1.91
2025-11-04	oos	0.24405	0.244143	+0.04%	0.25415	+4.14%	0.0046	✗	1.92
2025-11-03	oos	0.25155	0.251219	-0.13%	0.24405	-2.98%	0.0699	✗	2.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.27195	0.270719	-0.45%	0.25155	-7.50%	0.0006	✓	2.02
2025-11-01	oos	0.27175	0.271273	-0.18%	0.27195	+0.07%	0.0064	✓	2.03
2025-10-31	oos	0.2666	0.266001	-0.22%	0.27175	+1.93%	0.0122	✗	2.02
2025-10-30	oos	0.2652	0.264101	-0.41%	0.2666	+0.53%	0.0138	✓	2.03
2025-10-29	oos	0.28125	0.280584	-0.24%	0.2652	-5.71%	0.0248	✓	2.00
2025-10-28	oos	0.2852	0.284547	-0.23%	0.28125	-1.38%	0.0409	✗	2.04
2025-10-27	oos	0.2965	0.295367	-0.38%	0.2852	-3.81%	0.0139	✓	2.03
2025-10-26	oos	0.2991	0.297842	-0.42%	0.2965	-0.87%	0.0037	✓	2.04
2025-10-25	oos	0.29355	0.292709	-0.29%	0.2991	+1.89%	0.0311	✓	2.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.29495	0.293744	-0.41%	0.29355	-0.47%	0.0122	✓	2.07
2025-10-23	oos	0.2875	0.286884	-0.21%	0.29495	+2.59%	0.0105	✗	2.06
2025-10-22	oos	0.27735	0.276945	-0.15%	0.2875	+3.66%	0.0106	✓	2.07
2025-10-21	oos	0.2829	0.282519	-0.13%	0.27735	-1.96%	0.0036	✓	2.07
2025-10-20	oos	0.29235	0.291797	-0.19%	0.2829	-3.23%	0.0109	✗	2.08
2025-10-19	oos	0.2889	0.288507	-0.14%	0.29235	+1.19%	0.0228	✓	2.09
2025-10-18	oos	0.28685	0.286687	-0.06%	0.2889	+0.71%	0.0208	✓	2.10
2025-10-17	oos	0.2824	0.282406	+0.00%	0.28685	+1.58%	0.0010	✓	2.09
2025-10-16	oos	0.2888	0.288678	-0.04%	0.2824	-2.22%	0.0120	✗	2.10
2025-10-15	oos	0.29865	0.298324	-0.11%	0.2888	-3.30%	0.0181	✗	2.12
2025-10-14	oos	0.3155	0.314838	-0.21%	0.29865	-5.34%	0.0099	✓	2.12
2025-10-13	oos	0.32845	0.326714	-0.53%	0.3155	-3.94%	0.0061	✗	2.12
2025-10-12	oos	0.306	0.304947	-0.34%	0.32845	+7.34%	0.0705	✗	2.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.27425	0.274035	-0.08%	0.306	+11.58%	0.0318	✗	2.06
2025-10-10	oos	0.2654	0.265478	+0.03%	0.27425	+3.33%	0.0746	✓	2.12
2025-10-09	oos	0.3868	0.385809	-0.26%	0.2654	-31.39%	0.2753	✓	1.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.40045	0.399511	-0.23%	0.3868	-3.41%	0.0148	✓	1.32
2025-10-07	oos	0.39895	0.397697	-0.31%	0.40045	+0.38%	0.0143	✓	1.33
2025-10-06	oos	0.4093	0.408164	-0.28%	0.39895	-2.53%	0.0137	✗	1.35
2025-10-05	oos	0.4024	0.401276	-0.28%	0.4093	+1.71%	0.0068	✗	1.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.4036	0.402757	-0.21%	0.4024	-0.30%	0.0126	✓	1.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.4156	0.41437	-0.30%	0.4036	-2.89%	0.0279	✓	1.35
2025-10-02	oos	0.4167	0.415164	-0.37%	0.4156	-0.26%	0.0180	✓	1.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.4109	0.409508	-0.34%	0.4167	+1.41%	0.0050	✓	1.37
2025-09-30	oos	0.3938	0.392595	-0.31%	0.4109	+4.34%	0.0090	✓	1.38
2025-09-29	oos	0.4029	0.401366	-0.38%	0.3938	-2.26%	0.0154	✓	1.38
2025-09-28	oos	0.41305	0.411943	-0.27%	0.4029	-2.46%	0.0497	✓	1.44
2025-09-27	oos	0.4041	0.403513	-0.15%	0.41305	+2.21%	0.0095	✓	1.45
2025-09-26	oos	0.41015	0.409618	-0.13%	0.4041	-1.48%	0.0133	✓	1.45
2025-09-25	oos	0.39875	0.398326	-0.11%	0.41015	+2.86%	0.0206	✗	1.44
2025-09-24	oos	0.4212	0.420109	-0.26%	0.39875	-5.33%	0.0042	✗	1.45
2025-09-23	oos	0.42185	0.421493	-0.08%	0.4212	-0.15%	0.0180	✓	1.47
2025-09-22	oos	0.427	0.426288	-0.17%	0.42185	-1.21%	0.0011	✓	1.47
2025-09-21	oos	0.46255	0.461665	-0.19%	0.427	-7.69%	0.0469	✓	1.40
2025-09-20	oos	0.4707	0.469697	-0.21%	0.46255	-1.73%	0.0097	✓	1.39
2025-09-19	oos	0.4696	0.468319	-0.27%	0.4707	+0.23%	0.0043	✗	1.39
2025-09-18	oos	0.4854	0.483712	-0.35%	0.4696	-3.26%	0.0127	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.48145	0.479851	-0.33%	0.4854	+0.82%	0.0040	✗	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.