4STOCK
4Stock · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s1
- token id
- #596
- symbol
- 4STOCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd270d4e1ec6e6e0d28c0ecb8be966ec75997ffff
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0983
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0042
actual -0.0339
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.003904 | 0.003885 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.003528 | 0.003525 | -0.09% | 0.003904 | +10.66% | 0.1135 | ✗ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003593 | 0.003592 | -0.03% | 0.003528 | -1.82% | 0.0698 | ✓ | 3.87 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0032 | 0.00321 | +0.33% | 0.003593 | +12.31% | 0.1209 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003746 | 0.00375 | +0.10% | 0.0032 | -14.59% | 0.1892 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.003468 | 0.003481 | +0.39% | 0.003746 | +8.03% | 0.0793 | ✓ | 4.02 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003481 | 0.003497 | +0.46% | 0.003468 | -0.40% | 0.0226 | ✓ | 4.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00381 | 0.003826 | +0.42% | 0.003481 | -8.62% | 0.1224 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004392 | 0.004397 | +0.10% | 0.00381 | -13.26% | 0.0665 | ✗ | 4.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004583 | 0.004593 | +0.21% | 0.004392 | -4.17% | 0.1133 | ✗ | 4.16 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005344 | 0.005332 | -0.21% | 0.004583 | -14.22% | 0.0532 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005176 | 0.005178 | +0.03% | 0.005344 | +3.24% | 0.0068 | ✗ | 4.15 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005327 | 0.00533 | +0.05% | 0.005176 | -2.83% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.004808 | 0.004829 | +0.43% | 0.005327 | +10.79% | 0.0878 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005606 | 0.005611 | +0.11% | 0.004808 | -14.23% | 0.1353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.007086 | 0.007033 | -0.75% | 0.005606 | -20.89% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.006889 | 0.006855 | -0.51% | 0.007086 | +2.85% | 0.0356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.007242 | 0.007196 | -0.63% | 0.006889 | -4.87% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.007364 | 0.007324 | -0.53% | 0.007242 | -1.65% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.007354 | 0.007324 | -0.41% | 0.007364 | +0.13% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.009011 | 0.008942 | -0.77% | 0.007354 | -18.39% | 0.1914 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.009411 | 0.009336 | -0.79% | 0.009011 | -4.25% | 0.0508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008594 | 0.008546 | -0.55% | 0.009411 | +9.51% | 0.0974 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.009772 | 0.009703 | -0.70% | 0.008594 | -12.06% | 0.1236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011118 | 0.011007 | -1.00% | 0.009772 | -12.11% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.010767 | 0.010674 | -0.86% | 0.011118 | +3.26% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010275 | 0.010202 | -0.72% | 0.010767 | +4.78% | 0.0500 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.011434 | 0.011346 | -0.77% | 0.010275 | -10.13% | 0.0956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.013476 | 0.013327 | -1.11% | 0.011434 | -15.15% | 0.1533 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.015175 | 0.014804 | -2.44% | 0.013476 | -11.20% | 0.0727 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.011248 | 0.011102 | -1.29% | 0.015175 | +34.91% | 0.3171 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.009298 | 0.009249 | -0.53% | 0.011248 | +20.97% | 0.1308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011466 | 0.01133 | -1.19% | 0.009298 | -18.91% | 0.1967 | ✓ | 1.00 |