XRD

Radix · native · gru_s0

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1196

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000195075	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000202061	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.00019594	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000153611	-3.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000146632	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000132692	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000197532	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000264256	-2.05%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2436	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000294586	-2.55%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3155	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000305556	-2.69%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4090	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000320818	-3.25%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.6965	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000307499	-2.91%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.6983	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000305149	-3.13%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7580	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000296756	-3.12%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.3943	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000305254	-3.43%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1195	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000320579	-3.64%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0749	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000323646	-3.30%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0532	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000336037	-3.49%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0519	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000346065	-3.37%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1157	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000341374	-4.05%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.0985	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000351357	-4.37%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1565	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000362273	-4.44%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1675	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000360465	-4.99%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.0829	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000386954	-5.11%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1267	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000393297	-5.31%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1007	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000419671	-5.09%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1398	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000434108	-5.22%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.1959	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000414759	-5.19%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1174	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000446144	-5.18%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1585	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.00047082	-5.29%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2238	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000501233	-4.90%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2311	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000448897	-4.35%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1057	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000512275	-6.19%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1261	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000494879	-5.77%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0574	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000534087	-5.92%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1803	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000539399	-6.37%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.0846	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000480497	-4.55%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0876	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000526766	-5.20%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0678	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000484567	-4.02%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0097	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000478212	-3.02%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1561	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.00049431	-3.22%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0820	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000473639	-2.24%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2007	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000479582	-2.13%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1824	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000460436	-1.93%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0788	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000469405	-2.13%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1554	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000424533	-2.07%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1695	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000472956	-1.94%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0238	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000463646	-1.81%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0834	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000497068	-0.96%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0370	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000479248	-0.77%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0018	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000574173	+0.71%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2005	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000597331	+1.00%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2186	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000632603	+1.59%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3770	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000840937	+1.38%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5553	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000878882	+1.35%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6213	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000882826	+1.21%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5647	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000827501	+1.86%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5392	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000832038	+1.57%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3768	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000914588	+1.22%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4348	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000938731	+1.24%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4100	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000893224	+1.15%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0740	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000800363	+1.21%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0796	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000932079	+1.18%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0664	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000926749	+0.30%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1275	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000961733	-0.48%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1640	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001023	-1.63%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1644	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000880682	-1.15%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0178	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000913025	-1.45%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0774	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000946293	-1.49%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2210	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000907217	-1.33%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0295	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000927014	-1.27%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0324	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000966967	-1.38%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0198	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000915606	-1.21%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1233	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000898077	-1.10%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0099	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000910452	-1.01%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0240	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.00092314	-1.01%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0459	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000916682	-1.01%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0089	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000903441	-1.07%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0411	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000952111	-1.11%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0329	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000935613	-1.13%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0079	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000968868	-1.30%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0662	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000971012	-1.31%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0585	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000937223	-1.28%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0115	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000952037	-1.25%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0340	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000953206	-0.92%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0414	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000955218	-0.93%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0057	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000969526	-0.87%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0249	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000986123	-0.84%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0039	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.001015	-0.72%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0250	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000985489	-0.70%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0327	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001097	-1.26%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1245	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000824263	-0.21%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1564	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.00082869	-0.11%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1631	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000810489	-0.03%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2022	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000832251	-0.10%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1869	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000843108	-0.12%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1886	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.00086143	-0.11%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1444	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000892023	-0.21%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2181	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000874154	-0.20%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0641	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000862936	-0.15%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0485	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000849813	-0.13%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0572	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000843411	-0.22%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0331	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.00092227	-0.31%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0943	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000855042	-0.19%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0017	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000888174	-0.19%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0080	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000908429	-0.23%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0405	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000916196	-0.25%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0746	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000900288	-0.16%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0674	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000910008	-0.12%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0621	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.00093076	-0.15%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0070	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000897232	-0.11%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0500	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000879801	-0.09%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0022	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000891424	-0.15%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0111	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000887492	-0.19%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0204	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000849634	-0.14%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0326	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000857837	-0.14%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0390	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.00087015	-0.15%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0444	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000864038	-0.13%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0203	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000893307	-0.18%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0294	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000914689	-0.21%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0351	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000942722	-0.24%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0512	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000970173	-0.29%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.1015	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001053	-0.50%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1793	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.00106	-0.53%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1718	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001105	-0.67%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2177	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001087	-0.65%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1724	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001094	-0.69%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1574	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001082	-0.70%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1153	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001097	-0.77%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.1034	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001112	-0.84%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0358	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001106	-0.82%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0222	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001118	-0.86%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0044	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001093	-0.79%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0010	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001103	-0.87%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0029	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001102	-0.88%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0297	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001115	-1.03%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0320	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001086	-1.05%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0116	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001049	-0.99%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0470	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001028	-0.86%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0704	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001021	-0.90%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0601	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001069	-1.37%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0417	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001041	-1.35%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0840	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001001	-1.41%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1583	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001023	-1.65%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1412	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001063	-1.62%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0842	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001053	-1.56%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0955	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001071	-1.61%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0780	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001067	-1.59%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1072	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001102	-1.57%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0439	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001144	-1.52%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0454	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001102	-1.23%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0044	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001007	-1.09%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1013	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001005	-1.10%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0902	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001051	-1.23%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0548	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001062	-0.99%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0588	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001071	-0.96%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0756	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001115	-1.08%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0506	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001136	-1.05%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0206	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001137	-0.97%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1067	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001163	-0.88%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1222	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001185	-0.74%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0759	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001205	-0.39%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0867	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001215	-0.66%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.1019	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001241	-0.50%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0655	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001246	-0.29%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0408	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001244	-0.14%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0394	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001255	-0.35%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0449	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001241	-0.34%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0287	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001257	-0.35%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0467	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001283	-0.09%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0247	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001273	-0.09%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0155	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001284	-0.23%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0504	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001258	-0.37%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0547	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.00126	-0.35%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0254	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001255	-0.38%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0334	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001251	-0.79%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0460	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001267	-0.90%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0695	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001272	-0.84%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0610	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.00132	-0.65%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0595	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.00136	-0.32%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0721	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001343	-0.57%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0754	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.00132	-0.49%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0583	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001291	-0.19%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0066	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001287	-0.23%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0307	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001272	-0.84%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0089	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001274	-0.95%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0186	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001276	-1.42%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0017	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001274	-0.89%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0320	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001315	-0.53%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0040	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001229	-0.98%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0076	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001239	-0.98%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0065	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001226	-1.04%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0149	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001216	-0.94%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0355	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001158	-1.58%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0661	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001168	-1.15%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0574	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001184	-1.08%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0523	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.00122	-1.25%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0315	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001236	-1.33%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0435	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001252	-1.26%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0438	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001293	-1.79%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1395	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.0012	-1.62%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0476	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001164	-1.49%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0761	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001167	-1.44%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0698	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001152	-1.32%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0079	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001155	-1.33%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0339	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001189	-1.19%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0066	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001158	-0.93%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0942	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001181	-0.80%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0174	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001235	-0.88%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0599	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001321	-0.90%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1195	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001447	-0.75%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1853	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001504	-0.46%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.2009	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001518	-0.36%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1962	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001536	-0.24%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.2081	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001516	-0.36%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2097	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001576	-0.34%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1925	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001572	-0.24%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0979	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001763	-0.36%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1711	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001775	-0.40%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1618	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001838	-0.51%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1343	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001856	-0.61%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1242	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001854	-0.69%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1187	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001833	-0.76%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1106	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001835	-0.84%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1453	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.0018	-0.89%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0075	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001804	-0.96%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0284	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001787	-1.04%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0289	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.00186	-1.09%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0988	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001818	-1.01%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0864	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001917	-1.11%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.1024	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001916	-1.12%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0806	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002056	-1.29%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1186	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002135	-1.40%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1211	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002052	-1.22%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1538	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.0022	-1.38%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1511	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002176	-1.28%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1726	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002454	-1.73%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2400	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002397	-1.73%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2474	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002289	-1.69%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1462	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002292	-1.83%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1279	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002143	-1.54%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0991	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002363	-2.03%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1236	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002508	-2.56%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.1006	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002351	-2.90%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0755	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001807	-1.87%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3325	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001741	-1.78%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2825	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.00172	-1.79%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2821	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001714	-2.05%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2901	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001557	-2.19%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.5029	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001553	-2.24%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5227	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001607	-2.54%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4372	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001734	-2.55%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0728	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001756	-2.19%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0026	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001786	-2.45%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0103	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001914	-2.99%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0695	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001922	-3.25%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1702	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.00198	-3.38%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.1980	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002004	-3.41%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2031	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001974	-3.67%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0783	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001716	-1.04%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0056	✓	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002014	-3.64%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0266	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002328	-3.87%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0985	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.00235	-3.81%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0870	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002181	-3.59%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0012	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002356	-3.61%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0421	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002925	-4.35%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2911	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002889	-4.64%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.4001	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.00274	-4.50%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1762	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002477	-4.21%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0549	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001883	-2.44%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3024	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001886	-2.43%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2255	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002342	-3.35%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0698	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002458	-3.86%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2319	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002821	-6.96%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.0840	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002087	-4.11%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3189	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001595	-2.62%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4822	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001254	-1.53%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4517	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001224	-1.36%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.4938	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001196	-1.17%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7382	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001237	-1.06%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7597	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001238	-1.04%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9298	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.00114	-0.97%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6876	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001071	-1.46%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4660	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001052	-1.98%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1834	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001031	-2.13%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1690	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001044	-1.88%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1189	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001286	-0.83%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0603	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.00142	-0.57%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1574	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001436	-0.46%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2713	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001479	-0.25%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3225	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001477	-0.19%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2959	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001508	-0.25%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3535	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001508	-0.26%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3467	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001509	-0.26%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1566	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001495	-0.26%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0670	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001487	-0.26%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0646	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001495	-0.24%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0564	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001526	-0.30%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0938	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001548	-0.30%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0577	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001543	-0.30%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0467	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001504	-0.26%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0190	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001513	-0.24%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0243	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001541	-0.24%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0321	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001499	-0.19%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0093	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001521	-0.18%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0200	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001559	-0.20%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0033	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001548	-0.20%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0049	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001524	-0.20%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0031	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001464	-0.16%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0199	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001587	-0.23%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0398	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001568	-0.22%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0388	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.0017	-0.31%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1296	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001757	-0.36%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1218	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.00177	-0.35%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1143	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001741	-0.32%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1115	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001769	-0.29%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1227	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001806	-0.30%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0732	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001841	-0.32%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1158	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001853	-0.31%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0450	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001862	-0.32%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0348	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001899	-0.34%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0757	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001945	-0.36%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1160	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001934	-0.32%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0904	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001894	-0.23%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0314	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002106	-0.35%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1452	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.002019	-0.20%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1295	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002082	-0.25%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.1087	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002048	-0.20%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0561	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002099	-0.23%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0564	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.00215	-0.27%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.1109	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002234	-0.39%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1926	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002121	-0.29%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0422	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002107	-0.30%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0208	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002062	-0.24%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0234	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002048	-0.19%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0603	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002025	-0.17%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0208	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002107	-0.32%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0249	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002121	-0.42%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0670	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002362	-0.71%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0431	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002359	-0.71%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0679	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002492	-0.93%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.1051	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.00248	-0.96%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0670	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002471	-0.95%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0910	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.00252	-1.14%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0247	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002352	-1.00%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0197	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002332	-1.02%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1374	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002403	-1.17%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1494	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002417	-1.18%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1614	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002316	-1.06%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1550	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002326	-1.17%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1711	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002271	-1.06%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1344	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.00229	-1.26%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0619	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002319	-1.15%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0017	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002419	-1.55%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0122	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002516	-1.76%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0407	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002531	-1.81%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0148	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.00249	-1.83%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0174	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002452	-1.80%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0172	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002513	-1.94%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0099	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002491	-2.03%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0816	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002506	-2.06%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0711	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002515	-2.07%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0663	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002487	-2.06%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0558	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002539	-2.00%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0173	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002597	-2.03%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0165	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002507	-1.74%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0080	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002568	-1.80%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0650	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002713	-2.05%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1005	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002701	-1.94%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1183	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002563	-1.52%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0609	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002537	-1.26%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0312	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002305	-0.71%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1167	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002575	-1.66%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0287	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002699	-2.04%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0234	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002806	-2.21%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0429	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.00281	-2.30%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0554	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002715	-2.15%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0012	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003059	-2.17%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.0961	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003652	-1.42%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3265	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003557	-1.49%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1804	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003487	-1.89%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1481	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003578	-1.58%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1224	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003482	-1.70%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.1037	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003679	-1.64%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1579	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003812	-1.58%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.1000	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003911	-1.72%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0653	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003827	-2.06%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1058	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003678	-2.72%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1106	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003676	-2.84%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1228	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.00368	-3.05%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1644	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003635	-3.22%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1163	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003708	-3.23%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.0995	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.00371	-3.29%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0622	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.00392	-2.84%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0645	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003992	-2.88%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0788	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004016	-2.80%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0791	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004198	-2.17%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0633	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004139	-2.09%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0215	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004505	-1.58%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0900	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004527	-1.36%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0670	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.