XCH

Chia · native · gru_s0

token id: #626
symbol: XCH
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-05-06
predictions: 3,642

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

72.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1491

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0067

actual -0.0875

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	1.5025	1.4799	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	1.512	1.4822	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	1.5675	1.5231	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-18	oos	1.57	1.5237	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-17	oos	1.6035	1.5459	-3.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-16	oos	1.6015	1.5442	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-15	oos	1.5965	1.5432	-3.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	1.576	1.5202	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	1.6315	1.5768	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	1.586	1.5271	-3.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-11	oos	1.5905	1.5402	-3.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-10	oos	1.5935	1.5344	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-09	oos	1.521	1.4673	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-08	oos	1.469	1.4167	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-07	oos	1.495	1.4476	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-06	oos	1.5675	1.527	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-05	oos	1.5835	1.5383	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-04	oos	1.5855	1.5477	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-03	oos	1.5745	1.533	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	1.534	1.4991	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	1.599	1.5566	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	1.625	1.5741	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	1.593	1.5478	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-28	oos	1.558	1.5257	-2.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.5795	1.5484	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-26	oos	1.649	1.6043	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-25	oos	1.6535	1.6105	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-24	oos	1.63	1.6058	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-23	oos	1.544	1.5386	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-09-22	oos	1.626	1.6139	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-21	oos	1.721	1.7008	-1.17%	1.5025	-12.70%	0.1043	✓	0.66
2026-09-20	oos	1.5395	1.5208	-1.21%	1.512	-1.79%	0.0177	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	1.5355	1.5193	-1.06%	1.5675	+2.08%	0.0272	✗	0.55
2026-09-18	oos	1.5045	1.4907	-0.92%	1.57	+4.35%	0.0443	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	1.4215	1.39	-2.22%	1.6035	+12.80%	0.1122	✗	0.48
2026-09-16	oos	1.3805	1.358	-1.63%	1.6015	+16.01%	0.1328	✗	0.47
2026-09-15	oos	1.367	1.3438	-1.70%	1.5965	+16.79%	0.1336	✗	0.47
2026-09-14	oos	1.471	1.451	-1.36%	1.576	+7.14%	0.0651	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	1.479	1.4572	-1.47%	1.6315	+10.31%	0.0800	✗	0.42
2026-09-12	oos	1.494	1.4821	-0.80%	1.586	+6.16%	0.0445	✗	0.41
2026-09-11	oos	1.489	1.4809	-0.54%	1.5905	+6.82%	0.0389	✗	0.40
2026-09-10	oos	1.493	1.4918	-0.08%	1.5935	+6.73%	0.0316	✗	0.43
2026-09-09	oos	1.5705	1.5728	+0.15%	1.521	-3.15%	0.0547	✗	0.40
2026-09-08	oos	1.6185	1.6224	+0.24%	1.469	-9.24%	0.1157	✗	0.40
2026-09-07	oos	1.645	1.6568	+0.72%	1.495	-9.12%	0.1237	✗	0.41
2026-09-06	oos	1.4935	1.5318	+2.56%	1.5675	+4.95%	0.0085	✓	0.50
2026-09-05	oos	1.4495	1.4972	+3.29%	1.5835	+9.24%	0.0204	✓	0.50
2026-09-04	oos	1.416	1.4689	+3.74%	1.5855	+11.97%	0.0286	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	1.441	1.5109	+4.85%	1.5745	+9.26%	0.0164	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	1.419	1.4634	+3.13%	1.534	+8.10%	0.0038	✓	0.57
2026-09-01	oos	1.448	1.4947	+3.22%	1.599	+10.43%	0.0152	✓	0.57
2026-08-31	oos	1.4235	1.4775	+3.79%	1.625	+14.16%	0.0597	✓	0.57
2026-08-30	oos	1.413	1.4752	+4.40%	1.593	+12.74%	0.0283	✓	0.65
2026-08-29	oos	1.3835	1.4737	+6.52%	1.558	+12.61%	0.0170	✓	0.60
2026-08-28	oos	1.3995	1.4882	+6.34%	1.5795	+12.86%	0.0107	✓	0.60
2026-08-27	oos	1.411	1.5391	+9.08%	1.649	+16.87%	0.0384	✓	0.61
2026-08-26	oos	1.3785	1.4903	+8.11%	1.6535	+19.95%	0.0669	✓	0.60
2026-08-25	oos	1.387	1.4944	+7.75%	1.63	+17.52%	0.0420	✓	0.62
2026-08-24	oos	1.388	1.5116	+8.90%	1.544	+11.24%	0.0209	✓	0.64
2026-08-23	oos	1.495	1.5938	+6.61%	1.626	+8.76%	0.0523	✓	0.70
2026-08-22	oos	1.506	1.6095	+6.87%	1.721	+14.28%	0.0155	✓	0.71
2026-08-21	oos	1.5215	1.6595	+9.07%	1.5395	+1.18%	0.1001	✗	0.70
2026-08-20	oos	1.4405	1.5083	+4.71%	1.5355	+6.59%	0.0545	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	1.446	1.4586	+0.87%	1.5045	+4.05%	0.0948	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	1.379	1.3551	-1.73%	1.4215	+3.08%	0.0863	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	1.383	1.3685	-1.05%	1.3805	-0.18%	0.1311	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	1.3765	1.3402	-2.64%	1.367	-0.69%	0.1370	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	1.328	1.2925	-2.67%	1.471	+10.77%	0.0517	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	1.3045	1.2683	-2.78%	1.479	+13.38%	0.0111	✓	0.83
2026-08-13	oos	1.315	1.2779	-2.82%	1.494	+13.61%	0.0006	✓	0.79
2026-08-12	oos	1.301	1.2675	-2.57%	1.489	+14.45%	0.0009	✓	0.82
2026-08-11	oos	1.3435	1.3227	-1.55%	1.493	+11.13%	0.0313	✓	0.82
2026-08-10	oos	1.373	1.3519	-1.54%	1.5705	+14.38%	0.0031	✓	0.75
2026-08-09	oos	1.333	1.3179	-1.13%	1.6185	+21.42%	0.0559	✗	0.79
2026-08-08	oos	1.4055	1.3944	-0.79%	1.645	+17.04%	0.0086	✗	0.79
2026-08-07	oos	1.3115	1.3106	-0.07%	1.4935	+13.88%	0.0415	✓	0.81
2026-08-06	oos	1.364	1.3623	-0.13%	1.4495	+6.27%	0.1150	✓	0.82
2026-08-05	oos	1.4595	1.4484	-0.76%	1.416	-2.98%	0.1958	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	1.5125	1.4894	-1.52%	1.441	-4.73%	0.2273	✓	0.82
2026-08-03	oos	1.5395	1.5042	-2.29%	1.419	-7.83%	0.2206	✓	0.82
2026-08-02	oos	1.73	1.6619	-3.94%	1.448	-16.30%	0.3015	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	1.456	1.4192	-2.53%	1.4235	-2.23%	0.1621	✓	0.74
2026-07-31	oos	1.416	1.385	-2.19%	1.413	-0.21%	0.1356	✓	0.73
2026-07-30	oos	1.4355	1.4193	-1.13%	1.3835	-3.62%	0.1660	✓	0.74
2026-07-29	oos	1.3685	1.3503	-1.33%	1.3995	+2.27%	0.0968	✓	0.67
2026-07-28	oos	1.334	1.3201	-1.05%	1.411	+5.77%	0.0862	✓	0.67
2026-07-27	oos	1.2615	1.2513	-0.81%	1.3785	+9.27%	0.0448	✓	0.66
2026-07-26	oos	1.32	1.3229	+0.22%	1.387	+5.08%	0.0692	✗	0.63
2026-07-25	oos	1.2785	1.2813	+0.22%	1.388	+8.56%	0.0496	✗	0.63
2026-07-24	oos	1.156	1.1617	+0.49%	1.495	+29.33%	0.1341	✓	0.61
2026-07-23	oos	1.1585	1.1693	+0.93%	1.506	+30.00%	0.1493	✓	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	1.2395	1.2576	+1.46%	1.5215	+22.75%	0.0884	✓	0.60
2026-07-21	oos	1.2055	1.2204	+1.23%	1.4405	+19.49%	0.1098	✓	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	1.206	1.2137	+0.64%	1.446	+19.90%	0.1348	✓	0.66
2026-07-19	oos	1.2805	1.2866	+0.48%	1.379	+7.69%	0.0694	✓	0.70
2026-07-18	oos	1.3235	1.3314	+0.60%	1.383	+4.50%	0.0416	✓	0.71
2026-07-17	oos	1.367	1.3724	+0.40%	1.3765	+0.69%	0.0152	✓	0.73
2026-07-16	oos	1.3915	1.3922	+0.05%	1.328	-4.56%	0.0390	✗	0.69
2026-07-15	oos	1.4815	1.4789	-0.17%	1.3045	-11.95%	0.1078	✓	0.65
2026-07-14	oos	1.4045	1.4043	-0.02%	1.315	-6.37%	0.0495	✓	0.66
2026-07-13	oos	1.4	1.3896	-0.74%	1.301	-7.07%	0.0787	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	1.427	1.4204	-0.47%	1.3435	-5.85%	0.0533	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	1.4505	1.4413	-0.63%	1.373	-5.34%	0.0500	✓	0.66
2026-07-10	oos	1.4865	1.4758	-0.72%	1.333	-10.33%	0.1092	✓	0.67
2026-07-09	oos	1.537	1.5176	-1.27%	1.4055	-8.56%	0.0953	✓	0.69
2026-07-08	oos	1.5135	1.5027	-0.71%	1.3115	-13.35%	0.1633	✓	0.65
2026-07-07	oos	1.5565	1.5528	-0.24%	1.364	-12.37%	0.1393	✓	0.66
2026-07-06	oos	1.6195	1.614	-0.34%	1.4595	-9.88%	0.1067	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	1.601	1.601	-0.00%	1.5125	-5.53%	0.0617	✓	0.66
2026-07-04	oos	1.656	1.6613	+0.32%	1.5395	-7.04%	0.0802	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	1.6795	1.6848	+0.31%	1.73	+3.01%	0.0161	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	1.7305	1.7351	+0.27%	1.456	-15.86%	0.1895	✗	0.69
2026-07-01	oos	1.753	1.7505	-0.14%	1.416	-19.22%	0.2450	✓	0.71
2026-06-30	oos	1.7225	1.7175	-0.29%	1.4355	-16.66%	0.2512	✓	0.71
2026-06-29	oos	1.5645	1.5674	+0.19%	1.3685	-12.53%	0.1844	✗	0.81
2026-06-28	oos	1.617	1.6169	-0.01%	1.334	-17.50%	0.2501	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	1.611	1.6209	+0.61%	1.2615	-21.69%	0.3000	✗	0.81
2026-06-26	oos	1.692	1.7037	+0.69%	1.32	-21.99%	0.3244	✗	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	1.705	1.716	+0.65%	1.2785	-25.01%	0.3546	✗	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	1.706	1.723	+0.99%	1.156	-32.24%	0.4423	✗	0.87
2026-06-23	oos	1.813	1.8242	+0.62%	1.1585	-36.10%	0.4850	✗	0.82
2026-06-22	oos	1.902	1.9037	+0.09%	1.2395	-34.83%	0.4556	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	1.9005	1.8987	-0.09%	1.2055	-36.57%	0.4949	✓	0.80
2026-06-20	oos	1.889	1.881	-0.43%	1.206	-36.16%	0.4571	✓	0.83
2026-06-19	oos	1.9255	1.9119	-0.70%	1.2805	-33.50%	0.4165	✓	0.83
2026-06-18	oos	1.999	1.9766	-1.12%	1.3235	-33.79%	0.4263	✓	0.84
2026-06-17	oos	2.022	1.9868	-1.74%	1.367	-32.39%	0.3667	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	2.0645	2.0137	-2.46%	1.3915	-32.60%	0.3453	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	2.088	2.0259	-2.98%	1.4815	-29.05%	0.2910	✓	0.92
2026-06-14	oos	2.1335	2.0605	-3.42%	1.4045	-34.17%	0.3733	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	2.164	2.0862	-3.60%	1.4	-35.30%	0.3661	✓	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	2.022	1.9619	-2.97%	1.427	-29.43%	0.3213	✓	0.93
2026-06-11	oos	2.037	1.968	-3.39%	1.4505	-28.79%	0.3082	✓	0.94
2026-06-10	oos	2.0015	1.9437	-2.89%	1.4865	-25.73%	0.3088	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	2.0585	1.9907	-3.29%	1.537	-25.33%	0.2814	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	2.193	2.0942	-4.50%	1.5135	-30.98%	0.3125	✓	0.93
2026-06-07	oos	2.216	2.1042	-5.04%	1.5565	-29.76%	0.3018	✓	0.92
2026-06-06	oos	2.026	1.9464	-3.93%	1.6195	-20.06%	0.2250	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	2.179	2.0674	-5.12%	1.601	-26.53%	0.2881	✓	0.79
2026-06-04	oos	2.201	2.0664	-6.12%	1.656	-24.76%	0.2120	✓	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	2.203	2.0557	-6.69%	1.6795	-23.76%	0.1816	✓	0.85
2026-06-02	oos	2.25	2.086	-7.29%	1.7305	-23.09%	0.1154	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	2.469	2.3115	-6.38%	1.753	-29.00%	0.1303	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	2.3375	2.242	-4.09%	1.7225	-26.31%	0.0542	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	2.356	2.261	-4.03%	1.5645	-33.60%	0.1881	✓	0.88
2026-05-29	oos	2.447	2.3383	-4.44%	1.617	-33.92%	0.1799	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	2.33	2.2358	-4.04%	1.611	-30.86%	0.1429	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	2.5915	2.4756	-4.47%	1.692	-34.71%	0.1990	✓	0.85
2026-05-26	oos	2.707	2.596	-4.10%	1.705	-37.02%	0.2219	✓	0.83
2026-05-25	oos	2.9605	2.8265	-4.53%	1.706	-42.37%	0.3036	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	2.755	2.6536	-3.68%	1.813	-34.19%	0.2022	✓	0.87
2026-05-23	oos	2.946	2.8172	-4.37%	1.902	-35.44%	0.2328	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	2.939	2.7972	-4.82%	1.9005	-35.34%	0.2307	✓	0.88
2026-05-21	oos	3.3705	3.2041	-4.94%	1.889	-43.95%	0.3769	✓	0.80
2026-05-20	oos	3.6355	3.4058	-6.32%	1.9255	-47.04%	0.4102	✓	0.80
2026-05-19	oos	3.3495	3.1493	-5.98%	1.999	-40.32%	0.2984	✓	0.78
2026-05-18	oos	2.8305	2.7394	-3.22%	2.022	-28.56%	0.1579	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	2.6575	2.6111	-1.75%	2.0645	-22.31%	0.0983	✓	0.83
2026-05-16	oos	2.614	2.5839	-1.15%	2.088	-20.12%	0.0764	✓	0.83
2026-05-15	oos	2.3905	2.4185	+1.17%	2.1335	-10.75%	0.0367	✓	0.88
2026-05-14	oos	2.5435	2.5822	+1.52%	2.164	-14.92%	0.0231	✓	0.87
2026-05-13	oos	2.524	2.542	+0.71%	2.022	-19.89%	0.0351	✗	0.87
2026-05-12	oos	2.214	2.2898	+3.43%	2.037	-7.99%	0.1072	✓	0.95
2026-05-11	oos	2.32	2.396	+3.28%	2.0015	-13.73%	0.0869	✓	0.94
2026-05-10	oos	2.433	2.4765	+1.79%	2.0585	-15.39%	0.0790	✓	0.92
2026-05-09	oos	2.34	2.3847	+1.91%	2.193	-6.28%	0.1409	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	2.404	2.4335	+1.23%	2.216	-7.82%	0.1187	✓	0.90
2026-05-07	oos	2.1825	2.2383	+2.56%	2.026	-7.17%	0.1394	✓	0.87
2026-05-06	oos	2.1115	2.2049	+4.42%	2.179	+3.20%	0.2371	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	2.1215	2.2203	+4.66%	2.201	+3.75%	0.1728	✓	0.76
2026-05-04	oos	2.115	2.1892	+3.51%	2.203	+4.16%	0.1721	✓	0.75
2026-05-03	oos	2.138	2.2073	+3.24%	2.25	+5.24%	0.1425	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	2.148	2.2217	+3.43%	2.469	+14.94%	0.1793	✓	0.75
2026-05-01	oos	2.174	2.2396	+3.02%	2.3375	+7.52%	0.0891	✓	0.75
2026-04-30	oos	2.2595	2.2895	+1.33%	2.356	+4.27%	0.0546	✓	0.77
2026-04-29	oos	2.269	2.2903	+0.94%	2.447	+7.84%	0.0909	✓	0.77
2026-04-28	oos	2.262	2.3122	+2.22%	2.33	+3.01%	0.0363	✓	0.76
2026-04-27	oos	2.2705	2.3545	+3.70%	2.5915	+14.14%	0.1266	✓	0.76
2026-04-26	oos	2.366	2.463	+4.10%	2.707	+14.41%	0.1225	✓	0.76
2026-04-25	oos	2.354	2.4607	+4.53%	2.9605	+25.76%	0.1889	✓	0.77
2026-04-24	oos	2.456	2.5804	+5.06%	2.755	+12.17%	0.0704	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	2.5985	2.7341	+5.22%	2.946	+13.37%	0.0909	✓	0.77
2026-04-22	oos	2.781	2.906	+4.49%	2.939	+5.68%	0.0391	✓	0.77
2026-04-21	oos	2.5855	2.7084	+4.75%	3.3705	+30.36%	0.2069	✓	0.76
2026-04-20	oos	2.4755	2.5855	+4.45%	3.6355	+46.86%	0.3250	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	2.393	2.4808	+3.67%	3.3495	+39.97%	0.2714	✓	0.74
2026-04-18	oos	2.4445	2.5449	+4.11%	2.8305	+15.79%	0.0946	✓	0.74
2026-04-17	oos	2.288	2.4146	+5.54%	2.6575	+16.15%	0.0928	✓	0.76
2026-04-16	oos	2.315	2.4212	+4.59%	2.614	+12.92%	0.0473	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	2.1945	2.2863	+4.18%	2.3905	+8.93%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-04-14	oos	2.156	2.2515	+4.43%	2.5435	+17.97%	0.0541	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	2.2415	2.3428	+4.52%	2.524	+12.60%	0.0266	✓	0.76
2026-04-12	oos	2.2345	2.2806	+2.06%	2.214	-0.92%	0.1311	✗	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	2.3175	2.39	+3.13%	2.32	+0.11%	0.1171	✗	0.78
2026-04-10	oos	2.278	2.3368	+2.58%	2.433	+6.80%	0.0534	✗	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	2.3985	2.4386	+1.67%	2.34	-2.44%	0.1345	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	2.3195	2.3749	+2.39%	2.404	+3.64%	0.0836	✗	0.80
2026-04-07	oos	2.3875	2.4411	+2.24%	2.1825	-8.59%	0.1967	✗	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	2.316	2.318	+0.09%	2.1115	-8.83%	0.2252	✗	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	2.3695	2.3721	+0.11%	2.1215	-10.47%	0.2367	✗	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	2.3455	2.3169	-1.22%	2.115	-9.83%	0.2305	✓	0.81
2026-04-03	oos	2.391	2.3495	-1.74%	2.138	-10.58%	0.2246	✓	0.82
2026-04-02	oos	2.4115	2.3941	-0.72%	2.148	-10.93%	0.2405	✓	0.81
2026-04-01	oos	2.504	2.5025	-0.06%	2.174	-13.18%	0.2533	✓	0.81
2026-03-31	oos	2.606	2.602	-0.15%	2.2595	-13.30%	0.2328	✓	0.82
2026-03-30	oos	2.6065	2.6014	-0.20%	2.269	-12.95%	0.2410	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	2.6315	2.6231	-0.32%	2.262	-14.04%	0.2682	✓	0.82
2026-03-28	oos	2.673	2.6703	-0.10%	2.2705	-15.06%	0.2891	✓	0.82
2026-03-27	oos	2.605	2.6135	+0.32%	2.366	-9.17%	0.2394	✗	0.82
2026-03-26	oos	2.8185	2.8377	+0.68%	2.354	-16.48%	0.2856	✗	0.81
2026-03-25	oos	2.842	2.8827	+1.43%	2.456	-13.58%	0.2282	✗	0.82
2026-03-24	oos	2.818	2.852	+1.21%	2.5985	-7.79%	0.1787	✗	0.82
2026-03-23	oos	2.7335	2.7797	+1.69%	2.781	+1.74%	0.0806	✗	0.82
2026-03-22	oos	2.6205	2.6565	+1.38%	2.5855	-1.34%	0.1235	✗	0.82
2026-03-21	oos	2.6535	2.6864	+1.24%	2.4755	-6.71%	0.1603	✗	0.82
2026-03-20	oos	2.6915	2.7291	+1.40%	2.393	-11.09%	0.1692	✗	0.82
2026-03-19	oos	2.731	2.7595	+1.04%	2.4445	-10.49%	0.1868	✗	0.82
2026-03-18	oos	2.837	2.8717	+1.22%	2.288	-19.35%	0.2937	✗	0.84
2026-03-17	oos	3.1505	3.1701	+0.62%	2.315	-26.52%	0.3277	✗	0.81
2026-03-16	oos	2.982	3.0214	+1.32%	2.1945	-26.41%	0.3192	✗	0.83
2026-03-15	oos	2.779	2.8201	+1.48%	2.156	-22.42%	0.2833	✗	0.81
2026-03-14	oos	2.734	2.7642	+1.10%	2.2415	-18.01%	0.2452	✗	0.81
2026-03-13	oos	2.655	2.6905	+1.34%	2.2345	-15.84%	0.1836	✗	0.81
2026-03-12	oos	2.6	2.6464	+1.79%	2.3175	-10.87%	0.1614	✗	0.81
2026-03-11	oos	2.569	2.6236	+2.12%	2.278	-11.33%	0.1727	✗	0.81
2026-03-10	oos	2.5265	2.5936	+2.66%	2.3985	-5.07%	0.0990	✗	0.80
2026-03-09	oos	2.5375	2.5977	+2.37%	2.3195	-8.59%	0.1440	✗	0.81
2026-03-08	oos	2.558	2.6094	+2.01%	2.3875	-6.67%	0.1608	✗	0.83
2026-03-07	oos	2.5055	2.5662	+2.42%	2.316	-7.56%	0.1223	✗	0.84
2026-03-06	oos	2.6015	2.6556	+2.08%	2.3695	-8.92%	0.1249	✗	0.84
2026-03-05	oos	2.74	2.7842	+1.61%	2.3455	-14.40%	0.1282	✗	0.83
2026-03-04	oos	2.873	2.9008	+0.97%	2.391	-16.78%	0.1253	✗	0.83
2026-03-03	oos	2.694	2.7264	+1.20%	2.4115	-10.49%	0.1054	✗	0.81
2026-03-02	oos	2.6565	2.6929	+1.37%	2.504	-5.74%	0.0643	✗	0.80
2026-03-01	oos	2.6205	2.655	+1.31%	2.606	-0.55%	0.0500	✗	0.86
2026-02-28	oos	2.7305	2.7473	+0.62%	2.6065	-4.54%	0.0496	✗	0.87
2026-02-27	oos	2.6915	2.7123	+0.77%	2.6315	-2.23%	0.0315	✗	0.87
2026-02-26	oos	2.6535	2.6839	+1.14%	2.673	+0.73%	0.0113	✓	0.88
2026-02-25	oos	2.631	2.66	+1.10%	2.605	-0.99%	0.0006	✓	0.88
2026-02-24	oos	2.4055	2.4386	+1.38%	2.8185	+17.17%	0.0855	✓	0.84
2026-02-23	oos	2.605	2.622	+0.65%	2.842	+9.10%	0.0001	✓	0.82
2026-02-22	oos	2.7395	2.7426	+0.11%	2.818	+2.87%	0.0074	✗	0.82
2026-02-21	oos	2.665	2.6873	+0.84%	2.7335	+2.57%	0.0173	✗	0.82
2026-02-20	oos	2.656	2.6795	+0.89%	2.6205	-1.34%	0.0206	✗	0.81
2026-02-19	oos	2.6135	2.6401	+1.02%	2.6535	+1.53%	0.0181	✗	0.81
2026-02-18	oos	2.717	2.7379	+0.77%	2.6915	-0.94%	0.0661	✗	0.82
2026-02-17	oos	2.919	2.9251	+0.21%	2.731	-6.44%	0.0970	✗	0.79
2026-02-16	oos	2.927	2.9335	+0.22%	2.837	-3.07%	0.0607	✗	0.80
2026-02-15	oos	2.9665	2.9665	+0.00%	3.1505	+6.20%	0.0025	✓	0.80
2026-02-14	oos	3.097	3.0807	-0.53%	2.982	-3.71%	0.0888	✓	0.80
2026-02-13	oos	2.907	2.9087	+0.06%	2.779	-4.40%	0.0902	✗	0.79
2026-02-12	oos	2.814	2.8196	+0.20%	2.734	-2.84%	0.0875	✗	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	2.993	2.9673	-0.86%	2.655	-11.29%	0.1533	✓	0.74
2026-02-10	oos	3.068	3.0165	-1.68%	2.6	-15.25%	0.1669	✓	0.74
2026-02-09	oos	3.0715	3.0325	-1.27%	2.569	-16.36%	0.1670	✓	0.74
2026-02-08	oos	3.255	3.1893	-2.02%	2.5265	-22.38%	0.2295	✓	0.76
2026-02-07	oos	3.4235	3.3281	-2.79%	2.5375	-25.88%	0.2623	✓	0.76
2026-02-06	oos	3.331	3.2436	-2.62%	2.558	-23.21%	0.1824	✓	0.82
2026-02-05	oos	3.074	3.0006	-2.39%	2.5055	-18.49%	0.2385	✓	0.85
2026-02-04	oos	3.346	3.2306	-3.45%	2.6015	-22.25%	0.1367	✓	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	3.36	3.2454	-3.41%	2.74	-18.45%	0.0953	✓	1.14
2026-02-02	oos	3.4535	3.3337	-3.47%	2.873	-16.81%	0.0572	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	3.429	3.3031	-3.67%	2.694	-21.43%	0.0621	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	3.547	3.3957	-4.27%	2.6565	-25.11%	0.0829	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	3.751	3.6329	-3.15%	2.6205	-30.14%	0.0151	✓	1.27
2026-01-29	oos	3.924	3.7931	-3.34%	2.7305	-30.42%	0.0314	✓	1.28
2026-01-28	oos	4.0465	3.9757	-1.75%	2.6915	-33.49%	0.0102	✓	1.32
2026-01-27	oos	4.2235	4.1436	-1.89%	2.6535	-37.17%	0.0744	✓	1.34
2026-01-26	oos	4.199	4.1305	-1.63%	2.631	-37.34%	0.1089	✓	1.31
2026-01-25	oos	4.0075	3.9336	-1.84%	2.4055	-39.98%	0.1002	✓	1.30
2026-01-24	oos	4.211	4.1493	-1.46%	2.605	-38.14%	0.0504	✓	1.29
2026-01-23	oos	4.183	4.1168	-1.58%	2.7395	-34.51%	0.0429	✓	1.30
2026-01-22	oos	4.332	4.2648	-1.55%	2.665	-38.48%	0.1137	✓	1.30
2026-01-21	oos	4.5925	4.4769	-2.52%	2.656	-42.17%	0.1686	✓	1.29
2026-01-20	oos	4.52	4.4026	-2.60%	2.6135	-42.18%	0.1684	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	4.6155	4.5502	-1.42%	2.717	-41.13%	0.0746	✓	1.33
2026-01-18	oos	4.9	4.8096	-1.84%	2.919	-40.43%	0.0674	✓	1.32
2026-01-17	oos	4.973	4.8888	-1.69%	2.927	-41.14%	0.0913	✓	1.31
2026-01-16	oos	4.9755	4.9147	-1.22%	2.9665	-40.38%	0.0756	✓	1.31
2026-01-15	oos	5.1055	5.0406	-1.27%	3.097	-39.34%	0.0762	✓	1.31
2026-01-14	oos	5.4265	5.3416	-1.57%	2.907	-46.43%	0.1616	✓	1.30
2026-01-13	oos	5.465	5.3446	-2.20%	2.814	-48.51%	0.1684	✓	1.30
2026-01-12	oos	5.2145	5.0665	-2.84%	2.993	-42.60%	0.1257	✓	1.30
2026-01-11	oos	5.5495	5.3325	-3.91%	3.068	-44.72%	0.1875	✓	1.31
2026-01-10	oos	5.079	4.905	-3.43%	3.0715	-39.53%	0.1394	✓	1.29
2026-01-09	oos	5.2175	5.0529	-3.16%	3.255	-37.61%	0.0984	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	4.982	4.8404	-2.84%	3.4235	-31.28%	0.0099	✓	1.30
2026-01-07	oos	5.072	4.9095	-3.20%	3.331	-34.33%	0.0309	✓	1.62
2026-01-06	oos	5.076	4.9236	-3.00%	3.074	-39.44%	0.1892	✗	1.65
2026-01-05	oos	5.218	5.0388	-3.43%	3.346	-35.88%	0.0045	✓	1.65
2026-01-04	oos	4.747	4.6074	-2.94%	3.36	-29.22%	0.0125	✓	1.60
2026-01-03	oos	4.73	4.5959	-2.83%	3.4535	-26.99%	0.0589	✓	1.61
2026-01-02	oos	4.828	4.6647	-3.38%	3.429	-28.98%	0.0546	✓	1.61
2026-01-01	oos	4.732	4.5638	-3.55%	3.547	-25.04%	0.0575	✓	1.61
2025-12-31	oos	4.5695	4.451	-2.59%	3.751	-17.91%	0.1082	✓	1.59
2025-12-30	oos	4.6425	4.5197	-2.64%	3.924	-15.48%	0.0699	✓	1.59
2025-12-29	oos	4.6655	4.5411	-2.67%	4.0465	-13.27%	0.1524	✓	1.59
2025-12-28	oos	4.8	4.664	-2.83%	4.2235	-12.01%	0.1215	✓	1.59
2025-12-27	oos	5.0015	4.815	-3.73%	4.199	-16.05%	0.1447	✓	1.57
2025-12-26	oos	4.573	4.4681	-2.29%	4.0075	-12.37%	0.0958	✓	1.54
2025-12-25	oos	4.7875	4.6451	-2.97%	4.211	-12.04%	0.1316	✓	1.54
2025-12-24	oos	4.957	4.8193	-2.78%	4.183	-15.61%	0.1742	✓	1.55
2025-12-23	oos	4.8195	4.7032	-2.41%	4.332	-10.12%	0.1177	✓	1.54
2025-12-22	oos	4.836	4.7239	-2.32%	4.5925	-5.04%	0.0422	✓	1.54
2025-12-21	oos	4.821	4.7033	-2.44%	4.52	-6.24%	0.0340	✓	1.54
2025-12-20	oos	4.882	4.742	-2.87%	4.6155	-5.46%	0.0997	✓	1.55
2025-12-19	oos	4.9075	4.748	-3.25%	4.9	-0.15%	0.0631	✓	1.55
2025-12-18	oos	4.5095	4.3813	-2.84%	4.973	+10.28%	0.0360	✓	1.52
2025-12-17	oos	4.5915	4.4411	-3.28%	4.9755	+8.36%	0.0422	✓	1.52
2025-12-16	oos	4.8285	4.6716	-3.25%	5.1055	+5.74%	0.0390	✓	1.52
2025-12-15	oos	4.872	4.6874	-3.79%	5.4265	+11.38%	0.0295	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	5.046	4.8863	-3.17%	5.465	+8.30%	0.0073	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	5.239	5.0826	-2.98%	5.2145	-0.47%	0.0100	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	5.2955	5.1391	-2.95%	5.5495	+4.80%	0.0669	✗	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	5.487	5.3123	-3.18%	5.079	-7.44%	0.0088	✓	1.52
2025-12-10	oos	5.652	5.4271	-3.98%	5.2175	-7.69%	0.0139	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	5.751	5.5381	-3.70%	4.982	-13.37%	0.0781	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	5.4915	5.2902	-3.67%	5.072	-7.64%	0.0526	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	5.517	5.301	-3.92%	5.076	-7.99%	0.0981	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	5.589	5.3597	-4.10%	5.218	-6.64%	0.1034	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	5.5295	5.3114	-3.94%	4.747	-14.15%	0.1485	✓	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	5.752	5.5334	-3.80%	4.73	-17.77%	0.1319	✓	1.53
2025-12-03	oos	5.891	5.6894	-3.42%	4.828	-18.04%	0.1058	✓	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	6.0995	5.842	-4.22%	4.732	-22.42%	0.1660	✓	1.57
2025-12-01	oos	5.5045	5.274	-4.19%	4.5695	-16.99%	0.1649	✓	1.54
2025-11-30	oos	5.899	5.6988	-3.39%	4.6425	-21.30%	0.1712	✓	1.53
2025-11-29	oos	5.9695	5.7898	-3.01%	4.6655	-21.84%	0.1522	✓	1.52
2025-11-28	oos	5.8865	5.7281	-2.69%	4.8	-18.46%	0.1252	✓	1.52
2025-11-27	oos	5.9625	5.8246	-2.31%	5.0015	-16.12%	0.0929	✓	1.52
2025-11-26	oos	6.1045	5.9426	-2.65%	4.573	-25.09%	0.2101	✓	1.45
2025-11-25	oos	6.1065	5.8966	-3.44%	4.7875	-21.60%	0.2057	✓	1.51
2025-11-24	oos	6.259	6.0625	-3.14%	4.957	-20.80%	0.1900	✓	1.51
2025-11-23	oos	6.237	6.0434	-3.10%	4.8195	-22.73%	0.2373	✓	1.54
2025-11-22	oos	6.247	6.0232	-3.58%	4.836	-22.59%	0.2905	✓	1.59
2025-11-21	oos	6.4365	6.1966	-3.73%	4.821	-25.10%	0.3162	✓	1.58
2025-11-20	oos	6.7905	6.5279	-3.87%	4.882	-28.11%	0.3225	✓	1.56
2025-11-19	oos	6.9525	6.7044	-3.57%	4.9075	-29.41%	0.2507	✓	1.63
2025-11-18	oos	7.2165	6.9392	-3.84%	4.5095	-37.51%	0.2949	✓	1.63
2025-11-17	oos	7.2635	6.9767	-3.95%	4.5915	-36.79%	0.3106	✓	1.63
2025-11-16	oos	7.48	7.1952	-3.81%	4.8285	-35.45%	0.2868	✓	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	7.709	7.4219	-3.72%	4.872	-36.80%	0.2595	✓	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	7.9205	7.5947	-4.11%	5.046	-36.29%	0.2961	✓	1.63
2025-11-13	oos	7.9425	7.6725	-3.40%	5.239	-34.04%	0.2093	✓	1.75
2025-11-12	oos	8.0225	7.7591	-3.28%	5.2955	-33.99%	0.1729	✓	1.76
2025-11-11	oos	8.044	7.8424	-2.51%	5.487	-31.79%	0.1729	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	8.6855	8.438	-2.85%	5.652	-34.93%	0.1645	✓	1.67
2025-11-09	oos	9.31	8.8881	-4.53%	5.751	-38.23%	0.2256	✓	1.72
2025-11-08	oos	7.776	7.588	-2.42%	5.4915	-29.38%	0.1272	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	8.262	7.9492	-3.79%	5.517	-33.22%	0.1528	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	6.3575	6.3145	-0.68%	5.589	-12.09%	0.0617	✗	1.45
2025-11-05	oos	5.9865	6.0067	+0.34%	5.5295	-7.63%	0.1453	✓	1.51
2025-11-04	oos	5.8015	5.8355	+0.59%	5.752	-0.85%	0.1332	✓	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	6.351	6.3441	-0.11%	5.891	-7.24%	0.1227	✗	1.50
2025-11-02	oos	6.8345	6.8037	-0.45%	6.0995	-10.75%	0.1746	✗	1.49
2025-11-01	oos	6.798	6.761	-0.54%	5.5045	-19.03%	0.1586	✗	1.50
2025-10-31	oos	6.3335	6.3186	-0.23%	5.899	-6.86%	0.2170	✗	1.48
2025-10-30	oos	6.438	6.4325	-0.09%	5.9695	-7.28%	0.1879	✗	1.49
2025-10-29	oos	6.7925	6.781	-0.17%	5.8865	-13.34%	0.1378	✗	1.46
2025-10-28	oos	6.761	6.8193	+0.86%	5.9625	-11.81%	0.1840	✓	1.50
2025-10-27	oos	6.979	7.0024	+0.34%	6.1045	-12.53%	0.2098	✓	1.50
2025-10-26	oos	6.848	6.8845	+0.53%	6.1065	-10.83%	0.2868	✓	1.50
2025-10-25	oos	6.5785	6.5868	+0.13%	6.259	-4.86%	0.3048	✓	1.51
2025-10-24	oos	6.7495	6.7064	-0.64%	6.237	-7.59%	0.3019	✗	1.52
2025-10-23	oos	6.898	6.827	-1.03%	6.247	-9.44%	0.3133	✗	1.53
2025-10-22	oos	6.8625	6.7799	-1.20%	6.4365	-6.21%	0.3119	✗	1.55
2025-10-21	oos	6.979	6.9351	-0.63%	6.7905	-2.70%	0.3280	✗	1.55
2025-10-20	oos	7.1875	7.1708	-0.23%	6.9525	-3.27%	0.2670	✗	1.57
2025-10-19	oos	7.2525	7.2146	-0.52%	7.2165	-0.50%	0.2432	✗	1.55
2025-10-18	oos	7.099	7.0507	-0.68%	7.2635	+2.32%	0.2646	✗	1.55
2025-10-17	oos	7.1315	7.0839	-0.67%	7.48	+4.89%	0.2433	✗	1.54
2025-10-16	oos	7.506	7.4468	-0.79%	7.709	+2.70%	0.2248	✗	1.53
2025-10-15	oos	7.5005	7.4696	-0.41%	7.9205	+5.60%	0.3028	✗	1.53
2025-10-14	oos	7.594	7.6157	+0.29%	7.9425	+4.59%	0.2384	✓	1.55
2025-10-13	oos	7.798	7.8284	+0.39%	8.0225	+2.88%	0.2222	✓	1.57
2025-10-12	oos	7.799	7.8151	+0.21%	8.044	+3.14%	0.2002	✓	1.55
2025-10-11	oos	7.0715	7.0714	-0.00%	8.6855	+22.82%	0.2704	✗	1.47
2025-10-10	oos	6.5135	6.6096	+1.48%	9.31	+42.93%	0.4637	✓	1.59
2025-10-09	oos	8.6805	8.7662	+0.99%	7.776	-10.42%	0.0553	✓	1.01
2025-10-08	oos	8.906	8.9749	+0.77%	8.262	-7.23%	0.1004	✓	1.03
2025-10-07	oos	8.751	8.8277	+0.88%	6.3575	-27.35%	0.1544	✗	0.96
2025-10-06	oos	8.952	9.0514	+1.11%	5.9865	-33.13%	0.2281	✗	1.01
2025-10-05	oos	8.6195	8.7136	+1.09%	5.8015	-32.69%	0.2100	✗	1.00
2025-10-04	oos	8.5425	8.6153	+0.85%	6.351	-25.65%	0.1658	✗	1.00
2025-10-03	oos	8.7265	8.7558	+0.34%	6.8345	-21.68%	0.1464	✗	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	8.787	8.7993	+0.14%	6.798	-22.64%	0.1654	✗	1.01
2025-10-01	oos	8.6355	8.6159	-0.23%	6.3335	-26.66%	0.2264	✓	1.02
2025-09-30	oos	8.1965	8.1709	-0.31%	6.438	-21.45%	0.1872	✓	0.99
2025-09-29	oos	8.4545	8.3782	-0.90%	6.7925	-19.66%	0.1704	✓	1.02
2025-09-28	oos	8.698	8.5721	-1.45%	6.761	-22.27%	0.2442	✓	1.08
2025-09-27	oos	8.565	8.424	-1.65%	6.979	-18.52%	0.2309	✓	1.09
2025-09-26	oos	8.7575	8.5985	-1.82%	6.848	-21.80%	0.2745	✓	1.08
2025-09-25	oos	8.533	8.37	-1.91%	6.5785	-22.91%	0.2666	✓	1.08
2025-09-24	oos	9.082	8.8517	-2.54%	6.7495	-25.68%	0.2497	✓	1.04
2025-09-23	oos	9.0605	8.7941	-2.94%	6.898	-23.87%	0.2249	✓	1.05
2025-09-22	oos	9.1175	8.823	-3.23%	6.8625	-24.73%	0.2032	✓	1.03
2025-09-21	oos	9.628	9.2797	-3.62%	6.979	-27.51%	0.2223	✓	1.01
2025-09-20	oos	9.532	9.1625	-3.88%	7.1875	-24.60%	0.1958	✓	1.03
2025-09-19	oos	9.596	9.202	-4.11%	7.2525	-24.42%	0.1722	✓	1.05
2025-09-18	oos	9.864	9.4398	-4.30%	7.099	-28.03%	0.1911	✓	1.06
2025-09-17	oos	9.817	9.431	-3.93%	7.1315	-27.36%	0.1847	✓	1.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.