VELODROME

VELODROME · · gru_s0

token id: #270
symbol: VELODROME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-18
predictions: 1,806

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0297

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual +0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.036915	0.036545	-1.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-20	oos	0.03849	0.038177	-0.81%	0.036915	-4.09%	0.0301	✓	1.19
2026-10-19	oos	0.03473	0.03424	-1.41%	0.03849	+10.83%	0.1014	✗	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.034835	0.034665	-0.49%	0.03473	-0.30%	0.0043	✓	1.17
2026-10-17	oos	0.03699	0.036791	-0.54%	0.034835	-5.83%	0.0636	✓	1.18
2026-10-16	oos	0.0385	0.038176	-0.84%	0.03699	-3.92%	0.0298	✓	1.17
2026-10-15	oos	0.04067	0.040379	-0.72%	0.0385	-5.34%	0.0390	✓	1.14
2026-10-14	oos	0.03909	0.038817	-0.70%	0.04067	+4.04%	0.0389	✗	1.13
2026-10-13	oos	0.039275	0.039026	-0.63%	0.03909	-0.47%	0.0232	✗	1.16
2026-10-12	oos	0.038205	0.03796	-0.64%	0.039275	+2.80%	0.0150	✗	1.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.04085	0.04044	-1.00%	0.038205	-6.47%	0.0305	✓	1.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.040715	0.040048	-1.64%	0.04085	+0.33%	0.0093	✓	1.15
2026-10-09	oos	0.03482	0.034607	-0.61%	0.040715	+16.93%	0.1575	✗	1.14
2026-10-08	oos	0.03615	0.035868	-0.78%	0.03482	-3.68%	0.0416	✓	1.15
2026-10-07	oos	0.03435	0.034172	-0.52%	0.03615	+5.24%	0.0790	✗	1.19
2026-10-06	oos	0.034935	0.034769	-0.48%	0.03435	-1.67%	0.0198	✗	1.19
2026-10-05	oos	0.036645	0.036496	-0.41%	0.034935	-4.67%	0.0407	✓	1.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.03843	0.038234	-0.51%	0.036645	-4.64%	0.0318	✓	1.21
2026-10-03	oos	0.03736	0.037124	-0.63%	0.03843	+2.86%	0.0097	✗	1.21
2026-10-02	oos	0.034665	0.03448	-0.53%	0.03736	+7.77%	0.0769	✗	1.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.033825	0.033676	-0.44%	0.034665	+2.48%	0.0338	✗	1.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.035415	0.035213	-0.57%	0.033825	-4.49%	0.0596	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.034785	0.034539	-0.71%	0.035415	+1.81%	0.0263	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.03516	0.034958	-0.58%	0.034785	-1.07%	0.0078	✓	1.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.03575	0.035521	-0.64%	0.03516	-1.65%	0.0049	✓	1.26
2026-09-26	oos	0.03688	0.036326	-1.50%	0.03575	-3.06%	0.0167	✓	1.25
2026-09-25	oos	0.03559	0.035142	-1.26%	0.03688	+3.62%	0.0435	✗	1.23
2026-09-24	oos	0.030295	0.030153	-0.47%	0.03559	+17.48%	0.1702	✗	1.26
2026-09-23	oos	0.02897	0.028824	-0.50%	0.030295	+4.57%	0.0497	✗	1.27
2026-09-22	oos	0.029355	0.029225	-0.44%	0.02897	-1.31%	0.0191	✗	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.02995	0.029734	-0.72%	0.029355	-1.99%	0.0070	✓	1.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.028085	0.02795	-0.48%	0.02995	+6.64%	0.0174	✓	1.34
2026-09-19	oos	0.028285	0.028138	-0.52%	0.028085	-0.71%	0.0007	✓	1.34
2026-09-18	oos	0.02747	0.027288	-0.66%	0.028285	+2.97%	0.0300	✗	1.34
2026-09-17	oos	0.02494	0.024794	-0.59%	0.02747	+10.14%	0.0258	✗	1.33
2026-09-16	oos	0.02321	0.023168	-0.18%	0.02494	+7.45%	0.0701	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.022825	0.022779	-0.20%	0.02321	+1.69%	0.0088	✗	1.34
2026-09-14	oos	0.02428	0.024134	-0.60%	0.022825	-5.99%	0.0111	✓	1.33
2026-09-13	oos	0.023735	0.023694	-0.17%	0.02428	+2.30%	0.0018	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.024485	0.024445	-0.16%	0.023735	-3.06%	0.0217	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.0249	0.024855	-0.18%	0.024485	-1.67%	0.0159	✓	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02335	0.023347	-0.01%	0.0249	+6.64%	0.0533	✗	1.27
2026-09-09	oos	0.02491	0.024893	-0.07%	0.02335	-6.26%	0.0359	✓	1.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.026805	0.026709	-0.36%	0.02491	-7.07%	0.0672	✓	1.23
2026-09-07	oos	0.027615	0.027396	-0.79%	0.026805	-2.93%	0.0117	✓	1.23
2026-09-06	oos	0.025295	0.025206	-0.35%	0.027615	+9.17%	0.1109	✗	1.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.0255	0.025319	-0.71%	0.025295	-0.80%	0.0088	✓	1.25
2026-09-04	oos	0.02317	0.02314	-0.13%	0.0255	+10.06%	0.0947	✗	1.23
2026-09-03	oos	0.02477	0.024641	-0.52%	0.02317	-6.46%	0.0376	✓	1.21
2026-09-02	oos	0.02143	0.021413	-0.08%	0.02477	+15.59%	0.0882	✗	1.15
2026-09-01	oos	0.021885	0.021886	+0.01%	0.02143	-2.08%	0.0197	✗	1.16
2026-08-31	oos	0.02158	0.021593	+0.06%	0.021885	+1.41%	0.0298	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.02168	0.02168	+0.00%	0.02158	-0.46%	0.0172	✗	1.09
2026-08-29	oos	0.022295	0.02229	-0.02%	0.02168	-2.76%	0.0199	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.022325	0.022308	-0.08%	0.022295	-0.13%	0.0060	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.022435	0.022414	-0.09%	0.022325	-0.49%	0.0299	✗	1.10
2026-08-26	oos	0.022885	0.022811	-0.32%	0.022435	-1.97%	0.0341	✓	1.11
2026-08-25	oos	0.021185	0.021159	-0.12%	0.022885	+8.02%	0.0714	✗	1.11
2026-08-24	oos	0.021745	0.021658	-0.40%	0.021185	-2.58%	0.0158	✓	1.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.02004	0.020028	-0.06%	0.021745	+8.51%	0.0649	✗	1.09
2026-08-22	oos	0.01919	0.019177	-0.07%	0.02004	+4.43%	0.0346	✗	1.09
2026-08-21	oos	0.020185	0.020152	-0.16%	0.01919	-4.93%	0.0315	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.019855	0.019767	-0.45%	0.020185	+1.66%	0.0632	✓	1.20
2026-08-19	oos	0.017995	0.01791	-0.48%	0.019855	+10.34%	0.0426	✗	1.16
2026-08-18	oos	0.016595	0.016512	-0.50%	0.017995	+8.44%	0.0049	✓	1.18
2026-08-17	oos	0.017065	0.016973	-0.54%	0.016595	-2.75%	0.0263	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.016805	0.016697	-0.64%	0.017065	+1.55%	0.0092	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.016885	0.016772	-0.67%	0.016805	-0.47%	0.0055	✓	1.20
2026-08-14	oos	0.01699	0.016874	-0.69%	0.016885	-0.62%	0.0002	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.017155	0.017021	-0.78%	0.01699	-0.96%	0.0069	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.01694	0.016851	-0.53%	0.017155	+1.27%	0.0176	✗	1.24
2026-08-11	oos	0.017125	0.016992	-0.78%	0.01694	-1.08%	0.0007	✓	1.25
2026-08-10	oos	0.017525	0.017159	-2.09%	0.017125	-2.28%	0.0055	✓	1.26
2026-08-09	oos	0.01738	0.0173	-0.46%	0.017525	+0.83%	0.0317	✗	1.29
2026-08-08	oos	0.01786	0.017785	-0.42%	0.01738	-2.69%	0.0218	✓	1.29
2026-08-07	oos	0.01824	0.01814	-0.55%	0.01786	-2.08%	0.0159	✓	1.32
2026-08-06	oos	0.01783	0.017695	-0.76%	0.01824	+2.30%	0.0175	✗	1.33
2026-08-05	oos	0.01714	0.017054	-0.50%	0.01783	+4.03%	0.0514	✗	1.33
2026-08-04	oos	0.016915	0.016819	-0.57%	0.01714	+1.33%	0.0074	✗	1.34
2026-08-03	oos	0.016445	0.016341	-0.64%	0.016915	+2.86%	0.0224	✗	1.33
2026-08-02	oos	0.016495	0.016424	-0.43%	0.016445	-0.30%	0.0020	✓	1.32
2026-08-01	oos	0.01673	0.016625	-0.63%	0.016495	-1.40%	0.0236	✓	1.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.017325	0.017225	-0.58%	0.01673	-3.43%	0.0278	✓	1.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.01785	0.017757	-0.52%	0.017325	-2.94%	0.0157	✗	1.36
2026-07-29	oos	0.017345	0.017276	-0.40%	0.01785	+2.91%	0.0157	✗	1.32
2026-07-28	oos	0.01795	0.017872	-0.44%	0.017345	-3.37%	0.0309	✓	1.32
2026-07-27	oos	0.01809	0.017989	-0.56%	0.01795	-0.77%	0.0054	✓	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.017405	0.017354	-0.29%	0.01809	+3.94%	0.0760	✗	1.35
2026-07-25	oos	0.017185	0.017139	-0.27%	0.017405	+1.28%	0.0062	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.017255	0.017207	-0.28%	0.017185	-0.41%	0.0058	✓	1.35
2026-07-23	oos	0.01759	0.017545	-0.26%	0.017255	-1.90%	0.0035	✗	1.34
2026-07-22	oos	0.01826	0.018209	-0.28%	0.01759	-3.67%	0.0135	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.0188	0.018704	-0.51%	0.01826	-2.87%	0.0154	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.018165	0.01811	-0.30%	0.0188	+3.50%	0.0112	✗	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.01848	0.018413	-0.36%	0.018165	-1.70%	0.0244	✓	1.33
2026-07-18	oos	0.018725	0.018672	-0.28%	0.01848	-1.31%	0.0080	✓	1.32
2026-07-17	oos	0.019655	0.019552	-0.52%	0.018725	-4.73%	0.0626	✓	1.38
2026-07-16	oos	0.020255	0.020171	-0.41%	0.019655	-2.96%	0.0286	✓	1.40
2026-07-15	oos	0.02121	0.021133	-0.37%	0.020255	-4.50%	0.0217	✓	1.40
2026-07-14	oos	0.02138	0.021288	-0.43%	0.02121	-0.80%	0.0023	✓	1.41
2026-07-13	oos	0.020285	0.020191	-0.46%	0.02138	+5.40%	0.0041	✓	1.43
2026-07-12	oos	0.02128	0.021171	-0.51%	0.020285	-4.68%	0.0095	✓	1.42
2026-07-11	oos	0.02134	0.021225	-0.54%	0.02128	-0.28%	0.0033	✓	1.32
2026-07-10	oos	0.021415	0.021315	-0.47%	0.02134	-0.35%	0.0086	✗	1.33
2026-07-09	oos	0.02136	0.02125	-0.51%	0.021415	+0.26%	0.0124	✓	1.35
2026-07-08	oos	0.02164	0.021413	-1.05%	0.02136	-1.29%	0.0230	✓	1.37
2026-07-07	oos	0.02376	0.023628	-0.56%	0.02164	-8.92%	0.0645	✓	1.35
2026-07-06	oos	0.02378	0.023652	-0.54%	0.02376	-0.08%	0.0190	✗	1.36
2026-07-05	oos	0.023445	0.023305	-0.60%	0.02378	+1.43%	0.0113	✗	1.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.0242	0.024022	-0.74%	0.023445	-3.12%	0.0350	✓	1.36
2026-07-03	oos	0.02472	0.024222	-2.02%	0.0242	-2.10%	0.0128	✓	1.32
2026-07-02	oos	0.02172	0.02141	-1.43%	0.02472	+13.81%	0.1226	✗	1.27
2026-07-01	oos	0.01961	0.019498	-0.57%	0.02172	+10.76%	0.0774	✗	1.22
2026-06-30	oos	0.01872	0.018611	-0.58%	0.01961	+4.75%	0.0228	✗	1.22
2026-06-29	oos	0.018235	0.018145	-0.49%	0.01872	+2.66%	0.0660	✗	1.26
2026-06-28	oos	0.019015	0.018903	-0.59%	0.018235	-4.10%	0.0505	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.017985	0.017893	-0.51%	0.019015	+5.73%	0.0706	✗	1.27
2026-06-26	oos	0.01829	0.018103	-1.02%	0.017985	-1.67%	0.0051	✓	1.27
2026-06-25	oos	0.018615	0.01846	-0.83%	0.01829	-1.75%	0.0157	✓	1.28
2026-06-24	oos	0.02005	0.019821	-1.14%	0.018615	-7.16%	0.0366	✓	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.019975	0.019715	-1.30%	0.02005	+0.38%	0.0508	✗	1.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.021495	0.021036	-2.14%	0.019975	-7.07%	0.0262	✓	1.24
2026-06-21	oos	0.020535	0.020283	-1.23%	0.021495	+4.67%	0.0442	✗	1.23
2026-06-20	oos	0.020745	0.020262	-2.33%	0.020535	-1.01%	0.0326	✗	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.01843	0.018015	-2.25%	0.020745	+12.56%	0.1268	✗	1.22
2026-06-18	oos	0.017325	0.017163	-0.93%	0.01843	+6.38%	0.0599	✗	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.017845	0.017573	-1.52%	0.017325	-2.91%	0.0151	✓	1.19
2026-06-16	oos	0.01847	0.017939	-2.88%	0.017845	-3.38%	0.0161	✓	1.19
2026-06-15	oos	0.016305	0.015946	-2.20%	0.01847	+13.28%	0.1595	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.01413	0.01404	-0.64%	0.016305	+15.39%	0.1390	✗	1.22
2026-06-13	oos	0.013915	0.013833	-0.59%	0.01413	+1.55%	0.0034	✓	1.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.013885	0.013815	-0.50%	0.013915	+0.22%	0.0102	✓	1.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.013975	0.013823	-1.09%	0.013885	-0.64%	0.0050	✓	1.24
2026-06-10	oos	0.013335	0.0133	-0.26%	0.013975	+4.80%	0.0077	✗	1.23
2026-06-09	oos	0.01392	0.013864	-0.40%	0.013335	-4.20%	0.0341	✓	1.23
2026-06-08	oos	0.01358	0.013528	-0.38%	0.01392	+2.50%	0.0564	✗	1.26
2026-06-07	oos	0.0128	0.012775	-0.19%	0.01358	+6.09%	0.0659	✗	1.27
2026-06-06	oos	0.0123	0.01231	+0.08%	0.0128	+4.07%	0.0095	✗	1.23
2026-06-05	oos	0.01296	0.012948	-0.09%	0.0123	-5.09%	0.0477	✓	1.22
2026-06-04	oos	0.01416	0.014115	-0.32%	0.01296	-8.47%	0.0330	✓	1.18
2026-06-03	oos	0.01488	0.014819	-0.41%	0.01416	-4.84%	0.0412	✓	1.17
2026-06-02	oos	0.0146	0.014513	-0.59%	0.01488	+1.92%	0.0739	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.01562	0.015516	-0.66%	0.0146	-6.53%	0.0266	✗	1.30
2026-05-31	oos	0.01585	0.015761	-0.56%	0.01562	-1.45%	0.0324	✗	1.33
2026-05-30	oos	0.015995	0.015891	-0.65%	0.01585	-0.91%	0.0008	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.01583	0.015734	-0.61%	0.015995	+1.04%	0.0094	✗	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.01541	0.015352	-0.38%	0.01583	+2.73%	0.0332	✗	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.015915	0.015859	-0.35%	0.01541	-3.17%	0.0150	✓	1.26
2026-05-26	oos	0.0158	0.015742	-0.37%	0.015915	+0.73%	0.0366	✗	1.28
2026-05-25	oos	0.016855	0.016746	-0.65%	0.0158	-6.26%	0.0355	✓	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	0.016105	0.016048	-0.35%	0.016855	+4.66%	0.0449	✗	1.19
2026-05-23	oos	0.016895	0.016826	-0.41%	0.016105	-4.68%	0.0488	✓	1.18
2026-05-22	oos	0.01617	0.016086	-0.52%	0.016895	+4.48%	0.0305	✗	1.17
2026-05-21	oos	0.01702	0.016877	-0.84%	0.01617	-4.99%	0.0110	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.01513	0.015074	-0.37%	0.01702	+12.49%	0.1203	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.014805	0.014768	-0.25%	0.01513	+2.20%	0.0136	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.015015	0.014972	-0.29%	0.014805	-1.40%	0.0085	✓	1.17
2026-05-17	oos	0.01499	0.014975	-0.10%	0.015015	+0.17%	0.0097	✗	1.17
2026-05-16	oos	0.01561	0.01559	-0.13%	0.01499	-3.97%	0.0289	✓	1.16
2026-05-15	oos	0.01641	0.016364	-0.28%	0.01561	-4.88%	0.0331	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.017305	0.017186	-0.69%	0.01641	-5.17%	0.0171	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.01674	0.016703	-0.22%	0.017305	+3.38%	0.0099	✗	1.14
2026-05-12	oos	0.01765	0.017609	-0.23%	0.01674	-5.16%	0.0342	✓	1.10
2026-05-11	oos	0.01869	0.018628	-0.33%	0.01765	-5.56%	0.0377	✓	1.06
2026-05-10	oos	0.01927	0.019131	-0.72%	0.01869	-3.01%	0.0171	✓	1.07
2026-05-09	oos	0.018	0.017948	-0.29%	0.01927	+7.06%	0.0511	✗	1.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.01747	0.017439	-0.18%	0.018	+3.03%	0.0256	✗	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.01724	0.017207	-0.19%	0.01747	+1.33%	0.0128	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.017715	0.017629	-0.48%	0.01724	-2.68%	0.0033	✓	1.07
2026-05-05	oos	0.017415	0.017358	-0.33%	0.017715	+1.72%	0.0130	✗	1.12
2026-05-04	oos	0.01734	0.017296	-0.25%	0.017415	+0.43%	0.0078	✓	1.12
2026-05-03	oos	0.01649	0.016457	-0.20%	0.01734	+5.15%	0.0342	✗	1.11
2026-05-02	oos	0.01733	0.017278	-0.30%	0.01649	-4.85%	0.0449	✓	1.11
2026-05-01	oos	0.01753	0.017476	-0.31%	0.01733	-1.14%	0.0147	✓	1.10
2026-04-30	oos	0.017425	0.017378	-0.27%	0.01753	+0.60%	0.0200	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.017585	0.017495	-0.51%	0.017425	-0.91%	0.0124	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.01786	0.017714	-0.82%	0.017585	-1.54%	0.0012	✓	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.01683	0.016775	-0.33%	0.01786	+6.12%	0.0784	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.01658	0.016488	-0.55%	0.01683	+1.51%	0.0399	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.0161	0.016045	-0.34%	0.01658	+2.98%	0.0177	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.01615	0.01609	-0.37%	0.0161	-0.31%	0.0022	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.016405	0.016258	-0.89%	0.01615	-1.55%	0.0055	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.015945	0.015915	-0.19%	0.016405	+2.88%	0.0293	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.01557	0.015542	-0.18%	0.015945	+2.41%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-04-20	oos	0.015615	0.015603	-0.08%	0.01557	-0.29%	0.0095	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.015195	0.015173	-0.15%	0.015615	+2.76%	0.0032	✓	1.17
2026-04-18	oos	0.016255	0.016217	-0.24%	0.015195	-6.52%	0.0352	✓	1.17
2026-04-17	oos	0.01692	0.016865	-0.32%	0.016255	-3.93%	0.0162	✓	1.16
2026-04-16	oos	0.01588	0.015839	-0.26%	0.01692	+6.55%	0.0368	✗	1.15
2026-04-15	oos	0.0149	0.014878	-0.15%	0.01588	+6.58%	0.0602	✗	1.14
2026-04-14	oos	0.014715	0.014701	-0.09%	0.0149	+1.26%	0.0033	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.01538	0.015354	-0.17%	0.014715	-4.32%	0.0384	✓	1.15
2026-04-12	oos	0.01508	0.015011	-0.46%	0.01538	+1.99%	0.0356	✓	1.18
2026-04-11	oos	0.015815	0.015753	-0.39%	0.01508	-4.65%	0.0056	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	0.015525	0.015445	-0.51%	0.015815	+1.87%	0.0222	✗	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	0.014885	0.014834	-0.34%	0.015525	+4.30%	0.0262	✗	1.17
2026-04-08	oos	0.013965	0.013935	-0.22%	0.014885	+6.59%	0.0544	✗	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.01427	0.014229	-0.29%	0.013965	-2.14%	0.0054	✓	1.16
2026-04-06	oos	0.01348	0.013404	-0.56%	0.01427	+5.86%	0.0129	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.01341	0.013345	-0.49%	0.01348	+0.52%	0.0126	✗	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.01367	0.013623	-0.35%	0.01341	-1.90%	0.0450	✓	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.01394	0.013885	-0.40%	0.01367	-1.94%	0.0214	✓	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.01382	0.013768	-0.37%	0.01394	+0.87%	0.0113	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.01422	0.014168	-0.37%	0.01382	-2.81%	0.0034	✓	1.19
2026-03-31	oos	0.01407	0.014011	-0.42%	0.01422	+1.07%	0.0168	✗	1.21
2026-03-30	oos	0.01393	0.013884	-0.33%	0.01407	+1.01%	0.0134	✓	1.22
2026-03-29	oos	0.01393	0.013886	-0.31%	0.01393	+0.00%	0.0112	✓	1.22
2026-03-28	oos	0.01412	0.014092	-0.20%	0.01393	-1.35%	0.0048	✓	1.22
2026-03-27	oos	0.01401	0.013955	-0.39%	0.01412	+0.79%	0.0124	✗	1.22
2026-03-26	oos	0.01438	0.014337	-0.30%	0.01401	-2.57%	0.0208	✗	1.23
2026-03-25	oos	0.01505	0.015021	-0.19%	0.01438	-4.45%	0.0007	✓	1.23
2026-03-24	oos	0.01458	0.014545	-0.24%	0.01505	+3.22%	0.0209	✗	1.23
2026-03-23	oos	0.01478	0.014758	-0.15%	0.01458	-1.35%	0.0062	✓	1.22
2026-03-22	oos	0.01383	0.013815	-0.11%	0.01478	+6.87%	0.0146	✗	1.21
2026-03-21	oos	0.01451	0.014489	-0.15%	0.01383	-4.69%	0.0277	✓	1.21
2026-03-20	oos	0.01476	0.014738	-0.15%	0.01451	-1.69%	0.0118	✗	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.01513	0.015101	-0.19%	0.01476	-2.45%	0.0328	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.01553	0.015485	-0.29%	0.01513	-2.58%	0.0002	✓	1.22
2026-03-17	oos	0.01685	0.016819	-0.18%	0.01553	-7.83%	0.0348	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.01703	0.016986	-0.26%	0.01685	-1.06%	0.0076	✗	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.01577	0.015733	-0.24%	0.01703	+7.99%	0.0460	✗	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.01575	0.015723	-0.17%	0.01577	+0.13%	0.0238	✓	1.21
2026-03-13	oos	0.01648	0.01638	-0.60%	0.01575	-4.43%	0.0442	✓	1.22
2026-03-12	oos	0.01648	0.016464	-0.09%	0.01648	+0.00%	0.0062	✓	1.22
2026-03-11	oos	0.01646	0.016435	-0.15%	0.01648	+0.12%	0.0029	✓	1.22
2026-03-10	oos	0.01635	0.016334	-0.10%	0.01646	+0.67%	0.0034	✗	1.22
2026-03-09	oos	0.01587	0.015844	-0.17%	0.01635	+3.02%	0.0045	✗	1.22
2026-03-08	oos	0.01591	0.015877	-0.21%	0.01587	-0.25%	0.0461	✓	1.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.01602	0.015999	-0.13%	0.01591	-0.69%	0.0186	✗	1.25
2026-03-06	oos	0.01636	0.016317	-0.26%	0.01602	-2.08%	0.0028	✓	1.24
2026-03-05	oos	0.01715	0.017013	-0.80%	0.01636	-4.61%	0.0107	✗	1.25
2026-03-04	oos	0.01701	0.016973	-0.22%	0.01715	+0.82%	0.0420	✗	1.26
2026-03-03	oos	0.01537	0.015355	-0.09%	0.01701	+10.67%	0.0259	✗	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.01591	0.015883	-0.17%	0.01537	-3.39%	0.0239	✓	1.23
2026-03-01	oos	0.01552	0.015503	-0.11%	0.01591	+2.51%	0.0326	✓	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.01579	0.015774	-0.10%	0.01552	-1.71%	0.0075	✗	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.01576	0.015744	-0.10%	0.01579	+0.19%	0.0190	✓	1.32
2026-02-26	oos	0.016085	0.016055	-0.19%	0.01576	-2.02%	0.0137	✗	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.016135	0.016089	-0.29%	0.016085	-0.31%	0.0095	✗	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.01539	0.01532	-0.45%	0.016135	+4.84%	0.0279	✓	1.34
2026-02-23	oos	0.013815	0.013793	-0.16%	0.01539	+11.40%	0.1212	✗	1.34
2026-02-22	oos	0.01441	0.014395	-0.10%	0.013815	-4.13%	0.0201	✗	1.35
2026-02-21	oos	0.01477	0.014726	-0.30%	0.01441	-2.44%	0.0149	✓	1.36
2026-02-20	oos	0.014385	0.014319	-0.46%	0.01477	+2.68%	0.0316	✗	1.36
2026-02-19	oos	0.01407	0.01395	-0.85%	0.014385	+2.24%	0.0104	✗	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.01378	0.013782	+0.01%	0.01407	+2.10%	0.0095	✓	1.36
2026-02-17	oos	0.01441	0.01439	-0.14%	0.01378	-4.37%	0.0223	✓	1.35
2026-02-16	oos	0.014625	0.014595	-0.20%	0.01441	-1.47%	0.0148	✗	1.35
2026-02-15	oos	0.014415	0.01439	-0.17%	0.014625	+1.46%	0.0149	✗	1.36
2026-02-14	oos	0.015385	0.015372	-0.08%	0.014415	-6.30%	0.0448	✓	1.36
2026-02-13	oos	0.014995	0.014988	-0.04%	0.015385	+2.60%	0.0071	✗	1.36
2026-02-12	oos	0.01449	0.0145	+0.07%	0.014995	+3.49%	0.0191	✗	1.37
2026-02-11	oos	0.013465	0.013492	+0.20%	0.01449	+7.61%	0.0880	✓	1.35
2026-02-10	oos	0.01344	0.01347	+0.22%	0.013465	+0.19%	0.0358	✓	1.38
2026-02-09	oos	0.01414	0.014152	+0.09%	0.01344	-4.95%	0.0256	✗	1.39
2026-02-08	oos	0.014145	0.014153	+0.06%	0.01414	-0.04%	0.0025	✓	1.37
2026-02-07	oos	0.014565	0.014569	+0.03%	0.014145	-2.88%	0.0508	✗	1.43
2026-02-06	oos	0.01496	0.014929	-0.21%	0.014565	-2.64%	0.0016	✓	1.43
2026-02-05	oos	0.01302	0.013119	+0.76%	0.01496	+14.90%	0.0400	✗	1.47
2026-02-04	oos	0.01569	0.015704	+0.09%	0.01302	-17.02%	0.0599	✓	1.64
2026-02-03	oos	0.016185	0.016186	+0.00%	0.01569	-3.06%	0.0278	✓	1.64
2026-02-02	oos	0.016725	0.016686	-0.23%	0.016185	-3.23%	0.0345	✗	1.67
2026-02-01	oos	0.01601	0.016015	+0.03%	0.016725	+4.47%	0.0063	✓	1.63
2026-01-31	oos	0.0159	0.01588	-0.13%	0.01601	+0.69%	0.0465	✗	1.70
2026-01-30	oos	0.01806	0.017987	-0.41%	0.0159	-11.96%	0.0095	✓	1.70
2026-01-29	oos	0.01832	0.018211	-0.60%	0.01806	-1.42%	0.0003	✓	1.67
2026-01-28	oos	0.01907	0.018992	-0.41%	0.01832	-3.93%	0.0609	✗	1.81
2026-01-27	oos	0.01928	0.019211	-0.36%	0.01907	-1.09%	0.0083	✓	1.79
2026-01-26	oos	0.01964	0.019553	-0.44%	0.01928	-1.83%	0.0313	✓	1.76
2026-01-25	oos	0.01888	0.018792	-0.47%	0.01964	+4.03%	0.0100	✗	1.77
2026-01-24	oos	0.02003	0.019946	-0.42%	0.01888	-5.74%	0.0043	✓	1.76
2026-01-23	oos	0.02014	0.020081	-0.29%	0.02003	-0.55%	0.0052	✗	1.76
2026-01-22	oos	0.02101	0.020938	-0.34%	0.02014	-4.14%	0.0391	✓	1.77
2026-01-21	oos	0.02164	0.021523	-0.54%	0.02101	-2.91%	0.0261	✓	1.77
2026-01-20	oos	0.02071	0.020618	-0.44%	0.02164	+4.49%	0.0275	✗	1.76
2026-01-19	oos	0.02198	0.021845	-0.61%	0.02071	-5.78%	0.0308	✗	1.79
2026-01-18	oos	0.0239	0.023732	-0.70%	0.02198	-8.03%	0.0563	✓	1.77
2026-01-17	oos	0.02371	0.023539	-0.72%	0.0239	+0.80%	0.0429	✗	1.77
2026-01-16	oos	0.02383	0.023643	-0.78%	0.02371	-0.50%	0.0101	✗	1.77
2026-01-15	oos	0.02379	0.023581	-0.88%	0.02383	+0.17%	0.0120	✗	1.77
2026-01-14	oos	0.02549	0.025211	-1.09%	0.02379	-6.67%	0.0330	✓	1.76
2026-01-13	oos	0.0248	0.024479	-1.29%	0.02549	+2.78%	0.0116	✓	1.77
2026-01-12	oos	0.0234	0.023238	-0.69%	0.0248	+5.98%	0.0162	✓	1.81
2026-01-11	oos	0.02367	0.023491	-0.76%	0.0234	-1.14%	0.0101	✓	1.80
2026-01-10	oos	0.02337	0.023089	-1.20%	0.02367	+1.28%	0.0149	✗	1.81
2026-01-09	oos	0.02393	0.023762	-0.70%	0.02337	-2.34%	0.0137	✓	1.86
2026-01-08	oos	0.02375	0.023578	-0.72%	0.02393	+0.76%	0.0252	✗	1.85
2026-01-07	oos	0.02381	0.023618	-0.81%	0.02375	-0.25%	0.0115	✗	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.02359	0.023421	-0.72%	0.02381	+0.93%	0.0737	✗	2.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.02409	0.023827	-1.09%	0.02359	-2.08%	0.0066	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.023	0.022786	-0.93%	0.02409	+4.74%	0.0000	✓	2.17
2026-01-03	oos	0.02259	0.022391	-0.88%	0.023	+1.81%	0.0054	✓	2.18
2026-01-02	oos	0.02206	0.021818	-1.10%	0.02259	+2.40%	0.0194	✗	2.17
2026-01-01	oos	0.01928	0.019142	-0.71%	0.02206	+14.42%	0.1129	✗	2.12
2025-12-31	oos	0.01773	0.017606	-0.70%	0.01928	+8.74%	0.0615	✗	2.08
2025-12-30	oos	0.01924	0.019057	-0.95%	0.01773	-7.85%	0.0510	✓	2.07
2025-12-29	oos	0.01872	0.018541	-0.96%	0.01924	+2.78%	0.0070	✓	2.05
2025-12-28	oos	0.01945	0.019305	-0.74%	0.01872	-3.75%	0.0129	✓	2.04
2025-12-27	oos	0.01971	0.019582	-0.65%	0.01945	-1.32%	0.0084	✓	2.02
2025-12-26	oos	0.0198	0.019601	-1.00%	0.01971	-0.45%	0.0062	✓	2.01
2025-12-25	oos	0.0195	0.019403	-0.50%	0.0198	+1.54%	0.0174	✗	2.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.02012	0.020004	-0.58%	0.0195	-3.08%	0.0155	✓	2.01
2025-12-23	oos	0.0202	0.020053	-0.73%	0.02012	-0.40%	0.0008	✓	2.04
2025-12-22	oos	0.0198	0.019701	-0.50%	0.0202	+2.02%	0.0511	✗	2.04
2025-12-21	oos	0.02019	0.020092	-0.49%	0.0198	-1.93%	0.0127	✓	2.03
2025-12-20	oos	0.02109	0.02099	-0.47%	0.02019	-4.27%	0.0461	✓	2.04
2025-12-19	oos	0.02114	0.021066	-0.35%	0.02109	-0.24%	0.0042	✓	2.04
2025-12-18	oos	0.01979	0.019768	-0.11%	0.02114	+6.82%	0.0053	✗	2.04
2025-12-17	oos	0.0217	0.021644	-0.26%	0.01979	-8.80%	0.0718	✓	2.03
2025-12-16	oos	0.023	0.022895	-0.46%	0.0217	-5.65%	0.0155	✓	2.02
2025-12-15	oos	0.0236	0.023521	-0.33%	0.023	-2.54%	0.0561	✓	2.04
2025-12-14	oos	0.02493	0.024837	-0.37%	0.0236	-5.33%	0.0104	✓	2.02
2025-12-13	oos	0.0266	0.026489	-0.42%	0.02493	-6.28%	0.0136	✓	2.01
2025-12-12	oos	0.02689	0.0268	-0.34%	0.0266	-1.08%	0.0070	✓	2.01
2025-12-11	oos	0.02762	0.027512	-0.39%	0.02689	-2.64%	0.0273	✗	2.03
2025-12-10	oos	0.02803	0.027931	-0.35%	0.02762	-1.46%	0.0223	✓	2.03
2025-12-09	oos	0.02973	0.029574	-0.53%	0.02803	-5.72%	0.0394	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0285	0.028368	-0.46%	0.02973	+4.32%	0.0024	✓	2.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02817	0.028033	-0.49%	0.0285	+1.17%	0.0110	✗	2.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02882	0.028639	-0.63%	0.02817	-2.26%	0.0420	✓	2.02
2025-12-05	oos	0.02835	0.028198	-0.53%	0.02882	+1.66%	0.0235	✗	2.01
2025-12-04	oos	0.03003	0.029864	-0.55%	0.02835	-5.59%	0.0089	✗	2.01
2025-12-03	oos	0.03015	0.030013	-0.46%	0.03003	-0.40%	0.0302	✗	2.02
2025-12-02	oos	0.02982	0.029665	-0.52%	0.03015	+1.11%	0.0313	✓	2.04
2025-12-01	oos	0.02667	0.026565	-0.39%	0.02982	+11.81%	0.0006	✓	2.05
2025-11-30	oos	0.02959	0.029462	-0.43%	0.02667	-9.87%	0.0056	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.02985	0.02973	-0.40%	0.02959	-0.87%	0.0055	✗	2.02
2025-11-28	oos	0.03113	0.030987	-0.46%	0.02985	-4.11%	0.0357	✓	2.02
2025-11-27	oos	0.03179	0.031638	-0.48%	0.03113	-2.08%	0.0070	✓	2.02
2025-11-26	oos	0.03177	0.031614	-0.49%	0.03179	+0.06%	0.0132	✓	2.01
2025-11-25	oos	0.03093	0.030796	-0.43%	0.03177	+2.72%	0.0408	✓	2.03
2025-11-24	oos	0.03107	0.030949	-0.39%	0.03093	-0.45%	0.0213	✗	2.04
2025-11-23	oos	0.02919	0.029125	-0.22%	0.03107	+6.44%	0.0306	✗	2.05
2025-11-22	oos	0.0289	0.028864	-0.12%	0.02919	+1.00%	0.0402	✓	2.08
2025-11-21	oos	0.029555	0.029501	-0.18%	0.0289	-2.22%	0.0111	✓	2.09
2025-11-20	oos	0.031105	0.031022	-0.27%	0.029555	-4.98%	0.0130	✓	2.07
2025-11-19	oos	0.033345	0.033189	-0.47%	0.031105	-6.72%	0.0606	✗	2.27
2025-11-18	oos	0.03417	0.033972	-0.58%	0.033345	-2.41%	0.0173	✗	2.28
2025-11-17	oos	0.032635	0.032541	-0.29%	0.03417	+4.70%	0.0288	✗	2.27
2025-11-16	oos	0.03483	0.034692	-0.40%	0.032635	-6.30%	0.0106	✓	2.26
2025-11-15	oos	0.035895	0.035783	-0.31%	0.03483	-2.97%	0.0055	✗	2.26
2025-11-14	oos	0.03479	0.034663	-0.36%	0.035895	+3.18%	0.0102	✗	2.26
2025-11-13	oos	0.036215	0.036057	-0.44%	0.03479	-3.93%	0.0895	✗	2.38
2025-11-12	oos	0.040335	0.039862	-1.17%	0.036215	-10.21%	0.0488	✓	2.34
2025-11-11	oos	0.04734	0.046241	-2.32%	0.040335	-14.80%	0.1055	✓	2.33
2025-11-10	oos	0.04662	0.044932	-3.62%	0.04734	+1.54%	0.1190	✗	2.35
2025-11-09	oos	0.03727	0.037111	-0.43%	0.04662	+25.09%	0.2004	✗	2.27
2025-11-08	oos	0.03641	0.036234	-0.48%	0.03727	+2.36%	0.0252	✓	2.29
2025-11-07	oos	0.03634	0.036131	-0.58%	0.03641	+0.19%	0.0292	✗	2.21
2025-11-06	oos	0.03331	0.033154	-0.47%	0.03634	+9.10%	0.0492	✗	2.19
2025-11-05	oos	0.033315	0.033175	-0.42%	0.03331	-0.02%	0.0592	✗	2.19
2025-11-04	oos	0.03223	0.032155	-0.23%	0.033315	+3.37%	0.0154	✓	2.17
2025-11-03	oos	0.03387	0.033772	-0.29%	0.03223	-4.84%	0.0647	✗	2.28
2025-11-02	oos	0.03862	0.038251	-0.96%	0.03387	-12.30%	0.0400	✓	2.23
2025-11-01	oos	0.03625	0.035784	-1.29%	0.03862	+6.54%	0.0666	✗	2.22
2025-10-31	oos	0.04048	0.039269	-2.99%	0.03625	-10.45%	0.0902	✓	2.26
2025-10-30	oos	0.03363	0.033488	-0.42%	0.04048	+20.37%	0.1643	✗	2.22
2025-10-29	oos	0.03278	0.032684	-0.29%	0.03363	+2.59%	0.0636	✗	2.22
2025-10-28	oos	0.032295	0.032296	+0.00%	0.03278	+1.50%	0.0741	✓	2.30
2025-10-27	oos	0.03414	0.03411	-0.09%	0.032295	-5.40%	0.0309	✓	2.29
2025-10-26	oos	0.034885	0.034815	-0.20%	0.03414	-2.14%	0.0104	✓	2.29
2025-10-25	oos	0.03336	0.033288	-0.22%	0.034885	+4.57%	0.0130	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.0327	0.032612	-0.27%	0.03336	+2.02%	0.0090	✗	2.44
2025-10-23	oos	0.032325	0.032231	-0.29%	0.0327	+1.16%	0.0060	✓	2.44
2025-10-22	oos	0.03135	0.031267	-0.27%	0.032325	+3.11%	0.0237	✓	2.45
2025-10-21	oos	0.032765	0.032658	-0.33%	0.03135	-4.32%	0.0232	✓	2.45
2025-10-20	oos	0.03366	0.033444	-0.64%	0.032765	-2.66%	0.0295	✗	2.48
2025-10-19	oos	0.033295	0.032896	-1.20%	0.03366	+1.10%	0.0200	✓	2.49
2025-10-18	oos	0.03275	0.032599	-0.46%	0.033295	+1.66%	0.0128	✓	2.49
2025-10-17	oos	0.03186	0.031751	-0.34%	0.03275	+2.79%	0.0137	✗	2.48
2025-10-16	oos	0.033135	0.033054	-0.24%	0.03186	-3.85%	0.0033	✗	2.48
2025-10-15	oos	0.03479	0.034707	-0.24%	0.033135	-4.76%	0.0131	✗	2.50
2025-10-14	oos	0.03692	0.036813	-0.29%	0.03479	-5.77%	0.0060	✓	2.50
2025-10-13	oos	0.03789	0.037702	-0.50%	0.03692	-2.56%	0.0279	✗	2.53
2025-10-12	oos	0.036615	0.036487	-0.35%	0.03789	+3.48%	0.0333	✗	2.48
2025-10-11	oos	0.032715	0.032631	-0.26%	0.036615	+11.92%	0.0222	✗	2.44
2025-10-10	oos	0.03358	0.033438	-0.42%	0.032715	-2.58%	0.0274	✗	2.48
2025-10-09	oos	0.045405	0.045285	-0.26%	0.03358	-26.04%	0.1442	✓	2.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.046705	0.046488	-0.47%	0.045405	-2.78%	0.0037	✓	2.05
2025-10-07	oos	0.04531	0.04516	-0.33%	0.046705	+3.08%	0.0003	✓	2.09
2025-10-06	oos	0.047955	0.047655	-0.63%	0.04531	-5.52%	0.0067	✗	2.11
2025-10-05	oos	0.045515	0.045444	-0.16%	0.047955	+5.36%	0.0335	✗	2.10
2025-10-04	oos	0.04573	0.045654	-0.17%	0.045515	-0.47%	0.0212	✓	2.10
2025-10-03	oos	0.0476	0.047499	-0.21%	0.04573	-3.93%	0.0404	✓	2.10
2025-10-02	oos	0.048065	0.047849	-0.45%	0.0476	-0.97%	0.0348	✓	2.12
2025-10-01	oos	0.04733	0.047144	-0.39%	0.048065	+1.55%	0.0157	✓	2.14
2025-09-30	oos	0.04477	0.044385	-0.86%	0.04733	+5.72%	0.0221	✓	2.19
2025-09-29	oos	0.04346	0.043037	-0.97%	0.04477	+3.01%	0.0452	✗	2.21
2025-09-28	oos	0.043605	0.043441	-0.38%	0.04346	-0.33%	0.0425	✓	2.25
2025-09-27	oos	0.04338	0.04319	-0.44%	0.043605	+0.52%	0.0425	✓	2.29
2025-09-26	oos	0.04369	0.043462	-0.52%	0.04338	-0.71%	0.0015	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.04154	0.041344	-0.47%	0.04369	+5.18%	0.0412	✗	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.046435	0.046191	-0.52%	0.04154	-10.54%	0.0183	✓	2.26
2025-09-23	oos	0.04715	0.046862	-0.61%	0.046435	-1.52%	0.0363	✓	2.29
2025-09-22	oos	0.04701	0.046521	-1.04%	0.04715	+0.30%	0.0281	✗	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.049555	0.049035	-1.05%	0.04701	-5.14%	0.0089	✓	2.29
2025-09-20	oos	0.050815	0.050547	-0.53%	0.049555	-2.48%	0.0104	✓	2.32
2025-09-19	oos	0.05104	0.050802	-0.47%	0.050815	-0.44%	0.0010	✓	2.34
2025-09-18	oos	0.052275	0.051982	-0.56%	0.05104	-2.36%	0.0109	✗	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.05296	0.052643	-0.60%	0.052275	-1.29%	0.0201	✓	2.41

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.