UMXM

Manadia · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0

token id: #947
symbol: UMXM
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x44fc58faaaca03e5d52e493dae930ffa63e2a664
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-23
predictions: 519

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

172

of 173 predictions shown

direction hit

47.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0580

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.0219

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.03595	0.036024	+0.21%	–	pending	–	–	-1.33
2026-10-20	oos	0.04015	0.040177	+0.07%	0.03595	-10.46%	0.1147	✗	-1.20
2026-10-19	oos	0.04395	0.043943	-0.02%	0.04015	-8.65%	0.0747	✓	-1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.04805	0.048014	-0.07%	0.04395	-8.53%	0.0910	✓	-1.24
2026-10-17	oos	0.05595	0.05574	-0.38%	0.04805	-14.12%	0.1383	✓	-1.32
2026-10-16	oos	0.0651	0.064335	-1.17%	0.05595	-14.06%	0.1416	✓	-1.33
2026-10-15	oos	0.0648	0.064499	-0.46%	0.0651	+0.46%	0.0007	✓	-1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.25085	0.227494	-9.31%	0.0648	-74.17%	1.2479	✓	-1.16
2026-10-13	oos	0.0581	0.058	-0.17%	0.25085	+331.76%	1.4596	✗	-0.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.0588	0.058625	-0.30%	0.0581	-1.19%	0.0043	✓	-0.29
2026-10-11	oos	0.05905	0.058969	-0.14%	0.0588	-0.42%	0.0080	✓	-0.22
2026-10-10	oos	0.0592	0.059158	-0.07%	0.05905	-0.25%	0.0005	✓	-0.25
2026-10-09	oos	0.0591	0.05901	-0.15%	0.0592	+0.17%	0.0044	✗	-0.26
2026-10-08	oos	0.0616	0.061462	-0.22%	0.0591	-4.06%	0.0364	✓	-0.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.0618	0.061722	-0.13%	0.0616	-0.32%	0.0065	✓	-0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.0634	0.063342	-0.09%	0.0618	-2.52%	0.0304	✓	-0.21
2026-10-05	oos	0.0619	0.061753	-0.24%	0.0634	+2.42%	0.0258	✗	-0.22
2026-10-04	oos	0.06095	0.060602	-0.57%	0.0619	+1.56%	0.0192	✗	-0.22
2026-10-03	oos	0.066	0.065278	-1.09%	0.06095	-7.65%	0.0644	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.0647	0.064172	-0.82%	0.066	+2.01%	0.0286	✗	-0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.06655	0.066452	-0.15%	0.0647	-2.78%	0.0275	✓	-0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.06295	0.062915	-0.05%	0.06655	+5.72%	0.0592	✗	-0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.0632	0.063163	-0.06%	0.06295	-0.40%	0.0035	✓	-0.16
2026-09-28	oos	0.06695	0.066935	-0.02%	0.0632	-5.60%	0.0571	✓	-0.14
2026-09-27	oos	0.0776	0.077482	-0.15%	0.06695	-13.72%	0.1486	✓	-0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.0759	0.075635	-0.35%	0.0776	+2.24%	0.0258	✗	-0.20
2026-09-25	oos	0.07795	0.077875	-0.10%	0.0759	-2.63%	0.0249	✓	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.0836	0.083528	-0.09%	0.07795	-6.76%	0.0699	✓	-0.23
2026-09-23	oos	0.089	0.088968	-0.04%	0.0836	-6.07%	0.0622	✓	-0.23
2026-09-22	oos	0.09335	0.093213	-0.15%	0.089	-4.66%	0.0519	✓	-0.27
2026-09-21	oos	0.09665	0.096493	-0.16%	0.09335	-3.41%	0.0345	✓	-0.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.09805	0.097634	-0.42%	0.09665	-1.43%	0.0154	✗	-0.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.0989	0.098394	-0.51%	0.09805	-0.86%	0.0038	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.0993	0.097901	-1.41%	0.0989	-0.40%	0.0119	✓	-0.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.09925	0.098604	-0.65%	0.0993	+0.05%	0.0342	✗	-0.47
2026-09-16	oos	0.0999	0.099217	-0.68%	0.09925	-0.65%	0.0016	✓	-0.46
2026-09-15	oos	0.09935	0.098727	-0.63%	0.0999	+0.55%	0.0154	✗	-0.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.09945	0.098088	-1.37%	0.09935	-0.10%	0.0035	✓	-0.48
2026-09-13	oos	0.0999	0.099303	-0.60%	0.09945	-0.45%	0.0105	✗	-0.51
2026-09-12	oos	0.0998	0.099089	-0.71%	0.0999	+0.10%	0.0052	✓	-0.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.0995	0.098802	-0.70%	0.0998	+0.30%	0.0104	✗	-0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.0997	0.098851	-0.85%	0.0995	-0.20%	0.0105	✗	-0.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.09985	0.099042	-0.81%	0.0997	-0.15%	0.0034	✓	-0.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.10035	0.099885	-0.46%	0.09985	-0.50%	0.0012	✓	-0.40
2026-09-07	oos	0.1002	0.099588	-0.61%	0.10035	+0.15%	0.0044	✓	-0.40
2026-09-06	oos	0.09995	0.099371	-0.58%	0.1002	+0.25%	0.0022	✓	-0.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.1004	0.099694	-0.70%	0.09995	-0.45%	0.0051	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.09975	0.099045	-0.71%	0.1004	+0.65%	0.0143	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.10045	0.099751	-0.70%	0.09975	-0.70%	0.0070	✓	-0.35
2026-09-02	oos	0.12235	0.121056	-1.06%	0.10045	-17.90%	0.1785	✓	-0.16
2026-09-01	oos	0.10025	0.099679	-0.57%	0.12235	+22.04%	0.2048	✗	-0.15
2026-08-31	oos	0.09965	0.098583	-1.07%	0.10025	+0.60%	0.0137	✗	-0.21
2026-08-30	oos	0.1011	0.1	-1.09%	0.09965	-1.43%	0.0021	✓	-0.12
2026-08-29	oos	0.10075	0.099696	-1.05%	0.1011	+0.35%	0.0129	✗	-0.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.1007	0.099564	-1.13%	0.10075	+0.05%	0.0126	✗	-0.15
2026-08-27	oos	0.10085	0.099811	-1.03%	0.1007	-0.15%	0.0049	✓	-0.13
2026-08-26	oos	0.1005	0.099321	-1.17%	0.10085	+0.35%	0.0175	✗	-0.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.1009	0.09963	-1.26%	0.1005	-0.40%	0.0097	✓	-0.16
2026-08-24	oos	0.1008	0.099512	-1.28%	0.1009	+0.10%	0.0129	✗	-0.17
2026-08-23	oos	0.10075	0.099212	-1.53%	0.1008	+0.05%	0.0189	✗	-0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.09985	0.098164	-1.69%	0.10075	+0.90%	0.0277	✗	-0.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.0995	0.09754	-1.97%	0.09985	+0.35%	0.0205	✗	-0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.1003	0.098218	-2.08%	0.0995	-0.80%	0.0292	✗	-0.23
2026-08-19	oos	0.10025	0.098548	-1.70%	0.1003	+0.05%	0.0344	✗	-0.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.10475	0.104252	-0.48%	0.10025	-4.30%	0.0152	✓	-0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.1043	0.103849	-0.43%	0.10475	+0.43%	0.0097	✗	-0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.13135	0.130949	-0.31%	0.1043	-20.59%	0.2240	✓	-0.14
2026-08-15	oos	0.13905	0.138172	-0.63%	0.13135	-5.54%	0.0511	✓	-0.15
2026-08-14	oos	0.1395	0.138264	-0.89%	0.13905	-0.32%	0.0058	✓	-0.16
2026-08-13	oos	0.1552	0.153752	-0.93%	0.1395	-10.12%	0.0986	✓	-0.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.16135	0.159845	-0.93%	0.1552	-3.81%	0.0294	✓	-0.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.1805	0.179051	-0.80%	0.16135	-10.61%	0.1045	✓	-0.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.20565	0.204224	-0.69%	0.1805	-12.23%	0.1248	✓	-0.22
2026-08-09	oos	0.2128	0.211178	-0.76%	0.20565	-3.36%	0.0299	✓	-0.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.2366	0.234835	-0.75%	0.2128	-10.06%	0.0987	✓	-0.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.2354	0.233286	-0.90%	0.2366	+0.51%	0.0142	✗	-0.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.244	0.24168	-0.95%	0.2354	-3.52%	0.0241	✓	-0.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.2479	0.245006	-1.17%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0053	✓	-0.22
2026-08-04	oos	0.24485	0.241921	-1.20%	0.2479	+1.25%	0.0262	✗	-0.21
2026-08-03	oos	0.2522	0.248348	-1.53%	0.24485	-2.91%	0.0122	✓	-0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.2667	0.262734	-1.49%	0.2522	-5.44%	0.0410	✓	-0.19
2026-08-01	oos	0.2733	0.268728	-1.67%	0.2667	-2.41%	0.0051	✓	-0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.2786	0.269409	-3.30%	0.2733	-1.90%	0.0141	✓	-0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.25295	0.242714	-4.05%	0.2786	+10.14%	0.1347	✗	-0.11
2026-07-29	oos	0.25285	0.239005	-5.48%	0.25295	+0.04%	0.0587	✗	-0.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.26005	0.241265	-7.22%	0.25285	-2.77%	0.0470	✓	-0.09
2026-07-27	oos	0.2189	0.193574	-11.57%	0.26005	+18.80%	0.2954	✗	-0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.288	0.257561	-10.57%	0.2189	-23.99%	0.1695	✓	-0.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.43055	0.407199	-5.42%	0.288	-33.11%	0.3445	✓	-0.11
2026-07-24	oos	0.5458	0.528174	-3.23%	0.43055	-21.12%	0.2044	✓	-0.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.67405	0.66223	-1.75%	0.5458	-19.03%	0.1943	✓	-0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.8973	0.893881	-0.38%	0.67405	-24.88%	0.2859	✓	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	1.0072	1.0048	-0.24%	0.8973	-10.92%	0.1148	✓	-0.25
2026-07-20	oos	1.2409	1.2413	+0.03%	1.0072	-18.83%	0.2071	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	2.3075	2.3063	-0.05%	1.2409	-46.22%	0.6209	✓	0.13
2026-07-18	oos	2.3811	2.3787	-0.10%	2.3075	-3.09%	0.0301	✓	0.13
2026-07-17	oos	2.3614	2.3563	-0.21%	2.3811	+0.83%	0.0086	✗	0.13
2026-07-16	oos	2.2402	2.238	-0.10%	2.3614	+5.41%	0.0534	✗	0.12
2026-07-15	oos	2.2807	2.2773	-0.15%	2.2402	-1.78%	0.0147	✓	0.11
2026-07-14	oos	2.2208	2.214	-0.31%	2.2807	+2.69%	0.0302	✗	0.12
2026-07-13	oos	2.2458	2.2414	-0.19%	2.2208	-1.11%	0.0160	✓	0.16
2026-07-12	oos	2.2386	2.2343	-0.19%	2.2458	+0.32%	0.0088	✗	0.16
2026-07-11	oos	2.2285	2.2257	-0.12%	2.2386	+0.45%	0.0058	✗	0.16
2026-07-10	oos	2.2295	2.2282	-0.06%	2.2285	-0.05%	0.0010	✗	0.16
2026-07-09	oos	2.2182	2.2137	-0.20%	2.2295	+0.51%	0.0047	✗	0.16
2026-07-08	oos	2.2142	2.2073	-0.31%	2.2182	+0.18%	0.0025	✓	0.17
2026-07-07	oos	2.214	2.2053	-0.40%	2.2142	+0.01%	0.0069	✗	0.16
2026-07-06	oos	2.1901	2.1857	-0.20%	2.214	+1.09%	0.0146	✗	0.16
2026-07-05	oos	2.1837	2.1726	-0.51%	2.1901	+0.29%	0.0069	✗	0.17
2026-07-04	oos	2.1444	2.1397	-0.22%	2.1837	+1.83%	0.0191	✗	0.16
2026-07-03	oos	2.1366	2.1339	-0.12%	2.1444	+0.37%	0.0034	✗	0.17
2026-07-02	oos	2.1222	2.1192	-0.14%	2.1366	+0.68%	0.0053	✗	0.17
2026-07-01	oos	2.0958	2.0886	-0.35%	2.1222	+1.26%	0.0117	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	2.0838	2.0808	-0.14%	2.0958	+0.58%	0.0028	✗	0.18
2026-06-29	oos	2.0821	2.0784	-0.18%	2.0838	+0.08%	0.0075	✗	0.18
2026-06-28	oos	2.0604	2.0535	-0.34%	2.0821	+1.05%	0.0118	✗	0.18
2026-06-27	oos	2.0261	2.0219	-0.21%	2.0604	+1.69%	0.0202	✗	0.18
2026-06-26	oos	2.0122	2.0088	-0.17%	2.0261	+0.69%	0.0088	✗	0.18
2026-06-25	oos	1.9861	1.9772	-0.44%	2.0122	+1.32%	0.0167	✗	0.18
2026-06-24	oos	1.964	1.957	-0.36%	1.9861	+1.12%	0.0186	✗	0.18
2026-06-23	oos	1.9527	1.9447	-0.41%	1.964	+0.58%	0.0149	✗	0.18
2026-06-22	oos	1.8978	1.88	-0.94%	1.9527	+2.90%	0.0422	✗	0.20
2026-06-21	oos	1.819	1.8158	-0.17%	1.8978	+4.33%	0.0421	✗	0.18
2026-06-20	oos	1.8041	1.8001	-0.22%	1.819	+0.82%	0.0133	✗	0.18
2026-06-19	oos	1.7939	1.7875	-0.36%	1.8041	+0.57%	0.0071	✗	0.19
2026-06-18	oos	1.775	1.7632	-0.66%	1.7939	+1.06%	0.0155	✗	0.19
2026-06-17	oos	1.7866	1.7771	-0.53%	1.775	-0.65%	0.0031	✓	0.18
2026-06-16	oos	1.7721	1.7668	-0.30%	1.7866	+0.82%	0.0143	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	1.7686	1.7642	-0.25%	1.7721	+0.20%	0.0062	✗	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	1.7635	1.7576	-0.33%	1.7686	+0.29%	0.0047	✗	0.18
2026-06-13	oos	1.7518	1.7392	-0.72%	1.7635	+0.67%	0.0102	✗	0.19
2026-06-12	oos	1.732	1.7286	-0.19%	1.7518	+1.15%	0.0107	✗	0.19
2026-06-11	oos	1.7178	1.7144	-0.20%	1.732	+0.83%	0.0103	✗	0.19
2026-06-10	oos	1.7223	1.719	-0.19%	1.7178	-0.26%	0.0084	✓	0.23
2026-06-09	oos	1.7114	1.7078	-0.21%	1.7223	+0.63%	0.0093	✗	0.23
2026-06-08	oos	1.7274	1.7224	-0.29%	1.7114	-0.92%	0.0016	✓	0.21
2026-06-07	oos	1.6827	1.6768	-0.35%	1.7274	+2.66%	0.0306	✗	0.21
2026-06-06	oos	1.6853	1.68	-0.31%	1.6827	-0.15%	0.0092	✓	0.27
2026-06-05	oos	1.6878	1.6801	-0.46%	1.6853	-0.15%	0.0039	✓	0.27
2026-06-04	oos	1.6892	1.6832	-0.35%	1.6878	-0.08%	0.0151	✗	0.28
2026-06-03	oos	1.6755	1.6695	-0.36%	1.6892	+0.82%	0.0128	✗	0.28
2026-06-02	oos	1.6107	1.6041	-0.41%	1.6755	+4.02%	0.0598	✗	0.41
2026-06-01	oos	1.7272	1.7181	-0.53%	1.6107	-6.75%	0.0680	✓	-0.05
2026-05-31	oos	1.6968	1.6868	-0.59%	1.7272	+1.79%	0.0230	✗	-0.02
2026-05-30	oos	1.6992	1.6874	-0.70%	1.6968	-0.14%	0.0055	✓	-0.02
2026-05-29	oos	1.6483	1.6385	-0.60%	1.6992	+3.09%	0.0367	✗	-0.05
2026-05-28	oos	1.6386	1.629	-0.58%	1.6483	+0.60%	0.0117	✗	-0.05
2026-05-27	oos	1.641	1.6306	-0.64%	1.6386	-0.15%	0.0042	✓	-0.06
2026-05-26	oos	1.6222	1.6124	-0.60%	1.641	+1.16%	0.0163	✗	-0.06
2026-05-25	oos	1.6498	1.6394	-0.63%	1.6222	-1.67%	0.0133	✓	-0.15
2026-05-24	oos	1.6164	1.6071	-0.57%	1.6498	+2.06%	0.0267	✗	-0.16
2026-05-23	oos	1.6125	1.6032	-0.58%	1.6164	+0.24%	0.0088	✗	-0.15
2026-05-22	oos	1.6076	1.5983	-0.58%	1.6125	+0.31%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	1.6017	1.5929	-0.55%	1.6076	+0.37%	0.0367	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	1.6625	1.6514	-0.67%	1.6017	-3.66%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	1.617	1.6051	-0.73%	1.6625	+2.82%	0.0259	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	1.6751	1.6622	-0.77%	1.617	-3.47%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	1.5775	1.5626	-0.94%	1.6751	+6.19%	0.0756	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	1.5375	1.5294	-0.53%	1.5775	+2.60%	0.0399	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	1.5322	1.5257	-0.43%	1.5375	+0.35%	0.0199	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	1.5186	1.5135	-0.33%	1.5322	+0.90%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	1.5346	1.5279	-0.44%	1.5186	-1.05%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	1.5227	1.5164	-0.41%	1.5346	+0.78%	0.0269	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	1.5116	1.5073	-0.29%	1.5227	+0.73%	0.0254	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	1.5148	1.5111	-0.24%	1.5116	-0.21%	0.0061	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.5776	1.5727	-0.31%	1.5148	-3.98%	0.0565	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	1.5512	1.5467	-0.29%	1.5776	+1.70%	0.0139	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	1.5268	1.5227	-0.26%	1.5512	+1.60%	0.0162	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	1.6231	1.6188	-0.26%	1.5268	-5.93%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	1.6713	1.666	-0.32%	1.6231	-2.89%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	1.6419	1.6363	-0.34%	1.6713	+1.79%	0.0080	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	1.7622	1.7535	-0.49%	1.6419	-6.83%	0.0821	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	1.7539	1.7468	-0.40%	1.7622	+0.47%	0.0103	✗	1.00