TROLLSOL

? · · gru_s0

token id: #917
symbol: TROLLSOL
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-23
predictions: 1,587

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3768

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0458

actual -0.0114

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.036778	0.034253	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-20	oos	0.037984	0.035465	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.033794	0.031286	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-18	oos	0.033843	0.031294	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.035389	0.032629	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.035893	0.033044	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.036152	0.033329	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	2.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.037653	0.034664	-7.94%	–	pending	–	–	2.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.037875	0.035253	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-12	oos	0.036243	0.033497	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	2.36
2026-10-11	oos	0.03961	0.037262	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-10	oos	0.037829	0.03541	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.038198	0.035764	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.037308	0.034802	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-10-07	oos	0.039808	0.037679	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-06	oos	0.042549	0.041003	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-05	oos	0.042647	0.04127	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-04	oos	0.045871	0.044679	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-03	oos	0.044561	0.043041	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.044541	0.043059	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-01	oos	0.046943	0.045489	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-09-30	oos	0.04658	0.044886	-3.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.21
2026-09-29	oos	0.045724	0.044164	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-09-28	oos	0.044871	0.04342	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-27	oos	0.047287	0.04604	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.25
2026-09-26	oos	0.049391	0.048094	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	2.26
2026-09-25	oos	0.051838	0.050452	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-24	oos	0.05056	0.049533	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	2.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04971	0.04887	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.29
2026-09-22	oos	0.05964	0.058731	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	2.19
2026-09-21	oos	0.05641	0.055895	-0.91%	0.036778	-34.80%	0.3154	✓	2.24
2026-09-20	oos	0.050383	0.048892	-2.96%	0.037984	-24.61%	0.3022	✓	2.29
2026-09-19	oos	0.047696	0.046553	-2.39%	0.033794	-29.15%	0.3372	✓	2.29
2026-09-18	oos	0.049463	0.048174	-2.61%	0.033843	-31.58%	0.3848	✓	2.28
2026-09-17	oos	0.043573	0.041699	-4.30%	0.035389	-18.78%	0.3097	✓	2.28
2026-09-16	oos	0.042624	0.040953	-3.92%	0.035893	-15.79%	0.2868	✓	2.28
2026-09-15	oos	0.042855	0.041198	-3.87%	0.036152	-15.64%	0.3178	✓	2.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.047112	0.045951	-2.46%	0.037653	-20.08%	0.2950	✓	2.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.046599	0.045233	-2.93%	0.037875	-18.72%	0.3568	✓	2.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.048266	0.046987	-2.65%	0.036243	-24.91%	0.3868	✓	2.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.048729	0.047555	-2.41%	0.03961	-18.71%	0.3652	✓	2.27
2026-09-10	oos	0.047248	0.046176	-2.27%	0.037829	-19.94%	0.3823	✓	2.29
2026-09-09	oos	0.049799	0.04903	-1.54%	0.038198	-23.29%	0.3709	✓	2.29
2026-09-08	oos	0.052052	0.051293	-1.46%	0.037308	-28.33%	0.4093	✓	2.24
2026-09-07	oos	0.048497	0.048298	-0.41%	0.039808	-17.92%	0.3113	✓	2.29
2026-09-06	oos	0.052082	0.052221	+0.27%	0.042549	-18.31%	0.3482	✗	2.28
2026-09-05	oos	0.061653	0.060991	-1.07%	0.042647	-30.83%	0.5216	✓	2.29
2026-09-04	oos	0.076665	0.073951	-3.54%	0.045871	-40.17%	0.6599	✓	2.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.055088	0.055837	+1.36%	0.044561	-19.11%	0.3286	✗	2.46
2026-09-02	oos	0.041738	0.041858	+0.29%	0.044541	+6.72%	0.1223	✗	2.07
2026-09-01	oos	0.043203	0.043348	+0.34%	0.046943	+8.66%	0.1119	✗	2.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.044504	0.044983	+1.08%	0.04658	+4.66%	0.0801	✗	1.87
2026-08-30	oos	0.047096	0.047236	+0.30%	0.045724	-2.91%	0.1649	✗	1.79
2026-08-29	oos	0.050108	0.050447	+0.68%	0.044871	-10.45%	0.2301	✗	1.75
2026-08-28	oos	0.04966	0.050126	+0.94%	0.047287	-4.78%	0.2017	✗	1.76
2026-08-27	oos	0.053453	0.054867	+2.64%	0.049391	-7.60%	0.1929	✗	1.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.051848	0.052981	+2.19%	0.051838	-0.02%	0.1294	✗	1.73
2026-08-25	oos	0.049368	0.050521	+2.33%	0.05056	+2.41%	0.1192	✗	1.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.051194	0.052482	+2.52%	0.04971	-2.90%	0.1723	✗	1.79
2026-08-23	oos	0.052031	0.053041	+1.94%	0.05964	+14.62%	0.0770	✗	1.88
2026-08-22	oos	0.054691	0.05537	+1.24%	0.05641	+3.14%	0.2016	✗	1.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.059058	0.059831	+1.31%	0.050383	-14.69%	0.2382	✗	1.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.048109	0.047848	-0.54%	0.047696	-0.86%	0.1895	✓	1.75
2026-08-19	oos	0.047886	0.046579	-2.73%	0.049463	+3.29%	0.2382	✓	1.93
2026-08-18	oos	0.041719	0.039743	-4.74%	0.043573	+4.44%	0.2235	✓	1.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.039132	0.037309	-4.66%	0.042624	+8.92%	0.1846	✓	1.91
2026-08-16	oos	0.041845	0.039598	-5.37%	0.042855	+2.41%	0.2940	✓	2.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.039066	0.037085	-5.07%	0.047112	+20.60%	0.1951	✓	2.02
2026-08-14	oos	0.037082	0.035234	-4.98%	0.046599	+25.66%	0.1200	✓	2.01
2026-08-13	oos	0.037614	0.035815	-4.78%	0.048266	+28.32%	0.0984	✓	2.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.038149	0.036293	-4.87%	0.048729	+27.73%	0.1089	✓	2.05
2026-08-11	oos	0.037296	0.035513	-4.78%	0.047248	+26.68%	0.0897	✓	2.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.038765	0.036973	-4.62%	0.049799	+28.46%	0.0874	✓	1.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.040031	0.03833	-4.25%	0.052052	+30.03%	0.0632	✓	1.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.043324	0.041331	-4.60%	0.048497	+11.94%	0.2240	✓	1.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.038756	0.037163	-4.11%	0.052082	+34.39%	0.1881	✓	2.46
2026-08-06	oos	0.037333	0.035708	-4.35%	0.061653	+65.14%	0.0079	✓	2.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.038876	0.037197	-4.32%	0.076665	+97.21%	0.2011	✗	2.49
2026-08-04	oos	0.038449	0.036725	-4.48%	0.055088	+43.28%	0.1973	✓	2.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.037962	0.036147	-4.78%	0.041738	+9.95%	0.3669	✓	2.59
2026-08-02	oos	0.038423	0.036639	-4.64%	0.043203	+12.44%	0.3404	✓	2.55
2026-08-01	oos	0.038862	0.036952	-4.92%	0.044504	+14.52%	0.3658	✓	2.46
2026-07-31	oos	0.039347	0.037456	-4.81%	0.047096	+19.69%	0.2962	✓	2.48
2026-07-30	oos	0.043061	0.041086	-4.59%	0.050108	+16.37%	0.2789	✓	2.52
2026-07-29	oos	0.043863	0.041885	-4.51%	0.04966	+13.22%	0.3574	✓	2.67
2026-07-28	oos	0.04822	0.045956	-4.69%	0.053453	+10.85%	0.4602	✓	2.67
2026-07-27	oos	0.042755	0.040901	-4.34%	0.051848	+21.27%	0.3400	✓	2.68
2026-07-26	oos	0.05082	0.048518	-4.53%	0.049368	-2.86%	0.4493	✓	2.54
2026-07-25	oos	0.038615	0.037193	-3.68%	0.051194	+32.58%	0.1872	✓	2.46
2026-07-24	oos	0.038026	0.036725	-3.42%	0.052031	+36.83%	0.1192	✓	2.42
2026-07-23	oos	0.0385	0.037356	-2.97%	0.054691	+42.05%	0.0282	✓	2.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.040317	0.039251	-2.64%	0.059058	+46.48%	0.0010	✓	2.40
2026-07-21	oos	0.044366	0.043265	-2.48%	0.048109	+8.44%	0.1165	✓	2.39
2026-07-20	oos	0.043322	0.042098	-2.83%	0.047886	+10.54%	0.0152	✓	2.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.043592	0.042303	-2.96%	0.041719	-4.30%	0.0139	✓	2.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.046336	0.044987	-2.91%	0.039132	-15.55%	0.1283	✓	2.27
2026-07-17	oos	0.041387	0.039998	-3.36%	0.041845	+1.11%	0.0782	✗	1.98
2026-07-16	oos	0.043618	0.042196	-3.26%	0.039066	-10.44%	0.0542	✓	1.93
2026-07-15	oos	0.047648	0.046296	-2.84%	0.037082	-22.18%	0.1746	✓	1.73
2026-07-14	oos	0.050717	0.049368	-2.66%	0.037614	-25.84%	0.2297	✓	1.73
2026-07-13	oos	0.050208	0.048604	-3.20%	0.038149	-24.02%	0.2760	✓	1.85
2026-07-12	oos	0.054903	0.053302	-2.92%	0.037296	-32.07%	0.3512	✓	1.81
2026-07-11	oos	0.054401	0.052728	-3.08%	0.038765	-28.74%	0.3115	✓	1.78
2026-07-10	oos	0.051832	0.050126	-3.29%	0.040031	-22.77%	0.2453	✓	1.83
2026-07-09	oos	0.054605	0.05273	-3.43%	0.043324	-20.66%	0.2472	✓	1.87
2026-07-08	oos	0.052663	0.050653	-3.82%	0.038756	-26.41%	0.3532	✓	2.05
2026-07-07	oos	0.055374	0.053306	-3.73%	0.037333	-32.58%	0.3860	✓	2.01
2026-07-06	oos	0.059639	0.057539	-3.52%	0.038876	-34.81%	0.4108	✓	2.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.059466	0.057376	-3.51%	0.038449	-35.34%	0.4149	✓	2.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.064273	0.061989	-3.55%	0.037962	-40.94%	0.5025	✓	2.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.06707	0.064556	-3.75%	0.038423	-42.71%	0.5497	✓	1.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.064804	0.062218	-3.99%	0.038862	-40.03%	0.5117	✓	1.99
2026-07-01	oos	0.061492	0.058857	-4.29%	0.039347	-36.01%	0.4962	✓	2.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.052371	0.049997	-4.53%	0.043061	-17.78%	0.3459	✓	1.95
2026-06-29	oos	0.054438	0.051883	-4.69%	0.043863	-19.43%	0.2853	✓	1.95
2026-06-28	oos	0.050641	0.047879	-5.45%	0.04822	-4.78%	0.1287	✓	1.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.054499	0.051379	-5.72%	0.042755	-21.55%	0.2986	✓	1.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.055757	0.052485	-5.87%	0.05082	-8.85%	0.1936	✓	1.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.053004	0.049486	-6.64%	0.038615	-27.15%	0.3881	✓	1.89
2026-06-24	oos	0.05462	0.050947	-6.72%	0.038026	-30.38%	0.3833	✓	1.83
2026-06-23	oos	0.061169	0.05753	-5.95%	0.0385	-37.06%	0.4699	✓	1.81
2026-06-22	oos	0.065839	0.062069	-5.73%	0.040317	-38.76%	0.4893	✓	1.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.068421	0.064525	-5.69%	0.044366	-35.16%	0.4652	✓	1.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.070529	0.066376	-5.89%	0.043322	-38.58%	0.4530	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.067218	0.063115	-6.10%	0.043592	-35.15%	0.4030	✓	1.75
2026-06-18	oos	0.066817	0.062715	-6.14%	0.046336	-30.65%	0.3558	✓	1.77
2026-06-17	oos	0.068936	0.064638	-6.23%	0.041387	-39.96%	0.4308	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.074075	0.069273	-6.48%	0.043618	-41.12%	0.4132	✓	1.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.07769	0.072169	-7.11%	0.047648	-38.67%	0.3734	✓	1.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.082312	0.076066	-7.59%	0.050717	-38.38%	0.3859	✓	1.77
2026-06-13	oos	0.07797	0.072218	-7.38%	0.050208	-35.61%	0.3047	✓	1.72
2026-06-12	oos	0.071386	0.066131	-7.36%	0.054903	-23.09%	0.1915	✓	1.70
2026-06-11	oos	0.067829	0.062732	-7.51%	0.054401	-19.80%	0.1481	✓	1.70
2026-06-10	oos	0.066021	0.061148	-7.38%	0.051832	-21.49%	0.2394	✓	1.74
2026-06-09	oos	0.071643	0.06616	-7.65%	0.054605	-23.78%	0.2331	✓	1.73
2026-06-08	oos	0.077125	0.070729	-8.29%	0.052663	-31.72%	0.2727	✓	1.69
2026-06-07	oos	0.073677	0.067341	-8.60%	0.055374	-24.84%	0.1962	✓	1.66
2026-06-06	oos	0.072464	0.066386	-8.39%	0.059639	-17.70%	0.1926	✓	1.69
2026-06-05	oos	0.067914	0.062184	-8.44%	0.059466	-12.44%	0.1148	✓	1.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.06834	0.062085	-9.15%	0.064273	-5.95%	0.0549	✓	1.78
2026-06-03	oos	0.076015	0.068547	-9.82%	0.06707	-11.77%	0.0210	✓	1.78
2026-06-02	oos	0.069034	0.062104	-10.04%	0.064804	-6.13%	0.1981	✗	1.93
2026-06-01	oos	0.074536	0.06571	-11.84%	0.061492	-17.50%	0.2403	✗	1.77
2026-05-31	oos	0.07637	0.066618	-12.77%	0.052371	-31.42%	0.1666	✗	1.78
2026-05-30	oos	0.08534	0.074123	-13.14%	0.054438	-36.21%	0.0346	✓	1.68
2026-05-29	oos	0.086672	0.074982	-13.49%	0.050641	-41.57%	0.0352	✓	1.70
2026-05-28	oos	0.075982	0.065383	-13.95%	0.054499	-28.27%	0.1636	✗	1.69
2026-05-27	oos	0.063912	0.054508	-14.71%	0.055757	-12.76%	0.3976	✗	1.75
2026-05-26	oos	0.084221	0.073062	-13.25%	0.053004	-37.07%	0.0662	✓	1.62
2026-05-25	oos	0.103826	0.093183	-10.25%	0.05462	-47.39%	0.1937	✓	1.44
2026-05-24	oos	0.10912	0.098141	-10.06%	0.061169	-43.94%	0.1758	✓	1.44
2026-05-23	oos	0.114713	0.103181	-10.05%	0.065839	-42.61%	0.1895	✓	1.43
2026-05-22	oos	0.102325	0.091217	-10.86%	0.068421	-33.13%	0.0372	✓	1.42
2026-05-21	oos	0.116733	0.105528	-9.60%	0.070529	-39.58%	0.1491	✓	1.35
2026-05-20	oos	0.115211	0.104003	-9.73%	0.067218	-41.66%	0.1634	✓	1.37
2026-05-19	oos	0.108436	0.097688	-9.91%	0.066817	-38.38%	0.1066	✓	1.37
2026-05-18	oos	0.113559	0.102411	-9.82%	0.068936	-39.29%	0.1581	✓	1.34
2026-05-17	oos	0.11052	0.099976	-9.54%	0.074075	-32.98%	0.0772	✓	1.35
2026-05-16	oos	0.115287	0.104481	-9.37%	0.07769	-32.61%	0.0771	✓	1.33
2026-05-15	oos	0.117633	0.106916	-9.11%	0.082312	-30.03%	0.0069	✓	1.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.13098	0.118795	-9.30%	0.07797	-40.47%	0.1136	✓	1.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.1313	0.116593	-11.20%	0.071386	-45.63%	0.1956	✓	1.33
2026-05-12	oos	0.10436	0.094575	-9.38%	0.067829	-35.00%	0.0068	✓	1.44
2026-05-11	oos	0.118506	0.105994	-10.56%	0.066021	-44.29%	0.0747	✓	1.40
2026-05-10	oos	0.119429	0.09995	-16.31%	0.071643	-40.01%	0.0729	✓	1.41
2026-05-09	oos	0.055455	0.051018	-8.00%	0.077125	+39.08%	0.6900	✗	1.12
2026-05-08	oos	0.049767	0.045976	-7.62%	0.073677	+48.04%	0.7318	✗	1.10
2026-05-07	oos	0.04613	0.042805	-7.21%	0.072464	+57.09%	0.8326	✗	1.12
2026-05-06	oos	0.051663	0.047319	-8.41%	0.067914	+31.46%	0.6889	✗	1.14
2026-05-05	oos	0.042961	0.03995	-7.01%	0.06834	+59.07%	0.7944	✗	1.08
2026-05-04	oos	0.044384	0.04082	-8.03%	0.076015	+71.27%	0.8623	✗	1.09
2026-05-03	oos	0.051022	0.043616	-14.52%	0.069034	+35.30%	0.6515	✗	1.17
2026-05-02	oos	0.027771	0.026281	-5.36%	0.074536	+168.40%	1.1615	✗	1.21
2026-05-01	oos	0.021138	0.020339	-3.78%	0.07637	+261.29%	1.3962	✗	1.19
2026-04-30	oos	0.017079	0.016455	-3.65%	0.08534	+399.68%	1.6841	✗	1.13
2026-04-29	oos	0.017214	0.016567	-3.76%	0.086672	+403.50%	1.6910	✗	1.13
2026-04-28	oos	0.019348	0.018631	-3.71%	0.075982	+292.71%	1.4484	✗	1.14
2026-04-27	oos	0.017751	0.017249	-2.83%	0.063912	+260.05%	1.3561	✗	1.15
2026-04-26	oos	0.020579	0.019997	-2.83%	0.084221	+309.26%	1.4799	✗	1.14
2026-04-25	oos	0.021359	0.020637	-3.38%	0.103826	+386.10%	1.6216	✗	1.15
2026-04-24	oos	0.022413	0.021579	-3.72%	0.10912	+386.86%	1.6281	✗	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.021945	0.021237	-3.23%	0.114713	+422.73%	1.7115	✗	1.18
2026-04-22	oos	0.020439	0.019884	-2.71%	0.102325	+400.64%	1.6805	✗	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.020099	0.019443	-3.26%	0.116733	+480.79%	1.7739	✗	1.19
2026-04-20	oos	0.021041	0.02023	-3.85%	0.115211	+447.55%	1.7139	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.021534	0.020406	-5.24%	0.108436	+403.56%	1.6179	✗	1.34
2026-04-18	oos	0.016351	0.016004	-2.12%	0.113559	+594.51%	1.9369	✗	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.014813	0.014688	-0.84%	0.11052	+646.10%	2.0123	✗	1.45
2026-04-16	oos	0.016833	0.016408	-2.52%	0.115287	+584.89%	1.8920	✗	1.50
2026-04-15	oos	0.015971	0.015603	-2.31%	0.117633	+636.54%	1.9380	✗	1.50
2026-04-14	oos	0.01568	0.015282	-2.54%	0.13098	+735.33%	2.0150	✗	1.50
2026-04-13	oos	0.0162	0.015782	-2.58%	0.1313	+710.49%	2.0249	✗	1.49
2026-04-12	oos	0.014801	0.014274	-3.56%	0.10436	+605.09%	1.7959	✗	1.50
2026-04-11	oos	0.016225	0.015714	-3.15%	0.118506	+630.39%	1.8544	✗	1.49
2026-04-10	oos	0.016809	0.016146	-3.95%	0.119429	+610.51%	1.8244	✗	1.49
2026-04-09	oos	0.011796	0.011545	-2.12%	0.055455	+370.12%	1.4046	✗	1.42
2026-04-08	oos	0.011923	0.011643	-2.35%	0.049767	+317.40%	1.2816	✗	1.42
2026-04-07	oos	0.012256	0.011996	-2.12%	0.04613	+276.39%	1.1955	✗	1.42
2026-04-06	oos	0.011104	0.010718	-3.47%	0.051663	+365.26%	1.3353	✗	1.41
2026-04-05	oos	0.011418	0.011015	-3.53%	0.042961	+276.26%	1.1359	✗	1.41
2026-04-04	oos	0.011593	0.01115	-3.82%	0.044384	+282.85%	1.1415	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.01142	0.010989	-3.77%	0.051022	+346.78%	1.3075	✗	1.43
2026-04-02	oos	0.011454	0.011018	-3.81%	0.027771	+142.46%	0.6926	✗	1.43
2026-04-01	oos	0.012049	0.011609	-3.65%	0.021138	+75.43%	0.3995	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.012335	0.011917	-3.39%	0.017079	+38.46%	0.1952	✗	1.47
2026-03-30	oos	0.01199	0.011608	-3.18%	0.017214	+43.57%	0.2070	✗	1.48
2026-03-29	oos	0.01185	0.011503	-2.93%	0.019348	+63.27%	0.3046	✗	1.48
2026-03-28	oos	0.012297	0.011988	-2.51%	0.017751	+44.35%	0.1646	✗	1.48
2026-03-27	oos	0.011262	0.011002	-2.31%	0.020579	+82.73%	0.3747	✗	1.48
2026-03-26	oos	0.011196	0.01103	-1.49%	0.021359	+90.77%	0.4785	✗	1.50
2026-03-25	oos	0.012216	0.012175	-0.34%	0.022413	+83.47%	0.4867	✗	1.49
2026-03-24	oos	0.01236	0.01231	-0.40%	0.021945	+77.55%	0.4223	✗	1.50
2026-03-23	oos	0.01244	0.012416	-0.19%	0.020439	+64.30%	0.3514	✗	1.49
2026-03-22	oos	0.011844	0.011707	-1.16%	0.020099	+69.70%	0.3626	✗	1.51
2026-03-21	oos	0.012769	0.012676	-0.73%	0.021041	+64.78%	0.3626	✗	1.50
2026-03-20	oos	0.013328	0.013294	-0.26%	0.021534	+61.57%	0.4132	✗	1.50
2026-03-19	oos	0.01359	0.013544	-0.34%	0.016351	+20.32%	0.0685	✗	1.50
2026-03-18	oos	0.014035	0.014036	+0.01%	0.014813	+5.54%	0.0622	✗	1.47
2026-03-17	oos	0.015245	0.015298	+0.35%	0.016833	+10.42%	0.0715	✓	1.46
2026-03-16	oos	0.014646	0.014708	+0.42%	0.015971	+9.05%	0.0834	✓	1.47
2026-03-15	oos	0.014532	0.014556	+0.16%	0.01568	+7.90%	0.0467	✓	1.51
2026-03-14	oos	0.013737	0.01373	-0.05%	0.0162	+17.93%	0.0988	✗	1.51
2026-03-13	oos	0.013603	0.013589	-0.10%	0.014801	+8.81%	0.0895	✗	1.52
2026-03-12	oos	0.013909	0.013887	-0.16%	0.016225	+16.65%	0.1014	✗	1.53
2026-03-11	oos	0.013887	0.013861	-0.19%	0.016809	+21.04%	0.1349	✗	1.49
2026-03-10	oos	0.014101	0.014071	-0.21%	0.011796	-16.35%	0.2152	✓	1.50
2026-03-09	oos	0.013936	0.013894	-0.30%	0.011923	-14.44%	0.2103	✓	1.51
2026-03-08	oos	0.013428	0.013352	-0.56%	0.012256	-8.73%	0.2168	✓	1.52
2026-03-07	oos	0.0141	0.014051	-0.35%	0.011104	-21.25%	0.2713	✓	1.53
2026-03-06	oos	0.014489	0.01445	-0.27%	0.011418	-21.20%	0.2556	✓	1.54
2026-03-05	oos	0.015377	0.015322	-0.36%	0.011593	-24.61%	0.1987	✓	1.54
2026-03-04	oos	0.015364	0.015294	-0.46%	0.01142	-25.67%	0.1662	✓	1.53
2026-03-03	oos	0.015245	0.015171	-0.49%	0.011454	-24.87%	0.2463	✓	1.63
2026-03-02	oos	0.015028	0.014957	-0.47%	0.012049	-19.82%	0.1991	✓	1.63
2026-03-01	oos	0.014585	0.014532	-0.37%	0.012335	-15.43%	0.2249	✓	1.67
2026-02-28	oos	0.015156	0.015095	-0.40%	0.01199	-20.89%	0.2244	✓	1.71
2026-02-27	oos	0.015152	0.015088	-0.42%	0.01185	-21.79%	0.2441	✓	1.71
2026-02-26	oos	0.015637	0.015544	-0.59%	0.012297	-21.36%	0.2043	✓	1.72
2026-02-25	oos	0.016497	0.016343	-0.93%	0.011262	-31.73%	0.3306	✓	1.71
2026-02-24	oos	0.015577	0.015493	-0.54%	0.011196	-28.12%	0.4478	✓	1.74
2026-02-23	oos	0.015402	0.015324	-0.51%	0.012216	-20.69%	0.3937	✓	1.70
2026-02-22	oos	0.015946	0.015796	-0.94%	0.01236	-22.49%	0.3181	✓	1.73
2026-02-21	oos	0.016789	0.016569	-1.31%	0.01244	-25.90%	0.3598	✓	1.74
2026-02-20	oos	0.018878	0.018474	-2.14%	0.011844	-37.26%	0.4410	✓	1.74
2026-02-19	oos	0.016883	0.016633	-1.48%	0.012769	-24.37%	0.3133	✓	1.71
2026-02-18	oos	0.015944	0.015762	-1.14%	0.013328	-16.41%	0.2699	✓	1.71
2026-02-17	oos	0.015125	0.014968	-1.04%	0.01359	-10.15%	0.1555	✓	1.65
2026-02-16	oos	0.015343	0.015126	-1.41%	0.014035	-8.53%	0.1313	✓	1.66
2026-02-15	oos	0.014757	0.014572	-1.25%	0.015245	+3.31%	0.0764	✓	1.69
2026-02-14	oos	0.016816	0.016431	-2.29%	0.014646	-12.90%	0.2339	✓	1.69
2026-02-13	oos	0.015044	0.014811	-1.55%	0.014532	-3.40%	0.1135	✓	1.67
2026-02-12	oos	0.014501	0.01439	-0.77%	0.013737	-5.27%	0.1694	✓	1.68
2026-02-11	oos	0.015041	0.014855	-1.23%	0.013603	-9.56%	0.1882	✓	1.76
2026-02-10	oos	0.015571	0.015261	-1.99%	0.013909	-10.67%	0.1366	✓	1.77
2026-02-09	oos	0.01632	0.015888	-2.65%	0.013887	-14.91%	0.1373	✓	1.76
2026-02-08	oos	0.016504	0.016033	-2.85%	0.014101	-14.56%	0.1202	✓	1.81
2026-02-07	oos	0.016871	0.01638	-2.91%	0.013936	-17.40%	0.1401	✓	1.82
2026-02-06	oos	0.01778	0.017148	-3.56%	0.013428	-24.48%	0.1200	✓	1.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.015059	0.014804	-1.69%	0.0141	-6.37%	0.1834	✓	1.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.017318	0.01668	-3.68%	0.014489	-16.34%	0.0387	✗	2.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.017718	0.01703	-3.88%	0.015377	-13.21%	0.0735	✗	2.69
2026-02-02	oos	0.020235	0.019348	-4.38%	0.015364	-24.07%	0.0227	✓	2.63
2026-02-01	oos	0.017641	0.016936	-4.00%	0.015245	-13.58%	0.2016	✗	2.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.017935	0.01718	-4.21%	0.015028	-16.21%	0.2323	✗	2.75
2026-01-30	oos	0.01915	0.018236	-4.77%	0.014585	-23.84%	0.5010	✗	2.94
2026-01-29	oos	0.02071	0.019722	-4.77%	0.015156	-26.82%	0.4196	✗	2.93
2026-01-28	oos	0.022679	0.021695	-4.34%	0.015152	-33.19%	0.5569	✗	3.02
2026-01-27	oos	0.024479	0.023403	-4.40%	0.015637	-36.12%	0.4432	✗	3.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.022605	0.021592	-4.48%	0.016497	-27.02%	0.5128	✗	3.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.022063	0.020977	-4.92%	0.015577	-29.40%	0.6103	✗	3.02
2026-01-24	oos	0.024473	0.023277	-4.89%	0.015402	-37.07%	0.5530	✗	3.01
2026-01-23	oos	0.026456	0.025076	-5.22%	0.015946	-39.73%	0.4117	✗	3.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.032191	0.03002	-6.74%	0.016789	-47.85%	0.2691	✗	3.09
2026-01-21	oos	0.023171	0.021875	-5.59%	0.018878	-18.53%	0.6897	✗	3.06
2026-01-20	oos	0.018313	0.017135	-6.43%	0.016883	-7.81%	0.8059	✗	2.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.023505	0.022346	-4.93%	0.015944	-32.17%	0.6078	✗	2.85
2026-01-18	oos	0.02579	0.024621	-4.53%	0.015125	-41.35%	0.4469	✗	2.85
2026-01-17	oos	0.02673	0.025721	-3.78%	0.015343	-42.60%	0.4027	✗	2.85
2026-01-16	oos	0.027192	0.026139	-3.87%	0.014757	-45.73%	0.3529	✗	2.82
2026-01-15	oos	0.029237	0.02825	-3.38%	0.016816	-42.48%	0.3785	✗	2.85
2026-01-14	oos	0.030749	0.029976	-2.51%	0.015044	-51.07%	0.2907	✗	2.86
2026-01-13	oos	0.031931	0.030952	-3.06%	0.014501	-54.59%	0.2972	✗	2.89
2026-01-12	oos	0.028533	0.027364	-4.10%	0.015041	-47.29%	0.3066	✗	2.94
2026-01-11	oos	0.029619	0.028493	-3.80%	0.015571	-47.43%	0.2236	✗	2.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.029067	0.027991	-3.70%	0.01632	-43.85%	0.2195	✗	2.99
2026-01-09	oos	0.030445	0.029402	-3.42%	0.016504	-45.79%	0.2195	✗	3.15
2026-01-08	oos	0.032313	0.031236	-3.33%	0.016871	-47.79%	0.2526	✗	3.18
2026-01-07	oos	0.032088	0.031034	-3.28%	0.01778	-44.59%	0.2655	✗	3.19
2026-01-06	oos	0.036131	0.035008	-3.11%	0.015059	-58.32%	0.4270	✗	3.17
2026-01-05	oos	0.03737	0.036172	-3.21%	0.017318	-53.66%	0.0638	✗	3.18
2026-01-04	oos	0.039302	0.037822	-3.76%	0.017718	-54.92%	0.1340	✓	3.29
2026-01-03	oos	0.033125	0.032107	-3.07%	0.020235	-38.91%	0.0052	✓	3.23
2026-01-02	oos	0.032199	0.031203	-3.09%	0.017641	-45.21%	0.0657	✓	3.22
2026-01-01	oos	0.029207	0.028299	-3.11%	0.017935	-38.59%	0.0721	✓	3.18
2025-12-31	oos	0.024929	0.02409	-3.37%	0.01915	-23.18%	0.1070	✓	3.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.027256	0.026384	-3.20%	0.02071	-24.02%	0.1023	✓	3.11
2025-12-29	oos	0.026787	0.025852	-3.49%	0.022679	-15.34%	0.2024	✓	3.07
2025-12-28	oos	0.028949	0.027944	-3.47%	0.024479	-15.44%	0.1753	✓	3.06
2025-12-27	oos	0.029139	0.028102	-3.56%	0.022605	-22.42%	0.2329	✓	3.03
2025-12-26	oos	0.029035	0.027972	-3.66%	0.022063	-24.01%	0.2112	✓	3.09
2025-12-25	oos	0.029036	0.027953	-3.73%	0.024473	-15.71%	0.1997	✓	3.08
2025-12-24	oos	0.029699	0.028581	-3.76%	0.026456	-10.92%	0.1425	✓	3.10
2025-12-23	oos	0.030548	0.02942	-3.69%	0.032191	+5.38%	0.0232	✓	2.91
2025-12-22	oos	0.033229	0.032057	-3.53%	0.023171	-30.27%	0.3507	✓	2.87
2025-12-21	oos	0.03253	0.031391	-3.50%	0.018313	-43.70%	0.5282	✓	2.87
2025-12-20	oos	0.032407	0.031298	-3.42%	0.023505	-27.47%	0.4143	✓	2.73
2025-12-19	oos	0.034559	0.033427	-3.28%	0.02579	-25.38%	0.4265	✓	2.74
2025-12-18	oos	0.035919	0.034644	-3.55%	0.02673	-25.58%	0.5609	✓	2.82
2025-12-17	oos	0.037548	0.036209	-3.57%	0.027192	-27.58%	0.5744	✓	2.81
2025-12-16	oos	0.038119	0.03676	-3.56%	0.029237	-23.30%	0.4652	✓	2.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.032456	0.031375	-3.33%	0.030749	-5.26%	0.3361	✓	2.75
2025-12-14	oos	0.035177	0.034082	-3.11%	0.031931	-9.23%	0.2808	✓	2.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.038643	0.037513	-2.92%	0.028533	-26.16%	0.3017	✓	2.73
2025-12-12	oos	0.03879	0.037628	-3.00%	0.029619	-23.64%	0.2573	✓	2.73
2025-12-11	oos	0.035229	0.034301	-2.64%	0.029067	-17.49%	0.0987	✓	2.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.031928	0.031072	-2.68%	0.030445	-4.64%	0.0263	✓	2.80
2025-12-09	oos	0.034859	0.03393	-2.67%	0.032313	-7.30%	0.0020	✓	2.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.033084	0.032183	-2.72%	0.032088	-3.01%	0.0219	✓	2.76
2025-12-07	oos	0.027594	0.026816	-2.82%	0.036131	+30.94%	0.1993	✗	2.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.025938	0.025146	-3.05%	0.03737	+44.07%	0.2582	✗	2.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.028883	0.028176	-2.45%	0.039302	+36.07%	0.2675	✗	2.75
2025-12-04	oos	0.028854	0.028143	-2.46%	0.033125	+14.80%	0.2091	✗	2.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.033821	0.033089	-2.17%	0.032199	-4.80%	0.0788	✗	2.78
2025-12-02	oos	0.032976	0.032294	-2.07%	0.029207	-11.43%	0.0212	✓	2.78
2025-12-01	oos	0.029651	0.029052	-2.02%	0.024929	-15.93%	0.1930	✓	2.86
2025-11-30	oos	0.034603	0.033897	-2.04%	0.027256	-21.23%	0.1526	✓	2.97
2025-11-29	oos	0.035765	0.035009	-2.11%	0.026787	-25.10%	0.1449	✓	2.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.038231	0.037387	-2.21%	0.028949	-24.28%	0.1564	✓	2.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.039315	0.038396	-2.34%	0.029139	-25.88%	0.1616	✓	2.92
2025-11-26	oos	0.041459	0.040372	-2.62%	0.029035	-29.97%	0.2237	✓	2.97
2025-11-25	oos	0.042225	0.041135	-2.58%	0.029036	-31.24%	0.3429	✓	3.10
2025-11-24	oos	0.042309	0.041155	-2.73%	0.029699	-29.80%	0.3030	✓	3.11
2025-11-23	oos	0.03884	0.037984	-2.20%	0.030548	-21.35%	0.2399	✓	3.09
2025-11-22	oos	0.038014	0.037248	-2.02%	0.033229	-12.59%	0.2560	✓	3.17
2025-11-21	oos	0.035996	0.035319	-1.88%	0.03253	-9.63%	0.2120	✓	3.16
2025-11-20	oos	0.038646	0.037789	-2.22%	0.032407	-16.14%	0.2184	✓	3.17
2025-11-19	oos	0.038101	0.03698	-2.94%	0.034559	-9.30%	0.0657	✗	3.56
2025-11-18	oos	0.039606	0.038243	-3.44%	0.035919	-9.31%	0.2336	✗	3.54
2025-11-17	oos	0.032313	0.031341	-3.01%	0.037548	+16.20%	0.4177	✗	3.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.035815	0.034662	-3.22%	0.038119	+6.43%	0.3349	✗	3.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.036976	0.035671	-3.53%	0.032456	-12.22%	0.2543	✗	3.47
2025-11-14	oos	0.03601	0.034893	-3.10%	0.035177	-2.31%	0.2491	✗	3.47
2025-11-13	oos	0.044999	0.042631	-5.26%	0.038643	-14.12%	0.2402	✗	3.43
2025-11-12	oos	0.04727	0.044371	-6.13%	0.03879	-17.94%	0.2740	✗	3.45
2025-11-11	oos	0.047855	0.044686	-6.62%	0.035229	-26.38%	0.1331	✗	3.46
2025-11-10	oos	0.057997	0.053204	-8.26%	0.031928	-44.95%	0.0321	✓	3.39
2025-11-09	oos	0.056993	0.052375	-8.10%	0.034859	-38.84%	0.0067	✓	3.40
2025-11-08	oos	0.047953	0.044787	-6.60%	0.033084	-31.01%	0.0976	✗	3.32
2025-11-07	oos	0.052006	0.048298	-7.13%	0.027594	-46.94%	0.1191	✓	3.31
2025-11-06	oos	0.043195	0.040549	-6.13%	0.025938	-39.95%	0.0401	✓	3.22
2025-11-05	oos	0.050941	0.047314	-7.12%	0.028883	-43.30%	0.0170	✓	3.16
2025-11-04	oos	0.051417	0.047933	-6.78%	0.028854	-43.88%	0.2106	✓	3.06
2025-11-03	oos	0.059831	0.054738	-8.51%	0.033821	-43.47%	0.0664	✓	3.16
2025-11-02	oos	0.078164	0.071128	-9.00%	0.032976	-57.81%	0.2217	✓	2.86
2025-11-01	oos	0.079799	0.072628	-8.99%	0.029651	-62.84%	0.1863	✓	2.92
2025-10-31	oos	0.082447	0.075023	-9.01%	0.034603	-58.03%	0.2047	✓	2.96
2025-10-30	oos	0.083171	0.075682	-9.00%	0.035765	-57.00%	0.2320	✓	2.94
2025-10-29	oos	0.092022	0.084306	-8.38%	0.038231	-58.45%	0.2716	✓	2.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.095911	0.088511	-7.72%	0.039315	-59.01%	0.2472	✓	2.66
2025-10-27	oos	0.101254	0.0936	-7.56%	0.041459	-59.05%	0.2008	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.101013	0.093369	-7.57%	0.042225	-58.20%	0.0790	✓	2.63
2025-10-25	oos	0.084765	0.078328	-7.59%	0.042309	-50.09%	0.0013	✓	2.61
2025-10-24	oos	0.086585	0.080281	-7.28%	0.03884	-55.14%	0.0211	✓	2.86
2025-10-23	oos	0.084859	0.078701	-7.26%	0.038014	-55.20%	0.0339	✓	2.90
2025-10-22	oos	0.081677	0.07585	-7.13%	0.035996	-55.93%	0.0561	✓	2.94
2025-10-21	oos	0.08843	0.082329	-6.90%	0.038646	-56.30%	0.0996	✓	2.92
2025-10-20	oos	0.097409	0.090808	-6.78%	0.038101	-60.89%	0.3139	✓	2.92
2025-10-19	oos	0.095651	0.089126	-6.82%	0.039606	-58.59%	0.3699	✓	2.82
2025-10-18	oos	0.099645	0.092853	-6.82%	0.032313	-67.57%	0.6181	✓	2.88
2025-10-17	oos	0.085138	0.079582	-6.53%	0.035815	-57.93%	0.4523	✓	2.82
2025-10-16	oos	0.091482	0.085557	-6.48%	0.036976	-59.58%	0.4911	✓	2.80
2025-10-15	oos	0.098	0.091524	-6.61%	0.03601	-63.26%	0.4851	✓	2.81
2025-10-14	oos	0.112299	0.105084	-6.42%	0.044999	-59.93%	0.5014	✓	2.74
2025-10-13	oos	0.127404	0.119	-6.60%	0.04727	-62.90%	0.5881	✓	2.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.113702	0.106081	-6.70%	0.047855	-57.91%	0.4972	✓	2.70
2025-10-11	oos	0.088263	0.080914	-8.33%	0.057997	-34.29%	0.2242	✓	2.46
2025-10-10	oos	0.100527	0.092559	-7.93%	0.056993	-43.31%	0.3107	✓	2.29
2025-10-09	oos	0.128993	0.121621	-5.71%	0.047953	-62.83%	0.6053	✓	1.87
2025-10-08	oos	0.135084	0.128051	-5.21%	0.052006	-61.50%	0.5930	✓	1.74
2025-10-07	oos	0.126468	0.118632	-6.20%	0.043195	-65.85%	0.6818	✓	1.81
2025-10-06	oos	0.142165	0.13525	-4.86%	0.050941	-64.17%	0.6648	✓	1.70
2025-10-05	oos	0.141855	0.134551	-5.15%	0.051417	-63.75%	0.6212	✓	1.73
2025-10-04	oos	0.145562	0.137639	-5.44%	0.059831	-58.90%	0.5841	✓	1.79
2025-10-03	oos	0.160385	0.151889	-5.30%	0.078164	-51.26%	0.4819	✓	1.80
2025-10-02	oos	0.164899	0.155108	-5.94%	0.079799	-51.61%	0.4950	✓	1.85
2025-10-01	oos	0.152239	0.14193	-6.77%	0.082447	-45.84%	0.3881	✓	1.94
2025-09-30	oos	0.143427	0.132407	-7.68%	0.083171	-42.01%	0.3637	✓	1.96
2025-09-29	oos	0.1601	0.147914	-7.61%	0.092022	-42.52%	0.3792	✓	2.47
2025-09-28	oos	0.163044	0.150229	-7.86%	0.095911	-41.17%	0.4652	✓	2.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.138059	0.126553	-8.33%	0.101254	-26.66%	0.3150	✓	2.34
2025-09-26	oos	0.169959	0.155892	-8.28%	0.101013	-40.57%	0.5336	✓	2.30
2025-09-25	oos	0.153142	0.139984	-8.59%	0.084765	-44.65%	0.5562	✓	2.29
2025-09-24	oos	0.136167	0.123552	-9.26%	0.086585	-36.41%	0.2996	✓	2.72
2025-09-23	oos	0.142865	0.128668	-9.94%	0.084859	-40.60%	0.3677	✓	2.83
2025-09-22	oos	0.137713	0.122965	-10.71%	0.081677	-40.69%	0.2741	✓	2.89
2025-09-21	oos	0.107217	0.094024	-12.30%	0.08843	-17.52%	0.1450	✗	3.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.109754	0.095445	-13.04%	0.097409	-11.25%	0.1771	✗	3.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.121625	0.106297	-12.60%	0.095651	-21.36%	0.1159	✓	3.54
2025-09-18	oos	0.123611	0.107361	-13.15%	0.099645	-19.39%	0.2324	✗	3.47
2025-09-17	oos	0.141042	0.124279	-11.89%	0.085138	-39.64%	0.0602	✓	3.54

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.