TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1175
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0340
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.851887 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.867351 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.874573 | -2.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.814433 | -2.77% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.85392 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.859497 | -3.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0093 | -3.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.994757 | -3.42% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.981057 | -3.23% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0940 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.952814 | -3.49% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0489 | -3.48% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0899 | -4.12% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0186 | -3.66% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.996153 | -3.83% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0410 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0465 | -3.63% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1047 | -3.36% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0784 | -3.25% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1288 | -3.44% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1409 | -5.10% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.822009 | -2.25% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2751 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.834967 | -2.09% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2534 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.857993 | -2.30% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.976071 | -2.85% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1355 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0946 | -3.85% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0364 | -4.52% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.879795 | -2.48% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.798575 | -2.52% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0468 | ✗ | 1.00 |