TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · gru_s0

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 270

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 90 predictions shown

direction hit

60.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1263

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003815	0.003791	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	2.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.003821	0.003806	-0.38%	0.003815	-0.14%	0.0038	✓	2.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.00439	-0.80%	0.003821	-13.67%	0.1710	✓	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003433	+0.38%	0.004425	+29.40%	0.2219	✓	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003514	+0.41%	0.00342	-2.29%	0.0227	✗	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003867	+0.44%	0.0035	-9.09%	0.1165	✗	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003784	+0.58%	0.00385	+2.34%	0.0206	✓	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004366	+0.43%	0.003762	-13.46%	0.1318	✗	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004954	+0.30%	0.004347	-11.99%	0.1458	✗	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.005052	+0.19%	0.004939	-2.04%	0.0196	✓	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004488	+0.72%	0.005042	+13.15%	0.0798	✓	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.005436	+0.20%	0.004456	-17.86%	0.1492	✗	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005489	+0.38%	0.005425	-0.79%	0.0312	✗	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004731	+0.70%	0.005468	+16.39%	0.1354	✓	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005086	+0.83%	0.004698	-6.86%	0.1014	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005228	+0.58%	0.005044	-2.96%	0.0054	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006671	+0.03%	0.005198	-22.06%	0.1960	✗	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007448	-0.21%	0.006669	-10.65%	0.1057	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.00673	-0.03%	0.007464	+10.87%	0.1214	✗	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006735	+0.19%	0.006732	+0.14%	0.0425	✗	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.0069	+0.22%	0.006723	-2.36%	0.0318	✗	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008475	-0.13%	0.006885	-18.87%	0.1997	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.008465	+0.03%	0.008486	+0.27%	0.0283	✗	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008946	-0.06%	0.008463	-5.45%	0.0535	✓	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009749	-0.21%	0.008951	-8.38%	0.0897	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010267	-0.35%	0.00977	-5.18%	0.0259	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.011165	-0.50%	0.010303	-8.19%	0.0814	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010834	-0.38%	0.011222	+3.18%	0.0276	✗	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010225	-0.23%	0.010876	+6.13%	0.0687	✗	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010657	-0.22%	0.010248	-4.04%	0.0393	✓	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011636	-0.27%	0.01068	-8.47%	0.0438	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013361	-0.42%	0.011668	-13.04%	0.1266	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.012776	-0.29%	0.013417	+4.71%	0.0860	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.013647	-0.37%	0.012814	-6.45%	0.0611	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014825	-0.57%	0.013697	-8.14%	0.0883	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011724	+0.05%	0.014911	+27.24%	0.1380	✓	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.01202	-0.00%	0.011718	-2.51%	0.0302	✓	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012722	-0.14%	0.01202	-5.65%	0.0700	✓	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.01409	-0.40%	0.01274	-9.94%	0.0423	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.013011	-0.31%	0.014146	+8.39%	0.0536	✗	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.013997	-0.36%	0.013051	-7.10%	0.0599	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016627	-0.56%	0.014048	-15.99%	0.1697	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.018274	-0.88%	0.016721	-9.31%	0.1035	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015672	-0.50%	0.018437	+17.06%	0.2058	✗	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016656	-0.57%	0.01575	-5.98%	0.0519	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.016243	-0.50%	0.016751	+2.61%	0.0466	✗	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017727	-0.50%	0.016325	-8.37%	0.0529	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020885	-0.66%	0.017816	-15.26%	0.1710	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019472	-0.50%	0.021024	+7.43%	0.0729	✗	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.029034	-1.23%	0.01957	-33.43%	0.3653	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.032125	-3.18%	0.029397	-11.40%	0.1870	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.017782	-0.59%	0.033181	+85.50%	0.6263	✗	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015514	-0.30%	0.017887	+14.96%	0.1772	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018368	-0.60%	0.01556	-15.80%	0.1936	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017847	-0.59%	0.01848	+2.93%	0.0527	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014413	-0.26%	0.017954	+24.25%	0.2073	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016505	-0.31%	0.01445	-12.72%	0.0608	✓	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017698	-0.48%	0.016556	-6.91%	0.1044	✓	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015507	-0.27%	0.017784	+14.37%	0.1218	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020805	-0.79%	0.015549	-25.86%	0.2785	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.018272	-0.69%	0.020972	+13.98%	0.1036	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013715	-0.25%	0.018399	+33.81%	0.2757	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013256	-0.18%	0.01375	+3.54%	0.0725	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014451	-0.54%	0.01328	-8.60%	0.3300	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013644	-0.99%	0.01453	+5.44%	0.1513	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.0094	-1.73%	0.01378	+44.07%	0.2008	✗	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.009927	-1.62%	0.009565	-5.20%	0.0456	✓	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.010903	-1.33%	0.01009	-8.69%	0.1711	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.012562	-1.01%	0.01105	-12.92%	0.1179	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014631	-0.87%	0.01269	-14.02%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.017542	-0.95%	0.01476	-16.66%	0.1656	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.01868	-1.01%	0.01771	-6.15%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.021118	-1.27%	0.01887	-11.78%	0.1107	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.022416	-1.60%	0.02139	-6.10%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.019218	-1.09%	0.02278	+17.24%	0.1846	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.020264	-1.34%	0.01943	-5.40%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016755	-0.86%	0.02054	+21.54%	0.2034	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017911	-0.99%	0.0169	-6.58%	0.0678	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.024988	-2.31%	0.01809	-29.28%	0.3178	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019785	-1.66%	0.02558	+27.14%	0.2483	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.017657	-1.52%	0.02012	+12.21%	0.1214	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.014334	-0.94%	0.01793	+23.91%	0.2244	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012634	-0.75%	0.01447	+13.67%	0.1240	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.012843	-0.75%	0.01273	-1.62%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017959	-1.54%	0.01294	-29.06%	0.2981	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012947	-0.79%	0.01824	+39.77%	0.3299	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009778	-0.63%	0.01305	+32.62%	0.2879	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.01123	-0.53%	0.00984	-12.84%	0.1345	✓	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013269	-0.46%	0.01129	-15.30%	0.1360	✓	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.013329	-0.45%	0.01333	-0.45%	0.0161	✓	1.00