SPYB
SPY (bStocks Tokenized Stock) · Binance Smart Chain · gru_s0
- token id
- #357
- symbol
- SPYB
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x7138b48df7d98d7e3cc221bfe7192d0a178182d8
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-07
- predictions
- 297
Track record at +1d
assessed
98
of 99 predictions shown
direction hit
51.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0063
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0037
actual -0.0002
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 771.035 | 768.0116 | -0.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 769.995 | 767.5212 | -0.32% | 771.035 | +0.14% | 0.0043 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 771.485 | 768.5635 | -0.38% | 769.995 | -0.19% | 0.0005 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 768.255 | 764.5764 | -0.48% | 771.485 | +0.42% | 0.0076 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 767.73 | 764.4582 | -0.43% | 768.255 | +0.07% | 0.0052 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 760.825 | 757.6538 | -0.42% | 767.73 | +0.91% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 762.325 | 759.0481 | -0.43% | 760.825 | -0.20% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 771.365 | 767.8526 | -0.46% | 762.325 | -1.17% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 768.04 | 763.9184 | -0.54% | 771.365 | +0.43% | 0.0090 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 778.575 | 774.6378 | -0.51% | 768.04 | -1.35% | 0.0067 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 778.155 | 773.6186 | -0.58% | 778.575 | +0.05% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 780.995 | 776.9005 | -0.52% | 778.155 | -0.36% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 779.025 | 775.0468 | -0.51% | 780.995 | +0.25% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 779.035 | 775.3009 | -0.48% | 779.025 | -0.00% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 774.915 | 770.8737 | -0.52% | 779.035 | +0.53% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 777.815 | 773.6354 | -0.54% | 774.915 | -0.37% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 779.94 | 776.5178 | -0.44% | 777.815 | -0.27% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 775.085 | 771.2774 | -0.49% | 779.94 | +0.63% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 770.915 | 767.9038 | -0.39% | 775.085 | +0.54% | 0.0103 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 770.925 | 767.4232 | -0.45% | 770.915 | -0.00% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 769.8 | 766.4368 | -0.44% | 770.925 | +0.15% | 0.0055 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 765.105 | 761.8943 | -0.42% | 769.8 | +0.61% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 765.845 | 762.194 | -0.48% | 765.105 | -0.10% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 766.09 | 762.4822 | -0.47% | 765.845 | -0.03% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 766.2 | 762.4761 | -0.49% | 766.09 | -0.01% | 0.0045 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 769.91 | 766.4243 | -0.45% | 766.2 | -0.48% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 770.34 | 766.903 | -0.45% | 769.91 | -0.06% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 771.89 | 768.4688 | -0.44% | 770.34 | -0.20% | 0.0020 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 766.21 | 763.2187 | -0.39% | 771.89 | +0.74% | 0.0117 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 767.7 | 764.9636 | -0.36% | 766.21 | -0.19% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 773.525 | 770.9345 | -0.33% | 767.7 | -0.75% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 773.705 | 771.0965 | -0.34% | 773.525 | -0.02% | 0.0036 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 763.305 | 760.1919 | -0.41% | 773.705 | +1.36% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 762.725 | 756.9499 | -0.76% | 763.305 | +0.08% | 0.0084 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 763.025 | 755.8626 | -0.94% | 762.725 | -0.04% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 762.5 | 760.3762 | -0.28% | 763.025 | +0.07% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 757.98 | 756.0512 | -0.25% | 762.5 | +0.60% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 758.605 | 756.8403 | -0.23% | 757.98 | -0.08% | 0.0007 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 761.035 | 759.5299 | -0.20% | 758.605 | -0.32% | 0.0023 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 760.005 | 758.7976 | -0.16% | 761.035 | +0.14% | 0.0011 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 765.035 | 764.0948 | -0.12% | 760.005 | -0.66% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 764.985 | 764.5064 | -0.06% | 765.035 | +0.01% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 757.865 | 757.381 | -0.06% | 764.985 | +0.94% | 0.0091 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 763.135 | 762.6377 | -0.07% | 757.865 | -0.69% | 0.0041 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 765.76 | 765.0425 | -0.09% | 763.135 | -0.34% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 769.03 | 768.6785 | -0.05% | 765.76 | -0.43% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 769.955 | 770.0004 | +0.01% | 769.03 | -0.12% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 771.335 | 771.5209 | +0.02% | 769.955 | -0.18% | 0.0026 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 769.845 | 770.1277 | +0.04% | 771.335 | +0.19% | 0.0014 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 772.18 | 772.7621 | +0.08% | 769.845 | -0.30% | 0.0019 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 765.52 | 765.2523 | -0.03% | 772.18 | +0.87% | 0.0047 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 762.065 | 761.7246 | -0.04% | 765.52 | +0.45% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 767.635 | 767.2909 | -0.04% | 762.065 | -0.73% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 766.5 | 765.896 | -0.08% | 767.635 | +0.15% | 0.0013 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 770.89 | 770.4457 | -0.06% | 766.5 | -0.57% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 769.17 | 768.7854 | -0.05% | 770.89 | +0.22% | 0.0023 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 769.72 | 769.5044 | -0.03% | 769.17 | -0.07% | 0.0021 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 770.475 | 769.936 | -0.07% | 769.72 | -0.10% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 765.15 | 764.4988 | -0.09% | 770.475 | +0.70% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 763.8 | 763.0786 | -0.09% | 765.15 | +0.18% | 0.0032 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 766.01 | 765.0273 | -0.13% | 763.8 | -0.29% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 765.34 | 764.1321 | -0.16% | 766.01 | +0.09% | 0.0017 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 766.75 | 765.4409 | -0.17% | 765.34 | -0.18% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 763.06 | 761.232 | -0.24% | 766.75 | +0.48% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 770.3 | 767.6755 | -0.34% | 763.06 | -0.94% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 767.375 | 763.7428 | -0.47% | 770.3 | +0.38% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 773.335 | 769.5951 | -0.48% | 767.375 | -0.77% | 0.0036 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 777.65 | 773.6078 | -0.52% | 773.335 | -0.55% | 0.0068 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 777.08 | 773.031 | -0.52% | 777.65 | +0.07% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 776.58 | 772.3104 | -0.55% | 777.08 | +0.06% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 778.54 | 773.2748 | -0.68% | 776.58 | -0.25% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 772.95 | 768.1201 | -0.62% | 778.54 | +0.72% | 0.0134 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 771.53 | 766.4947 | -0.65% | 772.95 | +0.18% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 773.14 | 767.5657 | -0.72% | 771.53 | -0.21% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 0.25 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 770.34 | 765.4925 | -0.63% | 773.14 | +0.36% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 773.83 | 768.353 | -0.71% | 770.34 | -0.45% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 773.54 | 767.8768 | -0.73% | 773.83 | +0.04% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 769.85 | 764.0688 | -0.75% | 773.54 | +0.48% | 0.0098 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 771.95 | 767.0498 | -0.63% | 769.85 | -0.27% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 773.64 | 767.2972 | -0.82% | 771.95 | -0.22% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 759.05 | 752.5495 | -0.86% | 773.64 | +1.92% | 0.0185 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 750.47 | 747.2411 | -0.43% | 759.05 | +1.14% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 745.165 | 741.0656 | -0.55% | 750.47 | +0.71% | 0.0010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 745.49 | 741.4482 | -0.54% | 745.165 | -0.04% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 744.68 | 741.3533 | -0.45% | 745.49 | +0.11% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 733.825 | 730.1313 | -0.50% | 744.68 | +1.48% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 743.59 | 740.1035 | -0.47% | 733.825 | -1.31% | 0.0093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 739.94 | 737.0277 | -0.39% | 743.59 | +0.49% | 0.0065 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 745.955 | 743.5059 | -0.33% | 739.94 | -0.81% | 0.0207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 742.375 | 740.0308 | -0.32% | 745.955 | +0.48% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 740.185 | 737.9586 | -0.30% | 742.375 | +0.30% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 739.95 | 738.0813 | -0.25% | 740.185 | +0.03% | 0.0178 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 747.53 | 745.8142 | -0.23% | 739.95 | -1.01% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 749.28 | 747.5881 | -0.23% | 747.53 | -0.23% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 743.3 | 740.72 | -0.35% | 749.28 | +0.80% | 0.0083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 746.62 | 744.9103 | -0.23% | 743.3 | -0.44% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 744.91 | 743.3085 | -0.21% | 746.62 | +0.23% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 744.45 | 742.7401 | -0.23% | 744.91 | +0.06% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 750.69 | 748.8198 | -0.25% | 744.45 | -0.83% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 1.00 |