RE
RE · Ethereum · gru_s0
- token id
- #279
- symbol
- RE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x526526528f35ac738177003b8773b402b8df8143
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-18
- predictions
- 351
Track record at +1d
assessed
116
of 117 predictions shown
direction hit
57.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0457
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0078
actual -0.0094
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.39085 | 0.388506 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3878 | 0.38568 | -0.55% | 0.39085 | +0.79% | 0.0161 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.38025 | 0.378056 | -0.58% | 0.3878 | +1.99% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3807 | 0.378397 | -0.61% | 0.38025 | -0.12% | 0.0067 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.3939 | 0.391182 | -0.69% | 0.3807 | -3.35% | 0.0340 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.4072 | 0.404512 | -0.66% | 0.3939 | -3.27% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.41905 | 0.416222 | -0.67% | 0.4072 | -2.83% | 0.0155 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.42225 | 0.419677 | -0.61% | 0.41905 | -0.76% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.43205 | 0.429632 | -0.56% | 0.42225 | -2.27% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.42635 | 0.423729 | -0.61% | 0.43205 | +1.34% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.44755 | 0.444986 | -0.57% | 0.42635 | -4.74% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.4449 | 0.442144 | -0.62% | 0.44755 | +0.60% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.4408 | 0.437962 | -0.64% | 0.4449 | +0.93% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.4381 | 0.434803 | -0.75% | 0.4408 | +0.62% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 0.82 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.4626 | 0.459726 | -0.62% | 0.4381 | -5.30% | 0.0330 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.4822 | 0.479514 | -0.56% | 0.4626 | -4.06% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.5048 | 0.501504 | -0.65% | 0.4822 | -4.48% | 0.0374 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.5176 | 0.514491 | -0.60% | 0.5048 | -2.47% | 0.0121 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.50915 | 0.505874 | -0.64% | 0.5176 | +1.66% | 0.0069 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.5062 | 0.503003 | -0.63% | 0.50915 | +0.58% | 0.0100 | ✗ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.5149 | 0.511082 | -0.74% | 0.5062 | -1.69% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.478554 | -0.61% | 0.5149 | +6.94% | 0.0621 | ✗ | 0.72 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.47595 | 0.472329 | -0.76% | 0.4815 | +1.17% | 0.0200 | ✗ | 0.81 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.46175 | 0.459087 | -0.58% | 0.47595 | +3.08% | 0.0344 | ✗ | 0.75 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.4892 | 0.486096 | -0.63% | 0.46175 | -5.61% | 0.0410 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.49105 | 0.488023 | -0.62% | 0.4892 | -0.38% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.47765 | 0.474869 | -0.58% | 0.49105 | +2.81% | 0.0298 | ✗ | 0.96 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.4691 | 0.466453 | -0.56% | 0.47765 | +1.82% | 0.0270 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.4464 | 0.443805 | -0.58% | 0.4691 | +5.09% | 0.0554 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.469901 | -0.53% | 0.4464 | -5.50% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.46815 | 0.465991 | -0.46% | 0.4724 | +0.91% | 0.0188 | ✗ | 1.12 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.45915 | 0.456278 | -0.63% | 0.46815 | +1.96% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.46645 | 0.463416 | -0.65% | 0.45915 | -1.57% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.459 | 0.456378 | -0.57% | 0.46645 | +1.62% | 0.0163 | ✗ | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.444 | 0.441772 | -0.50% | 0.459 | +3.38% | 0.0383 | ✓ | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.44075 | 0.438604 | -0.49% | 0.444 | +0.74% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.41745 | 0.416473 | -0.23% | 0.44075 | +5.58% | 0.0457 | ✗ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.4368 | 0.435325 | -0.34% | 0.41745 | -4.43% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.4253 | 0.424427 | -0.21% | 0.4368 | +2.70% | 0.0023 | ✗ | 1.49 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.4416 | 0.44047 | -0.26% | 0.4253 | -3.69% | 0.0261 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.4528 | 0.451463 | -0.30% | 0.4416 | -2.47% | 0.0231 | ✓ | 1.48 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.4323 | 0.431348 | -0.22% | 0.4528 | +4.74% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4244 | 0.424038 | -0.09% | 0.4323 | +1.86% | 0.0536 | ✗ | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.45435 | 0.453425 | -0.20% | 0.4244 | -6.59% | 0.0630 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.462 | 0.461124 | -0.19% | 0.45435 | -1.66% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.51 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4594 | 0.458888 | -0.11% | 0.462 | +0.57% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4504 | 0.450102 | -0.07% | 0.4594 | +2.00% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.4372 | 0.437217 | +0.00% | 0.4504 | +3.02% | 0.0267 | ✓ | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4678 | 0.467697 | -0.02% | 0.4372 | -6.54% | 0.0378 | ✓ | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4633 | 0.46259 | -0.15% | 0.4678 | +0.97% | 0.0691 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.4791 | 0.478189 | -0.19% | 0.4633 | -3.30% | 0.0297 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.489 | 0.488266 | -0.15% | 0.4791 | -2.02% | 0.0051 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.4687 | 0.468113 | -0.13% | 0.489 | +4.33% | 0.0253 | ✗ | 1.60 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.4914 | 0.490784 | -0.13% | 0.4687 | -4.62% | 0.0344 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.51565 | 0.514776 | -0.17% | 0.4914 | -4.70% | 0.0545 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.5365 | 0.535745 | -0.14% | 0.51565 | -3.89% | 0.0113 | ✗ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.5266 | 0.52581 | -0.15% | 0.5365 | +1.88% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.5521 | 0.550604 | -0.27% | 0.5266 | -4.62% | 0.0548 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.53905 | 0.537891 | -0.22% | 0.5521 | +2.42% | 0.0355 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.5417 | 0.540023 | -0.31% | 0.53905 | -0.49% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.5018 | 0.500652 | -0.23% | 0.5417 | +7.95% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 1.63 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.5242 | 0.522411 | -0.34% | 0.5018 | -4.27% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 1.62 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.51015 | 0.50643 | -0.73% | 0.5242 | +2.75% | 0.0992 | ✓ | 1.90 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.5374 | 0.525282 | -2.25% | 0.51015 | -5.07% | 0.1510 | ✓ | 2.33 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.3976 | 0.393628 | -1.00% | 0.5374 | +35.16% | 0.2018 | ✗ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.4054 | 0.401168 | -1.04% | 0.3976 | -1.92% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.59 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.4192 | 0.41467 | -1.08% | 0.4054 | -3.29% | 0.0676 | ✓ | 1.75 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.4616 | 0.456348 | -1.14% | 0.4192 | -9.19% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.4469 | 0.441904 | -1.12% | 0.4616 | +3.29% | 0.0424 | ✗ | 1.72 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.44 | 0.434622 | -1.22% | 0.4469 | +1.57% | 0.0402 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.4319 | 0.426858 | -1.17% | 0.44 | +1.88% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.41915 | 0.414165 | -1.19% | 0.4319 | +3.04% | 0.0452 | ✗ | 1.74 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.4086 | 0.403475 | -1.25% | 0.41915 | +2.58% | 0.0486 | ✗ | 1.76 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.40445 | 0.399191 | -1.30% | 0.4086 | +1.03% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.4089 | 0.402585 | -1.54% | 0.40445 | -1.09% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.38965 | 0.38426 | -1.38% | 0.4089 | +4.94% | 0.0617 | ✗ | 1.81 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.39565 | 0.38989 | -1.46% | 0.38965 | -1.52% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.84 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.38465 | 0.379005 | -1.47% | 0.39565 | +2.86% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.385 | 0.379417 | -1.45% | 0.38465 | -0.09% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 1.86 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.40515 | 0.399249 | -1.46% | 0.385 | -4.97% | 0.0539 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.4209 | 0.414709 | -1.47% | 0.40515 | -3.74% | 0.0223 | ✓ | 1.91 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.4414 | 0.435093 | -1.43% | 0.4209 | -4.64% | 0.0562 | ✓ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.4421 | 0.435896 | -1.40% | 0.4414 | -0.16% | 0.0145 | ✗ | 1.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.44585 | 0.43934 | -1.46% | 0.4421 | -0.84% | 0.0694 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.496 | 0.487223 | -1.77% | 0.44585 | -10.11% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.4515 | 0.445606 | -1.31% | 0.496 | +9.86% | 0.1054 | ✗ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.44995 | 0.444962 | -1.11% | 0.4515 | +0.34% | 0.0091 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.4815 | 0.476032 | -1.14% | 0.44995 | -6.55% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 2.25 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.5458 | 0.538063 | -1.42% | 0.4815 | -11.78% | 0.1517 | ✓ | 2.52 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.5818 | 0.569535 | -2.11% | 0.5458 | -6.19% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 2.54 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.5535 | 0.541683 | -2.13% | 0.5818 | +5.11% | 0.1116 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.4747 | 0.462885 | -2.49% | 0.5535 | +16.60% | 0.2269 | ✗ | 3.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.392175 | -0.82% | 0.4747 | +20.06% | 0.2119 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.375 | 0.37297 | -0.54% | 0.3954 | +5.44% | 0.0057 | ✓ | 3.24 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.3923 | 0.38999 | -0.59% | 0.375 | -4.41% | 0.0661 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.3954 | 0.393209 | -0.55% | 0.3923 | -0.78% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.4476 | 0.44466 | -0.66% | 0.3954 | -11.66% | 0.1314 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.4905 | 0.486723 | -0.77% | 0.4476 | -8.75% | 0.0857 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.4868 | 0.483224 | -0.73% | 0.4905 | +0.76% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.5268 | 0.522742 | -0.77% | 0.4868 | -7.59% | 0.0670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.5264 | 0.522075 | -0.82% | 0.5268 | +0.08% | 0.0338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.55705 | 0.552476 | -0.82% | 0.5264 | -5.50% | 0.0249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.5811 | 0.576181 | -0.85% | 0.55705 | -4.14% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.57485 | 0.570231 | -0.80% | 0.5811 | +1.09% | 0.0244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.5845 | 0.579731 | -0.82% | 0.57485 | -1.65% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.603 | 0.597892 | -0.85% | 0.5845 | -3.07% | 0.0376 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.6298 | 0.6245 | -0.84% | 0.603 | -4.26% | 0.0177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.6573 | 0.651628 | -0.86% | 0.6298 | -4.18% | 0.0234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.6457 | 0.640028 | -0.88% | 0.6573 | +1.80% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.6332 | 0.627668 | -0.87% | 0.6457 | +1.97% | 0.0205 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.6217 | 0.616291 | -0.87% | 0.6332 | +1.85% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.6877 | 0.679685 | -1.17% | 0.6217 | -9.60% | 0.1059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.5835 | 0.578564 | -0.85% | 0.6877 | +17.86% | 0.1477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.6483 | 0.642362 | -0.92% | 0.5835 | -10.00% | 0.1204 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.7829 | 0.767957 | -1.91% | 0.6483 | -17.19% | 0.1418 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.6058 | 0.600549 | -0.87% | 0.7829 | +29.23% | 0.2536 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.6924 | 0.684377 | -1.16% | 0.6058 | -12.51% | 0.1142 | ✓ | 1.00 |