O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s0

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 354

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

111

of 118 predictions shown

direction hit

62.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0818

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0072

actual -0.0293

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.44305	0.437732	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.434297	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.403026	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.422385	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.439448	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.453142	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.449892	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.455504	-1.22%	0.44305	-3.92%	0.0350	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.469206	-0.85%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0649	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.479248	-1.01%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1627	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.477119	-0.73%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0981	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.473821	-0.94%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0511	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.446975	-0.55%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0343	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.452016	-0.57%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0045	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.469851	-0.41%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0064	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.501922	-0.22%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0425	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.506266	-0.20%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0177	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.512703	-0.08%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0466	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.511445	-0.25%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0552	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.519611	-0.15%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1327	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.538385	-0.12%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1487	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.551347	-0.31%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1540	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.563838	-0.40%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1259	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.528645	-0.11%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0570	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.539287	+0.01%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0643	✗	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.544044	+0.07%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0616	✗	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.549354	+0.18%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0570	✗	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.553109	+0.31%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0290	✗	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.547552	+0.38%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0158	✓	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.561876	+0.56%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0322	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.548685	+0.71%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0181	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.550952	+0.17%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0462	✗	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.567721	+0.15%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0662	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.573722	+0.13%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0702	✗	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.557555	-0.24%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0745	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.536408	+0.07%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0552	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.527769	+0.18%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0483	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.547326	+0.23%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0861	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.508567	+0.51%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0362	✓	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.542954	+0.24%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0056	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.549282	+0.25%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0075	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.534375	+0.36%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0466	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.528416	+0.64%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0357	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.536988	+0.61%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0095	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.547651	+0.56%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0060	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.539759	+0.82%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0292	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.539104	+0.78%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0304	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.55771	+0.65%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0069	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.565385	+0.82%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0126	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.551963	+0.37%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0603	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.559814	+0.34%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0587	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.556096	+0.54%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0264	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.536668	+0.51%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0303	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.533651	+0.48%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0144	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.457647	+1.19%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1723	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.443709	+1.63%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.2231	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.453547	+1.44%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.2128	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.452427	+1.41%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2228	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.436922	+1.59%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2408	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.447597	+1.36%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1771	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.441614	+1.19%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1701	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.51704	+0.95%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1286	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.482204	+0.34%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1758	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.484724	-0.30%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.2040	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.479114	-1.08%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.3075	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.452601	-1.22%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2955	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.443478	-1.33%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2630	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.449642	-1.28%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2743	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.436705	-1.22%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.1051	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.440001	-1.18%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0831	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.434239	-1.16%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0050	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.440642	-1.18%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0727	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.447644	-1.22%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0126	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.465912	-1.30%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0017	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.461568	-1.36%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0221	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.470579	-1.42%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0265	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.473485	-1.50%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0456	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.482236	-1.57%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0708	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.495777	-1.72%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0961	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.489502	-1.83%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0857	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.470794	-1.89%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0230	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.50538	-2.03%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1208	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.48647	-2.01%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0611	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.492952	-1.92%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0154	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.469716	-1.91%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0273	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.477469	-2.00%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0507	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.472682	-1.90%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0583	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.470127	-1.61%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0625	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.500897	-1.79%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0679	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.477476	-1.74%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.0703	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.534708	-1.92%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0546	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.58316	-1.44%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1511	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.610909	-1.48%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1715	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.614846	-1.81%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.2107	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.579502	-1.70%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.2068	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.565527	-1.64%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0927	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.556041	-1.83%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1388	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.513315	-1.64%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0403	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.547398	-1.55%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.547423	-1.52%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.515624	-1.84%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1480	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.533622	-1.66%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.0849	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.553727	-1.71%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.544855	-1.62%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0425	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.561415	-1.84%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.543728	-1.93%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.548632	-1.82%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.523744	-1.65%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0304	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.544038	-1.73%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.596649	-2.11%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.529677	-1.93%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0192	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.545776	-2.16%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.544651	-2.39%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.492712	-2.43%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.522602	-2.32%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0430	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.475942	-2.47%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.0844	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.416259	-2.65%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3301	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.44617	-2.37%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1500	✗	1.00