NES

Nesa · Ethereum · gru_s0

token id: #366
symbol: NES
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-24
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

95.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2575

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0300

actual -0.2719

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.11832	0.114425	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-20	oos	0.12079	0.117417	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-19	oos	0.114105	0.110151	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.05
2026-10-18	oos	0.118045	0.114289	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-17	oos	0.11967	0.115752	-3.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.122125	0.118578	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.138695	0.13465	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-14	oos	0.146385	0.141444	-3.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.136455	0.133302	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-10-12	oos	0.13391	0.129807	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-11	oos	0.14095	0.137872	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.14031	0.137394	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-09	oos	0.13735	0.134674	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.13322	0.130362	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.137455	0.136171	-0.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.137615	0.138027	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-10-05	oos	0.14428	0.144646	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.14974	0.150014	+0.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-03	oos	0.14604	0.145348	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.14854	0.147321	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-10-01	oos	0.1514	0.150289	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-09-30	oos	0.15126	0.149993	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-09-29	oos	0.16081	0.159041	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-09-28	oos	0.1614	0.160447	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.16563	0.165621	-0.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.163905	0.163348	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.15964	0.159664	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	-0.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.16505	0.165245	+0.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-23	oos	0.16465	0.164522	-0.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-09-22	oos	0.168615	0.169801	+0.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2026-09-21	oos	0.16943	0.171531	+1.24%	0.11832	-30.17%	0.3649	✗	0.14
2026-09-20	oos	0.16252	0.161597	-0.57%	0.12079	-25.68%	0.2926	✓	0.07
2026-09-19	oos	0.162175	0.161597	-0.36%	0.114105	-29.64%	0.3485	✓	0.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.15727	0.157182	-0.06%	0.118045	-24.94%	0.2873	✓	0.07
2026-09-17	oos	0.15382	0.15109	-1.77%	0.11967	-22.20%	0.2347	✓	0.02
2026-09-16	oos	0.16251	0.158617	-2.40%	0.122125	-24.85%	0.2631	✓	0.02
2026-09-15	oos	0.1658	0.161172	-2.79%	0.138695	-16.35%	0.1524	✓	0.03
2026-09-14	oos	0.15123	0.15041	-0.54%	0.146385	-3.20%	0.0335	✓	0.15
2026-09-13	oos	0.14991	0.148639	-0.85%	0.136455	-8.98%	0.0968	✓	0.14
2026-09-12	oos	0.15991	0.158235	-1.05%	0.13391	-16.26%	0.1740	✓	0.13
2026-09-11	oos	0.149955	0.149877	-0.05%	0.14095	-6.01%	0.0720	✓	0.13
2026-09-10	oos	0.144685	0.144649	-0.02%	0.14031	-3.02%	0.0403	✓	0.12
2026-09-09	oos	0.11554	0.1181	+2.22%	0.13735	+18.88%	0.1331	✓	0.34
2026-09-08	oos	0.1225	0.125266	+2.26%	0.13322	+8.75%	0.0482	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.13114	0.134476	+2.54%	0.137455	+4.82%	0.0060	✓	0.31
2026-09-06	oos	0.1288	0.133418	+3.59%	0.137615	+6.84%	0.0102	✓	0.33
2026-09-05	oos	0.12945	0.133157	+2.86%	0.14428	+11.46%	0.0566	✓	0.33
2026-09-04	oos	0.1378	0.141653	+2.80%	0.14974	+8.66%	0.0286	✓	0.33
2026-09-03	oos	0.13944	0.145102	+4.06%	0.14604	+4.73%	0.0075	✓	0.33
2026-09-02	oos	0.13736	0.137671	+0.23%	0.14854	+8.14%	0.0480	✓	0.31
2026-09-01	oos	0.14057	0.14118	+0.43%	0.1514	+7.70%	0.0411	✓	0.31
2026-08-31	oos	0.14442	0.146473	+1.42%	0.15126	+4.74%	0.0134	✓	0.30
2026-08-30	oos	0.156	0.157837	+1.18%	0.16081	+3.08%	0.0055	✓	0.33
2026-08-29	oos	0.15359	0.156921	+2.17%	0.1614	+5.08%	0.0062	✓	0.34
2026-08-28	oos	0.14335	0.147099	+2.62%	0.16563	+15.54%	0.0913	✓	0.33
2026-08-27	oos	0.14355	0.152939	+6.54%	0.163905	+14.18%	0.0509	✓	0.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.1493	0.157866	+5.74%	0.15964	+6.93%	0.0126	✓	0.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.1605	0.169085	+5.35%	0.16505	+2.83%	0.0521	✓	0.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.13701	0.144276	+5.30%	0.16465	+20.17%	0.1015	✓	0.46
2026-08-23	oos	0.195165	0.199927	+2.44%	0.168615	-13.60%	0.2368	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.205345	0.207857	+1.22%	0.16943	-17.49%	0.2806	✗	0.65
2026-08-21	oos	0.220915	0.22578	+2.20%	0.16252	-26.43%	0.3502	✗	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.215955	0.211786	-1.93%	0.162175	-24.90%	0.3364	✓	0.65
2026-08-19	oos	0.21345	0.203246	-4.78%	0.15727	-26.32%	0.3650	✓	0.70
2026-08-18	oos	0.20579	0.191307	-7.04%	0.15382	-25.25%	0.3404	✓	0.74
2026-08-17	oos	0.21233	0.197605	-6.94%	0.16251	-23.46%	0.3191	✓	0.74
2026-08-16	oos	0.214555	0.199425	-7.05%	0.1658	-22.72%	0.3325	✓	0.80
2026-08-15	oos	0.20837	0.19422	-6.79%	0.15123	-27.42%	0.4253	✓	0.81
2026-08-14	oos	0.20957	0.195738	-6.60%	0.14991	-28.47%	0.4280	✓	0.81
2026-08-13	oos	0.20644	0.193528	-6.25%	0.15991	-22.54%	0.3552	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.200645	0.188523	-6.04%	0.149955	-25.26%	0.3932	✓	0.83
2026-08-11	oos	0.203145	0.190912	-6.02%	0.144685	-28.78%	0.4326	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.204145	0.191879	-6.01%	0.11554	-43.40%	0.6774	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.20451	0.192475	-5.88%	0.1225	-40.10%	0.6168	✓	0.87
2026-08-08	oos	0.208985	0.196409	-6.02%	0.13114	-37.25%	0.5746	✓	0.86
2026-08-07	oos	0.20336	0.19109	-6.03%	0.1288	-36.66%	0.5797	✓	0.87
2026-08-06	oos	0.20365	0.191031	-6.20%	0.12945	-36.44%	0.5776	✓	0.87
2026-08-05	oos	0.19656	0.18465	-6.06%	0.1378	-29.89%	0.4815	✓	0.90
2026-08-04	oos	0.2043	0.19137	-6.33%	0.13944	-31.75%	0.5375	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.20654	0.192995	-6.56%	0.13736	-33.49%	0.5249	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.204585	0.191159	-6.56%	0.14057	-31.29%	0.4934	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.211265	0.196871	-6.81%	0.14442	-31.64%	0.5295	✓	0.98
2026-07-31	oos	0.20703	0.193135	-6.71%	0.156	-24.65%	0.4221	✓	0.98
2026-07-30	oos	0.214655	0.201883	-5.95%	0.15359	-28.45%	0.4610	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.219455	0.206093	-6.09%	0.14335	-34.68%	0.5652	✓	1.02
2026-07-28	oos	0.217385	0.204595	-5.88%	0.14355	-33.97%	0.5891	✓	1.03
2026-07-27	oos	0.22475	0.211574	-5.86%	0.1493	-33.57%	0.5705	✓	1.03
2026-07-26	oos	0.241925	0.228767	-5.44%	0.1605	-33.66%	0.5180	✓	0.89
2026-07-25	oos	0.2425	0.22868	-5.70%	0.13701	-43.50%	0.6994	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.253825	0.238739	-5.94%	0.195165	-23.11%	0.3789	✓	0.92
2026-07-23	oos	0.2701	0.254119	-5.92%	0.205345	-23.97%	0.3824	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.270695	0.256008	-5.43%	0.220915	-18.39%	0.3173	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.23121	0.221706	-4.11%	0.215955	-6.60%	0.1195	✓	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.22897	0.21889	-4.40%	0.21345	-6.78%	0.0860	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.223245	0.213466	-4.38%	0.20579	-7.82%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.225605	0.215764	-4.36%	0.21233	-5.88%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.238	0.226329	-4.90%	0.214555	-9.85%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.24992	0.236977	-5.18%	0.20837	-16.63%	0.1168	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.23956	0.228289	-4.70%	0.20957	-12.52%	0.0583	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.242325	0.231142	-4.61%	0.20644	-14.81%	0.0887	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.246155	0.232196	-5.67%	0.200645	-18.49%	0.1643	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.2359	0.22402	-5.04%	0.203145	-13.89%	0.0945	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.266755	0.2518	-5.61%	0.204145	-23.47%	0.2120	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.276415	0.260507	-5.76%	0.20451	-26.01%	0.2532	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.273545	0.256876	-6.09%	0.208985	-23.60%	0.2334	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.29756	0.276173	-7.19%	0.20336	-31.66%	0.3478	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.27962	0.261985	-6.31%	0.20365	-27.17%	0.2667	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.252165	0.238692	-5.34%	0.19656	-22.05%	0.2036	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.27204	0.255011	-6.26%	0.2043	-24.90%	0.2290	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.236725	0.224066	-5.35%	0.20654	-12.75%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.22291	0.211091	-5.30%	0.204585	-8.22%	0.0468	✓	1.00